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Defiance Daily Target 2X Long AVGO ETF (AVGX)

Trading--Leveraged Equity | Exchange Traded Fund | NasdaqGM
59.25 USD +2.23 (3.911%) ⇧ (April 17, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 59.11 -0.14 (-0.140%) ⇩ (April 17, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT)

Short-term: ★★★★☆ | Long-term: ☆☆☆☆☆ | Dividends: ★★★★★
Hot Take | April 18, 2026, 10:13 p.m. EDT

AVGX is currently a dangerous instrument for long-term holding due to its aggressive 2x leverage, which has removed almost all accrual potential over the past year, despite delivering a copycat 2X NAV annualized yield via dividends. While the dividend yield (2.22%) keeps the credit rating high due to consistency, the fundamental structure is deteriorating, making it a 'buy and sell quickly' play rather than a hold. The recent 15-day price surge (approx. 85% gain) is a massive simulated event that leaves the price vulnerable to mean reversion; coupled with recent 45-day model corrections and heavy downside put flow, the risk/reward is skewed heavily against the long-term buyer, therefore a short-term momentum play is the only logical case, but the long-term thesis is flawed.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.082514
AutoETS0.084321
MSTL0.093125
AutoTheta0.123692

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 48%
H-stat 5.26
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.423
Excess Kurtosis -0.18

As of April 18, 2026, 10:13 p.m. EDT: Options flow signals severe ambiguity with contrasting narratives. Short-term, traders are effectively betting on a range-bound market, evidenced by massive OI walls at key levels (e.g., 50-60 strikes for calls, 33-50 for puts) and high IV spikes on deep OTM strips (32/35 calls, 20-30 puts), suggesting speculation on sharp moves away from the current mean without a directional lean. However, the disproportionate put volume and specific IV spikes at lower strikes (20-30 range) suggest downside hedging or bearish sentiment for the near term, conflicting with the recent price momentum. Long-dated options show heavy OI concentration at the 2X NAV levels (40-50 range), reinforcing stability expectations.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
1.62% 1.62%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2025-12-30 0.775 1.618292
2024-12-31 0.262 0.821256
Additional Data
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0
dividendYield 2.22

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 70.31
All Time Low 9.871
Ask 59.38
Ask Size 1
Average Daily Volume10 Day 649,100
Average Daily Volume3 Month 886,883
Average Volume 886,883
Average Volume10Days 649,100
Beta3 Year 0.0
Bid 59.25
Bid Size 1
Category Trading--Leveraged Equity
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 59.34
Day Low 57.575
Dividend Yield 2.22
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NGM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 41.2708
Fifty Day Average Change 17.979198
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.43563968
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 333.11404
Fifty Two Week High 70.31
Fifty Two Week High Change -11.059998
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.15730335
Fifty Two Week Low 12.91
Fifty Two Week Low Change 46.34
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 3.5894656
Fifty Two Week Range 12.91 - 70.31
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,724,333,400,000
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGM
Fund Family Defiance ETFs LLC
Fund Inception Date 1,724,198,400
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Ipo Expected Date 2,024-08-22
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The fund is an actively managed exchange traded fund (“ETF”) that attempts to achieve two times (200%) the daily percentage change in the share price of the underlying security by employing derivatives, namely swap agreements and/or listed options contracts. The fund is non-diversified.
Long Name Defiance Daily Target 2X Long AVGO ETF
Market us_market
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1878721784
Nav Price 59.3511
Net Assets 165,175,504.0
Net Expense Ratio 1.3
Open 57.75
Post Market Change -0.13999939
Post Market Change Percent -0.2362859
Post Market Price 59.11
Post Market Time 1,776,470,346
Previous Close 57.02
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change 2.23
Regular Market Change Percent 3.91091
Regular Market Day High 59.34
Regular Market Day Low 57.575
Regular Market Day Range 57.575 - 59.34
Regular Market Open 57.75
Regular Market Previous Close 57.02
Regular Market Price 59.25
Regular Market Time 1,776,456,001
Regular Market Volume 460,376
Short Name Defiance Daily Target 2X Long A
Source Interval 15
Symbol AVGX
Total Assets 165,175,504
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns -25.35685
Trailing Three Month Returns -25.35685
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 46.11214
Two Hundred Day Average Change 13.137859
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.28491107
Type Disp ETF
Volume 460,376
Yield 0.0222
Ytd Return -25.35685