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AXT, Inc. (AXTI)

Technology | Semiconductor Equipment & Materials | Fremont, United States | NasdaqGS
53.07 USD -4.84 (-8.358%) ⇩ (Oct. 16, 2026, 12:34 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★★☆Long-term:★★★⯪☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 6:21 a.m. EDT

The immediate outlook is explosively bullish, driven by a perfect storm of a massive earnings beat, surging institutional interest from giants like BlackRock, and aggressive options positioning that bets on a continuation of the rally. The stock has successfully navigated a volatile period to land on the right side of the AI trade, with momentum indicators flashing green despite a slight pullback from recent highs. However, the long-term picture remains a work in progress; while the business is showing signs of recovery with positive year-over-year growth and expanding margins, the valuation is still stretched relative to historical norms, and the company has yet to demonstrate the sustained profitability required to justify a premium multiple. The absence of a dividend program further limits its appeal as a defensive hold, making it purely a growth vehicle at this stage.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.127684
AutoARIMA0.145344
AutoETS0.145344
MSTL0.146946

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 33%
H-stat 0.85
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.380
Excess Kurtosis -0.98
Attribute Value
Sector Technology
Debt to Equity Ratio 10.667
Revenue per Share 2.473
Market Cap 3,479,970,304
Trailing P/E 1326.75
Forward P/E 23.59
Beta 1.86
Profit Margins 3.23%
Website https://www.axt.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 6:21 a.m. EDT: Speculators are aggressively positioning for a sharp upward move, evidenced by massive call volume at strikes significantly above the current price (e.g., 85, 90, 100) and heavy open interest walls at these levels. While there is notable put volume near the money, the overwhelming capital flow is directional bullishness, suggesting traders expect a breakout driven by the recent earnings beat and AI narrative.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 11.840355
Address1 4,281 Technology Drive
All Time High 143.16
All Time Low 0.66
Ask 60.93
Ask Size 1
Audit Risk 7
Average Daily Volume10 Day 8,752,280
Average Daily Volume3 Month 9,925,028
Average Volume 9,925,028
Average Volume10Days 8,752,280
Beta 1.86
Bid 46.14
Bid Size 1
Board Risk 7
Book Value 13.767
City Fremont
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 4
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 53.07
Current Ratio 4.765
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 56.58
Day Low 52.96
Debt To Equity 10.667
Display Name AXT
Dividend Yield 0.0
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,793,304,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,793,304,000
Earnings Timestamp 1,793,304,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,304,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,304,000
Ebitda 13,448,000
Ebitda Margins 0.10715
Enterprise To Ebitda 258.034
Enterprise To Revenue 27.648
Enterprise Value 3,470,040,576
Eps Current Year 0.868
Eps Forward 2.25
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.04
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 15
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 71.2712
Fifty Day Average Change -18.201202
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.25537947
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 1,184.0355
Fifty Two Week High 143.16
Fifty Two Week High Change -90.090004
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.6292959
Fifty Two Week Low 4.35
Fifty Two Week Low Change 48.72
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 11.200001
Fifty Two Week Range 4.35 - 143.16
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 895,757,400,000
Float Shares 61,608,463
Forward Eps 2.25
Forward P E 23.586666
Free Cashflow -44,417,000
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 1,541
Fullday Change -4.84
Fullday Change Percent -8.357797
Fullday Price 53.07
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.32184
Gross Profits 40,394,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.03977
Held Percent Institutions 0.73136
Implied Shares Outstanding 65,573,212
Industry Semiconductor Equipment & Materials
Industry Disp Semiconductor Equipment & Materials
Industry Key semiconductor-equipment-materials
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary AXT, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and distributes compound and single element semiconductor substrates. The company provides indium phosphide for use in data center connectivity using light/lasers, high-speed data transfer in data centers, 5G communications, fiber optic lasers and detectors, consumer devices, passive optical networks, silicon photonics, photonic integrated circuits, thermo-photovoltaics, RF amplifier and switching, infrared light-emitting diode (LEDS) motion control, lidar for robotics and autonomous vehicles, and infrared thermal imaging. It also offers semi-insulating gallium arsenide (GaAs) substrates for use in Wi-Fi and IoT devices, transistors, direct broadcast television, power amplifiers, satellite communications, and solar cells; and semi-conducting GaAs substrates that are used in LEDs, screen displays using micro-LEDs, printer head lasers and LEDs, 3-D sensing using VCSELs, data center communication using VCSELs, sensors for industrial robotics/near-infrared sensors, laser machining, cutting and drilling, optical couplers, solar cells, night vision goggles, lidar for robotics and autonomous vehicles, and other lasers. In addition, the company provides germanium substrates for use in multi-junction solar cells for satellites, optical sensors and detectors, terrestrial concentrated photo voltaic cells, infrared detectors, and carrier wafer for LED. Further, it offers 6N+ and 7N+ purified gallium, boron trioxide, gallium-magnesium alloy, pyrolytic boron nitride (pBN) crucibles, and pBN insulating parts. It sells its products through direct salesforce in the United States, China, and Europe, as well as through independent sales representatives and distributors in Japan, Taiwan, Korea, and internationally. The company was formerly known as American Xtal Technology, Inc. and changed its name to AXT, Inc. in July 2000. AXT, Inc. was incorporated in 1986 and is headquartered in Fremont, California.
Long Name AXT, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 3,479,970,304
Market State REGULAR
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_383981
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 3,877,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 4,785,533,011
Number Of Analyst Opinions 5
Open 56.2288
Operating Cashflow -5,761,000
Operating Margins 0.21902001
Overall Risk 5
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 12.09
Phone 510 438 4700
Previous Close 57.91
Price Eps Current Year 61.140556
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 3.8548703
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 27.726858
Profit Margins 0.0323
Quick Ratio 3.612
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change -4.84
Regular Market Change Percent -8.357797
Regular Market Day High 56.58
Regular Market Day Low 52.96
Regular Market Day Range 52.96 - 56.58
Regular Market Open 56.2288
Regular Market Previous Close 57.91
Regular Market Price 53.07
Regular Market Time 1,792,168,475
Regular Market Volume 4,701,467
Return On Assets 0.0034
Return On Equity 0.01012
Revenue Growth 1.648
Revenue Per Share 2.473
Sand P52 Week Change 0.16207206
Sector Technology
Sector Disp Technology
Sector Key technology
Share Holder Rights Risk 5
Shares Outstanding 65,573,212
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.16459998
Shares Short 10,794,708
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 9,192,428
Short Name AXT Inc
Short Percent Of Float 0.1719
Short Ratio 1.25
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol AXTI
Target High Price 125.0
Target Low Price 55.0
Target Mean Price 91.6
Target Median Price 93.0
Total Cash 417,198,016
Total Cash Per Share 6.499
Total Debt 101,530,000
Total Revenue 125,509,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 0.04
Trailing P E 1,326.75
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 62.86975
Two Hundred Day Average Change -9.799751
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.15587386
Type Disp Equity
Volume 4,701,467
Website https://www.axt.com
Zip 94,538