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Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc. (AUPH)

Healthcare | Biotechnology | Edmonton, Canada | NasdaqGM
16.36 USD -0.19 (-1.148%) ⇩ (Oct. 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★⯪☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 9:29 a.m. EDT

Aurinia Pharmaceuticals presents a compelling asymmetric setup where strong fundamental recovery meets speculative optimism. The company has successfully navigated a multi-year downturn, posting a massive +61% gain last year and ending the nine-year window with a +137% cumulative return. Fundamentals are robust, boasting a 76% gross margin, 56% operating margin, and a fortress balance sheet with minimal debt and significant free cash flow. The recent surge in institutional ownership and the CEO's massive $12.5 million purchase signal deep insider confidence in the turnaround strategy. However, the short-term outlook remains volatile. The stock is trading near its 52-week low, suggesting the market is still pricing in significant risk despite the improving metrics. The statistical forecast model indicates a slight negative lean for the next 45 days, creating a tension between the strong long-term thesis and potential near-term consolidation. This disconnect creates a high-conviction entry opportunity for patient investors willing to ride out the volatility. With no dividend to complicate the picture, the entire investment case rests on capital appreciation driven by the company's ability to execute its pipeline strategy.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.033808
AutoTheta0.070277
AutoETS0.070290
MSTL0.070808

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 60%
H-stat 2.29
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.453
Excess Kurtosis -0.65
Attribute Value
Sector Healthcare
Debt to Equity Ratio 10.431
Revenue per Share 2.368
Market Cap 2,176,717,312
Trailing P/E 7.18
Forward P/E 15.34
Beta 1.61
Profit Margins 100.84%
Website https://www.auriniapharma.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 9:29 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a moderate upside move over the next few months, evidenced by heavy open interest in out-of-the-money calls (strikes 20 and 25) relative to puts. While there is some defensive put buying at lower strikes, the volume and open interest concentration in the call side suggests a bullish bias for a rally toward the $20 level, likely driven by upcoming catalysts or earnings expectations.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.44289446
Address1 #140, 14315 – 118 Avenue
All Time High 33.972
All Time Low 1.41
Ask 17.28
Ask Size 1
Audit Risk 9
Average Daily Volume10 Day 791,420
Average Daily Volume3 Month 963,277
Average Volume 963,277
Average Volume10Days 791,420
Beta 1.611
Bid 12.84
Bid Size 1
Board Risk 5
Book Value 4.626
City Edmonton
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 3
Country Canada
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 16.36
Current Ratio 5.419
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 16.58
Day Low 16.21
Debt To Equity 10.431
Display Name Aurinia Pharmaceuticals
Dividend Yield 0.0
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,772,112,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,772,112,600
Earnings Growth 0.755
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.739
Earnings Timestamp 1,786,019,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,794,227,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,794,227,400
Ebitda 179,826,000
Ebitda Margins 0.57728
Enterprise To Ebitda 9.998
Enterprise To Revenue 5.771
Enterprise Value 1,797,830,144
Eps Current Year 0.944
Eps Forward 1.06667
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 2.28
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NGM
Exchange Data Delayed By 15
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 250 708 4345
Fifty Day Average 16.1181
Fifty Day Average Change 0.2419014
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.01500806
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 44.289444
Fifty Two Week High 19.25
Fifty Two Week High Change -2.8899994
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.15012984
Fifty Two Week Low 11.21
Fifty Two Week Low Change 5.1500006
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.4594113
Fifty Two Week Range 11.21 - 19.25
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,409,751,000,000
Float Shares 129,216,633
Forward Eps 1.06667
Forward P E 15.337454
Free Cashflow 147,817,120
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGM
Full Time Employees 128
Fullday Change -0.18999863
Fullday Change Percent -1.148028
Fullday Price 16.36
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.77884
Gross Profits 242,614,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.06792
Held Percent Institutions 0.60557
Implied Shares Outstanding 133,051,168
Industry Biotechnology
Industry Disp Biotechnology
Industry Key biotechnology
Ir Website http://www.isotechnika.com/for_investors/
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, engages in delivering therapies to people living with autoimmune diseases with high unmet medical needs in the United States and Japan. The company offers LUPKYNIS (voclosporin), an oral therapy for the treatment of adult patients with active lupus nephritis. It also develops aritinercept, a dual inhibitor of B cell-activating factor and proliferation-inducing ligand for the potential treatment of autoimmune diseases. The company was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Edmonton, Canada.
Long Name Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 2,176,717,312
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_882669
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 314,113,984
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 2,217,962,970
Number Of Analyst Opinions 7
Open 16.46
Operating Cashflow 175,243,008
Operating Margins 0.55685
Overall Risk 3
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 250 744 2487
Previous Close 16.55
Price Eps Current Year 17.33051
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 3.5365329
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 6.9876995
Profit Margins 1.0083699
Quick Ratio 4.857
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.189999
Regular Market Change Percent -1.14803
Regular Market Day High 16.58
Regular Market Day Low 16.21
Regular Market Day Range 16.21 - 16.58
Regular Market Open 16.46
Regular Market Previous Close 16.55
Regular Market Price 16.36
Regular Market Time 1,791,921,601
Regular Market Volume 1,137,611
Return On Assets 0.15489
Return On Equity 0.66117996
Revenue Growth 0.189
Revenue Per Share 2.368
Sand P52 Week Change 0.17502642
Sector Healthcare
Sector Disp Healthcare
Sector Key healthcare
Share Holder Rights Risk 2
Shares Outstanding 133,051,168
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.059499998
Shares Short 7,920,606
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 8,978,748
Short Name Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc
Short Percent Of Float 0.0657
Short Ratio 9.71
Source Interval 15
State AB
Symbol AUPH
Target High Price 21.0
Target Low Price 16.0
Target Mean Price 17.85714
Target Median Price 17.0
Total Cash 443,023,008
Total Cash Per Share 3.33
Total Debt 64,136,000
Total Revenue 311,507,008
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 2.28
Trailing P E 7.175439
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 15.55945
Two Hundred Day Average Change 0.80055046
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.051451076
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,137,611
Website https://www.auriniapharma.com
Zip T5L 4S6