AEVEX Corp. (AVEX)Industrials | Aerospace & Defense | Solana Beach, United States | NYSE
17.75 USD
-1.01
(-5.384%) ⇩
(Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 18.01 +0.26 (1.465%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:52 p.m. EDT) |
Hot Take ↕ | Aug. 22, 2026, 1:17 a.m. EDT
The investment case for AEVEX is currently bifurcated between a speculative narrative and deteriorating operational reality. On the surface, the company boasts a pristine balance sheet with a current ratio of 5.66 and manageable debt, which supports the 'strong buy' analyst consensus and the aggressive call option positioning seen in the market. However, the underlying business fundamentals tell a different story: the company is burning cash with negative operating cash flow of -$61 million and has a negative book value of -$9.45, indicating that the market is pricing in a severe impairment of assets or a complete restructuring of the equity base. The recent price action shows a failed attempt to rally, closing near the 52-week low after a brief spike, while the statistical forecast model leans slightly negative with low confidence, reflecting the uncertainty surrounding the new public offering and backlog rebuilding efforts. Without a proven path to profitability or a clear turnaround in cash generation, the negative book value and cash burn prevent a long-term buy rating, leaving the stock as a high-risk speculative vehicle dependent on a successful pivot. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoTheta ✓ | 0.148182 |
| AutoETS | 0.160841 |
| MSTL | 0.166169 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.445419 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 32% |
| H-stat | 1.81 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.312 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -1.04 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Industrials |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 16.049 |
| Revenue per Share | 12.343 |
| Market Cap | 1,002,348,416 |
| Trailing P/E | 31.70 |
| Forward P/E | 29.83 |
| Profit Margins | 6.53% |
| Website | https://www.aevex.com |
As of Aug. 22, 2026, 1:17 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for significant volatility rather than a clear directional bet. Call open interest is heavily skewed out-of-the-money (OTM) across all expirations, suggesting bets on a sharp rally to $25-$40, while put open interest is concentrated in-the-money (ITM) at lower strikes ($15-$20), indicating a hedge against a drop back to $15. The massive volume spike in OTM calls for the October expiration suggests a speculative 'lottery ticket' thesis on a major catalyst, but the heavy ITM put positioning acts as a floor, creating a volatile range-bound environment rather than a confirmed trend.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.3408838 |
| Address1 | 440 Stevens Avenue |
| Address2 | Suite 150 |
| All Time High | 42.34 |
| All Time Low | 13.07 |
| Ask | 17.75 |
| Ask Size | 600 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 1.5 - Strong Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 1,235,500 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 2,191,222 |
| Average Volume | 2,191,222 |
| Average Volume10Days | 1,235,500 |
| Bid | 17.53 |
| Bid Size | 600 |
| Book Value | -9.451 |
| City | Solana Beach |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 17.75 |
| Current Ratio | 5.664 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,786,665,600 |
| Day High | 18.86 |
| Day Low | 17.6 |
| Debt To Equity | 16.049 |
| Display Name | AEVEX |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,786,564,800 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,786,564,800 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,786,564,800 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,794,513,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,794,513,600 |
| Ebitda | 103,768,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.14887 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 20.261 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 3.016 |
| Enterprise Value | 2,102,451,456 |
| Eps Current Year | 0.38751 |
| Eps Forward | 0.595 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 0.56 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 17.8756 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -0.12560081 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.0070263827 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -34.08838 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 42.34 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -24.59 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.58077466 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 13.07 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 4.6800003 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.35807195 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 13.07 - 42.34 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,776,432,600,000 |
| Float Shares | 32,629,688 |
| Forward Eps | 0.595 |
| Forward P E | 29.831932 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE |
| Full Time Employees | 650 |
| Fullday Change | -1.01 |
| Fullday Change Percent | -5.3838 |
| Fullday Price | 18.01 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Gross Margins | 0.25394 |
| Gross Profits | 177,006,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.023120001 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 1.04641 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 56,470,333 |
| Industry | Aerospace & Defense |
| Industry Disp | Aerospace & Defense |
| Industry Key | aerospace-defense |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | AEVEX Corp. operates as a defense technology contractor and enabler of the U.S. Unmanned Aerial Systems (UAS) dominance strategy mission. The company operates in two segments, Tactical Systems and Global Solutions. The Tactical Systems designs and manufactures battle-tested, autonomous, modular, and attritable unmanned systems, including UAS and unmanned surface vehicles with other mission critical products. The Global Solutions provides bespoke mission solutions, including AI-enabled airborne intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance (ISR), C-UAS, additive manufacturing, and specialized mission aircraft engineering, modification, and testing. The company was founded in 2020 and is based in Solana Beach, California. |
| Long Name | AEVEX Corp. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 1,002,348,416 |
| Market State | CLOSED |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_1991436724 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,782,777,600 |
| Net Income To Common | 22,440,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 1,059,383,447 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 7 |
| Open | 18.75 |
| Operating Cashflow | -61,158,000 |
| Operating Margins | 0.10212 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Phone | 858 704 4125 |
| Post Market Change | 0.26000023 |
| Post Market Change Percent | 1.46479 |
| Post Market Price | 18.01 |
| Post Market Time | 1,787,961,143 |
| Previous Close | 18.76 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 45.80527 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | -1.8781081 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 1.4380379 |
| Profit Margins | 0.06534 |
| Quick Ratio | 5.302 |
| Quote Source Name | Delayed Quote |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | strong_buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 1.5 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -1.01 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -5.3838 |
| Regular Market Day High | 18.86 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 17.6 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 17.6 - 18.86 |
| Regular Market Open | 18.75 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 18.76 |
| Regular Market Price | 17.75 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,787,947,202 |
| Regular Market Volume | 1,080,349 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.995 |
| Revenue Per Share | 12.343 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20204377 |
| Sector | Industrials |
| Sector Disp | Industrials |
| Sector Key | industrials |
| Shares Outstanding | 56,470,333 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.057600003 |
| Shares Short | 3,255,461 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,784,073,600 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 3,462,877 |
| Short Name | AEVEX Corp. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.1039 |
| Short Ratio | 1.67 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | CA |
| Symbol | AVEX |
| Target High Price | 45.0 |
| Target Low Price | 31.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 36.0 |
| Target Median Price | 35.0 |
| Total Cash | 215,238,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 3.812 |
| Total Debt | 108,096,000 |
| Total Revenue | 697,025,024 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | 0.56 |
| Trailing P E | 31.696428 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 22.34043 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -4.5904293 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.20547633 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 1,080,349 |
| Website | https://www.aevex.com |
| Zip | 92,075 |