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Mission Produce, Inc. (AVO)

Consumer Defensive | Food Distribution | Oxnard, United States | NasdaqGS
12.77 USD +0.25 (1.997%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 12.77

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 3:49 a.m. EDT

The immediate outlook is mixed, caught between a recovering price trend and deteriorating business fundamentals. The stock has successfully reversed a severe multi-year decline, posting a +24.5% gain last year and a +5.97% gain the prior year, bringing the four-year cumulative loss down to -35.7%. However, this recovery is fragile; revenue growth has stalled at a sharp -23.5%, and operating margins remain negative. The balance sheet is also strained with debt-to-equity nearing 36% and a trailing P/E of 41x that masks the lack of earnings power. While insider buying and institutional accumulation suggest smart money sees potential, the underlying economics are not yet sound. The company is distributing cash via share repurchases rather than dividends, which is a positive signal for capital allocation but offers no income yield. The options market is optimistic, betting on a continuation of the recent rally, but this sentiment may be pricing in a turnaround that the financial statements do not yet support. Until revenue growth turns positive and operating margins stabilize, the investment case remains speculative rather than fundamental.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.139035
AutoARIMA0.139435
AutoETS0.139442
MSTL0.143602

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 42%
H-stat 4.39
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.189
Excess Kurtosis -0.81
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Defensive
Debt to Equity Ratio 35.595
Revenue per Share 17.637
Market Cap 1,128,581,248
Trailing P/E 39.91
Forward P/E 16.01
Beta 0.48
Profit Margins 1.83%
Website https://missionproduce.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 3:49 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a modest upside move, evidenced by heavy call Open Interest at strikes significantly above the current price (15.0 and 17.5), while put activity remains concentrated at lower strikes (10.0) with minimal volume compared to calls. Implied volatility is elevated for near-term expiration, suggesting uncertainty, but the skew favors buyers.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.027353168
Address1 2,710 Camino Del Sol
All Time High 22.93
All Time Low 8.19
Ask 16.12
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 5
Average Daily Volume10 Day 466,560
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,233,766
Average Volume 1,233,766
Average Volume10Days 466,560
Beta 0.48
Bid 12.75
Bid Size 1
Board Risk 6
Book Value 8.174
City Oxnard
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 5
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 12.77
Current Ratio 1.91
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 12.86
Day Low 12.42
Debt To Equity 35.595
Display Name Mission Produce
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,788,897,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,788,897,600
Earnings Timestamp 1,788,897,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,788,897,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,788,897,600
Ebitda 93,100,000
Ebitda Margins 0.074710004
Enterprise To Ebitda 14.453
Enterprise To Revenue 1.08
Enterprise Value 1,345,543,936
Eps Current Year 0.6275
Eps Forward 0.7975
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.32
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 12.7806
Fifty Day Average Change -0.010599136
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.00082931446
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 2.7353168
Fifty Two Week High 15.53
Fifty Two Week High Change -2.7599993
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.1777205
Fifty Two Week Low 10.07
Fifty Two Week Low Change 2.7000008
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.2681232
Fifty Two Week Range 10.07 - 15.53
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,601,645,400,000
Float Shares 47,315,570
Forward Eps 0.7975
Forward P E 16.012539
Free Cashflow 33,287,500
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 3,800
Fullday Change 0.25
Fullday Change Percent 1.9968
Fullday Price 12.77
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.12229
Gross Profits 152,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.38122
Held Percent Institutions 0.47274
Implied Shares Outstanding 88,377,546
Industry Food Distribution
Industry Disp Food Distribution
Industry Key food-distribution
Ipo Expected Date 2,020-10-01
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,761,868,800
Long Business Summary Mission Produce, Inc. engages in the sourcing, farming, packaging, marketing, and distribution of avocados, mangoes, and blueberries to food retailers, wholesalers, and foodservice customers in the United States and internationally. The company operates through three segments, Marketing and Distribution; International Farming; and Blueberries. It also provides ripening, bagging, custom packing, logistical management, and quality assurance services. In addition, the company offers merchandising and promotional support, and insights on market trends, and training services. Mission Produce, Inc. was founded in 1983 and is headquartered in Oxnard, California.
Long Name Mission Produce, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 1,128,581,248
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_153986005
Most Recent Quarter 1,777,507,200
Net Income To Common 22,800,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,793,404,800
Non Diluted Market Cap 1,105,763,983
Number Of Analyst Opinions 4
Open 12.42
Operating Cashflow 80,600,000
Operating Margins -0.00206
Overall Risk 7
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 805 981 3650
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 12.77
Post Market Time 1,787,959,806
Previous Close 12.52
Price Eps Current Year 20.3506
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.5622708
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.905618
Profit Margins 0.0183
Quick Ratio 1.032
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.25
Regular Market Change Percent 1.9968
Regular Market Day High 12.86
Regular Market Day Low 12.42
Regular Market Day Range 12.42 - 12.86
Regular Market Open 12.42
Regular Market Previous Close 12.52
Regular Market Price 12.77
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,201
Regular Market Volume 397,742
Return On Assets 0.03554
Return On Equity 0.0398
Revenue Growth -0.235
Revenue Per Share 17.637
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20204377
Sector Consumer Defensive
Sector Disp Consumer Defensive
Sector Key consumer-defensive
Share Holder Rights Risk 10
Shares Outstanding 88,377,546
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.053600002
Shares Short 4,730,766
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 5,121,394
Short Name Mission Produce, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.080699995
Short Ratio 5.88
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol AVO
Target High Price 18.0
Target Low Price 15.0
Target Mean Price 16.5
Target Median Price 16.5
Total Cash 33,000,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.374
Total Debt 217,700,000
Total Revenue 1,246,200,064
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 0.32
Trailing P E 39.906254
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 12.821
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.05099964
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.0039778207
Type Disp Equity
Volume 397,742
Website https://missionproduce.com
Zip 93,030