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BlackSky Technology Inc. (BKSY)

Industrials | Specialty Business Services | Herndon, United States | NYSE
26.07 USD +1.05 (4.197%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 25.80 -0.27 (-0.270%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 7:56 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 6:25 a.m. EDT

The investment case for BlackSky is currently fractured between a compelling strategic narrative and deteriorating financial reality. On the fundamental side, the company is trapped in a value trap: it is burning cash aggressively with negative operating margins and free cash flow, while revenue has contracted significantly year-over-year. The balance sheet is strained with debt exceeding cash reserves, and the return on equity is deeply negative. While the recent NRO contract expansion and AI integration provide a necessary spark for the business model, the market has rightly punished the stock with a massive multi-year decline, wiping out nearly three-quarters of its value. The recent price recovery is a technical bounce off lows rather than a reversal of the secular downtrend. Short-term, the stock is volatile and speculative. The options market reflects this uncertainty with heavy positioning at both deep out-of-the-money calls and puts, signaling a wait-and-see approach ahead of earnings. The statistical forecast offers no reliable edge here. For investors, the lack of dividends and the persistent losses make this a high-risk speculative vehicle rather than a core holding. The path to profitability remains unclear, and until the company demonstrates sustained revenue growth and positive cash flow, the long-term outlook remains severely compromised.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL_74 ✓0.125376
MSTL0.180670
AutoTheta0.185104
AutoETS0.185766
AutoARIMA0.185768
MSTL_74_1260.190899
MSTL_1260.253602

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL_74

Forecast Reliability
Score 35%
H-stat 0.92
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.294
Excess Kurtosis -0.75
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Debt to Equity Ratio 261.005
Revenue per Share 2.802
Market Cap 967,432,256
Forward P/E -47.83
Beta 2.59
Profit Margins -89.07%
Previous Name Osprey Technology Acquisition Corp.
Website https://blacksky.com

As of July 11, 2026, 6:25 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for significant volatility rather than a clear directional bet. Call open interest is heavily skewed toward out-of-the-money strikes ($30-$35 range), suggesting a bullish bias for a rally to $35+, while put volume shows aggressive new flow at deep strikes ($15-$20) indicating a fear of a sharp drop to those levels. This creates a 'straddle' environment where traders are betting on a large move in either direction, likely driven by upcoming earnings uncertainty and contract news, rather than a consensus on the immediate trend.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.031327248
Address1 2,411 Dulles Corner Park
Address2 Suite 300
All Time High 139.76
All Time Low 3.86
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 300
Audit Risk 3
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,491,720
Average Daily Volume3 Month 2,180,042
Average Volume 2,180,042
Average Volume10Days 1,491,720
Beta 2.592
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 100
Board Risk 7
Book Value 2.198
City Herndon
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 8
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 26.07
Current Ratio 3.458
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 26.32
Day Low 24.9
Debt To Equity 261.005
Display Name BlackSky Technology
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,778,157,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,778,157,000
Earnings Timestamp 1,778,157,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,786,019,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,786,019,400
Ebitda -23,317,000
Ebitda Margins -0.2384
Enterprise To Ebitda -45.581
Enterprise To Revenue 10.867
Enterprise Value 1,062,816,320
Eps Current Year -1.24333
Eps Forward -0.545
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -2.49
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 35.4412
Fifty Day Average Change -9.371201
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.26441544
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 3.1327248
Fifty Two Week High 52.88
Fifty Two Week High Change -26.810001
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.506997
Fifty Two Week Low 12.41
Fifty Two Week Low Change 13.66
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 1.1007252
Fifty Two Week Range 12.41 - 52.88
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,576,852,200,000
Float Shares 31,585,719
Forward Eps -0.545
Forward P E -47.83486
Free Cashflow -56,810,752
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 321
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.69291
Gross Profits 67,770,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.08856
Held Percent Institutions 0.73572
Implied Shares Outstanding 37,109,026
Industry Specialty Business Services
Industry Disp Specialty Business Services
Industry Key specialty-business-services
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,725,840,000
Last Split Factor 1:8
Long Business Summary BlackSky Technology Inc. operates as a space-based technology company in the United States and internationally. The company offers space-based intelligence and artificial intelligence (AI) services, mission solutions, and advanced technology programs consisting of cloud computing and hosting services, direct materials to build and test specific components, and internal labor for service solutions that enhance customer adoption and operational integration of the company's technology. It also provides BlackSky Spectra, an AI-enabled software platform that processes a range of observations by integrating data from the company's proprietary satellite constellation and from other third-party sensors, such as synthetic aperture radar and radio frequency satellites, GPS-enabled terrestrial data sources, and Internet of Things-connected devices. In addition, the company offers a range of services related to object, change and anomaly detection, site monitoring, and enhanced analytics, which help detect key pattern of life changes in critical locations, including ports, airports, and construction sites; retail activity; commodities stockpiles; and other sites that contain critical commodities and supply chain inventory. Further, it develops and delivers customized advanced satellites and payload systems. The company's products and services are used in national security, supply chain resilience, economic intelligence, and other critical decision-making requirements. It serves the United States federal government and its agencies; international governments, agencies, and organizations; and the commercial and industrial infrastructure markets, including energy and utilities, insurance, commodities, mining, manufacturing, logistics, supply chain management, agriculture, environmental monitoring, disaster and risk management, engineering and construction, retail, and consumer behavior. BlackSky Technology Inc. was founded in 2014 and is headquartered in Herndon, Virginia.
Long Name BlackSky Technology Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 967,432,256
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_336308405
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Name Change Date 2,026-07-13
Net Income To Common -87,110,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 928,467,830
Number Of Analyst Opinions 7
Open 25.02
Operating Cashflow -57,912,000
Operating Margins -0.89232004
Overall Risk 7
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 703 935 1930
Post Market Change -0.27000046
Post Market Change Percent -1.0356749
Post Market Price 25.8
Post Market Time 1,783,986,964
Prev Name Osprey Technology Acquisition Corp.
Previous Close 25.02
Price Eps Current Year -20.967884
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 11.860783
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 9.891439
Profit Margins -0.89065003
Quick Ratio 3.066
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change 1.05
Regular Market Change Percent 4.19664
Regular Market Day High 26.32
Regular Market Day Low 24.9
Regular Market Day Range 24.9 - 26.32
Regular Market Open 25.02
Regular Market Previous Close 25.02
Regular Market Price 26.07
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,802
Regular Market Volume 1,802,433
Return On Assets -0.105979994
Return On Equity -1.0269101
Revenue Growth -0.297
Revenue Per Share 2.802
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Share Holder Rights Risk 8
Shares Outstanding 37,109,026
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.2155
Shares Short 7,995,133
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 7,594,304
Short Name BlackSky Technology Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.2232
Short Ratio 3.46
Source Interval 15
State VA
Symbol BKSY
Target High Price 50.0
Target Low Price 34.0
Target Mean Price 40.5
Target Median Price 36.0
Total Cash 115,521,000
Total Cash Per Share 3.113
Total Debt 210,904,992
Total Revenue 97,805,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -2.49
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 26.55345
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.48344994
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.01820667
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,802,433
Website https://blacksky.com
Zip 20,171