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Builders FirstSource, Inc. (BLDR)

Industrials | Building Products & Equipment | Irving, United States | NYSE
73.51 USD -2.18 (-2.880%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 5:34 a.m. EDT

The most critical signal here is the divergence between a fundamentally deteriorating business and a deeply discounted valuation. Revenue is contracting by 10%, operating margins are razor-thin at 0.5%, and the balance sheet carries significant leverage. Despite these headwinds, the forward P/E of 12.5x and analyst buy ratings suggest the market sees a turnaround, but the price action disagrees. Momentum is clearly negative, with the stock trading well below its 50-day and 200-day averages, reflecting a trailing run of down years that has dragged the price down 24% over the last year. There is no income component to offset this weakness, as the security has no history of payouts. While the options chain shows a put wall at 70-75, implying a potential floor, the short-term outlook remains slightly bearish due to the technical breakdown. Long-term, the cheap valuation offers a margin of safety, but the underlying operational metrics remain weak, warranting a cautious hold rather than a conviction buy.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.123973
MSTL0.374194
AutoARIMA0.387588
AutoETS0.389931

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 43%
H-stat 0.68
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.304
Excess Kurtosis 0.07
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Debt to Equity Ratio 132.159
Revenue per Share 134.156
Market Cap 7,906,726,400
Trailing P/E 28.06
Forward P/E 12.22
Beta 1.42
Profit Margins 1.97%
Website https://www.bldr.com

As of July 11, 2026, 5:34 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a range-bound recovery with a defined downside floor. Call interest clusters at 90-100 strikes for August-September expirations, while put interest concentrates at 70-75 strikes for near-term expiration, suggesting a support zone. Impact volatility is elevated on deep OTM puts, indicating fear of further downside.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.41603112
Address1 6,031 Connection Drive
Address2 Suite 400
All Time High 214.7
All Time Low 0.689655
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 200
Audit Risk 6
Average Analyst Rating 2.2 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 2,078,710
Average Daily Volume3 Month 2,649,419
Average Volume 2,649,419
Average Volume10Days 2,078,710
Beta 1.418
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 200
Board Risk 6
Book Value 37.242
City Irving
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 1
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 73.51
Current Ratio 1.759
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 76.955
Day Low 73.01
Debt To Equity 132.159
Display Name Builders FirstSource
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,441,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,441,600
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,414,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,785,414,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,785,414,600
Ebitda 1,207,911,936
Ebitda Margins 0.081499994
Enterprise To Ebitda 10.845
Enterprise To Revenue 0.884
Enterprise Value 13,100,303,360
Eps Current Year 4.2596
Eps Forward 6.01493
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 2.62
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 77.1768
Fifty Day Average Change -3.6668015
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.047511704
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -41.60311
Fifty Two Week High 151.03
Fifty Two Week High Change -77.52
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.5132755
Fifty Two Week Low 65.1
Fifty Two Week Low Change 8.410004
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.12918593
Fifty Two Week Range 65.1 - 151.03
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,119,965,400,000
Float Shares 104,408,372
Forward Eps 6.01493
Forward P E 12.221257
Free Cashflow 640,900,096
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 28,000
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.29888
Gross Profits 4,429,501,952
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.02696
Held Percent Institutions 1.01631
Implied Shares Outstanding 107,559,876
Industry Building Products & Equipment
Industry Disp Building Products & Equipment
Industry Key building-products-equipment
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Builders FirstSource, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides building materials for professional builders in new residential construction and repair, and remodeling in the United States. It offers manufactured products, such as factory-built substitutes for job-site framing, wood floor and roof trusses, wall panels, and engineered wood; Ready-Frame, a whole house framing solution; manufactured and semi-custom modular homes, and built in a temperature-controlled facility under its Pine Grove Homes and Pleasant Valley Homes brand names; manufactured housing plans including ranch, community, and single-section homes; manufacturing, assembly, and distribution of windows; and the assembly and distribution of interior and exterior door units. The company also provides millwork, including interior trim and custom features under the Synboard brand name; specialty building products and services comprising vinyl, composite and wood siding, exterior trim, metal studs, cement, roofing, insulation, wallboard, ceilings, cabinets, and hardware; turn-key framing, shell construction, design assistance, and professional installation of products. In addition, it offers drafting, estimating, quoting, and virtual home design services to retailers, distributors, manufacturers, and homebuilders; dimensional lumber, plywood, and oriented strand board products used in on-site house framing. The company was formerly known as BSL Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Builders FirstSource, Inc. in October 1999. Builders FirstSource, Inc. was incorporated in 1998 and is based in Irving, Texas.
Long Name Builders FirstSource, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 7,906,726,400
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_34817
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 291,480,992
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 7,906,726,484
Number Of Analyst Opinions 21
Open 75.25
Operating Cashflow 1,171,011,968
Operating Margins 0.0050199996
Overall Risk 6
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 2.02
Phone 214 880 3500
Pre Market Change 0.45999908
Pre Market Change Percent 0.62576395
Pre Market Price 73.97
Pre Market Time 1,784,028,349
Previous Close 75.69
Price Eps Current Year 17.257488
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.9738468
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.53350943
Profit Margins 0.01967
Quick Ratio 1.015
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.22727
Region US
Regular Market Change -2.18
Regular Market Change Percent -2.88017
Regular Market Day High 76.955
Regular Market Day Low 73.01
Regular Market Day Range 73.01 - 76.955
Regular Market Open 75.25
Regular Market Previous Close 75.69
Regular Market Price 73.51
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,802
Regular Market Volume 1,162,401
Return On Assets 0.033970002
Return On Equity 0.06958
Revenue Growth -0.101
Revenue Per Share 134.156
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20365608
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Share Holder Rights Risk 8
Shares Outstanding 107,559,876
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.070700005
Shares Short 7,603,336
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 8,797,863
Short Name Builders FirstSource, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0844
Short Ratio 3.13
Source Interval 15
State TX
Symbol BLDR
Target High Price 133.0
Target Low Price 76.0
Target Mean Price 98.57143
Target Median Price 95.0
Total Cash 98,342,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.914
Total Debt 5,291,918,848
Total Revenue 14,820,218,880
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 2.62
Trailing P E 28.057255
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 99.40595
Two Hundred Day Average Change -25.89595
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.26050705
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,162,401
Website https://www.bldr.com
Zip 75,039