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AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV)

Industrials | Aerospace & Defense | Arlington, United States | NasdaqGS
141.80 USD -2.78 (-1.923%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 142.50 +0.70 (0.492%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 7:58 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★★⯪Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 7:08 a.m. EDT

AeroVironment presents a compelling dichotomy between current profitability and explosive growth potential. While the company is currently burning cash with negative free flow and earnings, the underlying business fundamentals are exceptionally strong, evidenced by a staggering 133% revenue growth rate and a massive backlog expansion to $1.2 billion. The recent $500 million Army contract validates the core technology and provides a clear runway for future earnings conversion. The nine-year price trajectory reflects this dominance, delivering an 868% cumulative gain, yet the stock has recently corrected from its highs, trading below its 50-day moving average. Analysts see significant room for expansion, with a mean target nearly double the current price. While the lack of a dividend and high valuation multiples pose risks, the strategic positioning in counter-drone technology and the government contract pipeline make this a high-conviction long-term hold, despite the short-term technical noise and volatility.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.098857
AutoTheta0.101032
AutoETS0.101645
MSTL0.103081

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 34%
H-stat 3.84
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.976
Excess Kurtosis -0.06
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Debt to Equity Ratio 18.971
Revenue per Share 40.272
Market Cap 7,176,219,136
Forward P/E 31.29
Beta 1.40
Profit Margins -13.41%
Website https://www.avinc.com

As of July 11, 2026, 7:08 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning aggressively for upside with heavy out-of-the-money call volume concentrated at 160, 170, and 250 strikes, suggesting a belief in continued momentum beyond current levels. Put writing remains active near the 145-180 range, acting as a hedge against volatility, but implied volatility is elevated across the board, indicating heightened expectations for a move in either direction. The skew favors calls, reflecting optimism following the earnings beat and contract announcements.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.45441508
Address1 241 18th Street South
Address2 Suite 650
All Time High 417.86
All Time Low 16.98
Ask 153.9
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 10
Average Analyst Rating 1.6 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 3,485,860
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,600,308
Average Volume 1,600,308
Average Volume10Days 3,485,860
Beta 1.395
Bid 132.22
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 5
Book Value 87.271
City Arlington
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 4
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 141.8
Current Ratio 4.304
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 145.86
Day Low 141.15
Debt To Equity 18.971
Display Name AeroVironment
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,782,765,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,782,765,000
Earnings Timestamp 1,782,763,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,788,379,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,788,379,200
Ebitda 194,632,992
Ebitda Margins 0.09846
Enterprise To Ebitda 37.774
Enterprise To Revenue 3.719
Enterprise Value 7,351,975,936
Eps Current Year 3.32567
Eps Forward 4.53158
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -5.39
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 171.5542
Fifty Day Average Change -29.754196
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.17343904
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -45.44151
Fifty Two Week High 417.86
Fifty Two Week High Change -276.06
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.6606519
Fifty Two Week Low 135.2
Fifty Two Week Low Change 6.600006
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.048816614
Fifty Two Week Range 135.2 - 417.86
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,169,562,600,000
Float Shares 37,878,653
Forward Eps 4.53158
Forward P E 31.291515
Free Cashflow -251,387,504
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 3,991
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.25325
Gross Profits 500,641,984
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00907
Held Percent Institutions 0.89572996
Implied Shares Outstanding 50,608,030
Industry Aerospace & Defense
Industry Disp Aerospace & Defense
Industry Key aerospace-defense
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,777,507,200
Long Business Summary AeroVironment, Inc., a defense technology provider, designs, develops, produces, delivers, and supports a portfolio of robotic systems and related services for government agencies and businesses in the United States and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Autonomous Systems; and Space, Cyber and Directed Energy. The company provides uncrewed aircraft systems (UAS), which include small and medium UAS, and kinesis command and control software; and counter-UAS and precision strike, a loitering munitions solution that deliver actionable intelligence and precision firepower modern warfighters, including precision strike, radio frequency and kinetic C-UAS, and electronic warfare systems. It also offers autonomy, AI, and platform technologies; unmanned maritime; and uncrewed ground systems. The company provides digital beamforming technology, a multi-band/beam software defined antenna tile that allows simultaneous communication with multiple satellites; laser communications, a data transmission systems for space operations; space-qualified hardware for line of sight stabilization and control electronics in low, medium, and geostationary earth orbit, as well as cislunar orbits; phased array antenna technology to supports hypersonic telemetry and tracking, and other missile testing; and directed energy solution. It also offers cyber solutions for national security and defense operations. AeroVironment, Inc. was incorporated in 1971 and is headquartered in Arlington, Virginia.
Long Name AeroVironment, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 7,176,219,136
Market State POSTPOST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1674636
Most Recent Quarter 1,777,507,200
Net Income To Common -265,122,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,809,043,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 7,316,908,977
Number Of Analyst Opinions 18
Open 144.05
Operating Cashflow -78,404,000
Operating Margins 0.02812
Overall Risk 4
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 1.57
Phone 703 418 2828
Post Market Change 0.69718933
Post Market Change Percent 0.49167088
Post Market Price 142.4972
Post Market Time 1,783,987,110
Previous Close 144.58
Price Eps Current Year 42.638027
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.6248238
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 3.6301374
Profit Margins -0.13411
Quick Ratio 3.472
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.65
Region US
Regular Market Change -2.78
Regular Market Change Percent -1.92281
Regular Market Day High 145.86
Regular Market Day Low 141.15
Regular Market Day Range 141.15 - 145.86
Regular Market Open 144.05
Regular Market Previous Close 144.58
Regular Market Price 141.8
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,801
Regular Market Volume 1,234,682
Return On Assets -0.01287
Return On Equity -0.10029
Revenue Growth 1.333
Revenue Per Share 40.272
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Share Holder Rights Risk 4
Shares Outstanding 50,608,030
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.081
Shares Short 4,098,727
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 4,609,551
Short Name AeroVironment, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.1073
Short Ratio 2.27
Source Interval 15
State VA
Symbol AVAV
Target High Price 450.0
Target Low Price 166.0
Target Mean Price 245.3839
Target Median Price 230.0
Total Cash 632,297,024
Total Cash Per Share 12.541
Total Debt 834,788,992
Total Revenue 1,976,845,056
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -5.39
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 251.33815
Two Hundred Day Average Change -109.53815
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.4358198
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,234,682
Website https://www.avinc.com
Zip 22,202