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Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. (BAER)

Industrials | Security & Protection Services | Belgrade, United States | NasdaqGM
1.10 USD -0.05 (-4.348%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 1.12 +0.02 (1.673%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:43 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★☆☆☆☆Long-term:⯪☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 1:57 a.m. EDT

The immediate outlook is severely bearish as the stock has lost nearly 80% of its value over the last four years, with the price currently trading near its 52-week low after a relentless multi-year decline. Fundamentally, the business is deteriorating rapidly; revenue is shrinking, profitability is negative, and the company is burning significant cash while carrying a massive debt load relative to its equity. The balance sheet is fragile, with negative book value and a debt-to-equity ratio exceeding 700%, indicating severe financial distress rather than a margin of safety. There is no dividend to provide income, and the lack of recent price history prevents any assessment of long-term stability. While analysts offer a 'strong buy' recommendation based on a distant target price, this ignores the stark reality of the company's operational bleed and insolvency risks, making this a speculative trap rather than an investment opportunity.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.193361
MSTL0.197146
AutoETS0.197471
AutoARIMA0.201044

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 32%
H-stat 3.72
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.033
Excess Kurtosis -1.50
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Debt to Equity Ratio 781.333
Revenue per Share 2.088
Market Cap 64,708,756
Beta 0.35
Profit Margins -10.77%
Previous Name Jack Creek Investment Corp.
Website https://www.bridgeraerospace.com

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.44444442
Address1 90 Aviation Lane
All Time High 25.9
All Time Low 1.022
Ask 2.26
Ask Size 2
Average Analyst Rating 1.0 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,273,940
Average Daily Volume3 Month 916,620
Average Volume 916,620
Average Volume10Days 1,273,940
Beta 0.354
Bid 1.29
Bid Size 2
Book Value -6.594
City Belgrade
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 1.1
Current Ratio 1.734
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 1.16
Day Low 1.093
Debt To Equity 781.333
Display Name Bridger Aerospace
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,050,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,050,000
Earnings Timestamp 1,786,046,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,908,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,908,800
Ebitda 19,662,000
Ebitda Margins 0.17031999
Enterprise To Ebitda 37.954
Enterprise To Revenue 6.465
Enterprise Value 746,255,744
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.68
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NGM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 1.6746
Fifty Day Average Change -0.5746
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.3431267
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -44.444443
Fifty Two Week High 3.44
Fifty Two Week High Change -2.3400002
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.6802326
Fifty Two Week Low 1.09
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.00999999
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.009174303
Fifty Two Week Range 1.09 - 3.44
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,615,987,800,000
Float Shares 44,637,863
Free Cashflow -71,259,752
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGM
Full Time Employees 235
Fullday Change -0.05
Fullday Change Percent -4.34782
Fullday Price 1.1184
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.38097
Gross Profits 43,979,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.19530001
Held Percent Institutions 0.42276
Implied Shares Outstanding 58,826,140
Industry Security & Protection Services
Industry Disp Security & Protection Services
Industry Key security-protection-services
Ipo Expected Date 2,023-01-25
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. provides aerial wildfire surveillance, relief and suppression, and aerial firefighting services in the United States. The company offers fire suppression services, such as aerial firefighting support for ground crews by operating the Viking CL-415EAF (Super Scooper) aircraft to drop water as part of the initial and direct attack to slow, contain, and extinguish wildfires. It also provides aerial surveillance services via manned (Air Attack) aircraft for fire suppression over an incident and providing tactical coordination with the incident commander, and decision-makers rapid, current intelligence from useful aerial vantage points, giving access to information to support ground firefighters and safety for the public. In addition, the company offers maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) that provides maintenance and repair services for return-to-service upgrades of the Spanish scoopers, as well as airframe modification and integration solutions for governmental and commercial customers. Further, it operates an aircraft fleet of nineteen planes. The company was founded in 2014 and is headquartered in Belgrade, Montana.
Long Name Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 64,708,756
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1764709148
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Name Change Date 2,026-08-29
Net Income To Common -40,450,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 67,650,061
Number Of Analyst Opinions 3
Open 1.16
Operating Cashflow -3,875,000
Operating Margins 0.19610001
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 406 813 0079
Post Market Change 0.018399954
Post Market Change Percent 1.672723
Post Market Price 1.1184
Post Market Time 1,787,960,581
Prev Name Jack Creek Investment Corp.
Previous Close 1.15
Price Hint 4
Price To Book -0.16681832
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.560545
Profit Margins -0.10769
Quick Ratio 1.515
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.0
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.05
Regular Market Change Percent -4.34782
Regular Market Day High 1.16
Regular Market Day Low 1.09
Regular Market Day Range 1.09 - 1.16
Regular Market Open 1.16
Regular Market Previous Close 1.15
Regular Market Price 1.1
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,201
Regular Market Volume 804,558
Return On Assets 0.00684
Return On Equity -0.32422
Revenue Growth -0.008
Revenue Per Share 2.088
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20504117
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Shares Outstanding 58,826,140
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.020299999
Shares Short 1,192,630
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 1,302,483
Short Name Bridger Aerospace Group Holding
Short Percent Of Float 0.031600002
Short Ratio 0.94
Source Interval 15
State MT
Symbol BAER
Target High Price 4.0
Target Low Price 3.0
Target Mean Price 3.66667
Target Median Price 4.0
Total Cash 7,860,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.134
Total Debt 268,012,992
Total Revenue 115,439,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.68
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 2.014075
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.914075
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.45384356
Type Disp Equity
Volume 804,558
Website https://www.bridgeraerospace.com
Zip 59,714