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Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc. (AVAH)

Healthcare | Medical Care Facilities | Atlanta, United States | NasdaqGS
9.67 USD -0.03 (-0.309%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 4:04 a.m. EDT

The immediate outlook looks constructive, driven by a sharp technical rebound where the stock has recovered nearly 24% from its recent lows, currently trading above its 50-day moving average. However, this recovery is occurring against a backdrop of severe long-term structural damage; the business has lost over 65% of its value over the last four years, with two consecutive years of massive declines (-79% and -33%). While the company shows signs of stabilization with positive revenue and earnings growth recently, the market has clearly priced in a deep value trap. There is no dividend to provide income, and the balance sheet remains fragile with debt significantly outweighing equity. The recent price surge appears to be a speculative bounce rather than a full reversal of the multi-year downtrend, making it a risky momentum play rather than a solid investment.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.094315
MSTL_1260.095611
AutoTheta0.104232
AutoETS0.110462
MSTL0.110833
MSTL_97_1260.122043
MSTL_970.143117

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 21%
H-stat 110.72
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.009
Excess Kurtosis -0.19
Attribute Value
Sector Healthcare
Debt to Equity Ratio 623.924
Revenue per Share 12.095
Market Cap 2,105,692,800
Trailing P/E 7.99
Forward P/E 12.46
Beta 1.89
Profit Margins 10.37%
Website https://www.aveanna.com

As of July 11, 2026, 4:04 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a modest upside move, evidenced by heavy open interest in out-of-the-money calls at the $12.50 strike across multiple expirations, which is nearly double the volume at the nearest strike. Conversely, put activity is concentrated at lower strikes ($5.00-$7.50), suggesting a floor rather than a crash scenario. Implied volatility is elevated for September puts, indicating some fear of a mid-term dip, but the overall skew favors bullish speculation.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 1.3935645
Address1 400 Interstate North Parkway SE
Address2 Suite 1600
All Time High 13.0
All Time Low 0.666
Ask 12.39
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 9
Average Analyst Rating 1.7 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 2,205,230
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,894,863
Average Volume 1,894,863
Average Volume10Days 2,205,230
Beta 1.888
Bid 7.1
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 10
Book Value 1.107
City Atlanta
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 9
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 9.67
Current Ratio 1.473
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 9.93
Day Low 9.57
Debt To Equity 623.924
Display Name Aveanna Healthcare
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,778,767,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,778,767,200
Earnings Growth 6.123
Earnings Quarterly Growth 7.021
Earnings Timestamp 1,778,761,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,786,019,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,786,019,400
Ebitda 310,057,984
Ebitda Margins 0.12295
Enterprise To Ebitda 11.0
Enterprise To Revenue 1.352
Enterprise Value 3,410,715,904
Eps Current Year 0.70671
Eps Forward 0.77631
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 1.21
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 770 248 8192
Fifty Day Average 7.6358
Fifty Day Average Change 2.0342002
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.26640302
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 139.35645
Fifty Two Week High 10.32
Fifty Two Week High Change -0.6499996
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.06298446
Fifty Two Week Low 3.73
Fifty Two Week Low Change 5.94
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 1.5924933
Fifty Two Week Range 3.73 - 10.32
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,619,616,600,000
Float Shares 86,949,653
Forward Eps 0.77631
Forward P E 12.456364
Free Cashflow 82,576,248
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 3,500
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.32759
Gross Profits 826,150,976
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.05799
Held Percent Institutions 0.91941
Implied Shares Outstanding 217,755,203
Industry Medical Care Facilities
Industry Disp Medical Care Facilities
Industry Key medical-care-facilities
Ipo Expected Date 2,021-04-29
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,398,400
Long Business Summary Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc., a diversified home care platform company, provides pediatric and adult healthcare services in the United States. Its patient-centered care delivery platform allows patients to remain in their homes and minimizes the overutilization of high-cost care settings, such as hospitals or skilled nursing facilities. The company operates through three segments: Private Duty Services (PDS), Home Health & Hospice (HHH), and Medical Solutions (MS). The PDS segment offers private duty nursing (PDN) services, which include in-home skilled nursing services to medically complex children and adults; nursing services in school settings in which its caregivers accompany patients to school; services to patients in its pediatric day healthcare centers; and non-clinical care, including support services and personal care services; and in-clinic and home-based therapy services, such as physical, occupational, and speech services. The HHH segment provides home health services, including in-home skilled nursing services; physical, occupational, and speech therapy services; and medical social and aide services, as well as hospice services for patients and their families when a life-limiting illness no longer responds to cure-oriented treatments. The MS segment offers enteral nutrition supplies and other products, including formulas, supplies, and pumps to adults and children delivered on a periodic or as-needed basis. The company was incorporated in 2016 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
Long Name Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 2,105,692,800
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_575366670
Most Recent Quarter 1,775,260,800
Net Income To Common 261,494,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,934,400
Non Diluted Market Cap 2,103,515,260
Number Of Analyst Opinions 10
Open 9.666
Operating Cashflow 138,838,000
Operating Margins 0.1118
Overall Risk 10
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 770 441 1580
Pre Market Change 0.010000229
Pre Market Change Percent 0.10341498
Pre Market Price 9.68
Pre Market Time 1,784,030,655
Previous Close 9.7
Price Eps Current Year 13.683124
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 8.735321
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.8349661
Profit Margins 0.103690006
Quick Ratio 1.365
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.72727
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.0299997
Regular Market Change Percent -0.309276
Regular Market Day High 9.93
Regular Market Day Low 9.57
Regular Market Day Range 9.57 - 9.93
Regular Market Open 9.666
Regular Market Previous Close 9.7
Regular Market Price 9.67
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,801
Regular Market Volume 1,906,364
Return On Assets 0.10165
Return On Equity 3.68009
Revenue Growth 0.159
Revenue Per Share 12.095
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20365608
Sector Healthcare
Sector Disp Healthcare
Sector Key healthcare
Share Holder Rights Risk 7
Shares Outstanding 217,755,203
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0177
Shares Short 3,858,822
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 4,127,537
Short Name Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc
Short Percent Of Float 0.0433
Short Ratio 1.67
Source Interval 15
State GA
Symbol AVAH
Target High Price 13.0
Target Low Price 8.0
Target Mean Price 10.15
Target Median Price 10.0
Total Cash 197,274,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.906
Total Debt 1,502,296,960
Total Revenue 2,521,890,048
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 1.21
Trailing P E 7.9917355
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 8.0293
Two Hundred Day Average Change 1.6407003
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.20433916
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,906,364
Website https://www.aveanna.com
Zip 30,339