AvalonBay Communities, Inc. (AVB)Real Estate | REIT - Residential | Arlington, United States | NYSE
194.53 USD
+2.69
(1.402%)
⇧
(July 13, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 186.98 -7.55 (-7.552%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 7:08 p.m. EDT) |
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 3:33 a.m. EDT
AvalonBay is showing strong technical momentum, trading well above its key moving averages and rallying over the past two weeks, which supports a bullish short-term outlook. However, the long-term picture is clouded by a stretched valuation profile; the forward P/E of nearly 40x contrasts sharply with sluggish 2.5% revenue growth and a high payout ratio nearing 90%, limiting the margin for error. While the dividend yield is attractive, the payout sustainability is fragile given the earnings pressure. Investors should view this as a tactical trade rather than a core hold, watching for confirmation that earnings can support the lofty forward multiples. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| MSTL_55_105 ✓ | 0.049153 |
| MSTL_105 | 0.055294 |
| MSTL_55 | 0.068734 |
| MSTL | 0.072526 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.072876 |
| AutoETS | 0.073245 |
| AutoTheta | 0.074960 |
Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL_55_105
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 56% |
| H-stat | 1.70 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.524 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.47 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Real Estate |
| Ex Dividend Date | 2026-06-29 |
| Last Dividend Date | 2026-06-29 |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 81.307 |
| Revenue per Share | 21.687 |
| Market Cap | 27,598,372,864 |
| Trailing P/E | 23.75 |
| Forward P/E | 39.93 |
| Beta | 0.78 |
| Profit Margins | 37.27% |
| Website | https://www.avaloncommunities.com |
As of July 11, 2026, 3:33 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a range-bound to slightly higher trade, with heavy call open interest clustered at the 195 and 200 strikes for the near term. However, significant put open interest sits deep out-of-the-money at 140 and 150, while fresh ATM put volume suggests active hedging against a potential pullback. Implied volatility remains elevated around 30%.
| Last Yield | 1yr Yield | 3yr Avg | 5yr Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.94% | 3.90% | 3.56% | 3.44% |
| Date | Dividend | Yield % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | 1.780 | 0.943346 |
| 2026-03-31 | 1.780 | 1.089685 |
| 2025-12-31 | 1.750 | 0.965198 |
| 2025-09-30 | 1.750 | 0.905938 |
| 2025-06-30 | 1.750 | 0.859951 |
| 2025-03-31 | 1.750 | 0.815395 |
| 2024-12-31 | 1.700 | 0.772833 |
| 2024-09-30 | 1.700 | 0.754717 |
| 2024-06-28 | 1.700 | 0.821693 |
| 2024-03-27 | 1.700 | 0.925472 |
| 2023-12-28 | 1.650 | 0.870253 |
| 2023-09-28 | 1.650 | 0.963279 |
| 2023-06-29 | 1.650 | 0.877473 |
| 2023-03-30 | 1.650 | 1.010658 |
| 2022-12-29 | 1.590 | 0.977559 |
| 2022-09-29 | 1.590 | 0.876033 |
| 2022-06-29 | 1.590 | 0.815050 |
| 2022-03-30 | 1.590 | 0.631078 |
| 2021-12-30 | 1.590 | 0.632811 |
| 2021-10-01 | 1.590 | 0.713773 |
| 2021-06-29 | 1.590 | 0.756027 |
| 2021-03-30 | 1.590 | 0.848588 |
| 2020-12-30 | 1.590 | 1.006011 |
| 2020-09-29 | 1.590 | 1.077820 |
| 2020-06-29 | 1.590 | 1.039216 |
| 2020-03-30 | 1.590 | 1.045365 |
| 2019-12-30 | 1.520 | 0.732107 |
| 2019-09-27 | 1.520 | 0.709385 |
| 2019-06-27 | 1.520 | 0.754567 |
| 2019-03-28 | 1.520 | 0.756520 |
| 2018-12-28 | 1.470 | 0.851335 |
| 2018-09-27 | 1.470 | 0.827097 |
| 2018-06-28 | 1.470 | 0.857593 |
| 2018-03-28 | 1.470 | 0.896068 |
| 2017-12-28 | 1.420 | 0.795162 |
| 2017-09-28 | 1.420 | 0.795073 |
| 2017-06-28 | 1.420 | 0.737547 |
| 2017-03-29 | 1.420 | 0.773926 |
| 2016-12-28 | 1.350 | 0.776130 |
| 2016-09-28 | 1.350 | 0.743433 |
| 2016-06-28 | 1.350 | 0.758811 |
| 2016-03-29 | 1.350 | 0.711988 |
| 2015-12-29 | 1.250 | 0.673709 |
| 2015-09-28 | 1.250 | 0.747429 |
| 2015-06-26 | 1.250 | 0.771986 |
| 2015-03-27 | 1.250 | 0.717896 |
| 2014-12-29 | 1.160 | 0.692785 |
| 2014-09-26 | 1.160 | 0.822520 |
| 2014-06-26 | 1.160 | 0.820542 |
| 2014-03-27 | 1.160 | 0.895476 |
| 2013-12-27 | 1.070 | 0.899840 |
| 2013-09-26 | 1.070 | 0.824981 |
| 2013-06-26 | 1.070 | 0.791420 |
| 2013-03-26 | 1.070 | 0.841923 |
| 2012-12-27 | 0.970 | 0.714391 |
| 2012-09-26 | 0.970 | 0.716608 |
| 2012-06-27 | 0.970 | 0.709479 |
| 2012-03-28 | 0.970 | 0.702899 |
| 2011-12-28 | 0.893 | 0.686923 |
| 2011-09-28 | 0.893 | 0.762857 |
| 2011-06-28 | 0.893 | 0.701217 |
| 2011-03-30 | 0.893 | 0.755499 |
| 2010-12-28 | 0.893 | 0.790405 |
| 2010-09-29 | 0.893 | 0.858654 |
| 2010-06-28 | 0.893 | 0.912528 |
| 2010-03-29 | 0.893 | 1.028091 |
| 2009-12-29 | 0.893 | 1.060948 |
| 2009-09-24 | 0.893 | 1.243906 |
| 2009-06-26 | 0.893 | 1.612204 |
| 2009-03-30 | 0.893 | 2.037417 |
| 2008-12-24 | 2.700 | 4.687500 |
| 2008-10-01 | 0.893 | 0.925868 |
| 2008-06-26 | 0.893 | 1.007901 |
| 2008-03-28 | 0.893 | 0.939012 |
| 2007-12-27 | 0.850 | 0.905122 |
| 2007-09-26 | 0.850 | 0.713027 |
| 2007-06-27 | 0.850 | 0.700222 |
| 2007-03-29 | 0.850 | 0.675568 |
| 2006-12-27 | 0.780 | 0.614899 |
| 2006-09-28 | 0.780 | 0.649080 |
| 2006-06-28 | 0.780 | 0.727544 |
| 2006-03-29 | 0.780 | 0.707868 |
| 2005-12-28 | 0.710 | 0.787576 |
| 2005-09-29 | 0.710 | 0.840933 |
| 2005-06-28 | 0.710 | 0.900672 |
| 2005-03-30 | 0.710 | 1.065586 |
| 2004-12-29 | 0.700 | 0.933956 |
| 2004-09-29 | 0.700 | 1.176866 |
| 2004-06-29 | 0.700 | 1.248439 |
| 2004-03-30 | 0.700 | 1.310861 |
| 2003-12-29 | 0.700 | 1.444788 |
| 2003-09-29 | 0.700 | 1.502146 |
| 2003-06-27 | 0.700 | 1.627907 |
| 2003-03-28 | 0.700 | 1.898048 |
| 2002-12-27 | 0.700 | 1.813472 |
| 2002-09-27 | 0.700 | 1.674641 |
| 2002-06-26 | 0.700 | 1.502146 |
| 2002-03-27 | 0.700 | 1.397206 |
| 2001-12-27 | 0.640 | 1.355932 |
| 2001-09-27 | 0.640 | 1.366354 |
| 2001-06-27 | 0.640 | 1.375752 |
| 2001-03-28 | 0.640 | 1.387083 |
| 2000-12-27 | 0.560 | 1.137056 |
| 2000-09-27 | 0.560 | 1.168188 |
| 2000-06-28 | 0.560 | 1.336316 |
| 2000-03-30 | 0.560 | 1.539519 |
| 1999-12-29 | 0.520 | 1.507246 |
| 1999-09-28 | 0.520 | 1.569811 |
| 1999-06-28 | 0.510 | 1.464991 |
| 1999-03-30 | 0.510 | 1.609467 |
| 1998-12-29 | 0.510 | 1.536723 |
| 1998-09-28 | 0.510 | 1.478261 |
| 1998-06-26 | 0.510 | 1.394872 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.05006188 |
| Address1 | 4,040 Wilson Boulevard, Suite 1000 |
| All Time High | 259.05 |
| All Time Low | 16.75 |
| Ask | 0.0 |
| Ask Size | 100 |
| Audit Risk | 6 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 2.5 - Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 971,590 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 1,097,519 |
| Average Volume | 1,097,519 |
| Average Volume10Days | 971,590 |
| Beta | 0.78 |
| Bid | 0.0 |
| Bid Size | 100 |
| Board Risk | 6 |
| Book Value | 82.716 |
| City | Arlington |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 1 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 194.53 |
| Current Ratio | 0.375 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,782,777,600 |
| Day High | 195.93 |
| Day Low | 193.3 |
| Debt To Equity | 81.307 |
| Display Name | AvalonBay Communities |
| Dividend Date | 1,784,073,600 |
| Dividend Rate | 7.12 |
| Dividend Yield | 3.71 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,777,395,600 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,777,395,600 |
| Earnings Growth | 0.403 |
| Earnings Quarterly Growth | 0.377 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,784,750,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,784,750,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,784,750,400 |
| Ebitda | 1,846,126,976 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.60330003 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 19.851 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 11.976 |
| Enterprise Value | 36,648,275,968 |
| Eps Current Year | 4.52258 |
| Eps Forward | 4.87178 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 8.19 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Ex Dividend Date | 1,782,777,600 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fax | 703 329 9130 |
| Fifty Day Average | 186.0046 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | 8.525406 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | 0.045834385 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -5.0061884 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 205.0 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -10.470001 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.051073175 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 160.1 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 34.429993 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.21505304 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 160.1 - 205.0 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 763,396,200,000 |
| Five Year Avg Dividend Yield | 3.37 |
| Float Shares | 130,322,493 |
| Forward Eps | 4.87178 |
| Forward P E | 39.929966 |
| Free Cashflow | 1,392,035,584 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE |
| Full Time Employees | 3,011 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,782,864,000 |
| Gross Margins | 0.62727 |
| Gross Profits | 1,919,479,040 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.00402 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.96675 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 141,872,069 |
| Industry | REIT - Residential |
| Industry Disp | REIT - Residential |
| Industry Key | reit-residential |
| Ir Website | http://www.snl.com/irweblinkx/stockinfo.aspx?iid=103145 |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Dividend Date | 1,782,777,600 |
| Last Dividend Value | 1.78 |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | AvalonBay Communities, Inc. is committed to creating a better way to live. The Company, a member of the S&P 500, owns, develops, and manages approximately 90,000 apartment homes across the U.S., with a primary concentration in major coastal markets including Boston, the New York/New Jersey metro area, the Mid-Atlantic, Seattle, and Northern and Southern California, diversified by a targeted presence in the high-growth markets of North Carolina, Southeast Florida, Texas, and Colorado. AvalonBay Communities, Inc. was incorporated in 1978 in Maryland and is based in Arlington, Virginia. |
| Long Name | AvalonBay Communities, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 27,598,372,864 |
| Market State | PREPRE |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_329141 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,774,915,200 |
| Net Income To Common | 1,138,256,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 27,216,737,716 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 18 |
| Open | 193.39 |
| Operating Cashflow | 1,674,135,040 |
| Operating Margins | 0.2932 |
| Overall Risk | 5 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.8711 |
| Peg Ratio | 7.17 |
| Phone | 703 329 6300 |
| Post Market Change | -7.552002 |
| Post Market Change Percent | -3.8821785 |
| Post Market Price | 186.978 |
| Post Market Time | 1,783,984,126 |
| Previous Close | 191.84 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 43.013058 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 2.3517818 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 9.0189 |
| Profit Margins | 0.37268 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.052 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 2.5 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 2.69 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 1.40221 |
| Regular Market Day High | 195.93 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 193.3 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 193.3 - 195.93 |
| Regular Market Open | 193.39 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 191.84 |
| Regular Market Price | 194.53 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,783,972,802 |
| Regular Market Volume | 748,107 |
| Return On Assets | 0.02646 |
| Return On Equity | 0.09719 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.025 |
| Revenue Per Share | 21.687 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20847368 |
| Sector | Real Estate |
| Sector Disp | Real Estate |
| Sector Key | real-estate |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 8 |
| Shares Outstanding | 141,872,069 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.0211 |
| Shares Short | 2,998,509 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,780,012,800 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 3,582,454 |
| Short Name | AvalonBay Communities, Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.0293 |
| Short Ratio | 2.36 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | VA |
| Symbol | AVB |
| Target High Price | 221.0 |
| Target Low Price | 172.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 197.22221 |
| Target Median Price | 196.5 |
| Total Cash | 124,626,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 0.897 |
| Total Debt | 9,524,757,504 |
| Total Revenue | 3,060,059,904 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 7.03 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.036645122 |
| Trailing Eps | 8.19 |
| Trailing P E | 23.752138 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 179.91666 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | 14.613342 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | 0.08122284 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 748,107 |
| Website | https://www.avaloncommunities.com |
| Zip | 22,203-2120 |