B&G Foods, Inc. (BGS)Consumer Defensive | Packaged Foods | Parsippany, United States | NYSE
3.52 USD
+0.05
(1.441%)
⇧
(Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 3.51 -0.01 (-0.010%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:58 p.m. EDT) |
Hot Take ↕ | Aug. 22, 2026, 3:34 a.m. EDT
The investment case here is broken by a perfect storm of deteriorating fundamentals and a hostile market structure. The company is trapped in a multi-year death spiral, having lost over 90% of its value since 2016 with five consecutive years of negative annual returns. Fundamentally, the business is failing: revenue is contracting at nearly 10%, profitability has evaporated with negative earnings and equity returns, and the balance sheet is precarious with debt-to-equity exceeding 650%. While the 11% dividend yield looks attractive on paper, it is a dangerous illusion; the payout ratio of 333% confirms that the company is burning through capital to pay shareholders, a classic value trap where the yield is simply the return of invested principal. The options market agrees with the bearish thesis, with traders stacking heavy put positions at strikes far below the current price, while call activity is virtually non-existent. The statistical forecast models also lean negative, though their low confidence suggests the path forward is uncertain. This is not a turnaround candidate; it is a distressed asset with no visible path to recovery. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoTheta ✓ | 0.038832 |
| AutoETS | 0.061233 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.061234 |
| MSTL | 0.066743 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 44% |
| H-stat | 2.02 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.688 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.35 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Consumer Defensive |
| Ex Dividend Date | 2026-09-29 |
| Last Dividend Date | 2026-06-29 |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 651.844 |
| Revenue per Share | 22.045 |
| Market Cap | 286,090,368 |
| Forward P/E | 6.82 |
| Beta | 0.54 |
| Profit Margins | -4.00% |
| Website | https://bgfoods.com |
As of Aug. 22, 2026, 3:34 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioned for downside protection, with massive open interest in out-of-the-money puts expiring in late 2026 and early 2027. Call activity is negligible and concentrated near the money, indicating a lack of bullish conviction. Implied volatility is significantly elevated for near-term puts compared to calls, suggesting the market prices in a high probability of further decline rather than a rebound.
| Last Yield | 1yr Yield | 3yr Avg | 5yr Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.39% | 15.04% | 11.65% | 9.79% |
| Date | Dividend | Yield % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | 0.095 | 2.386935 |
| 2026-03-31 | 0.190 | 3.950104 |
| 2025-12-31 | 0.190 | 4.418604 |
| 2025-09-30 | 0.190 | 4.288939 |
| 2025-06-30 | 0.190 | 4.491726 |
| 2025-03-31 | 0.190 | 2.765648 |
| 2024-12-31 | 0.190 | 2.757620 |
| 2024-09-30 | 0.190 | 2.139640 |
| 2024-06-28 | 0.190 | 2.351485 |
| 2024-03-27 | 0.190 | 1.659389 |
| 2023-12-28 | 0.190 | 1.782364 |
| 2023-09-28 | 0.190 | 1.958763 |
| 2023-06-29 | 0.190 | 1.362007 |
| 2023-03-30 | 0.190 | 1.241019 |
| 2022-12-29 | 0.190 | 1.691897 |
| 2022-09-29 | 0.475 | 2.817319 |
| 2022-06-29 | 0.475 | 2.055387 |
| 2022-03-30 | 0.475 | 1.767113 |
| 2021-12-30 | 0.475 | 1.534238 |
| 2021-09-29 | 0.475 | 1.525369 |
| 2021-06-29 | 0.475 | 1.451711 |
| 2021-03-30 | 0.475 | 1.509854 |
| 2020-12-30 | 0.475 | 1.687389 |
| 2020-09-29 | 0.475 | 1.708019 |
| 2020-06-29 | 0.475 | 1.941946 |
| 2020-03-30 | 0.475 | 2.817319 |
| 2019-12-30 | 0.475 | 2.708096 |
| 2019-09-27 | 0.475 | 2.476538 |
| 2019-06-27 | 0.475 | 2.284752 |
| 2019-03-28 | 0.475 | 1.950719 |
| 2018-12-28 | 0.475 | 1.585447 |
| 2018-09-27 | 0.475 | 1.711712 |
| 2018-06-28 | 0.475 | 1.500790 |
| 2018-03-28 | 0.465 | 1.913580 |
| 2017-12-28 | 0.465 | 1.309859 |
| 2017-09-28 | 0.465 | 1.507293 |
| 2017-06-28 | 0.465 | 1.286307 |
| 2017-03-29 | 0.465 | 1.115108 |
| 2016-12-28 | 0.465 | 1.070196 |
| 2016-09-28 | 0.420 | 0.851754 |
| 2016-06-28 | 0.420 | 0.905563 |
| 2016-03-29 | 0.420 | 1.209677 |
| 2015-12-29 | 0.350 | 0.974930 |
| 2015-09-28 | 0.350 | 0.962596 |
| 2015-06-26 | 0.340 | 1.169993 |
| 2015-03-27 | 0.340 | 1.149814 |
| 2014-12-29 | 0.340 | 1.108214 |
| 2014-09-26 | 0.340 | 1.238616 |
| 2014-06-26 | 0.340 | 1.045832 |
| 2014-03-27 | 0.340 | 1.150982 |
| 2013-12-27 | 0.330 | 0.972591 |
| 2013-09-26 | 0.320 | 0.920863 |
| 2013-06-26 | 0.290 | 0.856215 |
| 2013-03-26 | 0.290 | 0.958361 |
| 2012-12-27 | 0.290 | 1.036084 |
| 2012-09-26 | 0.270 | 0.853081 |
| 2012-06-27 | 0.270 | 1.025057 |
| 2012-03-28 | 0.270 | 1.181619 |
| 2011-12-28 | 0.230 | 0.977060 |
| 2011-09-28 | 0.210 | 1.270417 |
| 2011-06-28 | 0.210 | 1.021898 |
| 2011-03-29 | 0.210 | 1.098901 |
| 2010-12-29 | 0.170 | 1.239971 |
| 2010-09-28 | 0.170 | 1.534296 |
| 2010-06-28 | 0.170 | 1.509769 |
| 2010-03-29 | 0.170 | 1.731161 |
| 2009-12-29 | 0.170 | 1.770833 |
| 2009-09-28 | 0.170 | 2.035928 |
| 2009-06-26 | 0.170 | 2.016607 |
| 2009-03-27 | 0.170 | 3.400000 |
| 2008-12-29 | 0.170 | 3.165736 |
| 2008-09-26 | 0.212 | 2.826667 |
| 2008-06-26 | 0.212 | 2.332233 |
| 2008-03-27 | 0.212 | 1.892857 |
| 2007-12-27 | 0.212 | 2.105263 |
| 2007-09-26 | 0.212 | 1.630769 |
| 2007-06-27 | 0.212 | 1.593985 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.19266057 |
| Address1 | 8 Sylvan Way |
| All Time High | 52.84 |
| All Time Low | 2.54 |
| Ask | 3.54 |
| Ask Size | 17,300 |
| Audit Risk | 6 |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 1,745,630 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 2,139,473 |
| Average Volume | 2,139,473 |
| Average Volume10Days | 1,745,630 |
| Beta | 0.537 |
| Bid | 3.52 |
| Bid Size | 11,500 |
| Board Risk | 2 |
| Book Value | 4.861 |
| City | Parsippany |
| Compensation Risk | 9 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 3.52 |
| Current Ratio | 1.616 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,786,665,600 |
| Day High | 3.545 |
| Day Low | 3.48 |
| Debt To Equity | 651.844 |
| Display Name | B&G Foods |
| Dividend Date | 1,793,318,400 |
| Dividend Rate | 0.38 |
| Dividend Yield | 10.95 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,786,480,200 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,786,480,200 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,786,478,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,794,427,200 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,794,427,200 |
| Ebitda | 258,688,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.14606 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 8.774 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 1.282 |
| Enterprise Value | 2,269,728,256 |
| Eps Current Year | 0.5498 |
| Eps Forward | 0.516 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | -0.89 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Ex Dividend Date | 1,790,726,400 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 3.6908 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -0.17079997 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.04627722 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -19.266056 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 6.38 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -2.8600001 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.44827586 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 3.32 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 0.20000005 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.06024098 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 3.32 - 6.38 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,179,927,000,000 |
| Five Year Avg Dividend Yield | 10.54 |
| Float Shares | 77,102,165 |
| Forward Eps | 0.516 |
| Forward P E | 6.821706 |
| Free Cashflow | 174,660,496 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE |
| Full Time Employees | 2,294 |
| Fullday Change | 0.05 |
| Fullday Change Percent | 1.44092 |
| Fullday Price | 3.51 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,785,542,400 |
| Gross Margins | 0.22072001 |
| Gross Profits | 390,918,016 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.04861 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.58388 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 81,275,671 |
| Industry | Packaged Foods |
| Industry Disp | Packaged Foods |
| Industry Key | packaged-foods |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Dividend Date | 1,782,777,600 |
| Last Dividend Value | 0.095 |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,398,400 |
| Long Business Summary | B&G Foods, Inc. manufactures, sells, and distributes a portfolio of shelf-stable and frozen foods, and household products in the United States, Canada, and Puerto Rico. It operates through Specialty, Meals, Frozen & Vegetables, and Spices & Flavor Solutions segments. The company offers frozen and canned vegetables, vegetables, canola and other cooking oils, vegetable shortening, cooking sprays, oatmeal and other hot cereals, fruit spreads, canned meats and beans, bagel chips, spices, seasonings, hot sauces, wine vinegar, maple syrups, molasses, salad dressings, pizza crusts, Mexican-style sauces, dry soups, taco shells and kits, salsas, pickles, peppers, tomato-based products, crackers, baking powder and soda, corn starch, nut clusters, and other specialty products. It markets its products under various brands, including Crisco, Clabber Girl, Bear Creek, Polaner, Underwood, B&G, Grandma's, New York Style, B&M, Baker's Joy, Regina, TrueNorth, Static Guard, SugarTwin, Brer Rabbit, Ortega, Maple Grove Farms of Vermont, Cream of Wheat, Las Palmas, Victoria, Mama Mary's, Spring Tree, McCann's, Carey's, Vermont Maid, Green Giant, Dash, Spice Islands, Weber, Ac'cent, Tone's, Trappey's, Durkee, Wright's, B&G Sandwich Toppers, Bear Creek Country Kitchens, Canoleo, Cary's, Cream of Rice, Joan of Arc, MacDonald's, Molly McButter, New York Flatbreads, Old London, and Sa-són brands. The company sells and distributes its products directly, as well as through a network of independent brokers and distributors to supermarket chains, foodservice outlets, mass merchants, warehouse clubs, non-food outlets, and specialty distributors. The company was formerly known as B&G Foods Holdings Corp. and changed its name to B&G Foods, Inc. in October 2004. B&G Foods, Inc. was founded in 1889 and is headquartered in Parsippany, New Jersey. |
| Long Name | B&G Foods, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 286,090,368 |
| Market State | CLOSED |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_6631173 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,783,123,200 |
| Net Income To Common | -70,845,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,934,400 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 282,026,578 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 5 |
| Open | 3.5 |
| Operating Cashflow | 88,845,000 |
| Operating Margins | 0.119619995 |
| Overall Risk | 3 |
| Payout Ratio | 3.3332999 |
| Peg Ratio | 4.55 |
| Phone | 973 401 6500 |
| Post Market Change | -0.00999999 |
| Post Market Change Percent | -0.28409064 |
| Post Market Price | 3.51 |
| Post Market Time | 1,787,961,503 |
| Previous Close | 3.47 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 6.4023285 |
| Price Hint | 4 |
| Price To Book | 0.7241308 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 0.16153523 |
| Profit Margins | -0.04 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.002 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | none |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 0.05 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 1.44092 |
| Regular Market Day High | 3.545 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 3.48 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 3.48 - 3.545 |
| Regular Market Open | 3.5 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 3.47 |
| Regular Market Price | 3.52 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,787,947,202 |
| Regular Market Volume | 1,027,063 |
| Return On Assets | 0.03901 |
| Return On Equity | -0.15805 |
| Revenue Growth | -0.097 |
| Revenue Per Share | 22.045 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20204377 |
| Sector | Consumer Defensive |
| Sector Disp | Consumer Defensive |
| Sector Key | consumer-defensive |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 1 |
| Shares Outstanding | 81,275,671 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.16870001 |
| Shares Short | 13,714,418 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,784,073,600 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 11,595,923 |
| Short Name | B&G Foods, Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.17799999 |
| Short Ratio | 5.62 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | NJ |
| Symbol | BGS |
| Target High Price | 5.0 |
| Target Low Price | 3.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 4.2 |
| Target Median Price | 4.5 |
| Total Cash | 591,576,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 7.279 |
| Total Debt | 2,575,214,080 |
| Total Revenue | 1,771,070,976 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.665 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.19164266 |
| Trailing Eps | -0.89 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 4.47745 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -0.9574499 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.21383822 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 1,027,063 |
| Website | https://bgfoods.com |
| Zip | 7,054 |