Aya Gold & Silver Inc. (AYA)Basic Materials | Silver | Mount Royal, Canada | NasdaqGS
26.19 USD
-0.26
(-0.983%) ⇩
(Oct. 13, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 26.00 -0.19 (-0.190%) ⇩ (Oct. 13, 2026, 5:40 p.m. EDT) |
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 6:24 a.m. EDT
The long-term investment case is exceptionally strong, driven by a dominant competitive position in silver mining, robust cash generation, and a fortress balance sheet with minimal debt relative to assets. The company has demonstrated sustained revenue growth and impressive profitability margins, with a return on equity exceeding 25%, which aligns with the criteria for an exceptional buy-and-hold opportunity despite the recent single-year price dip. This pullback appears to be a market overreaction rather than a fundamental deterioration. In the short term, the outlook is mixed due to elevated volatility and a lack of analyst consensus, though the forward P/E suggests significant earnings growth ahead. The options market is screaming for movement, with heavy speculation on a jump to $35, but the statistical forecasting models are unreliable and offer no clear directional edge. Consequently, while the business quality is elite, the immediate price path remains uncertain, making it a solid core holding rather than a high-conviction momentum play right now. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoTheta ✓ | 0.300005 |
| MSTL | 0.312445 |
| AutoETS | 0.319368 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.334736 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 27% |
| H-stat | 1.70 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.000 |
| Excess Kurtosis | 3.01 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Basic Materials |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 17.248 |
| Revenue per Share | 2.401 |
| Market Cap | 3,772,307,200 |
| Trailing P/E | 34.01 |
| Forward P/E | 11.39 |
| Beta | 1.68 |
| Profit Margins | 32.79% |
| Previous Name | Maya Gold and Silver Inc. |
| Website | https://ayagoldsilver.com |
As of Oct. 10, 2026, 6:24 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for significant volatility with heavy open interest in out-of-the-money strikes for both calls and puts. The call side shows massive concentration at the $35 strike, suggesting a speculative bet on a major breakout or merger premium, while the put side has substantial volume at the $20 strike, indicating a hedge against a sharp correction. Implied volatility is elevated across the board, reflecting uncertainty rather than a clear directional consensus.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | 1.2645547 |
| Address1 | 1,320 Boulevard Graham |
| Address2 | Suite 132 |
| All Time High | 30.67 |
| All Time Low | 0.32 |
| Ask | 33.57 |
| Ask Size | 2 |
| Audit Risk | 3 |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 897,050 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 1,012,634 |
| Average Volume | 1,012,634 |
| Average Volume10Days | 897,050 |
| Beta | 1.683 |
| Bid | 19.44 |
| Bid Size | 2 |
| Board Risk | 6 |
| Book Value | 3.403 |
| City | Mount Royal |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 10 |
| Country | Canada |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 26.19 |
| Current Ratio | 2.023 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,790,726,400 |
| Day High | 27.06 |
| Day Low | 26.01 |
| Debt To Equity | 17.248 |
| Display Name | Aya Gold & Silver |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,786,716,000 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,786,716,000 |
| Earnings Growth | 2.833 |
| Earnings Quarterly Growth | 2.92 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,786,651,200 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,794,427,200 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,794,427,200 |
| Ebitda | 207,972,992 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.60506 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 17.905 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 10.834 |
| Enterprise Value | 3,723,828,736 |
| Eps Forward | 2.3 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 0.77 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NMS |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 15 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 27.2546 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -1.0646 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.039061297 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | 126.455475 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 30.67 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -4.4799995 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.14607106 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 9.25 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 16.94 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 1.8313514 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 9.25 - 30.67 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,272,288,600,000 |
| Float Shares | 143,592,537 |
| Forward Eps | 2.3 |
| Forward P E | 11.386957 |
| Free Cashflow | 61,330,500 |
| Full Exchange Name | NasdaqGS |
| Full Time Employees | 810 |
| Fullday Change | -0.45000076 |
| Fullday Change Percent | -1.7013261 |
| Fullday Price | 26.0 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,790,812,800 |
| Gross Margins | 0.61431 |
| Gross Profits | 211,152,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.034479998 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.58002 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 144,036,168 |
| Industry | Silver |
| Industry Disp | Silver |
| Industry Key | silver |
| Ipo Expected Date | 2,026-05-04 |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Last Split Date | 1,519,948,800 |
| Last Split Factor | 1:4 |
| Long Business Summary | Aya Gold & Silver Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, evaluation, and development of precious metals projects in Morocco. The company primarily explores for gold and silver deposits. Its flagship project holds 100% interests in the Zgounder property located east of Agadir in the Proterozoic Siroua Massif of the Anti-Atlas Range, Morocco covering an area of approximately 378 square kilometers. It has acquired strategic exploration portfolio comprising three mining licenses and 18 exploration permits covering approximately 259 km² of land across three distinct exploration projects located in Morocco. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is based in Mount Royal, Canada. |
| Long Name | Aya Gold & Silver Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 3,772,307,200 |
| Market State | POST |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_44699093 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,782,777,600 |
| Name Change Date | 2,026-10-13 |
| Net Income To Common | 112,717,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 4,067,027,882 |
| Open | 26.75 |
| Operating Cashflow | 174,815,008 |
| Operating Margins | 0.54859 |
| Overall Risk | 9 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Post Market Change | -0.19000053 |
| Post Market Change Percent | -0.72546977 |
| Post Market Price | 26.0 |
| Post Market Time | 1,791,927,640 |
| Prev Name | Maya Gold and Silver Inc. |
| Previous Close | 26.45 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 7.6961503 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 10.974814 |
| Profit Margins | 0.32793 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.658 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | none |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -0.26000023 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -0.9829876 |
| Regular Market Day High | 27.06 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 26.01 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 26.01 - 27.06 |
| Regular Market Open | 26.75 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 26.45 |
| Regular Market Price | 26.19 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,791,921,601 |
| Regular Market Volume | 943,555 |
| Return On Assets | 0.17954999 |
| Return On Equity | 0.25743 |
| Revenue Growth | 1.507 |
| Revenue Per Share | 2.401 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.17502642 |
| Sector | Basic Materials |
| Sector Disp | Basic Materials |
| Sector Key | basic-materials |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 1 |
| Shares Outstanding | 144,036,168 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.0548 |
| Shares Short | 7,894,283 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,788,134,400 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 7,774,405 |
| Short Name | Aya Gold & Silver Inc. |
| Short Ratio | 6.02 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | QC |
| Symbol | AYA |
| Total Cash | 183,098,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 1.271 |
| Total Debt | 86,344,000 |
| Total Revenue | 343,724,000 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | 0.77 |
| Trailing P E | 34.01299 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 20.1344 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | 6.055601 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | 0.30075896 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 943,555 |
| Website | https://ayagoldsilver.com |
| Zip | H3P 3C8 |