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Mission Produce, Inc. (AVO)

Consumer Defensive | Food Distribution | Oxnard, United States | NasdaqGS
14.29 USD +0.51 (3.701%) ⇧ (April 17, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 14.03 -0.26 (-0.260%) ⇩ (April 17, 2026, 7:58 p.m. EDT)

Short-term: ★★★☆☆ | Long-term: ★★☆☆☆ | Dividends: ☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | April 18, 2026, 11:34 p.m. EDT

Mission Produce presents a classic ' retroussé' (rebound) candidate with deteriorating fundamentals but stepped-up speculative interest. Recent price action is robust, but the January forecast model predicts a -2.07% drift, likely reaction to prior price levels or earnings misses. The lack of a dividend (0/5) and negative revenue growth make it a poor hold for income or defensive positioning. However, the $17.50 and $20.00 OTM calls for the Nov expiration suggest professionals are pricing in a strong finish to the year, betting that the recent dip was merely a buying opportunity. This is a high-risk momentum play waiting for a catalyst to cross the $15 technical resistance.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.045773
AutoTheta0.045848
AutoETS0.048275
AutoARIMA0.048275

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 58%
H-stat 2.10
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.202
Excess Kurtosis 0.49
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Defensive
Debt to Equity Ratio 32.221
Revenue per Share 18.896
Market Cap 1,012,394,624
Trailing P/E 31.07
Forward P/E 20.22
Beta 0.63
Profit Margins 2.48%
Website https://missionproduce.com

As of April 18, 2026, 11:34 p.m. EDT: Options activity shows a near-term defensive posture with ATM OI concentrations at $12.5 strikes on both sides for the April 17 expiry, suggesting range-bound expectations. Despite recent price gains, put volume and OI slightly exceed call volume at the ATM level ($12.5) for the near-term expiration, acting as a bottom-fishing signal. For longer expirations (May onwards), the speculative skew flips heavily to OTM calls ($17.50, $20.00 strikes), indicating a strong bias for upside acceleration if momentum resumes. Notably, volume at $12.50 calls is significantly higher than OI, indicating active options buying at the current support level rather than passive stock accumulation.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.38872695
Address1 2,710 Camino Del Sol
All Time High 22.93
All Time Low 8.19
Ask 14.39
Ask Size 10
Audit Risk 5
Average Daily Volume10 Day 986,250
Average Daily Volume3 Month 838,160
Average Volume 838,160
Average Volume10Days 986,250
Beta 0.629
Bid 14.23
Bid Size 10
Board Risk 6
Book Value 8.285
City Oxnard
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 6
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 14.29
Current Ratio 1.861
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,774,915,200
Day High 14.505
Day Low 13.9
Debt To Equity 32.221
Display Name Mission Produce
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,773,349,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,773,349,200
Earnings Timestamp 1,773,345,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,780,603,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,780,603,200
Ebitda 101,000,000
Ebitda Margins 0.075619996
Enterprise To Ebitda 11.887
Enterprise To Revenue 0.899
Enterprise Value 1,200,587,776
Eps Current Year 0.66
Eps Forward 0.70667
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.46
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 13.8514
Fifty Day Average Change 0.4385996
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.03166464
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 38.872696
Fifty Two Week High 15.53
Fifty Two Week High Change -1.2399998
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.07984544
Fifty Two Week Low 10.0
Fifty Two Week Low Change 4.29
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.429
Fifty Two Week Range 10.0 - 15.53
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,601,645,400,000
Float Shares 39,881,986
Forward Eps 0.70667
Forward P E 20.221603
Free Cashflow 34,762,500
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 3,800
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,775,001,600
Gross Margins 0.120170005
Gross Profits 160,500,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.4421
Held Percent Institutions 0.34509
Implied Shares Outstanding 70,846,364
Industry Food Distribution
Industry Disp Food Distribution
Industry Key food-distribution
Ipo Expected Date 2,020-10-01
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,761,868,800
Long Business Summary Mission Produce, Inc. engages in the sourcing, farming, packaging, marketing, and distribution of avocados, mangoes, and blueberries to food retailers, wholesalers, and foodservice customers in the United States and internationally. The company operates through three segments, Marketing and Distribution; International Farming; and Blueberries. It also provides ripening, bagging, custom packing, logistical management, and quality assurance services. In addition, the company offers merchandising and promotional support, and insights on market trends, and training services. Mission Produce, Inc. was founded in 1983 and is headquartered in Oxnard, California.
Long Name Mission Produce, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 1,012,394,624
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_153986005
Most Recent Quarter 1,769,817,600
Net Income To Common 33,100,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,793,404,800
Non Diluted Market Cap 1,012,394,541
Number Of Analyst Opinions 4
Open 13.9
Operating Cashflow 86,800,000
Operating Margins 0.0341
Overall Risk 6
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 805 981 3650
Post Market Change -0.26000023
Post Market Change Percent -1.8194557
Post Market Price 14.03
Post Market Time 1,776,470,315
Previous Close 13.78
Price Eps Current Year 21.651514
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.7248039
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.75800735
Profit Margins 0.02478
Quick Ratio 1.085
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.51
Regular Market Change Percent 3.70102
Regular Market Day High 14.505
Regular Market Day Low 13.9
Regular Market Day Range 13.9 - 14.505
Regular Market Open 13.9
Regular Market Previous Close 13.78
Regular Market Price 14.29
Regular Market Time 1,776,456,001
Regular Market Volume 1,135,254
Return On Assets 0.04072
Return On Equity 0.05686
Revenue Growth -0.166
Revenue Per Share 18.896
Sand P52 Week Change 0.38150132
Sector Consumer Defensive
Sector Disp Consumer Defensive
Sector Key consumer-defensive
Share Holder Rights Risk 7
Shares Outstanding 70,846,364
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0685
Shares Short 4,853,937
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,772,150,400
Shares Short Prior Month 4,445,413
Short Name Mission Produce, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.1181
Short Ratio 5.58
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol AVO
Target High Price 18.0
Target Low Price 15.0
Target Mean Price 16.25
Target Median Price 16.0
Total Cash 44,800,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.632
Total Debt 199,800,000
Total Revenue 1,335,600,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 0.46
Trailing P E 31.065216
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 12.6572
Two Hundred Day Average Change 1.6328001
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.12900168
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,135,254
Website https://missionproduce.com
Zip 93,030