Blue Bird Corporation (BLBD)Industrials | Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery | Macon, United States | NasdaqGM
57.51 USD
+0.75
(1.321%)
⇧
(Oct. 15, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 57.51 |
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 1:07 a.m. EDT
Blue Bird presents a compelling dichotomy: a fundamentally superior business trading at a discount, weighed down by a lack of income and short-term technical weakness. The core investment case rests on the company's exceptional operational performance; it boasts a 64% return on equity, robust 30% revenue growth, and a massive 268% gain over the last nine years. Despite the trailing P/E of 6.7x appearing cheap, the forward P/E of 12.6x suggests analysts expect earnings to nearly double, validating the current price as a bargain for the growth trajectory. The balance sheet is healthy with manageable debt, and the stock is up significantly year-to-date, avoiding the 'value trap' classification. However, the short-term outlook is murky. The stock is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, indicating lingering selling pressure from the previous year's volatility. Furthermore, the company has not paid a dividend in five years, eliminating any income component for investors seeking yield. While the long-term fundamentals are strong enough to warrant a buy-and-hold approach, the lack of immediate catalysts and the technical downtrend suggest patience is required. Investors should view this as a high-conviction long-term hold rather than a trade for quick gains. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoARIMA ✓ | 0.188556 |
| AutoETS | 0.188611 |
| MSTL | 0.191485 |
| AutoTheta | 0.202032 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 34% |
| H-stat | 3.40 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.000 |
| Excess Kurtosis | 1.82 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Industrials |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 17.675 |
| Revenue per Share | 49.841 |
| Market Cap | 1,958,171,904 |
| Trailing P/E | 6.77 |
| Forward P/E | 12.91 |
| Beta | 1.36 |
| Profit Margins | 17.48% |
| Website | https://www.blue-bird.com |
As of Oct. 10, 2026, 1:07 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a moderate upside move over the next few months, evidenced by heavy open interest in out-of-the-money calls at strikes significantly above the current price (e.g., 80 and 90 for Jan '27 expiration). However, this bullish sentiment is tempered by substantial put open interest at lower strikes (40-50 range) for longer-dated expirations, suggesting a floor is expected but a crash is not the primary thesis. Implied volatility is elevated relative to deep ITM strikes, indicating uncertainty around the near-term path.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | 0.026587129 |
| Address1 | 3,920 Arkwright Road |
| Address2 | 2nd Floor |
| All Time High | 83.39 |
| All Time Low | 7.135 |
| Ask | 98.06 |
| Ask Size | 2 |
| Audit Risk | 6 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 1.3 - Strong Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 386,510 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 541,642 |
| Average Volume | 541,642 |
| Average Volume10Days | 386,510 |
| Beta | 1.361 |
| Bid | 57.04 |
| Bid Size | 2 |
| Board Risk | 4 |
| Book Value | 20.675 |
| City | Macon |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 5 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 57.51 |
| Current Ratio | 1.639 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,790,726,400 |
| Day High | 58.2999 |
| Day Low | 56.56 |
| Debt To Equity | 17.675 |
| Display Name | Blue Bird |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,785,960,000 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,785,960,000 |
| Earnings Growth | 3.705 |
| Earnings Quarterly Growth | 4.082 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,785,960,000 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,795,636,800 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,795,636,800 |
| Ebitda | 207,476,992 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.12869 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 8.661 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 1.115 |
| Enterprise Value | 1,796,859,008 |
| Eps Current Year | 4.8015 |
| Eps Forward | 4.45617 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 8.49 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NGM |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 15 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 60.6624 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -3.152401 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.05196631 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | 2.6587129 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 83.39 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -25.880001 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.310349 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 46.14 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 11.369999 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.2464239 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 46.14 - 83.39 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,395,322,200,000 |
| Float Shares | 31,311,131 |
| Forward Eps | 4.45617 |
| Forward P E | 12.905701 |
| Free Cashflow | -10,407,500 |
| Full Exchange Name | NasdaqGM |
| Full Time Employees | 2,008 |
| Fullday Change | 0.75 |
| Fullday Change Percent | 1.3213531 |
| Fullday Price | 57.51 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,790,812,800 |
| Gross Margins | 0.20572 |
| Gross Profits | 331,664,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.01282 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 1.10587 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 34,049,243 |
| Industry | Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery |
| Industry Disp | Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery |
| Industry Key | farm-heavy-construction-machinery |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,758,931,200 |
| Long Business Summary | Blue Bird Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, designs, engineers, manufactures, and sells school buses in the United States, Canada, and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Bus and Parts. It offers Type C, Type D, and specialty buses; and alternative power options through its propane powered, gasoline powered, compressed natural gas powered, and electric powered school buses, as well as diesel engines. The company also sells replacement bus parts; and provides extended warranties related to its products. Blue Bird Corporation sells its products through drop ship and a network of dealers, as well as directly to fleet operators, the United States government, and state governments; independent service centers; and maintains a parts distribution center. It has a collaboration with Ford Motor Company to create the next generation of F-53/F-59 commercial stripped chassis. Blue Bird Corporation was founded in 1927 and is headquartered in Macon, Georgia. |
| Long Name | Blue Bird Corporation |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 1,958,171,904 |
| Market State | POST |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_272634010 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,782,518,400 |
| Net Income To Common | 281,808,992 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,790,467,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 1,840,536,246 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 8 |
| Open | 57.0 |
| Operating Cashflow | 180,495,008 |
| Operating Margins | 0.12096 |
| Overall Risk | 5 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Phone | 478 822 2801 |
| Post Market Change | 0.0 |
| Post Market Change Percent | 0.0 |
| Post Market Price | 57.51 |
| Post Market Time | 1,792,094,448 |
| Previous Close | 56.76 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 11.977507 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 2.7816203 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 1.214563 |
| Profit Margins | 0.17479 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.544 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | strong_buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 1.25 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 0.75 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 1.3213531 |
| Regular Market Day High | 58.2999 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 56.56 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 56.56 - 58.2999 |
| Regular Market Open | 57.0 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 56.76 |
| Regular Market Price | 57.51 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,792,094,401 |
| Regular Market Volume | 545,656 |
| Return On Assets | 0.1361 |
| Return On Equity | 0.64286005 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.299 |
| Revenue Per Share | 49.841 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.16440773 |
| Sector | Industrials |
| Sector Disp | Industrials |
| Sector Key | industrials |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 6 |
| Shares Outstanding | 31,347,063 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.1322 |
| Shares Short | 4,502,920 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,788,134,400 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 3,965,377 |
| Short Name | Blue Bird Corporation |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.1657 |
| Short Ratio | 7.9 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | GA |
| Symbol | BLBD |
| Target High Price | 95.0 |
| Target Low Price | 82.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 89.125 |
| Target Median Price | 89.5 |
| Total Cash | 116,824,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 3.688 |
| Total Debt | 115,751,000 |
| Total Revenue | 1,612,243,968 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | 8.49 |
| Trailing P E | 6.7738514 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 62.641 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -5.1310005 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.08191122 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 545,656 |
| Website | https://www.blue-bird.com |
| Zip | 31,210 |