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TopBuild Corp. (BLD)

Industrials | Engineering & Construction | Daytona Beach, United States | NYSE
489.83 USD +79.52 (19.381%) ⇧ (April 20, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term: ★★☆☆☆ | Long-term: ★★★☆☆ | Dividends: ☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | April 19, 2026, 6:37 p.m. EDT

TopBuild (BLD) is a strong long-term compounder in a high-growth industrial subsector, but current momentum is dangerously overextended with negative earnings growth and price levels trading far above moving averages near all-time highs. The short term looks precarious due to negative model forecasts and heavy put shielding, making it an unmaintainable long for now despite solid ROE.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.176059
AutoETS0.176059
MSTL0.182545
AutoTheta0.205586

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 43%
H-stat 12.07
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.101
Excess Kurtosis -1.43
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Debt to Equity Ratio 136.052
Revenue per Share 190.907
Market Cap 13,786,331,136
Trailing P/E 26.81
Forward P/E 23.34
Beta 1.79
Profit Margins 9.64%
Website https://www.topbuild.com

As of April 19, 2026, 6:37 p.m. EDT: Option flow suggests a defensive/skew-heavy positioning with massive out-of-the-money put walls at $200 and $290, indicating fear of a 20-30% drop. However, there is significant volume in aggressive ATM and deep out-of-the-money calls for July ($480 strike has high IV spike) and October ($500 strike has top open interest). This calls-vs-puts flow indicates speculators are hedging downside while simultaneously betting on a sharp 40-50% rally before October, reflecting high uncertainty and volatility.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.69932353
Address1 475 North Williamson Boulevard
All Time High 559.468
All Time Low 22.75
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 80
Audit Risk 5
Average Analyst Rating 1.7 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 717,020
Average Daily Volume3 Month 414,091
Average Volume 414,091
Average Volume10Days 717,020
Beta 1.79
Bid 489.74
Bid Size 320
Board Risk 1
Book Value 82.971
City Daytona Beach
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 2
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 489.83
Current Ratio 1.935
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,774,915,200
Day High 491.15
Day Low 474.62
Debt To Equity 136.052
Display Name TopBuild
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,777,986,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,777,986,000
Earnings Growth -0.271
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.306
Earnings Timestamp 1,777,984,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,777,984,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,777,984,200
Ebitda 1,016,305,024
Ebitda Margins 0.18789
Enterprise To Ebitda 16.407
Enterprise To Revenue 3.083
Enterprise Value 16,674,596,864
Eps Current Year 18.28282
Eps Forward 20.98949
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 18.27
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 420.3562
Fifty Day Average Change 69.473785
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.1652736
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 69.93235
Fifty Two Week High 559.468
Fifty Two Week High Change -69.63803
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.12447187
Fifty Two Week Low 273.87
Fifty Two Week Low Change 215.95999
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.7885493
Fifty Two Week Range 273.87 - 559.468
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,434,547,800,000
Float Shares 27,803,624
Forward Eps 20.98949
Forward P E 23.336916
Free Cashflow 384,625,120
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 14,707
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,775,001,600
Gross Margins 0.29448998
Gross Profits 1,592,897,024
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00527
Held Percent Institutions 1.09816
Implied Shares Outstanding 28,145,137
Industry Engineering & Construction
Industry Disp Engineering & Construction
Industry Key engineering-construction
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary TopBuild Corp., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the installation and distribution of insulation and other building material products to the construction industry. The company operates in two segments, Installation and Specialty Distribution. It provides insulation products and accessories, glass and windows, rain gutters, garage doors, fireplaces, roofing materials, closet shelving, and other products. The company also offers insulation installation services for fiberglass batts and rolls, blown-in loose fill fiberglass, polyurethane spray foam, and blown-in loose fill cellulose applications; provides roofing installation services, re-roofing and maintenance for the commercial and industrial end markets including single ply roofing, built-up roofing systems, and metal roofing systems. In addition, it distributes building and mechanical insulation, insulation accessories, and other building product materials for the residential, commercial, and industrial end markets. The company serves single-family homebuilders, single-family custom builders, multi-family builders, commercial and industrial general contractors, school districts, municipalities, remodelers, and individual homeowners, as well as insulation contractors, gutter contractors, weatherization contractors, other contractors, dealers, metal building erectors, and modular home builders. It operates installation branches and distribution centers in the United States and Canada. The company was formerly known as Masco SpinCo Corp. and changed its name to TopBuild Corp. in March 2015. TopBuild Corp. was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Daytona Beach, Florida.
Long Name TopBuild Corp.
Market us_market
Market Cap 13,786,331,136
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_273640140
Most Recent Quarter 1,767,139,200
Net Income To Common 521,727,008
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 13,726,179,373
Number Of Analyst Opinions 14
Open 489.0
Operating Cashflow 756,318,976
Operating Margins 0.13812
Overall Risk 1
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 386 304 2200
Pre Market Change -1.0400085
Pre Market Change Percent -0.21241137
Pre Market Price 488.58
Pre Market Time 1,776,775,617
Previous Close 410.31
Price Eps Current Year 26.791819
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 5.903629
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 2.5487359
Profit Margins 0.09645
Quick Ratio 1.277
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.73333
Region US
Regular Market Change 79.52
Regular Market Change Percent 19.3805
Regular Market Day High 491.15
Regular Market Day Low 474.62
Regular Market Day Range 474.62 - 491.15
Regular Market Open 489.0
Regular Market Previous Close 410.31
Regular Market Price 489.83
Regular Market Time 1,776,715,247
Regular Market Volume 3,560,912
Return On Assets 0.09335
Return On Equity 0.23056
Revenue Growth 0.132
Revenue Per Share 190.907
Sand P52 Week Change 0.34445214
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Share Holder Rights Risk 2
Shares Outstanding 28,022,333
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0556
Shares Short 1,563,800
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,772,150,400
Shares Short Prior Month 1,276,707
Short Name TopBuild Corp.
Short Percent Of Float 0.072399996
Short Ratio 3.93
Source Interval 15
State FL
Symbol BLD
Target High Price 525.0
Target Low Price 407.0
Target Mean Price 474.7857
Target Median Price 485.5
Total Cash 184,742,000
Total Cash Per Share 6.601
Total Debt 3,151,186,944
Total Revenue 5,409,085,952
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 18.27
Trailing P E 26.810617
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 423.4755
Two Hundred Day Average Change 66.35449
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.15669027
Type Disp Equity
Volume 3,560,912
Website https://www.topbuild.com
Zip 32,114