Aviat Networks, Inc. (AVNW)Technology | Communication Equipment | Austin, United States | NasdaqGS
18.94 USD
-0.50
(-2.572%) ⇩
(Oct. 16, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 18.94 |
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 8:51 a.m. EDT
The investment case here is defined by a stark disconnect between the company's deteriorating operational reality and the market's aggressive pricing for a turnaround. Fundamentally, the business is struggling; revenue growth is sluggish at 4.8%, profitability is negligible with a return on equity under 1%, and the stock has suffered two consecutive years of declines, capping the long-term outlook despite a massive historical run-up. The balance sheet is fragile, with debt nearly matching cash reserves. However, the short-term catalyst appears to be a speculative bet on the 'BEAD' rural fiber buildout contracts, which has sparked a frenzy of call buying. The options chain shows a massive skew toward upside bets, with heavy open interest at strikes significantly above the current price, while put buyers are almost entirely absent. This indicates that smart money is positioning for a sharp rebound based on contract wins, ignoring the weak earnings and margin compression. The statistical forecast model offers no help, showing a weak, low-confidence signal that the price will barely move in either direction over the next month. This confirms that the current price action is driven purely by sentiment and contract speculation rather than a sustainable trend. For investors, the risk is high: if the fiber deals do not translate into immediate, material revenue recognition, the crowded long options positions could unwind quickly, leaving the stock trapped in a low-margin, unprofitable cycle. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoARIMA ✓ | 0.045845 |
| AutoETS | 0.045859 |
| AutoTheta | 0.046238 |
| MSTL | 0.046345 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 37% |
| H-stat | 5.12 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.934 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.26 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Technology |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 37.093 |
| Revenue per Share | 34.224 |
| Market Cap | 243,542,480 |
| Trailing P/E | 99.68 |
| Forward P/E | 6.33 |
| Beta | 0.68 |
| Profit Margins | 0.58% |
| Website | https://www.aviatnetworks.com |
As of Oct. 10, 2026, 8:51 a.m. EDT: Speculators are overwhelmingly bullish on the upside, evidenced by massive open interest in out-of-the-money calls (strikes $25 and $30) compared to negligible put volume. This creates a heavy gamma exposure that suggests a crowded trade expecting a significant rally, while downside protection is virtually absent.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.18782163 |
| Address1 | 200C Parker Drive |
| Address2 | Suite 100A |
| All Time High | 291.0 |
| All Time Low | 2.855 |
| Ask | 24.72 |
| Ask Size | 2 |
| Audit Risk | 10 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 1.1 - Strong Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 87,660 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 146,840 |
| Average Volume | 146,840 |
| Average Volume10Days | 87,660 |
| Beta | 0.682 |
| Bid | 13.91 |
| Bid Size | 2 |
| Board Risk | 2 |
| Book Value | 20.895 |
| City | Austin |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,798,675,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 4 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 18.94 |
| Current Ratio | 1.968 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,790,726,400 |
| Day High | 19.755 |
| Day Low | 18.94 |
| Debt To Equity | 37.093 |
| Display Name | Aviat Networks |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,787,833,800 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,787,833,800 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,787,833,800 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,793,709,000 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,793,709,000 |
| Ebitda | 27,499,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.06254 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 9.775 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 0.611 |
| Enterprise Value | 268,798,144 |
| Eps Current Year | 2.54571 |
| Eps Forward | 2.99 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 0.19 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NMS |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 15 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fax | 512 827 0350 |
| Fifty Day Average | 20.3686 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -1.4286003 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.07013738 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -18.782162 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 27.02 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -8.08 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.29903775 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 13.92 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 5.0200005 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.3606322 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 13.92 - 27.02 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 548,429,400,000 |
| Float Shares | 11,395,674 |
| Forward Eps | 2.99 |
| Forward P E | 6.3344483 |
| Free Cashflow | 3,228,750 |
| Full Exchange Name | NasdaqGS |
| Full Time Employees | 898 |
| Fullday Change | -0.5 |
| Fullday Change Percent | -2.5720165 |
| Fullday Price | 18.94 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,790,812,800 |
| Gross Margins | 0.31453 |
| Gross Profits | 138,291,008 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.09409001 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.85310996 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 12,858,631 |
| Industry | Communication Equipment |
| Industry Disp | Communication Equipment |
| Industry Key | communication-equipment |
| Ir Website | http://investors.aviatnetworks.com/ |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,783,036,800 |
| Last Split Date | 1,617,840,000 |
| Last Split Factor | 2:1 |
| Long Business Summary | Aviat Networks, Inc. provides microwave networking and wireless access networking solutions in North America, Africa, the Middle East, Europe, Latin America, and the Asia Pacific. The company provides outdoor, indoor, and split-mount radios; microwave routers, and trunking; private LTE/5G, access and network management products; narrow band multi-point radios, designed, and optimised for SCADA and telemetry applications; and hosted software products, such as aviat design, frequency assurance, aviatcloud, and health assurance software. It also offers project services, which include design and engineering, site and path surveys, assembly and integration, project management, and install and commission; and managed services, such as network and interference monitoring, network health, onsite maintenance, and remote upgrades. The company serves communications service providers and private network operators, including transportation agencies, energy and utility companies, public safety agencies, and broadcast network operators, as well as federal, state, and local government agencies. It markets its products through a direct sales, service, and support organization; and indirect sales channels comprising dealers, resellers, and sales representatives, as well as online. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas. |
| Long Name | Aviat Networks, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 243,542,480 |
| Market State | CLOSED |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_30028982 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,783,036,800 |
| Net Income To Common | 2,539,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,814,572,800 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 256,542,841 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 8 |
| Open | 19.43 |
| Operating Cashflow | 13,558,000 |
| Operating Margins | 0.06305 |
| Overall Risk | 3 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Peg Ratio | 5.33 |
| Phone | 512 265 3680 |
| Post Market Change | 0.0 |
| Post Market Change Percent | 0.0 |
| Post Market Price | 18.94 |
| Post Market Time | 1,792,180,842 |
| Previous Close | 19.44 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 7.4399676 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 0.906437 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 0.55390596 |
| Profit Margins | 0.00577 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.556 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | strong_buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 1.125 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -0.5 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -2.57202 |
| Regular Market Day High | 19.755 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 18.94 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 18.94 - 19.755 |
| Regular Market Open | 19.43 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 19.44 |
| Regular Market Price | 18.94 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,792,180,801 |
| Regular Market Volume | 80,290 |
| Return On Assets | 0.02169 |
| Return On Equity | 0.00957 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.048 |
| Revenue Per Share | 34.224 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.13723719 |
| Sector | Technology |
| Sector Disp | Technology |
| Sector Key | technology |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 1 |
| Shares Outstanding | 12,858,631 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.0872 |
| Shares Short | 1,121,566 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,788,134,400 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 1,096,677 |
| Short Name | Aviat Networks, Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.09020001 |
| Short Ratio | 6.81 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | TX |
| Symbol | AVNW |
| Target High Price | 42.0 |
| Target Low Price | 25.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 32.75 |
| Target Median Price | 32.0 |
| Total Cash | 72,844,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 5.69 |
| Total Debt | 99,181,000 |
| Total Revenue | 439,681,984 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | 0.19 |
| Trailing P E | 99.68421 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 21.26705 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -2.3270493 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.109420404 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 80,290 |
| Website | https://www.aviatnetworks.com |
| Zip | 78,728 |