AEVEX Corp. (AVEX)Industrials | Aerospace & Defense | Solana Beach, United States | NYSE
15.30 USD
+0.11
(0.724%)
⇧
(Oct. 16, 2026, 3:20 p.m.
EDT)
|
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 5:39 a.m. EDT
The investment case for AEVEX is currently fractured by a severe disconnect between its operational reality and its market pricing. Fundamentally, the company is bleeding cash with negative operating cash flow and a negative book value, while trading at a trailing P/E of nearly 70x—a valuation that implies massive, sustained profitability that the current financials do not support. Although revenue growth is reported at 99.5%, this likely reflects a base effect from a very small prior year rather than a robust expansion engine, especially given the lack of analyst coverage and the negative consensus on backlog rebuilding. Technically, the stock is trapped below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, confirming a downtrend where sellers dominate. The options market reinforces this bearish sentiment; traders are buying significant put protection at strikes well below the current price, betting on further declines, while call buyers are chasing deep out-of-the-money lottery tickets far into the future. With no dividend to provide income and a balance sheet showing net debt relative to equity, the risk/reward profile is skewed heavily against the buyer. This remains a speculative vehicle for those willing to ignore deteriorating fundamentals in hopes of a narrative turnaround, but it lacks the financial bedrock required for a standard investment. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoTheta ✓ | 0.148717 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.246424 |
| AutoETS | 0.246432 |
| MSTL | 0.249046 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 26% |
| H-stat | 2.40 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.007 |
| Excess Kurtosis | 1.35 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Industrials |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 16.049 |
| Revenue per Share | 12.343 |
| Market Cap | 1,058,723,392 |
| Trailing P/E | 72.86 |
| Forward P/E | 21.51 |
| Profit Margins | 6.53% |
| Website | https://www.aevex.com |
As of Oct. 10, 2026, 5:39 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioned for downside protection, with massive open interest in out-of-the-money puts (strikes $12.50-$17.50) expiring in late 2026 and early 2027. Call activity is concentrated in deep out-of-the-money strikes ($30-$40) for 2027+, suggesting a speculative 'lottery ticket' thesis rather than a conviction in near-term recovery. The skew indicates a market expecting a continued grind lower or a binary event-driven spike.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.43594503 |
| Address1 | 440 Stevens Avenue |
| Address2 | Suite 150 |
| All Time High | 42.34 |
| All Time Low | 13.07 |
| Ask | 15.21 |
| Ask Size | 200 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 1.6 - Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 1,607,470 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 1,534,364 |
| Average Volume | 1,534,364 |
| Average Volume10Days | 1,607,470 |
| Bid | 15.19 |
| Bid Size | 200 |
| Book Value | -9.451 |
| City | Solana Beach |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 15.3 |
| Current Ratio | 5.664 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,790,726,400 |
| Day High | 15.81 |
| Day Low | 15.14 |
| Debt To Equity | 16.049 |
| Display Name | AEVEX |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,786,564,800 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,786,564,800 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,786,564,800 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,794,513,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,794,513,600 |
| Ebitda | 103,768,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.14887 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 18.868 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 2.809 |
| Enterprise Value | 1,957,887,360 |
| Eps Current Year | 0.445 |
| Eps Forward | 0.71135 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 0.21 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 20 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 17.1086 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -1.8086004 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.105712935 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -43.594505 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 42.34 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -27.04 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.6386396 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 13.07 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 2.2300005 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.17061979 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 13.07 - 42.34 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,776,432,600,000 |
| Float Shares | 19,902,404 |
| Forward Eps | 0.71135 |
| Forward P E | 21.5084 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE |
| Full Time Employees | 650 |
| Fullday Change | 0.11000061 |
| Fullday Change Percent | 0.72416466 |
| Fullday Price | 15.3 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Gross Margins | 0.25394 |
| Gross Profits | 177,006,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.20409 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.86633 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 69,197,606 |
| Industry | Aerospace & Defense |
| Industry Disp | Aerospace & Defense |
| Industry Key | aerospace-defense |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | AEVEX Corp. operates as a defense technology contractor and enabler of the U.S. Unmanned Aerial Systems (UAS) dominance strategy mission. The company operates in two segments, Tactical Systems and Global Solutions. The Tactical Systems designs and manufactures battle-tested, autonomous, modular, and attritable unmanned systems, including UAS and unmanned surface vehicles with other mission critical products. The Global Solutions provides bespoke mission solutions, including AI-enabled airborne intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance (ISR), C-UAS, additive manufacturing, and specialized mission aircraft engineering, modification, and testing. The company was founded in 2020 and is based in Solana Beach, California. |
| Long Name | AEVEX Corp. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 1,058,723,392 |
| Market State | REGULAR |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_1991436724 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,782,777,600 |
| Net Income To Common | 22,440,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 1,137,608,642 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 9 |
| Open | 15.39 |
| Operating Cashflow | -61,158,000 |
| Operating Margins | 0.10212 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Phone | 858 704 4125 |
| Previous Close | 15.19 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 34.382023 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | -1.6188763 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 1.5189173 |
| Profit Margins | 0.06534 |
| Quick Ratio | 5.302 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 1.6 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 0.11000061 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 0.72416466 |
| Regular Market Day High | 15.81 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 15.14 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 15.14 - 15.81 |
| Regular Market Open | 15.39 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 15.19 |
| Regular Market Price | 15.3 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,792,178,439 |
| Regular Market Volume | 1,050,844 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.995 |
| Revenue Per Share | 12.343 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.16207206 |
| Sector | Industrials |
| Sector Disp | Industrials |
| Sector Key | industrials |
| Shares Outstanding | 69,197,606 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.051999997 |
| Shares Short | 3,595,180 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,788,134,400 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 3,777,728 |
| Short Name | AEVEX Corp. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.081599995 |
| Short Ratio | 2.85 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | CA |
| Symbol | AVEX |
| Target High Price | 45.0 |
| Target Low Price | 20.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 31.88889 |
| Target Median Price | 32.0 |
| Total Cash | 215,238,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 3.812 |
| Total Debt | 108,096,000 |
| Total Revenue | 697,025,024 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | 0.21 |
| Trailing P E | 72.85715 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 20.592222 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -5.292222 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.257001 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 1,050,844 |
| Website | https://www.aevex.com |
| Zip | 92,075 |