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Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. (BAER)

Industrials | Security & Protection Services | Belgrade, United States | NasdaqGM
1.90 USD -0.04 (-2.062%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★⯪☆☆☆Long-term:⯪☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 3:07 a.m. EDT

The immediate outlook is bearish due to a confluence of deteriorating fundamentals and negative price momentum. The company is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day averages, indicating a lack of technical support, while the statistical forecast model leans slightly lower for the coming month. Fundamentally, the situation is dire: revenue has contracted significantly, operating margins are deeply negative, and the balance sheet is compromised by massive debt relative to equity and negative book value. There is no dividend to provide income, and the recent price action shows continued weakness despite some minor intraday recovery. The combination of shrinking top-line growth, eroding profitability, and a heavy debt load suggests the business is struggling to maintain operations, making it a poor candidate for either capital preservation or aggressive speculation at these levels.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.086604
AutoARIMA0.108265
AutoETS0.108268
MSTL0.131079
MSTL_840.174615
MSTL_1260.208360
MSTL_84_1260.256203

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 35%
H-stat 1.43
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.452
Excess Kurtosis 0.48
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Debt to Equity Ratio 738.034
Revenue per Share 2.117
Market Cap 109,511,512
Beta 0.36
Profit Margins -10.05%
Previous Name Jack Creek Investment Corp.
Website https://www.bridgeraerospace.com

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.021505356
Address1 90 Aviation Lane
All Time High 25.9
All Time Low 1.022
Ask 2.4
Ask Size 2
Average Daily Volume10 Day 355,890
Average Daily Volume3 Month 643,980
Average Volume 643,980
Average Volume10Days 355,890
Beta 0.357
Bid 1.37
Bid Size 2
Book Value -6.607
City Belgrade
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 1.9
Current Ratio 0.901
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 1.94
Day Low 1.86
Debt To Equity 738.034
Display Name Bridger Aerospace
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,778,101,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,778,101,200
Earnings Timestamp 1,778,097,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,786,046,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,786,046,400
Ebitda 15,988,000
Ebitda Margins 0.13819
Enterprise To Ebitda 47.932
Enterprise To Revenue 6.624
Enterprise Value 766,329,536
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.7
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NGM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 1.9152
Fifty Day Average Change -0.015200019
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.007936518
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 2.1505356
Fifty Two Week High 3.44
Fifty Two Week High Change -1.5400001
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.44767442
Fifty Two Week Low 1.47
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.42999995
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.29251698
Fifty Two Week Range 1.47 - 3.44
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,615,987,800,000
Float Shares 38,987,830
Free Cashflow -61,242,000
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGM
Full Time Employees 235
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.38643003
Gross Profits 44,708,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.19485001
Held Percent Institutions 0.40508997
Implied Shares Outstanding 57,637,641
Industry Security & Protection Services
Industry Disp Security & Protection Services
Industry Key security-protection-services
Ipo Expected Date 2,023-01-25
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. provides aerial wildfire surveillance, relief and suppression, and aerial firefighting services in the United States. The company offers fire suppression services, such as aerial firefighting support for ground crews by operating the Viking CL-415EAF (Super Scooper) aircraft to drop water as part of the initial and direct attack to slow, contain, and extinguish wildfires. It also provides aerial surveillance services via manned (Air Attack) aircraft for fire suppression over an incident and providing tactical coordination with the incident commander, and decision-makers rapid, current intelligence from useful aerial vantage points, giving access to information to support ground firefighters and safety for the public. In addition, the company offers maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) that provides maintenance and repair services for return-to-service upgrades of the Spanish scoopers, as well as airframe modification and integration solutions for governmental and commercial customers. Further, it operates an aircraft fleet of nineteen planes. The company was founded in 2014 and is headquartered in Belgrade, Montana.
Long Name Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 109,511,512
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1764709148
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Name Change Date 2,026-07-14
Net Income To Common -39,171,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 109,511,517
Number Of Analyst Opinions 3
Open 1.94
Operating Cashflow 13,271,000
Operating Margins -2.9621701
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 406 813 0079
Prev Name Jack Creek Investment Corp.
Previous Close 1.94
Price Hint 4
Price To Book -0.28757378
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.94654536
Profit Margins -0.10049
Quick Ratio 0.772
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.0400001
Regular Market Change Percent -2.06186
Regular Market Day High 1.94
Regular Market Day Low 1.86
Regular Market Day Range 1.86 - 1.94
Regular Market Open 1.94
Regular Market Previous Close 1.94
Regular Market Price 1.9
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,801
Regular Market Volume 397,266
Return On Assets 0.00093999994
Return On Equity -0.31619
Revenue Growth -0.456
Revenue Per Share 2.117
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20365608
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Shares Outstanding 57,637,641
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.024500001
Shares Short 1,413,889
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 1,806,070
Short Name Bridger Aerospace Group Holding
Short Percent Of Float 0.0387
Short Ratio 2.57
Source Interval 15
State MT
Symbol BAER
Target High Price 4.5
Target Low Price 3.35
Target Mean Price 4.11667
Target Median Price 4.5
Total Cash 9,631,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.167
Total Debt 252,164,000
Total Revenue 115,696,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.7
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 2.035925
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.13592494
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.06676324
Type Disp Equity
Volume 397,266
Website https://www.bridgeraerospace.com
Zip 59,714