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Blue Bird Corporation (BLBD)

Industrials | Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery | Macon, United States | NasdaqGM
61.76 USD +2.63 (4.448%) ⇧ (April 17, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 61.37 -0.39 (-0.388%) ⇩ (April 17, 2026, 7:39 p.m. EDT)

Short-term: ★★★★☆ | Long-term: ★★★★☆ | Dividends: ★☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | April 19, 2026, 1:04 a.m. EDT

Blue Bird (BLBD) presents a compelling medium-to-long-term opportunity driven by outstanding balance sheet fundamentals, but short-term traders must navigate a 'dovish' options flow structure aimed at funding earnings risk via the protective put wall at ~$49.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.120338
MSTL0.121155
AutoETS0.122990
AutoTheta0.142966

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 63%
H-stat 1.74
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.781
Excess Kurtosis -0.41
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Debt to Equity Ratio 32.854
Revenue per Share 47.224
Market Cap 2,118,002,304
Trailing P/E 15.60
Forward P/E 12.58
Beta 1.40
Profit Margins 8.65%
Website https://www.blue-bird.com

As of April 19, 2026, 1:04 a.m. EDT: The options market shows a distinct divergence between calls and puts. Call Open Interest (OI) is heavily concentrated at 59.65 (5 weeks DTE), indicating speculative positioning for upside continuation near the high-price mark, though OTM call volume is low relative to OI. Conversely, Put OI is overwhelmingly focused at 49.05 (5 weeks DTE) with massive volume relative to OI, creating a 'wall' that suggests hedging or defensive positioning against potential earnings decay or downside mean reversion. The IV for 5-week Puts is significantly higher (approx 58-59%) than Calls (approx 52%), implying the market prices in greater volatility risk on the downside. Medium-term and long-dated options show balanced, low Activity.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.8320973
Address1 3,920 Arkwright Road
Address2 2nd Floor
All Time High 65.47
All Time Low 7.135
Ask 77.23
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 6
Average Analyst Rating 1.3 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 358,120
Average Daily Volume3 Month 413,031
Average Volume 413,031
Average Volume10Days 358,120
Beta 1.395
Bid 44.52
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 4
Book Value 8.566
City Macon
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 5
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 61.76
Current Ratio 1.811
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,774,915,200
Day High 62.32
Day Low 59.725
Debt To Equity 32.854
Display Name Blue Bird
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,770,240,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,770,240,600
Earnings Growth 0.093
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.071
Earnings Timestamp 1,770,238,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,778,097,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,778,097,600
Ebitda 186,890,000
Ebitda Margins 0.12465
Enterprise To Ebitda 9.623
Enterprise To Revenue 1.2
Enterprise Value 1,798,530,816
Eps Current Year 4.4586
Eps Forward 4.91125
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 3.96
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NGM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 57.8602
Fifty Day Average Change 3.8997993
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.06740038
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 83.20973
Fifty Two Week High 65.47
Fifty Two Week High Change -3.710003
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.05666722
Fifty Two Week Low 32.9
Fifty Two Week Low Change 28.859997
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.8772035
Fifty Two Week Range 32.9 - 65.47
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,395,322,200,000
Float Shares 31,224,172
Forward Eps 4.91125
Forward P E 12.57521
Free Cashflow 127,193,128
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGM
Full Time Employees 2,008
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,775,001,600
Gross Margins 0.20971
Gross Profits 314,424,992
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.01606
Held Percent Institutions 1.15367
Implied Shares Outstanding 34,294,082
Industry Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
Industry Disp Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
Industry Key farm-heavy-construction-machinery
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,758,931,200
Long Business Summary Blue Bird Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, designs, engineers, manufactures, and sells school buses in the United States, Canada, and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Bus and Parts. It offers Type C, Type D, and specialty buses; and alternative power options through its propane powered, gasoline powered, compressed natural gas powered, and electric powered school buses, as well as diesel engines. The company also sells replacement bus parts; and provides extended warranties related to its products. Blue Bird Corporation sells its products through drop ship and a network of dealers, as well as directly to fleet operators, the United States government, and state governments; independent service centers; and maintains a parts distribution center. Blue Bird Corporation was founded in 1927 and is headquartered in Macon, Georgia.
Long Name Blue Bird Corporation
Market us_market
Market Cap 2,118,002,304
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_272634010
Most Recent Quarter 1,766,793,600
Net Income To Common 129,754,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,790,467,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 2,118,345,445
Number Of Analyst Opinions 7
Open 60.06
Operating Cashflow 186,383,008
Operating Margins 0.11303
Overall Risk 4
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 478 822 2801
Post Market Change -0.38809967
Post Market Change Percent -0.6283997
Post Market Price 61.3719
Post Market Time 1,776,469,141
Previous Close 59.13
Price Eps Current Year 13.851881
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 7.2098994
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.4126505
Profit Margins 0.086540006
Quick Ratio 1.074
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.28571
Region US
Regular Market Change 2.63
Regular Market Change Percent 4.44782
Regular Market Day High 62.32
Regular Market Day Low 59.725
Regular Market Day Range 59.725 - 62.32
Regular Market Open 60.06
Regular Market Previous Close 59.13
Regular Market Price 61.76
Regular Market Time 1,776,456,001
Regular Market Volume 321,016
Return On Assets 0.18361999
Return On Equity 0.57531
Revenue Growth 0.061
Revenue Per Share 47.224
Sand P52 Week Change 0.38150132
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Share Holder Rights Risk 6
Shares Outstanding 34,294,082
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.122
Shares Short 3,852,758
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,772,150,400
Shares Short Prior Month 4,363,844
Short Name Blue Bird Corporation
Short Percent Of Float 0.14050001
Short Ratio 10.95
Source Interval 15
State GA
Symbol BLBD
Target High Price 78.0
Target Low Price 55.0
Target Mean Price 69.28571
Target Median Price 72.0
Total Cash 241,739,008
Total Cash Per Share 7.652
Total Debt 89,154,000
Total Revenue 1,499,310,976
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 3.96
Trailing P E 15.595959
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 53.32865
Two Hundred Day Average Change 8.431347
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.15810163
Type Disp Equity
Volume 321,016
Website https://www.blue-bird.com
Zip 31,210