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Aya Gold & Silver Inc. (AYA)

Basic Materials | Silver | Mount Royal, Canada | NasdaqGS
27.97 USD -1.32 (-4.507%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 27.80 -0.17 (-0.166%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:45 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★★☆Long-term:★★★★☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 1:50 a.m. EDT

The investment case here is driven by a powerful convergence of explosive growth and aggressive speculative positioning. Fundamentally, the company has transformed into a high-quality compounder, boasting a 25.7% return on equity and revenue growing at 150% year-over-year. While the trailing P/E of 34 seems steep, the forward P/E of 11.6 suggests the market expects earnings to nearly triple, validating the current valuation. The price history confirms this re-rating, with a cumulative gain of over 1,300% over the last nine years, despite a single year of decline recently. However, the short-term outlook is where the real excitement lies. The options market is screaming bullishness, with open interest heavily skewed toward calls at strikes significantly above the current price. This creates a high-conviction setup for a momentum play, though the statistical forecasting model offers no directional guidance, likely due to the volatility inherent in such a rapid expansion phase. With a beta of 1.7, this is a volatile vehicle, but the balance sheet remains healthy with strong cash generation and manageable debt. It is a classic high-growth story currently being priced for perfection, making it a compelling hold for those comfortable with the volatility.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.077063
AutoETS0.078094
AutoTheta0.100589
AutoARIMA0.298576

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 35%
H-stat 0.42
Ljung-Box p 0.001
Jarque-Bera p 0.039
Excess Kurtosis 1.76
Attribute Value
Sector Basic Materials
Debt to Equity Ratio 17.248
Revenue per Share 2.401
Market Cap 4,028,691,200
Trailing P/E 37.80
Forward P/E 12.16
Beta 1.70
Profit Margins 32.79%
Previous Name Maya Gold and Silver Inc.
Website https://ayagoldsilver.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 1:50 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioned for upside, evidenced by massive open interest in out-of-the-money calls (strikes $30 and $35) compared to negligible put volume. The call chain shows significant volume at strikes well above the current price, while the put chain is nearly empty, indicating a strong bullish sentiment and a lack of hedging against downside risk.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 1.6970534
Address1 1,320 Boulevard Graham
Address2 Suite 132
All Time High 30.24
All Time Low 0.32
Ask 36.28
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 4
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,164,500
Average Daily Volume3 Month 690,527
Average Volume 690,527
Average Volume10Days 1,164,500
Beta 1.697
Bid 27.92
Bid Size 1
Board Risk 7
Book Value 3.403
City Mount Royal
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 10
Country Canada
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 27.97
Current Ratio 2.023
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 30.0199
Day Low 27.54
Debt To Equity 17.248
Display Name Aya Gold & Silver
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,716,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,716,000
Earnings Growth 2.833
Earnings Quarterly Growth 2.92
Earnings Timestamp 1,786,651,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,794,427,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,794,427,200
Ebitda 207,972,992
Ebitda Margins 0.60506
Enterprise To Ebitda 18.958
Enterprise To Revenue 11.471
Enterprise Value 3,942,763,520
Eps Forward 2.3
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.74
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 22.0576
Fifty Day Average Change 5.9123993
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.26804364
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 169.70534
Fifty Two Week High 30.24
Fifty Two Week High Change -2.2700005
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.07506616
Fifty Two Week Low 8.59
Fifty Two Week Low Change 19.38
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 2.2561116
Fifty Two Week Range 8.59 - 30.24
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,272,288,600,000
Float Shares 143,638,628
Forward Eps 2.3
Forward P E 12.16087
Free Cashflow 61,330,500
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 810
Fullday Change -1.32
Fullday Change Percent -4.50666
Fullday Price 27.8042
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.61431
Gross Profits 211,152,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.03452
Held Percent Institutions 0.60059
Implied Shares Outstanding 144,036,168
Industry Silver
Industry Disp Silver
Industry Key silver
Ipo Expected Date 2,026-05-04
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,519,948,800
Last Split Factor 1:4
Long Business Summary Aya Gold & Silver Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, evaluation, and development of precious metals projects in Morocco. The company primarily explores for gold and silver deposits. Its flagship project holds 100% interests in the Zgounder property located east of Agadir in the Proterozoic Siroua Massif of the Anti-Atlas Range, Morocco covering an area of approximately 378 square kilometers. It has acquired strategic exploration portfolio comprising three mining licenses and 18 exploration permits covering approximately 259 km² of land across three distinct exploration projects located in Morocco. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is based in Mount Royal, Canada.
Long Name Aya Gold & Silver Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 4,028,691,200
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_44699093
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Name Change Date 2,026-08-28
Net Income To Common 112,717,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 4,207,000,891
Open 29.59
Operating Cashflow 174,815,008
Operating Margins 0.54859
Overall Risk 9
Payout Ratio 0.0
Post Market Change -0.1658001
Post Market Change Percent -0.5927783
Post Market Price 27.8042
Post Market Time 1,787,960,754
Prev Name Maya Gold and Silver Inc.
Previous Close 29.29
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 8.219218
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 11.7207155
Profit Margins 0.32793
Quick Ratio 1.658
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change -1.32
Regular Market Change Percent -4.50666
Regular Market Day High 30.0199
Regular Market Day Low 27.54
Regular Market Day Range 27.54 - 30.0199
Regular Market Open 29.59
Regular Market Previous Close 29.29
Regular Market Price 27.97
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,201
Regular Market Volume 1,735,743
Return On Assets 0.17954999
Return On Equity 0.25743
Revenue Growth 1.507
Revenue Per Share 2.401
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20504117
Sector Basic Materials
Sector Disp Basic Materials
Sector Key basic-materials
Share Holder Rights Risk 1
Shares Outstanding 144,036,168
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0504
Shares Short 8,086,614
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 9,341,599
Short Name Aya Gold & Silver Inc.
Short Ratio 10.15
Source Interval 15
State QC
Symbol AYA
Total Cash 183,098,000
Total Cash Per Share 1.271
Total Debt 86,344,000
Total Revenue 343,724,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 0.74
Trailing P E 37.797295
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 17.7742
Two Hundred Day Average Change 10.195799
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.57362914
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,735,743
Website https://ayagoldsilver.com
Zip H3P 3C8