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Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc. (AVAH)

Healthcare | Medical Care Facilities | Atlanta, United States | NasdaqGS
6.82 USD -0.05 (-0.801%) ⇩ (April 21, 2026, 10:30 a.m. EDT)

Short-term: ★★★☆☆ | Long-term: ★★★☆☆ | Dividends: ☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | April 19, 2026, 12:24 a.m. EDT

AVAH presents a 'value trap' signal mixed with fundamental optimism; the market is decoupling from the earnings report. While Q4 results and 2026 revenue outlooks have driven analyst upgrades and a 'buy' consensus, the price remains well below the $9.60 mean target, and recent 14-day price action treats the $7.03 50-day average as immediate resistance. The most telling data point is the options flow: traders are explicitly buying downside insurance at deep lows ($2.50 calls) while rejecting near-term upside bets. This suggests the 'optimism' story is priced in by professionals, but retail speculators are setting limits down, creating a volatile environment where the stock could resist moving up until the fundamental story convincingly drifts above the $7.00 psychological barrier.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.111742
AutoETS0.157931
AutoTheta0.230645
AutoARIMA0.248629

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 43%
H-stat 13.40
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.298
Excess Kurtosis -1.05
Attribute Value
Sector Healthcare
Debt to Equity Ratio 775.911
Revenue per Share 11.955
Market Cap 1,482,331,008
Trailing P/E 6.49
Forward P/E 9.75
Beta 2.09
Profit Margins 9.25%
Website https://www.aveanna.com

As of April 19, 2026, 12:24 a.m. EDT: 9-day hedging reveals a distinct long-biased positioning in the downside. In September 2026, traders established 32 lots of calls in the money at the $2.50 strike compared to only 3 lots at the $7.50 ATM strike, indicating a strong premium on protection/capital preservation. Conversely, put option volume is negligible, with zero flow recorded for September expirations. The longer-dated May/June calls show low Open Interest (69/178 total), suggesting limited positioning for a short-term rally, while the IV for deeper OTM calls (10.00 strike) is elevated (1.6x), hinting at speculative fear of a decline rather than bullish breakouts.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.5720824
Address1 400 Interstate North Parkway SE
Address2 Suite 1600
All Time High 13.0
All Time Low 0.666
Ask 8.7
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 9
Average Analyst Rating 2.0 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,243,320
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,181,595
Average Volume 1,181,595
Average Volume10Days 1,243,320
Beta 2.086
Bid 4.92
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 10
Book Value 0.925
City Atlanta
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,735,603,200
Compensation Risk 6
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 6.815
Current Ratio 1.32
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,774,915,200
Day High 6.88
Day Low 6.75
Debt To Equity 775.911
Display Name Aveanna Healthcare
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,773,928,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,773,928,800
Earnings Growth 4.652
Earnings Quarterly Growth 5.126
Earnings Timestamp 1,773,923,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,778,157,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,778,157,000
Ebitda 289,079,008
Ebitda Margins 0.11881
Enterprise To Ebitda 9.726
Enterprise To Revenue 1.156
Enterprise Value 2,811,643,136
Eps Current Year 0.62578
Eps Forward 0.69867
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 1.05
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 770 248 8192
Fifty Day Average 6.9972
Fifty Day Average Change -0.18219995
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.02603898
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 57.20824
Fifty Two Week High 10.32
Fifty Two Week High Change -3.5049996
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.33963177
Fifty Two Week Low 3.73
Fifty Two Week Low Change 3.085
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.82707775
Fifty Two Week Range 3.73 - 10.32
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,619,616,600,000
Float Shares 79,932,767
Forward Eps 0.69867
Forward P E 9.754247
Free Cashflow 79,116,624
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 3,500
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,775,001,600
Gross Margins 0.33054
Gross Profits 804,281,024
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.05805
Held Percent Institutions 0.90202004
Implied Shares Outstanding 217,510,047
Industry Medical Care Facilities
Industry Disp Medical Care Facilities
Industry Key medical-care-facilities
Ipo Expected Date 2,021-04-29
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,398,400
Long Business Summary Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc., a diversified home care platform company, provides pediatric and adult healthcare services in the United States. Its patient-centered care delivery platform allows patients to remain in their homes and minimizes the overutilization of high-cost care settings, such as hospitals or skilled nursing facilities. The company operates through three segments: Private Duty Services (PDS), Home Health & Hospice (HHH), and Medical Solutions (MS). The PDS segment offers private duty nursing (PDN) services, which include in-home skilled nursing services to medically complex children and adults; nursing services in school settings in which its caregivers accompany patients to school; services to patients in its pediatric day healthcare centers; and non-clinical care, including support services and personal care services; and in-clinic and home-based therapy services, such as physical, occupational, and speech services. The HHH segment provides home health services, including in-home skilled nursing services; physical, occupational, and speech therapy services; and medical social and aide services, as well as hospice services for patients and their families when a life-limiting illness no longer responds to cure-oriented treatments. The MS segment offers enteral nutrition supplies and other products, including formulas, supplies, and pumps to adults and children delivered on a periodic or as-needed basis. The company was incorporated in 2016 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
Long Name Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 1,482,331,008
Market State REGULAR
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_575366670
Most Recent Quarter 1,767,398,400
Net Income To Common 225,034,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,934,400
Non Diluted Market Cap 1,494,294,016
Number Of Analyst Opinions 10
Open 6.87
Operating Cashflow 125,857,000
Operating Margins 0.11350001
Overall Risk 9
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 770 441 1580
Previous Close 6.87
Price Eps Current Year 10.890409
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 7.3675675
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.6092107
Profit Margins 0.092480004
Quick Ratio 1.209
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.0
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.05499983
Regular Market Change Percent -0.8005797
Regular Market Day High 6.88
Regular Market Day Low 6.75
Regular Market Day Range 6.75 - 6.88
Regular Market Open 6.87
Regular Market Previous Close 6.87
Regular Market Price 6.815
Regular Market Time 1,776,781,818
Regular Market Volume 131,426
Return On Assets 0.09486
Return On Equity 6.1568
Revenue Growth 0.274
Revenue Per Share 11.955
Sand P52 Week Change 0.34445214
Sector Healthcare
Sector Disp Healthcare
Sector Key healthcare
Share Holder Rights Risk 7
Shares Outstanding 217,510,046
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.019199999
Shares Short 4,181,279
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,772,150,400
Shares Short Prior Month 4,104,871
Short Name Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc
Short Percent Of Float 0.0542
Short Ratio 3.28
Source Interval 15
State GA
Symbol AVAH
Target High Price 13.0
Target Low Price 7.0
Target Mean Price 9.6
Target Median Price 9.75
Total Cash 197,160,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.906
Total Debt 1,514,509,056
Total Revenue 2,433,199,104
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 1.05
Trailing P E 6.4904766
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 7.6501
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.8351002
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.10916199
Type Disp Equity
Volume 131,426
Website https://www.aveanna.com
Zip 30,339