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Aviat Networks, Inc. (AVNW)

Technology | Communication Equipment | Austin, United States | NasdaqGS
21.08 USD -0.57 (-2.633%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 21.08

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 5:10 a.m. EDT

The investment case here is defined by a stark disconnect between aggressive analyst targets and deteriorating operational reality. While the forward P/E of 7.6x suggests the market prices in a massive earnings turnaround, the company is currently reporting negative revenue growth (-11.2%) and negative free cash flow. The price action reflects this tension: the stock recently rallied off its lows, yet it remains trapped below its 200-day moving average, indicating that the broader market remains skeptical of the 'AI networking' narrative without concrete execution proof. The absence of any dividend support makes this a pure speculation on a fundamental reset. For now, the data supports a neutral stance; the gap between the $31 analyst mean and the current price is too wide to justify a buy without seeing the revenue trajectory turn positive first.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.206794
AutoARIMA0.207310
AutoETS0.207314
AutoTheta0.208858

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 42%
H-stat 0.07
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.204
Excess Kurtosis -1.26
Attribute Value
Sector Technology
Debt to Equity Ratio 39.248
Revenue per Share 33.89
Market Cap 272,763,872
Trailing P/E 30.55
Forward P/E 7.45
Beta 0.70
Profit Margins 2.08%
Website https://www.aviatnetworks.com

As of July 11, 2026, 5:10 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a modest upside move, evidenced by heavy open interest in out-of-the-money calls at the $25 and $30 strikes relative to puts. However, implied volatility is elevated on both sides, suggesting uncertainty rather than a confirmed directional bet. The lack of significant volume in deep out-of-the-money calls indicates limited speculative fervor for a massive rally.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.07715261
Address1 200 Parker Drive
Address2 Suite C100A
All Time High 291.0
All Time Low 2.855
Ask 27.04
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 10
Average Analyst Rating 1.1 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 153,540
Average Daily Volume3 Month 203,483
Average Volume 203,483
Average Volume10Days 153,540
Beta 0.701
Bid 15.22
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 3
Book Value 21.037
City Austin
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 4
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 21.08
Current Ratio 1.99
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 21.8
Day Low 21.0
Debt To Equity 39.248
Display Name Aviat Networks
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,777,928,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,777,928,400
Earnings Timestamp 1,777,924,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,777,924,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,777,924,800
Ebitda 31,014,000
Ebitda Margins 0.071440004
Enterprise To Ebitda 9.715
Enterprise To Revenue 0.694
Enterprise Value 301,302,880
Eps Current Year 1.56714
Eps Forward 2.82857
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.69
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 512 827 0350
Fifty Day Average 18.9484
Fifty Day Average Change 2.1315994
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.11249495
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -7.715261
Fifty Two Week High 27.02
Fifty Two Week High Change -5.9400005
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.21983717
Fifty Two Week Low 13.92
Fifty Two Week Low Change 7.16
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.5143678
Fifty Two Week Range 13.92 - 27.02
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 548,429,400,000
Float Shares 11,621,967
Forward Eps 2.82857
Forward P E 7.4525294
Free Cashflow -8,094,625
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 920
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.32366002
Gross Profits 140,512,992
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.09375
Held Percent Institutions 0.83111
Implied Shares Outstanding 12,939,463
Industry Communication Equipment
Industry Disp Communication Equipment
Industry Key communication-equipment
Ir Website http://investors.aviatnetworks.com/
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,750,982,400
Last Split Date 1,617,840,000
Last Split Factor 2:1
Long Business Summary Aviat Networks, Inc. provides microwave networking and wireless access networking solutions in North America, Africa, the Middle East, Europe, Latin America, and the Asia Pacific. The company offers outdoor, indoor, and split-mount radios; microwave routers, and trunking; private LTE/5G, virtual fiber, and network management products; narrow band multi-point radios, designed, and optimised for SCADA and telemetry applications; and hosted software products, such as aviat design, frequency assurance, aviatcloud, and health assurance software. It also provides project services, which include design and engineering, site and path surveys, assembly and integration, project management, and install and commission; and managed services, such as network and interference monitoring, network health, onsite maintenance, and remote upgrades. The company serves communications service providers and private network operators, including transportation agencies, energy and utility companies, public safety agencies, and broadcast network operators, as well as federal, state, and local government agencies. It markets its products through a direct sales, service, and support organization; and indirect sales channels comprising dealers, resellers, and sales representatives, as well as online. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas.
Long Name Aviat Networks, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 272,763,872
Market State POSTPOST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_30028982
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,569,600
Net Income To Common 9,012,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,782,518,400
Non Diluted Market Cap 280,009,979
Number Of Analyst Opinions 8
Open 21.5
Operating Cashflow 20,983,000
Operating Margins 0.012619999
Overall Risk 3
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 5.33
Phone 408 941 7100
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 21.08
Post Market Time 1,783,981,117
Previous Close 21.65
Price Eps Current Year 13.451255
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.002044
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.62829274
Profit Margins 0.02076
Quick Ratio 1.551
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.125
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.57
Regular Market Change Percent -2.63279
Regular Market Day High 21.8
Regular Market Day Low 21.0
Regular Market Day Range 21.0 - 21.8
Regular Market Open 21.5
Regular Market Previous Close 21.65
Regular Market Price 21.08
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,801
Regular Market Volume 77,036
Return On Assets 0.02476
Return On Equity 0.034140002
Revenue Growth -0.112
Revenue Per Share 33.89
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Technology
Sector Disp Technology
Sector Key technology
Share Holder Rights Risk 1
Shares Outstanding 12,939,463
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.067
Shares Short 866,437
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 892,096
Short Name Aviat Networks, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.069
Short Ratio 4.91
Source Interval 15
State TX
Symbol AVNW
Target High Price 42.0
Target Low Price 25.0
Target Mean Price 31.625
Target Median Price 30.5
Total Cash 78,129,000
Total Cash Per Share 6.038
Total Debt 106,668,000
Total Revenue 434,135,008
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 0.69
Trailing P E 30.550724
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 21.92395
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.8439503
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.038494445
Type Disp Equity
Volume 77,036
Website https://www.aviatnetworks.com
Zip 78,728