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GraniteShares 2x Long BABA Daily ETF (BABX)

Trading--Leveraged Equity | Exchange Traded Fund | NasdaqGM
18.70 USD +0.01 (0.054%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 18.50 -0.20 (-0.200%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 6:45 a.m. EDT

The most critical signal here is the structural nature of the instrument combined with a complete lack of income. This is a 2x leveraged daily ETF tracking Alibaba (BABA), meaning it suffers from severe decay if the underlying asset ranges sideways or trends down, yet it offers zero dividend yield to offset that drag. The recent price action shows a volatile recovery from mid-June lows, but the asset remains significantly below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, indicating the broader trend is still bearish relative to recent highs. While the 2-year price trajectory shows a net gain (+41.79% YoY in 2025), the underlying business faces persistent geopolitical risks and regulatory headwinds that prevent a confident 'exceptional buy' rating. The market has punished the stock heavily, but the leverage inherent in this product amplifies that pain during any period of uncertainty. Options flow confirms a highly contrarian, speculative sentiment. Traders are not buying standard momentum plays; they are placing massive bets on a binary, explosive move in either direction, specifically favoring a massive upside surge in the longer-dated contracts. However, relying on such a volatile, leveraged vehicle without a dividend floor or a confirmed multi-year uptrend in the underlying makes it unsuitable for a core portfolio holding. It is purely a tactical, high-risk speculation tool.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.194543
AutoETS0.194548
MSTL0.207226
AutoTheta0.218474

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 27%
H-stat 70.93
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.043
Excess Kurtosis 0.00

As of July 11, 2026, 6:45 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for extreme volatility rather than a specific directional outcome. In the near term (July), there is heavy open interest in deep out-of-the-money calls (30, 35 strikes) alongside significant put volume at lower strikes, suggesting a bet on a sharp gap up or down. As expiration moves to September and December, the strategy shifts dramatically: massive open interest accumulates in deep out-of-the-money calls (27, 30, 49, 52 strikes) while in-the-money put open interest collapses. This structure indicates a speculative thesis that the underlying asset will experience a massive, multi-month rally far exceeding current valuations, effectively betting on a 'black swan' upside event where the leveraged ETF compounds gains exponentially.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 66.0
All Time Low 11.85
Ask 18.73
Ask Size 2
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,279,760
Average Daily Volume3 Month 935,542
Average Volume 935,542
Average Volume10Days 1,279,760
Beta3 Year 1.02
Bid 18.68
Bid Size 2
Category Trading--Leveraged Equity
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 19.3
Day Low 18.5207
Dividend Yield 0.0
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NGM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 22.1752
Fifty Day Average Change -3.4751987
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.15671556
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -16.822428
Fifty Two Week High 66.0
Fifty Two Week High Change -47.3
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.71666664
Fifty Two Week Low 12.703
Fifty Two Week Low Change 5.9970007
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.47209325
Fifty Two Week Range 12.703 - 66.0
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,670,941,800,000
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGM
Fund Family Graniteshares
Fund Inception Date 1,670,803,200
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Ipo Expected Date 2,022-12-13
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The fund is an actively managed exchange traded fund that attempts to replicate 2 times (200%) the daily percentage change of the underlying stock by entering financial instruments such as swaps and options on the underlying stock as well as directly purchasing the underlying stock. It is non-diversified.
Long Name GraniteShares 2x Long BABA Daily ETF
Market us_market
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1788030004
Nav Price 18.69
Net Assets 74,512,512.0
Net Expense Ratio 1.15
Open 18.9
Post Market Change -0.20000076
Post Market Change Percent -1.0695227
Post Market Price 18.5
Post Market Time 1,783,987,157
Previous Close 18.69
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.0100002
Regular Market Change Percent 0.0535058
Regular Market Day High 19.3
Regular Market Day Low 18.5207
Regular Market Day Range 18.5207 - 19.3
Regular Market Open 18.9
Regular Market Previous Close 18.69
Regular Market Price 18.7
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,801
Regular Market Volume 660,284
Short Name GraniteShares 2x Long BABA Dail
Source Interval 15
Symbol BABX
Three Year Average Return -0.091642104
Total Assets 74,512,512
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns -43.88169
Trailing Three Month Returns -43.88169
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 35.67637
Two Hundred Day Average Change -16.976368
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.4758435
Type Disp ETF
Volume 660,284
Yield 0.0
Ytd Return -61.57048