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Blue Bird Corporation (BLBD)

Industrials | Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery | Macon, United States | NasdaqGM
77.74 USD +1.18 (1.535%) ⇧ (July 14, 2026, 9:52 a.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★☆☆Long-term:★★★★☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 6:30 a.m. EDT

Blue Bird offers a compelling long-term case driven by robust profitability and a clean balance sheet, though the recent revenue contraction warrants caution. The stock has recovered significantly over the last decade, yet the latest earnings miss and negative sales growth suggest the market is questioning the sustainability of the turnaround. Technically, the shares remain well-supported above their 200-day average, and the absence of a multi-year decline structure keeps the long-term outlook constructive. However, the recent bearish headlines and elevated put activity indicate short-term uncertainty. Investors should view this as a cyclical industrial play rather than a pure compounder, waiting for revenue stabilization before committing capital.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.074677
AutoTheta0.075061
MSTL_660.089056
AutoARIMA0.090390
AutoETS0.090576
MSTL_790.124049
MSTL_66_790.133804

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 35%
H-stat 3.37
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.261
Excess Kurtosis -1.03
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Debt to Equity Ratio 29.531
Revenue per Share 47.135
Market Cap 2,460,047,616
Trailing P/E 19.29
Forward P/E 13.93
Beta 1.34
Profit Margins 8.91%
Website https://www.blue-bird.com

As of July 11, 2026, 6:30 a.m. EDT: Near-term implied volatility is elevated, reflecting uncertainty. Open interest is skewed towards puts at lower strikes (55-65) for protection, while call interest targets higher levels (80-95), indicating a bifurcated sentiment where traders hedge downside while betting on a recovery.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.7862809
Address1 3,920 Arkwright Road
Address2 2nd Floor
All Time High 81.51
All Time Low 7.135
Ask 99.27
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 6
Average Daily Volume10 Day 421,710
Average Daily Volume3 Month 457,986
Average Volume 457,986
Average Volume10Days 421,710
Beta 1.344
Bid 54.67
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 4
Book Value 9.414
City Macon
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 5
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 77.735
Current Ratio 1.835
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 77.92
Day Low 77.09
Debt To Equity 29.531
Display Name Blue Bird
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,778,099,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,778,099,400
Earnings Growth 0.139
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.125
Earnings Timestamp 1,778,097,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,785,960,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,785,960,000
Ebitda 191,542,000
Ebitda Margins 0.12829
Enterprise To Ebitda 11.668
Enterprise To Revenue 1.497
Enterprise Value 2,234,951,936
Eps Current Year 4.92917
Eps Forward 5.58183
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 4.03
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NGM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 71.8219
Fifty Day Average Change 5.913101
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.082330056
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 78.62809
Fifty Two Week High 81.51
Fifty Two Week High Change -3.7750015
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.046313353
Fifty Two Week Low 42.0
Fifty Two Week Low Change 35.735
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.85083336
Fifty Two Week Range 42.0 - 81.51
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,395,322,200,000
Float Shares 31,278,539
Forward Eps 5.58183
Forward P E 13.926436
Free Cashflow 144,124,496
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGM
Full Time Employees 2,008
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.21045
Gross Profits 314,217,984
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.01274
Held Percent Institutions 1.12862
Implied Shares Outstanding 31,646,589
Industry Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
Industry Disp Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
Industry Key farm-heavy-construction-machinery
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,758,931,200
Long Business Summary Blue Bird Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, designs, engineers, manufactures, and sells school buses in the United States, Canada, and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Bus and Parts. It offers Type C, Type D, and specialty buses; and alternative power options through its propane powered, gasoline powered, compressed natural gas powered, and electric powered school buses, as well as diesel engines. The company also sells replacement bus parts; and provides extended warranties related to its products. Blue Bird Corporation sells its products through drop ship and a network of dealers, as well as directly to fleet operators, the United States government, and state governments; independent service centers; and maintains a parts distribution center. Blue Bird Corporation was founded in 1927 and is headquartered in Macon, Georgia.
Long Name Blue Bird Corporation
Market us_market
Market Cap 2,460,047,616
Market State REGULAR
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_272634010
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,656,000
Net Income To Common 133,009,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,790,467,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 2,423,179,319
Number Of Analyst Opinions 8
Open 77.56
Operating Cashflow 206,374,000
Operating Margins 0.11028
Overall Risk 5
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 478 822 2801
Previous Close 76.56
Price Eps Current Year 15.770403
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 8.257383
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.6476163
Profit Margins 0.08908
Quick Ratio 1.136
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change 1.175003
Regular Market Change Percent 1.5347481
Regular Market Day High 77.92
Regular Market Day Low 77.09
Regular Market Day Range 77.09 - 77.92
Regular Market Open 77.56
Regular Market Previous Close 76.56
Regular Market Price 77.735
Regular Market Time 1,784,037,162
Regular Market Volume 17,884
Return On Assets 0.18006
Return On Equity 0.54476
Revenue Growth -0.017
Revenue Per Share 47.135
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20365608
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Share Holder Rights Risk 6
Shares Outstanding 31,646,589
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.11399999
Shares Short 3,608,558
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 3,356,831
Short Name Blue Bird Corporation
Short Percent Of Float 0.1313
Short Ratio 8.45
Source Interval 15
State GA
Symbol BLBD
Target High Price 94.0
Target Low Price 73.0
Target Mean Price 83.25
Target Median Price 84.0
Total Cash 275,892,992
Total Cash Per Share 8.718
Total Debt 87,982,000
Total Revenue 1,493,095,040
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 4.03
Trailing P E 19.289082
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 58.786026
Two Hundred Day Average Change 18.948975
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.32233807
Type Disp Equity
Volume 17,884
Website https://www.blue-bird.com
Zip 31,210