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AEVEX Corp. (AVEX)

Industrials | Aerospace & Defense | Solana Beach, United States | NYSE
15.30 USD +0.11 (0.724%) ⇧ (Oct. 16, 2026, 3:20 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★⯪☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 5:39 a.m. EDT

The investment case for AEVEX is currently fractured by a severe disconnect between its operational reality and its market pricing. Fundamentally, the company is bleeding cash with negative operating cash flow and a negative book value, while trading at a trailing P/E of nearly 70x—a valuation that implies massive, sustained profitability that the current financials do not support. Although revenue growth is reported at 99.5%, this likely reflects a base effect from a very small prior year rather than a robust expansion engine, especially given the lack of analyst coverage and the negative consensus on backlog rebuilding. Technically, the stock is trapped below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, confirming a downtrend where sellers dominate. The options market reinforces this bearish sentiment; traders are buying significant put protection at strikes well below the current price, betting on further declines, while call buyers are chasing deep out-of-the-money lottery tickets far into the future. With no dividend to provide income and a balance sheet showing net debt relative to equity, the risk/reward profile is skewed heavily against the buyer. This remains a speculative vehicle for those willing to ignore deteriorating fundamentals in hopes of a narrative turnaround, but it lacks the financial bedrock required for a standard investment.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.148717
AutoARIMA0.246424
AutoETS0.246432
MSTL0.249046

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 26%
H-stat 2.40
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.007
Excess Kurtosis 1.35
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Debt to Equity Ratio 16.049
Revenue per Share 12.343
Market Cap 1,058,723,392
Trailing P/E 72.86
Forward P/E 21.51
Profit Margins 6.53%
Website https://www.aevex.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 5:39 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioned for downside protection, with massive open interest in out-of-the-money puts (strikes $12.50-$17.50) expiring in late 2026 and early 2027. Call activity is concentrated in deep out-of-the-money strikes ($30-$40) for 2027+, suggesting a speculative 'lottery ticket' thesis rather than a conviction in near-term recovery. The skew indicates a market expecting a continued grind lower or a binary event-driven spike.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.43594503
Address1 440 Stevens Avenue
Address2 Suite 150
All Time High 42.34
All Time Low 13.07
Ask 15.21
Ask Size 200
Average Analyst Rating 1.6 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,607,470
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,534,364
Average Volume 1,534,364
Average Volume10Days 1,607,470
Bid 15.19
Bid Size 200
Book Value -9.451
City Solana Beach
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 15.3
Current Ratio 5.664
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 15.81
Day Low 15.14
Debt To Equity 16.049
Display Name AEVEX
Dividend Yield 0.0
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,564,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,564,800
Earnings Timestamp 1,786,564,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,794,513,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,794,513,600
Ebitda 103,768,000
Ebitda Margins 0.14887
Enterprise To Ebitda 18.868
Enterprise To Revenue 2.809
Enterprise Value 1,957,887,360
Eps Current Year 0.445
Eps Forward 0.71135
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.21
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 20
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 17.1086
Fifty Day Average Change -1.8086004
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.105712935
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -43.594505
Fifty Two Week High 42.34
Fifty Two Week High Change -27.04
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.6386396
Fifty Two Week Low 13.07
Fifty Two Week Low Change 2.2300005
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.17061979
Fifty Two Week Range 13.07 - 42.34
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,776,432,600,000
Float Shares 19,902,404
Forward Eps 0.71135
Forward P E 21.5084
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 650
Fullday Change 0.11000061
Fullday Change Percent 0.72416466
Fullday Price 15.3
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.25394
Gross Profits 177,006,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.20409
Held Percent Institutions 0.86633
Implied Shares Outstanding 69,197,606
Industry Aerospace & Defense
Industry Disp Aerospace & Defense
Industry Key aerospace-defense
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary AEVEX Corp. operates as a defense technology contractor and enabler of the U.S. Unmanned Aerial Systems (UAS) dominance strategy mission. The company operates in two segments, Tactical Systems and Global Solutions. The Tactical Systems designs and manufactures battle-tested, autonomous, modular, and attritable unmanned systems, including UAS and unmanned surface vehicles with other mission critical products. The Global Solutions provides bespoke mission solutions, including AI-enabled airborne intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance (ISR), C-UAS, additive manufacturing, and specialized mission aircraft engineering, modification, and testing. The company was founded in 2020 and is based in Solana Beach, California.
Long Name AEVEX Corp.
Market us_market
Market Cap 1,058,723,392
Market State REGULAR
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1991436724
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 22,440,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 1,137,608,642
Number Of Analyst Opinions 9
Open 15.39
Operating Cashflow -61,158,000
Operating Margins 0.10212
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 858 704 4125
Previous Close 15.19
Price Eps Current Year 34.382023
Price Hint 2
Price To Book -1.6188763
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.5189173
Profit Margins 0.06534
Quick Ratio 5.302
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.6
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.11000061
Regular Market Change Percent 0.72416466
Regular Market Day High 15.81
Regular Market Day Low 15.14
Regular Market Day Range 15.14 - 15.81
Regular Market Open 15.39
Regular Market Previous Close 15.19
Regular Market Price 15.3
Regular Market Time 1,792,178,439
Regular Market Volume 1,050,844
Revenue Growth 0.995
Revenue Per Share 12.343
Sand P52 Week Change 0.16207206
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Shares Outstanding 69,197,606
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.051999997
Shares Short 3,595,180
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 3,777,728
Short Name AEVEX Corp.
Short Percent Of Float 0.081599995
Short Ratio 2.85
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol AVEX
Target High Price 45.0
Target Low Price 20.0
Target Mean Price 31.88889
Target Median Price 32.0
Total Cash 215,238,000
Total Cash Per Share 3.812
Total Debt 108,096,000
Total Revenue 697,025,024
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 0.21
Trailing P E 72.85715
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 20.592222
Two Hundred Day Average Change -5.292222
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.257001
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,050,844
Website https://www.aevex.com
Zip 92,075