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Axogen, Inc. (AXGN)

Healthcare | Medical Devices | Alachua, United States | NasdaqCM
39.49 USD -1.09 (-2.686%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 6:11 a.m. EDT

The immediate outlook is driven by a sharp technical rebound and aggressive speculative positioning. After a brutal multi-year grind from 2018 to 2024, the stock has staged a massive recovery, nearly tripling in value over the last few years to trade near its 52-week highs. This resurgence has attracted heavy options speculation, with traders stacking call open interest at the $50 strike, betting on a continuation of this trend. However, the fundamental reality remains starkly different from the price action: the company is currently unprofitable with negative operating margins and a forward P/E that implies significant future earnings growth. While the balance sheet is surprisingly healthy with minimal debt and strong cash flow, the lack of a dividend and the persistent losses suggest the current rally is priced on a turnaround thesis rather than current execution. The statistical forecast model offers only a weak lean upward, confirming that while the momentum is real, the predictive signal is noisy. For investors, this is a high-risk, high-reward momentum play dependent on the company executing its turnaround, rather than a safe value investment.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.096172
MSTL_740.150689
MSTL_1260.157687
MSTL_74_1260.166352
MSTL0.181960
AutoTheta0.188391
AutoETS0.191428

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 37%
H-stat 0.51
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.989
Excess Kurtosis 0.07
Attribute Value
Sector Healthcare
Ex Dividend Date 2010-01-26
Last Dividend Date 2010-01-26
Debt to Equity Ratio 8.432
Revenue per Share 4.997
Market Cap 2,099,992,320
Forward P/E 54.22
Beta 1.09
Profit Margins -13.21%
Website https://www.axogeninc.com

As of July 11, 2026, 6:11 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily skewed toward bullish exposure, with open interest concentrated significantly in out-of-the-money calls (50 strike) compared to puts. The call side shows a distinct 'top OI' at the 50 strike for both July and August expirations, suggesting a speculative bet on a move to $50+. Put activity is sparse and mostly clustered deep in-the-money or at the money, indicating limited hedging against a crash. Implied volatility is elevated on the call side relative to the put side, reflecting asymmetric fear/greed where the upside potential is priced higher than the downside protection.


Dividend Data

Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2010-01-27 1.000000 22.222222
2005-02-23 0.060000 2.608696
1992-07-10 0.041723 0.497293
Additional Data
exDividendDate 2010-01-27
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0
lastDividendValue 1.0
lastDividendDate 2010-01-27
dividendDate 2010-02-12

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 2.37604
Address1 13,631 Progress Boulevard
Address2 Suite 400
All Time High 56.85
All Time Low 0.2
Ask 50.11
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 8
Average Analyst Rating 1.2 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,731,690
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,260,093
Average Volume 1,260,093
Average Volume10Days 1,731,690
Beta 1.089
Bid 29.58
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 2
Book Value 4.606
City Alachua
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 6
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 39.49
Current Ratio 7.101
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 41.52
Day Low 39.09
Debt To Equity 8.432
Display Name Axogen
Dividend Date 1,265,932,800
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,777,377,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,777,377,600
Earnings Timestamp 1,777,379,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,777,379,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,777,379,400
Ebitda -2,135,000
Ebitda Margins -0.00897
Enterprise To Ebitda -945.683
Enterprise To Revenue 8.48
Enterprise Value 2,019,033,216
Eps Current Year 0.48857
Eps Forward 0.72833
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.62
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,264,550,400
Exchange NCM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 386 462 6801
Fifty Day Average 42.595
Fifty Day Average Change -3.1049995
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.07289587
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 237.604
Fifty Two Week High 46.95
Fifty Two Week High Change -7.459999
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.15889242
Fifty Two Week Low 11.25
Fifty Two Week Low Change 28.240002
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 2.5102224
Fifty Two Week Range 11.25 - 46.95
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 535,213,800,000
Float Shares 52,021,738
Forward Eps 0.72833
Forward P E 54.21993
Free Cashflow 18,294,250
Full Exchange Name NasdaqCM
Full Time Employees 622
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.75013
Gross Profits 178,608,992
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.02187
Held Percent Institutions 0.93827003
Implied Shares Outstanding 53,177,824
Industry Medical Devices
Industry Disp Medical Devices
Industry Key medical-devices
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,264,550,400
Last Dividend Value 1.0
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 773,884,800
Last Split Factor 105:100
Long Business Summary Axogen, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development and commercialization of the technologies used for peripheral nerve regeneration and repair worldwide. The company offers Avance Nerve Graft, a processed nerve allograft intended for the surgical repair of peripheral nerve discontinuities; Axoguard Nerve Connector, a coaptation aid used to align and connect severed peripheral nerve ends in a tensionless repair; and Axoguard Nerve Protector, a product used to protect and wrap damaged peripheral nerves and reinforce reconstructed nerve gaps. It also provides Axoguard HA+ Nerve Protector, a surgical implant for non-constricting protection of the peripheral nerves; Axoguard Nerve Cap, a porcine submucosa ECM product; Avive+ Soft Tissue Matrix, a multi-layer amniotic membrane allograft; and Avance Method, a technique to process Avance Nerve Graft from donated human peripheral nerve tissue. In addition, the company offers peripheral nerve tissue recovery and acquisition, and testing, as well as donor medical review and release, debridement and other processing steps, packaging, and sterilization. It provides its products to hospitals, surgery centers and military hospitals, calling on surgeons, including plastic reconstructive surgeons, orthopedic and plastic hand surgeons, and certain oral and maxillofacial surgeons through independent in-country distributors. The company is headquartered in Alachua, Florida.
Long Name Axogen, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 2,099,992,320
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_20946777
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common -31,453,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 2,157,424,319
Number Of Analyst Opinions 9
Open 40.06
Operating Cashflow 15,556,000
Operating Margins -0.046079997
Overall Risk 3
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 99.04
Phone 386 462 6800
Previous Close 40.58
Price Eps Current Year 80.82772
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 8.5736
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 8.819607
Profit Margins -0.1321
Quick Ratio 4.994
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.22222
Region US
Regular Market Change -1.09
Regular Market Change Percent -2.68605
Regular Market Day High 41.52
Regular Market Day Low 39.09
Regular Market Day Range 39.09 - 41.52
Regular Market Open 40.06
Regular Market Previous Close 40.58
Regular Market Price 39.49
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,800
Regular Market Volume 1,261,532
Return On Assets -0.02322
Return On Equity -0.17964001
Revenue Growth 0.266
Revenue Per Share 4.997
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Healthcare
Sector Disp Healthcare
Sector Key healthcare
Share Holder Rights Risk 1
Shares Outstanding 53,177,824
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0872
Shares Short 4,634,995
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 3,369,844
Short Name AxoGen, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.1009
Short Ratio 3.24
Source Interval 15
State FL
Symbol AXGN
Target High Price 55.0
Target Low Price 48.0
Target Mean Price 50.77778
Target Median Price 50.0
Total Cash 101,601,000
Total Cash Per Share 1.911
Total Debt 20,642,000
Total Revenue 238,104,992
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.62
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 32.34145
Two Hundred Day Average Change 7.148552
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.22103375
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,261,532
Website https://www.axogeninc.com
Zip 32,615