TopBuild Corp. (BLD)Industrials | Engineering & Construction | Daytona Beach, United States |
USD
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Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 10:27 a.m. UTC
TopBuild Corp. presents a classic case of a high-quality business caught in a post-merger transition storm. Fundamentally, the company remains robust with a 22% return on equity, healthy operating margins, and accelerating revenue growth of 17%. However, the market is currently pricing in significant uncertainty regarding the QXO acquisition, evidenced by the recent 19% drop and the heavy trading volume relative to the average. The options market reflects this tension perfectly: traders are buying deep out-of-the-money calls hoping for a merger-driven surge while simultaneously placing massive bets on a catastrophic failure or a deep correction. This creates a volatile environment where the stock is likely to swing wildly on news. While the underlying business deserves a premium valuation, the immediate risk of deal complications or integration issues prevents a strong bullish entry right now. Investors should wait for the dust to settle on the acquisition terms before committing capital to this high-beta name. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| MSTL_126 ✓ | 0.145598 |
| AutoTheta | 0.151220 |
| MSTL | 0.153062 |
| AutoETS | 0.163373 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.163375 |
Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL_126
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 46% |
| H-stat | 0.30 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.832 |
| Excess Kurtosis | 0.37 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Industrials |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 130.072 |
| Revenue per Share | 200.268 |
| Market Cap | 9,935,550,464 |
| Trailing P/E | 19.92 |
| Forward P/E | 17.04 |
| Beta | 1.83 |
| Profit Margins | 8.95% |
As of July 11, 2026, 10:27 a.m. UTC: Speculators are positioning for significant volatility rather than a clear directional bet. Call volume is heavily skewed toward out-of-the-money strikes (420, 480, 640), suggesting a hope for a sharp rally, while put volume concentrates deep in-the-money (290, 300, 310) and at extreme strikes (820), indicating a fear of a crash or a 'long gamma' squeeze scenario. The massive volume spikes at specific strikes without corresponding open interest suggest aggressive speculation on binary outcomes rather than established hedging strategies.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.052894533 |
| Address1 | 475 North Williamson Boulevard |
| All Time High | 559.4684 |
| All Time Low | 22.75 |
| Ask | 0.0 |
| Ask Size | 12,000 |
| Audit Risk | 6 |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 1,280,312 |
| Average Volume | 968,762 |
| Average Volume10Days | 1,280,312 |
| Beta | 1.829 |
| Bid | 0.0 |
| Bid Size | 12,000 |
| Board Risk | 1 |
| Book Value | 85.79 |
| City | Daytona Beach |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 2 |
| Country | United States |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 354.53 |
| Current Ratio | 1.997 |
| Date Short Interest | 1,781,481,600 |
| Day High | 373.0 |
| Day Low | 330.51 |
| Debt To Equity | 130.072 |
| Earnings Growth | -0.118 |
| Earnings Quarterly Growth | -0.151 |
| Ebitda | 1,020,062,976 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.18145001 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 12.544 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 2.276 |
| Enterprise Value | 12,795,661,312 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Timezone Name | UTC |
| Fifty Day Average | 412.9726 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 559.4684 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 330.51 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Epoch Utc | 1,434,547,800 |
| Float Shares | 27,993,084 |
| Forward Eps | 20.80476 |
| Forward P E | 17.040812 |
| Free Cashflow | 396,199,744 |
| Full Time Employees | 14,707 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,782,864,000 |
| Gross Margins | 0.28963 |
| Gross Profits | 1,628,177,024 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.0053 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 1.04999 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 28,024,568 |
| Industry | Engineering & Construction |
| Industry Disp | Engineering & Construction |
| Industry Key | engineering-construction |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | TopBuild Corp., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the installation and distribution of insulation and other building material products to the construction industry. The company operates in two segments, Installation and Specialty Distribution. It provides insulation products and accessories, glass and windows, rain gutters, garage doors, fireplaces, roofing materials, closet shelving, and other products. The company also offers insulation installation services for fiberglass batts and rolls, blown-in loose fill fiberglass, polyurethane spray foam, and blown-in loose fill cellulose applications; provides roofing installation services, re-roofing and maintenance for the commercial and industrial end markets including single ply roofing, built-up roofing systems, and metal roofing systems. In addition, it distributes building and mechanical insulation, insulation accessories, and other building product materials for the residential, commercial, and industrial end markets. The company serves single-family homebuilders, single-family custom builders, multi-family builders, commercial and industrial general contractors, school districts, municipalities, remodelers, and individual homeowners, as well as insulation contractors, gutter contractors, weatherization contractors, other contractors, dealers, metal building erectors, and modular home builders. It operates installation branches and distribution centers in the United States and Canada. The company was formerly known as Masco SpinCo Corp. and changed its name to TopBuild Corp. in March 2015. TopBuild Corp. was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Daytona Beach, Florida. |
| Long Name | TopBuild Corp. |
| Market Cap | 9,935,550,464 |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_273640140 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,774,915,200 |
| Net Income To Common | 503,155,008 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 9,935,550,093 |
| Open | 373.0 |
| Operating Cashflow | 764,465,984 |
| Operating Margins | 0.12203 |
| Overall Risk | 1 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Phone | (386) 304-2200 |
| Previous Close | 359.76 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 4.132533 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 1.767367 |
| Profit Margins | 0.089499995 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.364 |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 1.8 |
| Regular Market Day High | 373.0 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 330.51 |
| Regular Market Open | 373.0 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 359.76 |
| Regular Market Volume | 3,110,517 |
| Return On Assets | 0.09177 |
| Return On Equity | 0.22262 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.172 |
| Revenue Per Share | 200.268 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20847368 |
| Sector | Industrials |
| Sector Disp | Industrials |
| Sector Key | industrials |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 2 |
| Shares Outstanding | 28,024,568 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.0951 |
| Shares Short | 2,664,366 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,778,803,200 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 1,792,104 |
| Short Name | TopBuild Corp. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.12529999 |
| Short Ratio | 3.28 |
| State | FL |
| Symbol | BLD |
| Time Zone Full Name | America/New_York |
| Time Zone Short Name | EDT |
| Total Cash | 268,847,008 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 9.592 |
| Total Debt | 3,127,400,960 |
| Total Revenue | 5,621,667,840 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | 17.8 |
| Trailing P E | 19.917416 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 428.76636 |
| Underlying Symbol | BLD |
| Uuid | 62,328,191-3819-3977-aaa5-2906c17cb4d5 |
| Volume | 3,110,517 |
| Zip | 32,114 |