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Aura Minerals Inc. (AUGO)

Basic Materials | Gold | Coconut Grove, United States | NasdaqGS
57.26 USD +3.75 (7.008%) ⇧ (July 14, 2026, 10:02 a.m. EDT)
Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:★☆☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 5:41 a.m. EDT

The investment case here is fractured by a dangerous disconnect between the company's reported performance and its actual financial reality. While the headlines boast of record earnings and a 36% revenue surge, the numbers tell a different story: the payout ratio is 167%, meaning the company is paying out nearly double its earnings in dividends. This is a classic sign of a distressed entity burning through cash reserves to prop up the stock price, rather than a healthy compounder. The massive gap between the forward P/E (4x) and trailing P/E (54x) confirms that the market has already priced in a complete collapse in profitability, rendering the current valuation a trap. Furthermore, the options market is not betting on a steady climb; it is hedging against a crash while speculating on a moonshot, highlighting the extreme uncertainty surrounding this asset. With a beta of only 0.25, the stock lacks the volatility required to justify such a speculative premium, making it a poor vehicle for capital preservation or aggressive growth alike.
Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.278016
AutoARIMA0.319323
AutoETS0.330688
MSTL0.332842

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 32%
H-stat 16.51
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.156
Excess Kurtosis -1.24
Attribute Value
Sector Basic Materials
Ex Dividend Date 2026-05-18
Last Dividend Date 2026-05-18
Debt to Equity Ratio 142.535
Revenue per Share 14.132
Market Cap 4,781,210,112
Trailing P/E 51.13
Forward P/E 4.06
Beta 0.25
Profit Margins 7.80%
Website https://www.auraminerals.com

As of July 11, 2026, 5:41 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for significant volatility rather than a clear directional bet. Call Open Interest is heavily skewed toward strikes well above the current price (85, 90, 100, 140), suggesting a speculative hope for a massive breakout. However, Put Open Interest is even heavier at the 65 strike and substantial at 75, creating a dense wall of resistance. The implied volatility is elevated across the board, particularly for deep out-of-the-money strikes, indicating the market expects a binary event or a sharp swing in either direction within the next few months.

Dividend Data

Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-05-19 0.78 1.091520
2026-03-11 0.66 0.797101
2025-08-18 0.33 1.163611
Additional Data
dividendRate 2.25
dividendYield 4.2
exDividendDate 2026-05-19
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.47
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.027471501
lastDividendValue 0.78
lastDividendDate 2026-05-19
dividendDate 2026-05-26

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 1.206598
Address1 3,390 Mary St
Address2 Suite 116
All Time High 110.321
All Time Low 22.243
Ask 61.13
Ask Size 2
Average Analyst Rating 1.4 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,085,130
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,004,565
Average Volume 1,004,565
Average Volume10Days 1,085,130
Beta 0.251
Bid 52.1
Bid Size 2
Book Value 3.603
City Coconut Grove
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,735,603,200
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 57.26
Current Ratio 0.981
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 57.65
Day Low 55.8156
Debt To Equity 142.535
Display Name Aura Minerals
Dividend Date 1,779,753,600
Dividend Rate 2.25
Dividend Yield 4.2
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,024,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,024,800
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,960,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,785,960,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,785,960,000
Ebitda 695,019,008
Ebitda Margins 0.60831
Enterprise To Ebitda 6.685
Enterprise To Revenue 4.066
Enterprise Value 4,646,028,288
Eps Current Year 7.6592
Eps Forward 14.09414
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 1.12
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,779,148,800
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 69.3514
Fifty Day Average Change -12.091404
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.17434981
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 120.659805
Fifty Two Week High 110.321
Fifty Two Week High Change -53.061
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.4809692
Fifty Two Week Low 22.243
Fifty Two Week Low Change 35.017
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 1.5742929
Fifty Two Week Range 22.243 - 110.321
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,752,672,600,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 4.92
Float Shares 40,021,085
Forward Eps 14.09414
Forward P E 4.062681
Free Cashflow 411,230,880
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.59978
Gross Profits 685,273,024
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.51343
Held Percent Institutions 0.36395
Implied Shares Outstanding 83,500,000
Industry Gold
Industry Disp Gold
Industry Key gold
Ipo Expected Date 2,025-07-16
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,779,148,800
Last Dividend Value 0.78
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Aura Minerals Inc., a gold and copper production company, focuses on the development and operation of gold and base metal projects in the Americas. It operates through The Minosa Mine, The Apoena Mine, the Aranzazu Mine, The Almas Mine, and The Borborema Mine and the Serra Grande Mine Projects segments. The company primarily explores gold, copper, and silver deposits. The company was formerly known as Aura Gold Inc. and changed its name to Aura Minerals Inc. in July 2007. The company was incorporated in 1946 and is headquartered in Coconut Grove, Florida.
Long Name Aura Minerals Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 4,781,210,112
Market State REGULAR
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_36375290
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 89,067,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 4,468,085,000
Number Of Analyst Opinions 9
Open 56.05
Operating Cashflow 381,827,008
Operating Margins 0.52911
Payout Ratio 1.6696
Phone 305 239 9332
Previous Close 53.51
Price Eps Current Year 7.475976
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 15.892312
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 4.184738
Profit Margins 0.07796
Quick Ratio 0.702
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.44444
Region US
Regular Market Change 3.75
Regular Market Change Percent 7.008036
Regular Market Day High 57.65
Regular Market Day Low 55.8156
Regular Market Day Range 55.8156 - 57.65
Regular Market Open 56.05
Regular Market Previous Close 53.51
Regular Market Price 57.26
Regular Market Time 1,784,037,752
Regular Market Volume 109,699
Return On Assets 0.27256
Return On Equity 0.40327
Revenue Growth 1.365
Revenue Per Share 14.132
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20365608
Sector Basic Materials
Sector Disp Basic Materials
Sector Key basic-materials
Shares Outstanding 83,500,000
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.052800003
Shares Short 4,405,201
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 3,013,412
Short Name Aura Minerals Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.1286
Short Ratio 3.81
Source Interval 15
State FL
Symbol AUGO
Target High Price 125.0
Target Low Price 76.4
Target Mean Price 99.43333
Target Median Price 96.0
Total Cash 267,788,992
Total Cash Per Share 3.196
Total Debt 430,256,000
Total Revenue 1,142,535,040
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.47
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.027471501
Trailing Eps 1.12
Trailing P E 51.125
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 61.720627
Two Hundred Day Average Change -4.4606285
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.07227128
Type Disp Equity
Volume 109,699
Website https://www.auraminerals.com
Zip 33,133