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Bakkt, Inc. (BKKT)

Technology | Software - Infrastructure | Atlanta, United States | NYSE
8.42 USD +0.19 (2.309%) ⇧ (Aug. 27, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 8.43 +0.01 (0.119%) ⇧ (Aug. 27, 2026, 7:54 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★☆☆☆☆Long-term:⯪☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 4:11 a.m. EDT

The long-term investment case is effectively broken. The company has endured four consecutive years of double-digit percentage declines, erasing over 96% of its value since the 2021 peak. Fundamentals confirm this destruction: revenue has collapsed by 70%, the business is burning cash with negative operating margins, and the stock trades at a forward P/E based on a tiny, uncertain earnings estimate rather than sustainable profitability. Despite a 'strong buy' analyst rating, this appears to be a reaction to a single potential turnaround catalyst rather than a validation of the business's current health. In the short term, the setup is dangerous. The stock is trading near its 52-week low, and the options market reflects a deep fear of further downside with heavy put positioning at strikes well below the current price. While some speculative call buying exists, it lacks the conviction to counteract the overwhelming bearish sentiment. The statistical forecast models also lean slightly negative, aligning with the broader picture of a struggling asset. Investors should avoid this security until there is concrete evidence of a sustained operational turnaround, not just a hopeful narrative.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.320697
AutoETS0.321536
MSTL0.334215
AutoTheta0.403833

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 30%
H-stat 2.18
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.023
Excess Kurtosis 1.01
Attribute Value
Sector Technology
Debt to Equity Ratio 0.018
Revenue per Share 42.629
Market Cap 379,484,832
Forward P/E 8.77
Beta 5.95
Profit Margins -2.78%
Website https://www.bakkt.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 4:11 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning aggressively for a crash, evidenced by massive open interest in deep out-of-the-money puts (strikes at $1, $2, and $3) which act as insurance against a further decline. Conversely, there is significant volume in far-out-of-the-money calls ($27, $30, $65 strikes) suggesting a speculative 'lottery ticket' bet on a massive recovery, while near-term call activity remains thin. This creates a volatile environment where traders are hedging downside while simultaneously placing asymmetric bets on a sudden reversal.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.039908767
Address1 3,280 Peachtree Road NE
Address2 7th Floor
All Time High 1,270.0
All Time Low 5.573
Ask 8.41
Ask Size 800
Audit Risk 5
Average Daily Volume10 Day 2,095,140
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,425,700
Average Volume 1,425,700
Average Volume10Days 2,095,140
Beta 5.946
Bid 8.4
Bid Size 3,100
Board Risk 5
Book Value 7.865
City Atlanta
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 9
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 8.42
Current Ratio 3.14
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 8.77
Day Low 8.29
Debt To Equity 0.018
Display Name Bakkt
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,397,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,397,400
Earnings Timestamp 1,786,392,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,794,254,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,794,254,400
Ebitda -117,949,000
Ebitda Margins -0.10577
Enterprise To Ebitda -2.778
Enterprise To Revenue 0.294
Enterprise Value 327,695,840
Eps Current Year 2.55
Eps Forward 0.96
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -3.99
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 7.9382
Fifty Day Average Change 0.48180008
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.06069387
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -3.9908767
Fifty Two Week High 49.79
Fifty Two Week High Change -41.370003
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.83088976
Fifty Two Week Low 6.71
Fifty Two Week Low Change 1.71
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.25484353
Fifty Two Week Range 6.71 - 49.79
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,605,796,200,000
Float Shares 35,931,175
Forward Eps 0.96
Forward P E 8.770834
Free Cashflow -33,939,000
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 48
Fullday Change 0.190001
Fullday Change Percent 2.30863
Fullday Price 8.43
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins -0.09854999
Gross Profits -109,895,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.39534
Held Percent Institutions 0.28347
Implied Shares Outstanding 45,069,458
Industry Software - Infrastructure
Industry Disp Software - Infrastructure
Industry Key software-infrastructure
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,714,348,800
Last Split Factor 1:25
Long Business Summary Bakkt, Inc. engages in digital building financial infrastructure business. The company offers Bakkt Market solutions, which enables institutions to launch secure, compliant, and advanced digital asset brokerage, trading and payment capabilities through a plug-and-play platform; Bakkt Agent provides programmable access to Bakkt's financial infrastructure through an intelligent software layer that coordinates onboarding, account creation, funding, and global money movement; and Bakkt Global enables Bakkt to expand its technology and infrastructure into international markets. It also provides solutions that enable institutional participation in the digital asset economy. The company serves various clients, such as financial institutions, hedge funds, merchants, retailers, third party partners, and other businesses. It markets its products and services using various business-to-business channels, such as email marketing and targeted digital advertisements; indirect marketing; and its website, blog, and social media platforms. The company offers its services in the United States, Latin America, Europe, and Asia. The company was formerly known as Bakkt Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Bakkt, Inc. in January 2026. Bakkt, Inc. was founded in 2018 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
Long Name Bakkt, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 379,484,832
Market State POSTPOST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_596916833
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common -2,830,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 370,921,639
Number Of Analyst Opinions 1
Open 8.5
Operating Cashflow -84,380,000
Operating Margins -0.10795
Overall Risk 8
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 332 203 3017
Post Market Change 0.010000229
Post Market Change Percent 0.11876756
Post Market Price 8.43
Post Market Time 1,787,874,875
Previous Close 8.23
Price Eps Current Year 3.301961
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.0705658
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.34030667
Profit Margins -0.0278
Quick Ratio 1.985
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.190001
Regular Market Change Percent 2.30863
Regular Market Day High 8.77
Regular Market Day Low 8.29
Regular Market Day Range 8.29 - 8.77
Regular Market Open 8.5
Regular Market Previous Close 8.23
Regular Market Price 8.42
Regular Market Time 1,787,860,802
Regular Market Volume 1,256,408
Return On Assets -0.25011
Return On Equity -0.1017
Revenue Growth -0.701
Revenue Per Share 42.629
Sand P52 Week Change 0.1890428
Sector Technology
Sector Disp Technology
Sector Key technology
Share Holder Rights Risk 8
Shares Outstanding 45,069,458
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.1363
Shares Short 6,142,190
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 6,320,220
Short Name Bakkt, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.2608
Short Ratio 6.37
Source Interval 15
State GA
Symbol BKKT
Target High Price 12.0
Target Low Price 12.0
Target Mean Price 12.0
Target Median Price 12.0
Total Cash 51,852,000
Total Cash Per Share 1.15
Total Debt 63,000
Total Revenue 1,115,126,016
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -3.99
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 10.5018
Two Hundred Day Average Change -2.0817995
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.19823265
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,256,408
Website https://www.bakkt.com
Zip 30,305