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Avalo Therapeutics, Inc. (AVTX)

Healthcare | Biotechnology | Wayne, United States | NasdaqCM
18.91 USD -0.30 (-1.562%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 18.91

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:⯪☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 4:56 a.m. EDT

The investment case here is structurally broken. Despite a 'strong buy' analyst recommendation and inclusion in major indices, the company's fundamentals reveal a catastrophic failure: revenue is negligible ($59k), operating margins are effectively infinite losses (-1341%), and the stock has erased 99.9% of its value over the last nine years. The price history shows four consecutive years of decline, confirming a multi-year structural deterioration where the market has correctly priced out the business. There is no dividend to provide income, and the balance sheet, while technically liquid, supports a company that cannot generate cash. While the recent price action shows some stabilization near $19, the options market is screaming caution, with massive put open interest indicating fear of further drops. The analyst targets are likely based on binary event speculation (a drug approval) rather than sustainable business value. Until there is concrete proof of a viable product pipeline generating revenue, this remains a speculative gamble on a lottery ticket, not an investment.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.220278
AutoETS0.232163
AutoARIMA0.232174
AutoTheta0.309846

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 33%
H-stat 0.60
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.415
Excess Kurtosis -0.82
Attribute Value
Sector Healthcare
Debt to Equity Ratio 0.48
Revenue per Share 0.004
Market Cap 994,014,976
Forward P/E -6.84
Beta 0.79
Previous Name Cerecor Inc.
Website https://www.avalotx.com

As of July 11, 2026, 4:56 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning heavily for downside protection with deep out-of-the-money puts dominating open interest across all expirations, while call activity remains sparse and concentrated near the money. This asymmetry suggests a market consensus expecting further volatility or a decline rather than a breakout.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 2.9204082
Address1 1,500 Liberty Ridge Drive
Address2 Suite 321
All Time High 22,032.0
All Time Low 3.39
Ask 23.29
Ask Size 2
Average Analyst Rating 1.1 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 2,244,520
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,991,155
Average Volume 1,991,155
Average Volume10Days 2,244,520
Beta 0.789
Bid 13.58
Bid Size 2
Book Value 2.773
City Wayne
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 18.91
Current Ratio 7.658
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 18.95
Day Low 18.0775
Debt To Equity 0.48
Display Name Avalo Therapeutics
Earnings Timestamp 1,778,675,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,786,537,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,786,537,800
Ebitda -78,931,000
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Ebitda -11.559
Enterprise To Revenue 15,463.559
Enterprise Value 912,349,952
Eps Current Year -2.55636
Eps Forward -2.76455
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -5.57
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NCM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 16.7212
Fifty Day Average Change 2.188799
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.13089962
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 292.04083
Fifty Two Week High 24.27
Fifty Two Week High Change -5.3600006
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.2208488
Fifty Two Week Low 4.723
Fifty Two Week Low Change 14.187
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 3.0038111
Fifty Two Week Range 4.723 - 24.27
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,444,829,400,000
Float Shares 40,269,433
Forward Eps -2.76455
Forward P E -6.840173
Free Cashflow -23,247,124
Full Exchange Name NasdaqCM
Full Time Employees 33
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.0
Gross Profits -39,523,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.01729
Held Percent Institutions 0.75281996
Implied Shares Outstanding 52,565,572
Industry Biotechnology
Industry Disp Biotechnology
Industry Key biotechnology
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,703,808,000
Last Split Factor 1:240
Long Business Summary Avalo Therapeutics, Inc., a clinical stage biotechnology company, develops IL-1ß-based treatments for immune-mediated inflammatory diseases in the Unites States. Its lead product includes AVTX-009, a humanized monoclonal antibody that binds to interleukin-1ß, which is in phase 2 clinical trial to treat inflammatory diseases. The company was formerly known as Cerecor Inc. and changed its name to Avalo Therapeutics, Inc. in August 2021. Avalo Therapeutics, Inc. was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Wayne, Pennsylvania.
Long Name Avalo Therapeutics, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 994,014,976
Market State POSTPOST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_145313032
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Name Change Date 2,026-07-13
Net Income To Common -84,740,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 1,008,207,670
Number Of Analyst Opinions 13
Open 18.93
Operating Cashflow -59,692,000
Operating Margins -1,341.644
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 410 522 8707
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 18.91
Post Market Time 1,783,973,404
Prev Name Cerecor Inc.
Previous Close 19.21
Price Eps Current Year -7.397237
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 6.8193293
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 16,847.71
Profit Margins 0.0
Quick Ratio 7.069
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.13333
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.299999
Regular Market Change Percent -1.56168
Regular Market Day High 18.95
Regular Market Day Low 18.0775
Regular Market Day Range 18.0775 - 18.95
Regular Market Open 18.93
Regular Market Previous Close 19.21
Regular Market Price 18.91
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,801
Regular Market Volume 697,806
Return On Assets -0.41502997
Return On Equity -0.88763
Revenue Per Share 0.004
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Healthcare
Sector Disp Healthcare
Sector Key healthcare
Shares Outstanding 52,565,572
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.2341
Shares Short 12,307,967
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 6,382,270
Short Name Avalo Therapeutics, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.2345
Short Ratio 5.86
Source Interval 15
State PA
Symbol AVTX
Target High Price 60.0
Target Low Price 34.0
Target Mean Price 44.69231
Target Median Price 42.0
Total Cash 81,993,000
Total Cash Per Share 1.56
Total Debt 328,000
Total Revenue 59,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -5.57
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 16.093475
Two Hundred Day Average Change 2.8165245
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.17501034
Type Disp Equity
Volume 697,806
Website https://www.avalotx.com
Zip 19,087