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Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. (BAER)

Industrials | Security & Protection Services | Belgrade, United States | NasdaqGM
2.11 USD -0.03 (-1.402%) ⇩ (April 21, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 2.11

Short-term: ★★★☆☆ | Long-term: ★☆☆☆☆ | Dividends: ☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | April 18, 2026, 11:59 p.m. EDT

Despite a recent 37% price surge and record revenue, BAER presents a severe long-term value trap with negative earnings, massive debt relative to equity, and burning cash (negative FCF) against a backdrop of -45% revenue growth; short-term views remain neutral due to minimal forecastable price movement and extreme price volatility.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.315300
AutoETS0.346365
AutoTheta0.585151
AutoARIMA0.697634

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 45%
H-stat 8.01
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.271
Excess Kurtosis -0.90
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Debt to Equity Ratio 378.791
Revenue per Share 2.263
Market Cap 117,998,200
Beta 0.28
Profit Margins 3.37%
Previous Name Jack Creek Investment Corp.
Website https://www.bridgeraerospace.com

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.47586203
Address1 90 Aviation Lane
All Time High 25.9
All Time Low 1.022
Ask 2.12
Ask Size 5
Average Daily Volume10 Day 445,150
Average Daily Volume3 Month 706,337
Average Volume 706,337
Average Volume10Days 445,150
Beta 0.276
Bid 2.07
Bid Size 5
Book Value -6.129
City Belgrade
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,735,603,200
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 2.11
Current Ratio 2.434
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,774,915,200
Day High 2.21
Day Low 2.09
Debt To Equity 378.791
Display Name Bridger Aerospace
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,772,748,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,772,748,000
Earnings Timestamp 1,772,744,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,778,184,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,778,184,000
Ebitda 30,717,000
Ebitda Margins 0.25008
Enterprise To Ebitda 24.054
Enterprise To Revenue 6.015
Enterprise Value 738,861,888
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.42
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NGM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 2.2505
Fifty Day Average Change -0.14050007
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.0624306
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 47.586205
Fifty Two Week High 3.44
Fifty Two Week High Change -1.3300002
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.38662794
Fifty Two Week Low 1.221
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.88899994
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.7280917
Fifty Two Week Range 1.221 - 3.44
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,615,987,800,000
Float Shares 36,982,650
Free Cashflow -52,949,624
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGM
Full Time Employees 235
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.42077
Gross Profits 51,683,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.16396
Held Percent Institutions 0.40692002
Implied Shares Outstanding 55,923,319
Industry Security & Protection Services
Industry Disp Security & Protection Services
Industry Key security-protection-services
Ipo Expected Date 2,023-01-25
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. provides aerial wildfire surveillance, relief and suppression, and aerial firefighting services in the United States. The company offers fire suppression services, such as aerial firefighting support for ground crews by operating the Viking CL-415EAF (Super Scooper) aircraft to drop water as part of the initial and direct attack to slow, contain, and extinguish wildfires. It also provides aerial surveillance services via manned (Air Attack) aircraft for fire suppression over an incident and providing tactical coordination with the incident commander, and decision-makers rapid, current intelligence from useful aerial vantage points, giving access to information to support ground firefighters and safety for the public. In addition, the company offers maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) that provides maintenance and repair services for return-to-service upgrades of the Spanish scoopers, as well as airframe modification and integration solutions for governmental and commercial customers. Further, it operates an aircraft fleet of nineteen planes. The company was founded in 2014 and is headquartered in Belgrade, Montana.
Long Name Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 117,998,200
Market State POSTPOST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1764709148
Most Recent Quarter 1,767,139,200
Name Change Date 2,026-04-20
Net Income To Common -22,938,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 120,235,135
Number Of Analyst Opinions 2
Open 2.16
Operating Cashflow 16,732,000
Operating Margins -1.90242
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 406 813 0079
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 2.11
Post Market Time 1,776,814,558
Prev Name Jack Creek Investment Corp.
Previous Close 2.14
Price Hint 4
Price To Book -0.34426495
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.9606627
Profit Margins 0.03371
Quick Ratio 2.192
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.0300002
Regular Market Change Percent -1.40188
Regular Market Day High 2.21
Regular Market Day Low 2.09
Regular Market Day Range 2.09 - 2.21
Regular Market Open 2.16
Regular Market Previous Close 2.14
Regular Market Price 2.11
Regular Market Time 1,776,801,600
Regular Market Volume 463,694
Return On Assets 0.03068
Return On Equity 0.07008
Revenue Growth -0.452
Revenue Per Share 2.263
Sand P52 Week Change 0.34445214
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Shares Outstanding 55,923,319
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.024
Shares Short 1,343,038
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,772,150,400
Shares Short Prior Month 513,943
Short Name Bridger Aerospace Group Holding
Short Percent Of Float 0.0513
Short Ratio 1.99
Source Interval 15
State MT
Symbol BAER
Target High Price 5.0
Target Low Price 3.35
Target Mean Price 4.175
Target Median Price 4.175
Total Cash 33,020,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.59
Total Debt 244,948,992
Total Revenue 122,830,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.42
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 2.027625
Two Hundred Day Average Change 0.08237481
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.040626254
Type Disp Equity
Volume 463,694
Website https://www.bridgeraerospace.com
Zip 59,714