| Indicators | Browse All

BHP Group Limited (BHP)

Basic Materials | Other Industrial Metals & Mining | Melbourne, Australia | NYSE
95.15 USD -1.22 (-1.266%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 94.74 -0.41 (-0.410%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:47 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★⯪☆Dividends:★★★☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 3:46 a.m. EDT

BHP is trading at a significant premium to analyst expectations, with the current price nearly 30% above the mean target of $74. Despite this valuation gap, the stock has surged to its 52-week high, driven by strong recent momentum and robust underlying fundamentals like 18% revenue growth and a 24% return on equity. However, the disconnect between the market price and the consensus target price creates a looming risk of a correction. While the business generates excellent cash flow and maintains a healthy dividend yield, the threat of labor strikes and the cyclical nature of commodities add uncertainty. For now, the technicals support holding, but the valuation suggests caution for new entries.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.065084
AutoARIMA0.065639
AutoETS0.065639
AutoTheta0.065675

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 39%
H-stat 31.39
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.161
Excess Kurtosis -0.62
Attribute Value
Sector Basic Materials
Ex Dividend Date 2026-09-03
Last Dividend Date 2026-03-05
Debt to Equity Ratio 50.473
Revenue per Share 23.142
Market Cap 241,821,532,160
Trailing P/E 24.91
Forward P/E 19.85
Beta 0.84
Profit Margins 16.73%
Previous Name BHP Group
Website https://www.bhp.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 3:46 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a range-bound outcome centered on the current price. There is a dense wall of call open interest at the 90 and 100 strikes, suggesting a resistance ceiling near the 52-week high. Conversely, put open interest clusters heavily between 85 and 92.5, establishing a defined support floor. Implied volatility is elevated on deep out-of-the-money strikes for both calls and puts, indicating speculative bets on a sharp breakout or a significant crash, though the bulk of positioning favors a sideways move within the 85-100 corridor.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
2.03% 2.03% 4.07% 6.67%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-03-06 1.460000 2.032011
2025-03-07 1.000000 1.993620
2024-09-13 1.480000 2.798261
2024-03-07 1.440000 2.490488
2023-09-07 1.600000 2.888087
2023-03-09 1.800000 2.963939
2022-09-01 3.500000 7.016840
2022-02-24 2.676182 4.724410
2021-09-02 3.568243 6.464125
2021-03-04 1.801963 2.657896
2020-09-03 0.981267 2.069615
2020-03-05 1.159679 3.016242
2019-09-05 1.391615 3.163659
2019-03-07 0.981267 2.119870
2019-01-10 1.819804 4.291124
2018-09-06 1.123996 2.795030
2018-03-08 0.981267 2.460851
2017-09-07 0.767172 1.947904
2017-03-08 0.713649 2.195391
2016-08-31 0.249777 0.933333
2016-03-09 0.285459 1.186942
2015-09-09 1.106155 3.642772
2015-03-11 1.048488 2.720491
2014-09-03 1.048488 1.845237
2014-03-05 0.997755 1.747889
2013-09-04 0.997755 1.815385
2013-03-06 0.963933 1.544506
2012-09-05 0.963933 1.795842
2012-02-29 0.930111 1.431919
2011-09-07 0.930111 1.330431
2011-03-09 0.777911 0.997615
2010-09-08 0.761000 1.289768
2010-03-03 0.710266 1.099476
2009-09-02 0.693355 1.347133
2009-02-25 0.693355 2.189001
2008-09-03 0.693355 1.325573
2008-02-27 0.490422 0.773230
2007-09-12 0.456600 0.834106
2007-02-28 0.338222 0.931749
2006-09-06 0.312855 0.882632
2006-03-01 0.295944 0.964186
2005-03-02 0.228300 0.915255
2004-09-01 0.160655 1.020405
2004-04-13 0.143744 0.921906
2003-11-10 0.135289 0.968524
2003-06-10 0.126833 1.260502
2002-11-12 0.118378 1.308414
2002-07-15 1.910955 20.848712
2002-06-04 0.109922 1.081529
2001-11-13 0.109922 1.327884
2001-06-05 0.110551 1.168826
2000-11-14 0.106457 1.341936
2000-10-24 0.128158 1.574845
2000-06-06 0.121197 1.435149
1999-11-02 0.131024 1.585140
1999-05-11 0.133071 1.464786
1998-11-03 0.116693 1.753843
1998-05-12 0.141260 1.883956
1997-11-04 0.145355 1.731710
1997-05-13 0.165827 1.421051
1996-11-05 0.161733 1.462965
1996-05-14 0.163780 1.298175
1995-11-07 0.152520 1.379629
1995-05-12 1.192523 11.068884
1994-11-04 0.141260 1.154810
1994-05-06 0.131843 1.384947
1993-10-29 0.112599 1.164024
1993-05-07 0.118536 1.456607
1992-10-30 0.120788 1.895586
1992-05-08 0.126929 1.454540
1991-11-01 0.125292 1.291824
1991-05-10 0.129796 1.605068
1990-11-02 0.122630 1.909159
1990-05-11 0.119969 2.074339
1989-11-03 0.111370 1.851909
1989-06-09 0.057528 1.101966
1989-04-21 0.055890 1.167916
1988-10-28 0.056299 1.099993
1988-04-22 0.111780 2.335832
1987-04-24 0.098268 1.811321
Additional Data
dividendRate 3.96
dividendYield 4.11
exDividendDate 2026-09-04
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.72
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.017847877
lastDividendValue 1.46
lastDividendDate 2026-03-06
dividendDate 2026-03-26

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.731094
Address1 171 Collins Street
Address2 Level 18
All Time High 98.71
All Time Low 1.132095
Ask 97.89
Ask Size 200
Average Analyst Rating 3.1 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 3,099,760
Average Daily Volume3 Month 2,768,287
Average Volume 2,768,287
Average Volume10Days 3,099,760
Beta 0.842
Bid 95.15
Bid Size 200
Book Value 20.048
City Melbourne
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,798,675,200
Country Australia
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 95.15
Current Ratio 1.885
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 97.17
Day Low 94.63
Debt To Equity 50.473
Dividend Date 1,774,483,200
Dividend Rate 3.96
Dividend Yield 4.11
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,787,005,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,787,005,800
Earnings Growth -0.09
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.089
Earnings Timestamp 1,786,996,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,786,996,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,786,996,800
Ebitda 29,902,999,552
Ebitda Margins 0.5089
Enterprise To Ebitda 8.593
Enterprise To Revenue 4.373
Enterprise Value 256,952,762,368
Eps Current Year 4.74173
Eps Forward 4.79344
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 3.82
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,788,480,000
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 61 3 9609 3015
Fifty Day Average 86.1096
Fifty Day Average Change 9.040405
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.1049872
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 73.1094
Fifty Two Week High 98.71
Fifty Two Week High Change -3.5599976
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.036065217
Fifty Two Week Low 51.83
Fifty Two Week Low Change 43.32
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.83580935
Fifty Two Week Range 51.83 - 98.71
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 322,151,400,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 7.05
Float Shares 2,478,255,964
Forward Eps 4.79344
Forward P E 19.850046
Free Cashflow 9,592,375,296
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 38,833
Fullday Change -1.22
Fullday Change Percent -1.26596
Fullday Price 94.74
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.85920995
Gross Profits 50,487,001,088
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00014
Held Percent Institutions 0.046919998
Implied Shares Outstanding 2,541,476,901
Industry Other Industrial Metals & Mining
Industry Disp Other Industrial Metals & Mining
Industry Key other-industrial-metals-mining
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,772,755,200
Last Dividend Value 1.46
Last Fiscal Year End 1,782,777,600
Last Split Date 1,654,128,000
Last Split Factor 1,121:1000
Long Business Summary BHP Group Limited operates as a resources company in Australia, Europe, China, Japan, India, South Korea, rest of Asia, North America, and South America. The company operates through three segments: Copper, Iron Ore, and Coal. It explores for copper, iron, steelmaking coal, energy coal, nickel, potash, cobalt, sulphide, ammonium sulphate, silver, gold, molybdenum, uranium, and zinc deposits. The company is also involved in the services, marketing, trading, and finance businesses; potash, nickel, and copper development; mining, smelting, refining of nickel; and provision of towing, freight, administrative, and marketing support and other services. BHP Group Limited was founded in 1851 and is headquartered in Melbourne, Australia.
Long Name BHP Group Limited
Market us_market
Market Cap 241,821,532,160
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_256654
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Name Change Date 2,026-08-28
Net Income To Common 9,832,999,936
Next Fiscal Year End 1,814,313,600
Non Diluted Market Cap 242,357,925,991
Number Of Analyst Opinions 7
Open 97.24
Operating Cashflow 21,777,999,872
Operating Margins 0.4334
Payout Ratio 0.6884
Peg Ratio 5.95
Phone 61 3 9609 3333
Post Market Change -0.41000366
Post Market Change Percent -0.43090242
Post Market Price 94.74
Post Market Time 1,787,960,837
Prev Name BHP Group
Previous Close 96.37
Price Eps Current Year 20.066515
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 4.7461095
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 4.115411
Profit Margins 0.16734
Quick Ratio 1.434
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 3.125
Region US
Regular Market Change -1.22
Regular Market Change Percent -1.26596
Regular Market Day High 97.17
Regular Market Day Low 94.63
Regular Market Day Range 94.63 - 97.17
Regular Market Open 97.24
Regular Market Previous Close 96.37
Regular Market Price 95.15
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,203
Regular Market Volume 1,656,439
Return On Assets 0.13434
Return On Equity 0.24002
Revenue Growth 0.183
Revenue Per Share 23.142
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20504117
Sector Basic Materials
Sector Disp Basic Materials
Sector Key basic-materials
Shares Outstanding 2,541,476,901
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0073
Shares Short 18,502,132
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 15,686,869
Short Name BHP Group Limited
Short Percent Of Float 0.0073
Short Ratio 7.41
Source Interval 15
State VIC
Symbol BHP
Target High Price 91.0
Target Low Price 60.0
Target Mean Price 74.07143
Target Median Price 65.0
Total Cash 18,560,999,424
Total Cash Per Share 7.307
Total Debt 28,426,999,808
Total Revenue 58,759,999,488
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.72
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.017847877
Trailing Eps 3.82
Trailing P E 24.908379
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 75.3906
Two Hundred Day Average Change 19.7594
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.26209366
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,656,439
Website https://www.bhp.com
Zip 3,000