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BHP Group Limited (BHP)

Basic Materials | Other Industrial Metals & Mining | Melbourne, Australia | NYSE
84.35 USD +2.98 (3.662%) ⇧ (July 14, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★☆☆Long-term:★★★★☆Dividends:★★★⯪☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 4:36 a.m. EDT

BHP presents a compelling long-term value proposition anchored by robust operational fundamentals, including a 24.7% return on equity and healthy revenue growth of 10.8%. The nine-year price trajectory remains strongly positive with a 95.57% cumulative gain, indicating the market has historically rewarded this business quality despite recent cyclical headwinds. While the trailing twelve-month earnings growth of 27.5% and forward P/E of 16x suggest the stock is reasonably priced relative to its earnings power, the short-term technical picture is muted. The stock trades below its 50-day average, and options flow reveals a defensive bias with heavy put activity in the near term. Investors should view this as a solid accumulation opportunity for the multi-year horizon, though patience may be required to navigate the current cyclical dip.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.076531
AutoTheta0.086545
AutoETS0.086742
AutoARIMA0.086744

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 46%
H-stat 1.63
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.728
Excess Kurtosis -0.57
Attribute Value
Sector Basic Materials
Ex Dividend Date 2026-03-05
Last Dividend Date 2026-03-05
Debt to Equity Ratio 52.639
Revenue per Share 21.274
Market Cap 214,278,111,232
Trailing P/E 20.18
Forward P/E 16.55
Beta 0.83
Profit Margins 18.97%
Previous Name BHP Group
Website https://www.bhp.com

As of July 11, 2026, 4:36 a.m. EDT: Near-term speculators are positioning defensively with elevated put volume and implied volatility in September 2026, suggesting a hedge against a potential downturn. Conversely, longer-dated positions in January 2027 show significant in-the-money call buying, indicating a belief in a recovery or sustained growth over the coming year.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
2.03% 2.03% 4.07% 6.67%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-03-06 1.460000 2.032011
2025-03-07 1.000000 1.993620
2024-09-13 1.480000 2.798261
2024-03-07 1.440000 2.490488
2023-09-07 1.600000 2.888087
2023-03-09 1.800000 2.963939
2022-09-01 3.500000 7.016840
2022-02-24 2.676182 4.724410
2021-09-02 3.568243 6.464125
2021-03-04 1.801963 2.657896
2020-09-03 0.981267 2.069615
2020-03-05 1.159679 3.016242
2019-09-05 1.391615 3.163659
2019-03-07 0.981267 2.119870
2019-01-10 1.819804 4.291124
2018-09-06 1.123996 2.795030
2018-03-08 0.981267 2.460851
2017-09-07 0.767172 1.947904
2017-03-08 0.713649 2.195391
2016-08-31 0.249777 0.933333
2016-03-09 0.285459 1.186942
2015-09-09 1.106155 3.642772
2015-03-11 1.048488 2.720491
2014-09-03 1.048488 1.845237
2014-03-05 0.997755 1.747889
2013-09-04 0.997755 1.815385
2013-03-06 0.963933 1.544506
2012-09-05 0.963933 1.795842
2012-02-29 0.930111 1.431919
2011-09-07 0.930111 1.330431
2011-03-09 0.777911 0.997615
2010-09-08 0.761000 1.289768
2010-03-03 0.710266 1.099476
2009-09-02 0.693355 1.347133
2009-02-25 0.693355 2.189001
2008-09-03 0.693355 1.325573
2008-02-27 0.490422 0.773230
2007-09-12 0.456600 0.834106
2007-02-28 0.338222 0.931749
2006-09-06 0.312855 0.882632
2006-03-01 0.295944 0.964186
2005-03-02 0.228300 0.915255
2004-09-01 0.160655 1.020405
2004-04-13 0.143744 0.921906
2003-11-10 0.135289 0.968524
2003-06-10 0.126833 1.260502
2002-11-12 0.118378 1.308414
2002-07-15 1.910955 20.848712
2002-06-04 0.109922 1.081529
2001-11-13 0.109922 1.327884
2001-06-05 0.110551 1.168826
2000-11-14 0.106457 1.341936
2000-10-24 0.128158 1.574845
2000-06-06 0.121197 1.435149
1999-11-02 0.131024 1.585140
1999-05-11 0.133071 1.464786
1998-11-03 0.116693 1.753843
1998-05-12 0.141260 1.883956
1997-11-04 0.145355 1.731710
1997-05-13 0.165827 1.421051
1996-11-05 0.161733 1.462965
1996-05-14 0.163780 1.298175
1995-11-07 0.152520 1.379629
1995-05-12 1.192523 11.068884
1994-11-04 0.141260 1.154810
1994-05-06 0.131843 1.384947
1993-10-29 0.112599 1.164024
1993-05-07 0.118536 1.456607
1992-10-30 0.120788 1.895586
1992-05-08 0.126929 1.454540
1991-11-01 0.125292 1.291824
1991-05-10 0.129796 1.605068
1990-11-02 0.122630 1.909159
1990-05-11 0.119969 2.074339
1989-11-03 0.111370 1.851909
1989-06-09 0.057528 1.101966
1989-04-21 0.055890 1.167916
1988-10-28 0.056299 1.099993
1988-04-22 0.111780 2.335832
1987-04-24 0.098268 1.811321
Additional Data
dividendRate 2.66
dividendYield 3.27
exDividendDate 2026-03-06
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.33
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.016345091
lastDividendValue 1.46
lastDividendDate 2026-03-06
dividendDate 2026-03-26

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.61544573
Address1 171 Collins Street
Address2 Level 18
All Time High 93.83
All Time Low 1.132095
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 100
Average Analyst Rating 3.0 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 2,278,920
Average Daily Volume3 Month 2,645,559
Average Volume 2,645,559
Average Volume10Days 2,278,920
Beta 0.831
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 200
Book Value 19.858
City Melbourne
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Country Australia
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 84.35
Current Ratio 1.649
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 85.57
Day Low 84.015
Debt To Equity 52.639
Dividend Date 1,774,483,200
Dividend Rate 2.66
Dividend Yield 3.27
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,771,275,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,771,275,600
Earnings Growth 0.275
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.277
Earnings Timestamp End 1,771,362,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,771,362,000
Ebitda 26,292,000,768
Ebitda Margins 0.48700002
Enterprise To Ebitda 8.933
Enterprise To Revenue 4.35
Enterprise Value 234,867,474,432
Eps Current Year 5.05495
Eps Forward 5.09701
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 4.18
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,772,755,200
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 61 3 9609 3015
Fifty Day Average 84.8728
Fifty Day Average Change -0.52280426
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.006159856
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 61.544575
Fifty Two Week High 93.83
Fifty Two Week High Change -9.480003
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.10103382
Fifty Two Week Low 49.68
Fifty Two Week Low Change 34.67
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.6978663
Fifty Two Week Range 49.68 - 93.83
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 322,151,400,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 7.06
Float Shares 2,462,268,845
Forward Eps 5.09701
Forward P E 16.548918
Free Cashflow 8,137,124,864
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 39,369
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.83085
Gross Profits 44,856,000,512
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00005
Held Percent Institutions 0.04289
Implied Shares Outstanding 2,540,345,092
Industry Other Industrial Metals & Mining
Industry Disp Other Industrial Metals & Mining
Industry Key other-industrial-metals-mining
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,772,755,200
Last Dividend Value 1.46
Last Fiscal Year End 1,751,241,600
Last Split Date 1,654,128,000
Last Split Factor 1,121:1000
Long Business Summary BHP Group Limited operates as a resources company in Australia, Europe, China, Japan, India, South Korea, rest of Asia, North America, South America, and internationally. The company operates through Copper, Iron Ore, and Coal segments. It also engages in the mining of copper, uranium, gold, zinc, lead, molybdenum, silver, iron ore, cobalt, and metallurgical and energy coal. In addition, the company is involved in the mining, smelting, and refining of nickel, as well as potash development activities. Further, it provides towing, freight, marketing and trading, marketing support, finance, administrative, and other services. BHP Group Limited was founded in 1851 and is headquartered in Melbourne, Australia.
Long Name BHP Group Limited
Market us_market
Market Cap 214,278,111,232
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_256654
Most Recent Quarter 1,767,139,200
Name Change Date 2,026-07-15
Net Income To Common 10,243,000,320
Next Fiscal Year End 1,782,777,600
Non Diluted Market Cap 204,313,684,835
Number Of Analyst Opinions 7
Open 84.42
Operating Cashflow 19,747,000,320
Operating Margins 0.40728
Payout Ratio 0.5464
Peg Ratio 5.95
Phone 61 3 9609 3333
Pre Market Change 0.49500275
Pre Market Change Percent 0.5867395
Pre Market Price 84.86
Pre Market Time 1,784,105,249
Prev Name BHP Group
Previous Close 81.37
Price Eps Current Year 16.686613
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 4.2476583
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 3.968995
Profit Margins 0.18972999
Quick Ratio 1.232
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 3.0
Region US
Regular Market Change 2.98
Regular Market Change Percent 3.66228
Regular Market Day High 85.57
Regular Market Day Low 84.015
Regular Market Day Range 84.015 - 85.57
Regular Market Open 84.42
Regular Market Previous Close 81.37
Regular Market Price 84.35
Regular Market Time 1,784,059,202
Regular Market Volume 2,530,609
Return On Assets 0.122250006
Return On Equity 0.24712999
Revenue Growth 0.108
Revenue Per Share 21.274
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20365608
Sector Basic Materials
Sector Disp Basic Materials
Sector Key basic-materials
Shares Outstanding 2,540,345,092
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0070999996
Shares Short 18,102,611
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 15,495,421
Short Name BHP Group Limited
Short Percent Of Float 0.0070999996
Short Ratio 5.9
Source Interval 15
State VIC
Symbol BHP
Target High Price 91.0
Target Low Price 60.0
Target Mean Price 73.64286
Target Median Price 63.0
Total Cash 13,509,000,192
Total Cash Per Share 5.322
Total Debt 29,195,999,232
Total Revenue 53,987,999,744
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.33
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.016345091
Trailing Eps 4.18
Trailing P E 20.179426
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 70.09915
Two Hundred Day Average Change 14.250847
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.20329557
Type Disp Equity
Volume 2,530,609
Website https://www.bhp.com
Zip 3,000