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Defiance Daily Target 2X Long AVAV ETF (AVXX)

Trading--Leveraged Equity | Exchange Traded Fund | NasdaqGM
4.78 USD -0.28 (-5.534%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 4.81 +0.03 (0.628%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:54 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:★★☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 4:51 a.m. EDT

This is a dangerous instrument for a standard portfolio. It is a leveraged daily ETF tracking AeroVironment, which has suffered a catastrophic multi-year decline, dropping from highs near $74 to current levels around $6. The underlying business faces severe headwinds, evidenced by the relentless downward price trajectory over the last two years. While the recent 14-day price action shows a volatile bounce, it remains well below its 50-day and 200-day averages, confirming that the broader trend is still deeply bearish. The options market is pricing in a 'blow-off top' scenario—a sudden, sharp rally followed by an even sharper drop—which is a common pattern for leveraged funds in distress. With negligible trading volume relative to average and a single, isolated dividend payment, there is no safety net here. This is purely a speculative vehicle for traders willing to risk total loss on a potential short-term gamma squeeze, not a long-term investment.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.208493
AutoARIMA0.239569
AutoETS0.240837
MSTL0.265537

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 33%
H-stat 0.53
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.172
Excess Kurtosis -1.02

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 4:51 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a sharp, immediate spike followed by a collapse. On the nearest expiration, there is aggressive buying of out-of-the-money calls at the $7 strike alongside fresh put volume at the $8 strike, creating a classic 'long gamma' squeeze setup where volatility will likely explode and then vanish. Further out, open interest is heavily skewed toward deep out-of-the-money strikes ($11 calls, $3 puts), indicating bets on extreme tail events rather than a steady trend.


Dividend Data

Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2025-12-30 0.087 0.359356
Additional Data
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 73.746
All Time Low 4.58
Ask 8.65
Ask Size 2
Average Daily Volume10 Day 357,910
Average Daily Volume3 Month 559,453
Average Volume 559,453
Average Volume10Days 357,910
Beta3 Year 0.0
Bid 5.03
Bid Size 2
Category Trading--Leveraged Equity
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 5.09
Day Low 4.67
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NGM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 6.03934
Fifty Day Average Change -1.2593398
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.20852275
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -92.62106
Fifty Two Week High 73.746
Fifty Two Week High Change -68.966
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.9351829
Fifty Two Week Low 4.58
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.20000029
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.043668184
Fifty Two Week Range 4.58 - 73.746
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,761,312,600,000
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGM
Fullday Change -0.28
Fullday Change Percent -5.53359
Fullday Price 4.81
Fund Family Defiance ETFs LLC
Fund Inception Date 1,761,091,200
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Ipo Expected Date 2,025-10-24
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The fund is an actively managed exchange traded fund (“ETF”) that attempts to achieve two times (200%) the daily percentage change in the share price of the underlying security by employing derivatives, namely swap agreements and/or listed options contracts. The fund is expected to allocate between 40% and 60% of its assets as collateral for swap agreements or as premiums for purchased options contracts. The fund is non-diversified.
Long Name Defiance Daily Target 2X Long AVAV ETF
Market us_market
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1955615959
Nav Price 5.0675
Net Assets 9,436,252.0
Net Expense Ratio 1.31
Open 5.07
Post Market Change 0.029999733
Post Market Change Percent 0.62760943
Post Market Price 4.81
Post Market Time 1,787,961,284
Previous Close 5.06
Price Hint 4
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.28
Regular Market Change Percent -5.53359
Regular Market Day High 5.09
Regular Market Day Low 4.67
Regular Market Day Range 4.67 - 5.09
Regular Market Open 5.07
Regular Market Previous Close 5.06
Regular Market Price 4.78
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,201
Regular Market Volume 518,898
Short Name Defiance Daily Target 2x Long A
Source Interval 15
Symbol AVXX
Total Assets 9,436,252
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns -54.35877
Trailing Three Month Returns -54.35877
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 17.53767
Two Hundred Day Average Change -12.757669
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.7274438
Type Disp ETF
Volume 518,898
Ytd Return -78.39223