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BHP Group Limited (BHP)

Basic Materials | Other Industrial Metals & Mining | Melbourne, Australia | NYSE
84.95 USD -1.77 (-2.041%) ⇩ (Oct. 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 85.30 +0.35 (0.412%) ⇧ (Oct. 13, 2026, 7:31 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★★★★☆Dividends:★★★⯪☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 11:12 a.m. EDT

BHP presents a classic case of a high-quality industrial giant facing cyclical headwinds. The long-term investment thesis remains robust, anchored by a 24% return on equity and double-digit revenue growth, yet the short-term outlook is clouded by recent earnings misses and a cautious analyst consensus that prices the stock below its current level. While the dividend yield offers a substantial cushion at nearly 4.7%, the payout ratio sits just under 70%, leaving limited room for error if commodity prices soften further. Options activity reveals a divergence: speculators are pricing in downside risk via elevated put volatility, while institutional capital appears to be accumulating deep in-the-money calls, suggesting a belief in the underlying asset's resilience despite the immediate technical weakness. The strike threat adds a layer of operational risk that warrants monitoring, but the balance sheet remains solid enough to weather a downturn.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoETS ✓0.061653
AutoARIMA0.061653
MSTL0.064856
AutoTheta0.076446

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS

Forecast Reliability
Score 48%
H-stat 0.23
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.201
Excess Kurtosis -0.89
Attribute Value
Sector Basic Materials
Ex Dividend Date 2026-09-03
Last Dividend Date 2026-09-03
Debt to Equity Ratio 50.473
Revenue per Share 23.142
Market Cap 215,898,456,064
Trailing P/E 22.01
Forward P/E 18.18
Beta 0.82
Profit Margins 16.73%
Previous Name BHP Group
Website https://www.bhp.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 11:12 a.m. EDT: Speculators are pricing in significant downside risk, evidenced by elevated implied volatility on deep out-of-the-money puts and a massive wall of open interest at lower strikes. Conversely, there is a distinct anomaly in call activity with heavy volume concentrated in deep in-the-money strikes (60-65 range), suggesting institutional hedging or aggressive accumulation of leverage rather than pure speculation on a breakout. The overall sentiment is defensive, with traders protecting against a drop to the 75-80 zone while maintaining exposure to the core asset.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
2.19% 4.22% 3.83% 5.82%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-09-04 1.980000 2.189781
2026-03-06 1.460000 2.032011
2025-03-07 1.000000 1.993620
2024-09-13 1.480000 2.798261
2024-03-07 1.440000 2.490488
2023-09-07 1.600000 2.888087
2023-03-09 1.800000 2.963939
2022-09-01 3.500000 7.016840
2022-02-24 2.676182 4.724410
2021-09-02 3.568243 6.464125
2021-03-04 1.801963 2.657896
2020-09-03 0.981267 2.069615
2020-03-05 1.159679 3.016242
2019-09-05 1.391615 3.163659
2019-03-07 0.981267 2.119870
2019-01-10 1.819804 4.291124
2018-09-06 1.123996 2.795030
2018-03-08 0.981267 2.460851
2017-09-07 0.767172 1.947904
2017-03-08 0.713649 2.195391
2016-08-31 0.249777 0.933333
2016-03-09 0.285459 1.186942
2015-09-09 1.106155 3.642772
2015-03-11 1.048488 2.720491
2014-09-03 1.048488 1.845237
2014-03-05 0.997755 1.747889
2013-09-04 0.997755 1.815385
2013-03-06 0.963933 1.544506
2012-09-05 0.963933 1.795842
2012-02-29 0.930111 1.431919
2011-09-07 0.930111 1.330431
2011-03-09 0.777911 0.997615
2010-09-08 0.761000 1.289768
2010-03-03 0.710266 1.099476
2009-09-02 0.693355 1.347133
2009-02-25 0.693355 2.189001
2008-09-03 0.693355 1.325573
2008-02-27 0.490422 0.773230
2007-09-12 0.456600 0.834106
2007-02-28 0.338222 0.931749
2006-09-06 0.312855 0.882632
2006-03-01 0.295944 0.964186
2005-03-02 0.228300 0.915255
2004-09-01 0.160655 1.020405
2004-04-13 0.143744 0.921906
2003-11-10 0.135289 0.968524
2003-06-10 0.126833 1.260502
2002-11-12 0.118378 1.308414
2002-07-15 1.910955 20.848712
2002-06-04 0.109922 1.081529
2001-11-13 0.109922 1.327884
2001-06-05 0.110551 1.168826
2000-11-14 0.106457 1.341936
2000-10-24 0.128158 1.574845
2000-06-06 0.121197 1.435149
1999-11-02 0.131024 1.585140
1999-05-11 0.133071 1.464786
1998-11-03 0.116693 1.753843
1998-05-12 0.141260 1.883956
1997-11-04 0.145355 1.731710
1997-05-13 0.165827 1.421051
1996-11-05 0.161733 1.462965
1996-05-14 0.163780 1.298175
1995-11-07 0.152520 1.379629
1995-05-12 1.192523 11.068884
1994-11-04 0.141260 1.154810
1994-05-06 0.131843 1.384947
1993-10-29 0.112599 1.164024
1993-05-07 0.118536 1.456607
1992-10-30 0.120788 1.895586
1992-05-08 0.126929 1.454540
1991-11-01 0.125292 1.291824
1991-05-10 0.129796 1.605068
1990-11-02 0.122630 1.909159
1990-05-11 0.119969 2.074339
1989-11-03 0.111370 1.851909
1989-06-09 0.057528 1.101966
1989-04-21 0.055890 1.167916
1988-10-28 0.056299 1.099993
1988-04-22 0.111780 2.335832
1987-04-24 0.098268 1.811321
Additional Data
dividendRate 3.96
dividendYield 4.57
exDividendDate 2026-09-04
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.72
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.019833948
lastDividendValue 1.98
lastDividendDate 2026-09-04
dividendDate 2026-09-23

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.5370436
Address1 171 Collins Street
Address2 Level 18
All Time High 98.71
All Time Low 1.132095
Ask 85.19
Ask Size 300
Average Analyst Rating 2.8 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 2,893,260
Average Daily Volume3 Month 2,623,328
Average Volume 2,623,328
Average Volume10Days 2,893,260
Beta 0.82
Bid 84.95
Bid Size 200
Book Value 20.048
City Melbourne
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,798,675,200
Country Australia
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 84.95
Current Ratio 1.885
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 86.005
Day Low 84.415
Debt To Equity 50.473
Display Name BHP
Dividend Date 1,790,121,600
Dividend Rate 3.96
Dividend Yield 4.57
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,787,005,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,787,005,800
Earnings Growth -0.09
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.089
Earnings Timestamp 1,786,996,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,786,996,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,786,996,800
Ebitda 29,902,999,552
Ebitda Margins 0.5089
Enterprise To Ebitda 7.726
Enterprise To Revenue 3.932
Enterprise Value 231,043,923,968
Eps Current Year 4.67588
Eps Forward 4.67364
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 3.86
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,788,480,000
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 20
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 61 3 9609 3015
Fifty Day Average 88.9448
Fifty Day Average Change -3.9948044
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.0449133
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 53.704357
Fifty Two Week High 98.71
Fifty Two Week High Change -13.760002
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.13939826
Fifty Two Week Low 52.18
Fifty Two Week Low Change 32.769997
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.6280183
Fifty Two Week Range 52.18 - 98.71
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 322,151,400,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 5.68
Float Shares 2,478,230,563
Forward Eps 4.67364
Forward P E 18.17641
Free Cashflow 9,592,375,296
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 38,833
Fullday Change -1.7600021
Fullday Change Percent -2.0295227
Fullday Price 85.3
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.85920995
Gross Profits 50,487,001,088
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00014
Held Percent Institutions 0.046409998
Implied Shares Outstanding 2,541,476,901
Industry Other Industrial Metals & Mining
Industry Disp Other Industrial Metals & Mining
Industry Key other-industrial-metals-mining
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,788,480,000
Last Dividend Value 1.98
Last Fiscal Year End 1,782,777,600
Last Split Date 1,654,128,000
Last Split Factor 1,121:1000
Long Business Summary BHP Group Limited operates as a resources company in Australia, Europe, China, Japan, India, South Korea, rest of Asia, North America, and South America. The company operates through three segments: Copper, Iron Ore, and Coal. It explores for copper, iron, steelmaking coal, energy coal, nickel, potash, cobalt, sulphide, ammonium sulphate, silver, gold, molybdenum, uranium, and zinc deposits. The company is also involved in the services, marketing, trading, and finance businesses; potash, nickel, and copper development; mining, smelting, refining of nickel; and provision of towing, freight, administrative, and marketing support and other services. BHP Group Limited was founded in 1851 and is headquartered in Melbourne, Australia.
Long Name BHP Group Limited
Market us_market
Market Cap 215,898,456,064
Market State POST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_256654
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Name Change Date 2,026-10-13
Net Income To Common 9,832,999,936
Next Fiscal Year End 1,814,313,600
Non Diluted Market Cap 224,376,503,249
Number Of Analyst Opinions 6
Open 85.81
Operating Cashflow 21,777,999,872
Operating Margins 0.4334
Payout Ratio 0.6884
Peg Ratio 5.95
Phone 61 3 9609 3333
Post Market Change 0.3500061
Post Market Change Percent 0.41201428
Post Market Price 85.3
Post Market Time 1,791,934,306
Prev Name BHP Group
Previous Close 86.72
Price Eps Current Year 18.167704
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 4.23733
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 3.674242
Profit Margins 0.16734
Quick Ratio 1.434
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 2.75
Region US
Regular Market Change -1.77
Regular Market Change Percent -2.04106
Regular Market Day High 86.005
Regular Market Day Low 84.415
Regular Market Day Range 84.415 - 86.005
Regular Market Open 85.81
Regular Market Previous Close 86.72
Regular Market Price 84.95
Regular Market Time 1,791,921,602
Regular Market Volume 2,117,054
Return On Assets 0.13434
Return On Equity 0.24002
Revenue Growth 0.183
Revenue Per Share 23.142
Sand P52 Week Change 0.17502642
Sector Basic Materials
Sector Disp Basic Materials
Sector Key basic-materials
Shares Outstanding 2,541,476,901
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0083
Shares Short 20,996,270
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 18,469,769
Short Name BHP Group Limited
Short Percent Of Float 0.0083
Short Ratio 8.13
Source Interval 15
State VIC
Symbol BHP
Target High Price 96.0
Target Low Price 61.5
Target Mean Price 77.91667
Target Median Price 78.5
Total Cash 18,560,999,424
Total Cash Per Share 7.307
Total Debt 28,426,999,808
Total Revenue 58,759,999,488
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.72
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.019833948
Trailing Eps 3.86
Trailing P E 22.007772
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 80.1366
Two Hundred Day Average Change 4.8134003
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.060064945
Type Disp Equity
Volume 2,117,054
Website https://www.bhp.com
Zip 3,000