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Aya Gold & Silver Inc. (AYA)

Basic Materials | Silver | Mount Royal, Canada | NasdaqGS
19.12 USD -1.19 (-5.859%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★⯪☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 4:09 a.m. EDT

The long-term outlook remains solid, driven by exceptional profitability and a massive cumulative gain over the last decade, yet the immediate future looks precarious due to a disconnect between fundamentals and market sentiment. The company posted record profits and revenue growth, justifying a strong buy based on business quality, but the stock has recently corrected, leaving it vulnerable to short-term noise. The options market is screaming caution; traders are aggressively buying protection at lower price levels while holding speculative calls at higher targets, creating a volatile environment where a sudden drop is priced in. With no dividend to provide income and a high beta amplifying swings, this is a classic 'hold' scenario where the business is excellent, but the timing for a new entry is currently unfavorable.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.063908
AutoETS0.068595
AutoTheta0.076066
AutoARIMA0.076163

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 39%
H-stat 0.33
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.503
Excess Kurtosis -0.71
Attribute Value
Sector Basic Materials
Debt to Equity Ratio 21.387
Revenue per Share 2.036
Market Cap 2,740,847,104
Trailing P/E 31.87
Forward P/E 8.31
Beta 1.69
Profit Margins 30.45%
Previous Name Maya Gold and Silver Inc.
Website https://ayagoldsilver.com

As of July 11, 2026, 4:09 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for significant volatility and a potential downside gap. While there is heavy open interest in out-of-the-money calls (strikes 22.5 and 30.0), the put side shows aggressive buying at deep strikes (10.0 and 12.5) with high implied volatility, suggesting a fear of a sharp drop to lower levels. The recent surge in put volume at the ATM strike indicates active hedging or bearish bets on the immediate term, despite the stock trading near its 52-week highs.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 1.0432596
Address1 1,320 Boulevard Graham
Address2 Suite 132
All Time High 22.0
All Time Low 0.32
Ask 24.14
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 4
Average Daily Volume10 Day 525,390
Average Daily Volume3 Month 431,368
Average Volume 431,368
Average Volume10Days 525,390
Beta 1.688
Bid 14.09
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 6
Book Value 3.205
City Mount Royal
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 10
Country Canada
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 19.12
Current Ratio 2.223
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 19.8406
Day Low 18.81
Debt To Equity 21.387
Display Name Aya Gold & Silver
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,778,767,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,778,767,200
Earnings Growth 5.6
Earnings Quarterly Growth 5.974
Earnings Timestamp 1,778,761,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,786,624,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,786,624,200
Ebitda 154,392,992
Ebitda Margins 0.5407
Enterprise To Ebitda 17.355
Enterprise To Revenue 9.384
Enterprise Value 2,679,509,248
Eps Forward 2.3
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.6
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 18.911
Fifty Day Average Change 0.20900154
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.01105185
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 104.32596
Fifty Two Week High 22.0
Fifty Two Week High Change -2.8799992
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.13090906
Fifty Two Week Low 8.27
Fifty Two Week Low Change 10.85
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 1.311971
Fifty Two Week Range 8.27 - 22.0
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,272,288,600,000
Float Shares 142,932,601
Forward Eps 2.3
Forward P E 8.313044
Free Cashflow 38,012,248
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 810
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.5487
Gross Profits 156,679,008
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.03434
Held Percent Institutions 0.48271
Implied Shares Outstanding 143,349,749
Industry Silver
Industry Disp Silver
Industry Key silver
Ipo Expected Date 2,026-05-04
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,519,948,800
Last Split Factor 1:4
Long Business Summary Aya Gold & Silver Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, evaluation, and development of precious metals projects in Morocco. The company primarily explores for gold and silver deposits. Its flagship project holds 100% interests in the Zgounder property located east of Agadir in the Proterozoic Siroua Massif of the Anti-Atlas Range, Morocco covering an area of approximately 378 square kilometers. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is based in Mount Royal, Canada.
Long Name Aya Gold & Silver Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 2,740,847,104
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_44699093
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Name Change Date 2,026-07-13
Net Income To Common 86,956,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 2,732,298,518
Open 19.65
Operating Cashflow 134,197,000
Operating Margins 0.66156995
Overall Risk 9
Payout Ratio 0.0
Pre Market Change 0.1799984
Pre Market Change Percent 0.9414142
Pre Market Price 19.3
Pre Market Time 1,784,021,416
Prev Name Maya Gold and Silver Inc.
Previous Close 20.31
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 5.965679
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 9.598652
Profit Margins 0.30453
Quick Ratio 1.868
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change -1.19
Regular Market Change Percent -5.85918
Regular Market Day High 19.8406
Regular Market Day Low 18.81
Regular Market Day Range 18.81 - 19.8406
Regular Market Open 19.65
Regular Market Previous Close 20.31
Regular Market Price 19.12
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,800
Regular Market Volume 319,351
Return On Assets 0.15184
Return On Equity 0.24129999
Revenue Growth 2.466
Revenue Per Share 2.036
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Basic Materials
Sector Disp Basic Materials
Sector Key basic-materials
Share Holder Rights Risk 1
Shares Outstanding 143,349,749
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0675
Shares Short 8,697,407
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 7,606,460
Short Name Aya Gold & Silver Inc.
Short Ratio 18.22
Source Interval 15
State QC
Symbol AYA
Total Cash 171,959,008
Total Cash Per Share 1.2
Total Debt 100,244,000
Total Revenue 285,544,992
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 0.6
Trailing P E 31.866667
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 15.70515
Two Hundred Day Average Change 3.4148512
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.21743512
Type Disp Equity
Volume 319,351
Website https://ayagoldsilver.com
Zip H3P 3C8