BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI)Technology | Information Technology Services | McLean, United States | NYSE
3.05 USD
-0.14
(-4.389%) ⇩
(Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 3.07 +0.02 (0.656%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT) |
Hot Take ↕ | Aug. 22, 2026, 4:09 a.m. EDT
The investment case here is fraught with contradictions. On the surface, the company boasts a fortress balance sheet with a current ratio of 5.67 and minimal debt, which is rare for a high-beta tech stock. However, these strengths are completely overshadowed by a brutal operational reality: the business is burning cash aggressively, with free cash flow of -$208 million and operating margins of -74%. The stock has suffered a catastrophic 84% drop in the last year alone, and despite a recent technical recovery, the underlying economics remain broken. The recent price action shows a fragile bounce off the lows, trading near the 50-day moving average, but the momentum is weak given the massive gap between the 50-day and 200-day averages. The statistical forecasting models are essentially useless here due to extreme noise, offering no reliable edge. For investors, this is a classic 'value trap' disguised by a pristine balance sheet. While the lack of dividends is irrelevant for a growth story, the absence of any cash generation makes the high valuation multiples unjustifiable until profitability is restored. The options market is pricing in volatility, hoping for a catalyst, but without a turnaround in the bottom line, the risk of further deterioration outweighs the speculative upside. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoETS ✓ | 0.441042 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.441682 |
| MSTL | 0.442941 |
| AutoTheta | 0.472922 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 30% |
| H-stat | 5.73 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.391 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.69 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Technology |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 2.953 |
| Revenue per Share | 0.294 |
| Market Cap | 1,462,458,240 |
| Forward P/E | -15.25 |
| Beta | 3.18 |
| Profit Margins | -65.20% |
| Previous Name | BigBear.ai Holdings |
| Website | https://bigbear.ai |
As of Aug. 22, 2026, 4:09 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for continued volatility rather than a clear directional breakout. Call open interest is heavily skewed toward out-of-the-money strikes ($4.00 and $5.00), suggesting bets on a significant upside move, while put open interest remains concentrated near the money ($3.00-$4.00) with lower volume. The implied volatility surface shows elevated premiums for near-term expiration, indicating traders expect erratic price swings around the earnings backdrop, but the lack of massive volume in deep OTM calls suggests the 'moon shot' thesis is not yet fully priced in.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.3924303 |
| Address1 | 7,950 Jones Branch Drive |
| Address2 | 1st Floor North Tower |
| All Time High | 16.12 |
| All Time Low | 0.58 |
| Ask | 3.08 |
| Ask Size | 96,600 |
| Audit Risk | 10 |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 17,900,600 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 27,977,750 |
| Average Volume | 27,977,750 |
| Average Volume10Days | 17,900,600 |
| Beta | 3.181 |
| Bid | 3.07 |
| Bid Size | 90,000 |
| Board Risk | 8 |
| Book Value | 1.607 |
| City | McLean |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 8 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 3.05 |
| Current Ratio | 5.673 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,786,665,600 |
| Day High | 3.22 |
| Day Low | 3.04 |
| Debt To Equity | 2.953 |
| Display Name | BigBear.ai |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,785,443,400 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,785,443,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,785,441,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,793,649,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,793,649,600 |
| Ebitda | -71,517,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | -0.54333 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | -16.304 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 8.858 |
| Enterprise Value | 1,166,017,152 |
| Eps Forward | -0.2 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | -0.02 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 3.1882 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -0.13820004 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.04334736 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -39.24303 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 9.39 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -6.34 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.67518634 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 2.59 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 0.46000004 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.1776062 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 2.59 - 9.39 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,617,629,400,000 |
| Float Shares | 475,250,967 |
| Forward Eps | -0.2 |
| Forward P E | -15.25 |
| Free Cashflow | -208,401,120 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE |
| Full Time Employees | 579 |
| Fullday Change | -0.14 |
| Fullday Change Percent | -4.38872 |
| Fullday Price | 3.07 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,785,542,400 |
| Gross Margins | 0.27919 |
| Gross Profits | 36,749,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.00699 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.42806998 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 479,494,493 |
| Industry | Information Technology Services |
| Industry Disp | Information Technology Services |
| Industry Key | information-technology-services |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. provides artificial intelligence-powered decision intelligence solutions for national security, supply chain management, and digital identity markets. It offers supply chain and logistics solutions, such as Data Conflation at Scale, which offers a view of operations enabling real-time tracking of inventory and facilitating predictive analytics to optimize functions, including routes and delivery times; Discrete Event Simulation, a course of action analysis and digital twin solution; and Next-Gen Decision Support solution for macroeconomic and geopolitical forecasting. The company also provides cybersecurity solutions, such as artificial intelligence (AI)-powered/machine-accelerated binary analysis, cyber-physical systems vulnerability testing and evaluation, vulnerability assessment as a service, and specialized services for the department of defense and intelligence community; and autonomous systems solutions, AI/machine learning (ML) decision intelligence solutions, and AI orchestration as a service, as well as specialized consulting services. In addition, it offers digital identity services comprising security solutions specializing in customized digital identity, biometrics, AI/ML, and advanced analytics software and solutions for global trade, travel, and digital identity industries; and Ask Sage Platform, a generative AI platform for secure AI deployment, orchestration, and agentic capabilities across defense, intelligence, and other highly regulated environments. The company was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in McLean, Virginia. |
| Long Name | BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 1,462,458,240 |
| Market State | CLOSED |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_717472454 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,782,777,600 |
| Name Change Date | 2,026-08-29 |
| Net Income To Common | -85,821,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 1,529,587,432 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 2 |
| Open | 3.15 |
| Operating Cashflow | -71,627,000 |
| Operating Margins | -0.74447995 |
| Overall Risk | 9 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Phone | 410 312 0885 |
| Post Market Change | 0.01999998 |
| Post Market Change Percent | 0.6557371 |
| Post Market Price | 3.07 |
| Post Market Time | 1,787,961,560 |
| Prev Name | BigBear.ai Holdings |
| Previous Close | 3.19 |
| Price Hint | 4 |
| Price To Book | 1.8979465 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 11.110625 |
| Profit Margins | -0.65199995 |
| Quick Ratio | 5.387 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | none |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -0.14 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -4.38872 |
| Regular Market Day High | 3.22 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 3.04 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 3.04 - 3.22 |
| Regular Market Open | 3.15 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 3.19 |
| Regular Market Price | 3.05 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,787,947,203 |
| Regular Market Volume | 16,384,285 |
| Return On Assets | -0.07581 |
| Return On Equity | -0.16554001 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.132 |
| Revenue Per Share | 0.294 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20204377 |
| Sector | Technology |
| Sector Disp | Technology |
| Sector Key | technology |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 8 |
| Shares Outstanding | 479,494,493 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.3052 |
| Shares Short | 146,343,143 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,784,073,600 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 145,808,992 |
| Short Name | BigBear.ai, Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.3069 |
| Short Ratio | 6.0 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | VA |
| Symbol | BBAI |
| Target High Price | 4.0 |
| Target Low Price | 4.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 4.0 |
| Target Median Price | 4.0 |
| Total Cash | 319,191,008 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 0.666 |
| Total Debt | 22,750,000 |
| Total Revenue | 131,627,000 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | -0.02 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 4.37495 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -1.32495 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.30284917 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 16,384,285 |
| Website | https://bigbear.ai |
| Zip | 22,102 |