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Bicycle Therapeutics plc (BCYC)

Healthcare | Biotechnology | Cambridge, United Kingdom | NasdaqGS
3.63 USD -0.17 (-4.474%) ⇩ (Oct. 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★⯪☆☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 8:13 a.m. EDT

The investment case here is severely compromised by deteriorating fundamentals and a toxic operational environment. The company is trading below its cash pile, yet it is burning through capital aggressively with negative free cash flow and a massive operating loss. Revenue has collapsed by nearly 80%, and the business is hemorrhaging money with gross margins in the negative territory. This is not a value opportunity; it is a distressed biotech firm where the core product engine has stalled. The operational picture is equally grim. Recent headlines confirm a strategic pivot involving layoffs and a refocusing of the pipeline, while insiders are actively selling shares and granting options to executives at prices that suggest they see limited upside. The stock has already punished investors hard, dropping significantly over the last few months, and the recent price action shows no sign of a sustainable recovery, hovering near multi-month lows. While the balance sheet technically holds enough cash to survive for a while, the path to profitability is obscured by the lack of revenue and the high burn rate. The market is correctly pricing this as a speculative gamble on a future pipeline success rather than a functioning business. With no dividend to provide income and a high beta amplifying volatility, this is a high-risk instrument unsuitable for capital preservation.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.049811
AutoETS0.051575
AutoARIMA0.051590
MSTL0.051917

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 47%
H-stat 1.54
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.214
Excess Kurtosis -1.19
Attribute Value
Sector Healthcare
Debt to Equity Ratio 2.873
Revenue per Share 0.88
Market Cap 253,414,752
Forward P/E -1.63
Beta 1.68
Website https://www.bicycletherapeutics.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 8:13 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioned for downside protection, with massive open interest in out-of-the-money puts (strikes 3.0 and 3.5) compared to negligible call volume. While there is some call activity at the 5.0 strike, the overwhelming weight of options flow is defensive, suggesting a belief that the stock will struggle to recover from current lows.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.5189873
Address1 Portway Building
Address2 Blocks A & B Granta Park Great Abington
All Time High 62.075
All Time Low 3.33
Ask 4.68
Ask Size 2
Average Daily Volume10 Day 541,880
Average Daily Volume3 Month 378,420
Average Volume 378,420
Average Volume10Days 541,880
Beta 1.682
Bid 2.74
Bid Size 2
Book Value 7.309
City Cambridge
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Country United Kingdom
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 3.63
Current Ratio 12.076
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 3.88
Day Low 3.63
Debt To Equity 2.873
Display Name Bicycle Therapeutics
Dividend Yield 0.0
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,414,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,277,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,277,000
Ebitda -200,812,000
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Ebitda 1.202
Enterprise To Revenue -3.943
Enterprise Value -241,316,880
Eps Current Year -2.45375
Eps Forward -2.22375
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -2.73
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 15
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 3.9459
Fifty Day Average Change -0.31589985
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.08005775
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -51.89873
Fifty Two Week High 9.08
Fifty Two Week High Change -5.45
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.60022026
Fifty Two Week Low 3.33
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.3000002
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.09009015
Fifty Two Week Range 3.33 - 9.08
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,558,618,200,000
Float Shares 7,759,410
Forward Eps -2.22375
Forward P E -1.6323777
Free Cashflow -99,822,128
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 288
Fullday Change 0.0
Fullday Change Percent 0.0
Fullday Price 3.63
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins -2.0889301
Gross Profits -127,853,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.044060003
Held Percent Institutions 0.71902
Implied Shares Outstanding 69,811,225
Industry Biotechnology
Industry Disp Biotechnology
Industry Key biotechnology
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Bicycle Therapeutics plc, a clinical-stage pharmaceutical company, develops a class of medicines for diseases that are underserved by existing therapeutics in the United States and the United Kingdom. The company's products pipeline include zelenectide pevedotin, a bicycle toxin conjugate (BTC), which is in phase II clinical trials for the treatment of high nectin-4 expressing tumors; nuzefatide pevedotin (EphA2), a BTC that is in phase I/II clinical trials to treat Ephrin type A receptor 2 expressing tumor; BT7480, a Bicycle tumor-targeted immune cell agonist molecule, which is in phase I/II targeting nectin-4 and agonizing CD137; and BT1702, a theranostic BRC molecule targeting MT1-MMP for which IND-enabling activities are ongoing. In addition, it develops Novel CNS targets, which is in preclinical trial targeting CNS disease; Novel neuromuscular targets, which is in preclinical trial targeting neuromuscular disease; and programs that are in preclinical trial targeting radiopharmaceutical. Further, the company collaborates with biopharmaceutical companies and organizations to develop programs in therapeutic areas. It has collaboration and license agreement with Bayer Consumer Care AG; Novartis Pharma AG; Ionis Pharmaceuticals, Inc.; Genentech, Inc; and AstraZeneca AB. Bicycle Therapeutics plc was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Cambridge, the United Kingdom.
Market us_market
Market Cap 253,414,752
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_72510621
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common -190,412,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 251,974,335
Number Of Analyst Opinions 6
Open 3.81
Operating Cashflow -206,050,000
Operating Margins -86.739265
Phone 44 1223 261 503
Previous Close 3.8
Price Eps Current Year -1.4793684
Price Hint 4
Price To Book 0.49664798
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 4.1404257
Profit Margins 0.0
Quick Ratio 11.703
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.17
Regular Market Change Percent -4.47368
Regular Market Day High 3.88
Regular Market Day Low 3.63
Regular Market Day Range 3.63 - 3.88
Regular Market Open 3.81
Regular Market Previous Close 3.8
Regular Market Price 3.63
Regular Market Time 1,791,921,601
Regular Market Volume 457,019
Return On Assets -0.17906
Return On Equity -0.32296002
Revenue Growth -0.785
Revenue Per Share 0.88
Sand P52 Week Change 0.17502642
Sector Healthcare
Sector Disp Healthcare
Sector Key healthcare
Shares Outstanding 50,373,281
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.047199998
Shares Short 3,302,888
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 3,281,399
Short Name Bicycle Therapeutics plc
Short Percent Of Float 0.0846
Short Ratio 7.64
Source Interval 15
Symbol BCYC
Target High Price 14.0
Target Low Price 5.0
Target Mean Price 9.5
Target Median Price 9.5
Total Cash 510,052,000
Total Cash Per Share 7.287
Total Debt 14,661,000
Total Revenue 61,205,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -2.73
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 4.780575
Two Hundred Day Average Change -1.1505747
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.24067706
Type Disp Equity
Volume 457,019
Website https://www.bicycletherapeutics.com
Zip CB21 6GS