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Defiance Daily Target 2X Short ASTS ETF (ASTN)

Trading--Inverse Equity | Exchange Traded Fund | Cboe US
5.62 USD +0.56 (11.067%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 5.65 +0.03 (0.534%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:44 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:⯪☆☆☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 6:02 a.m. EDT

This instrument is a leveraged short ETF tracking AST SpaceMobile, and the data confirms a severe bearish sentiment. The price has collapsed from a high of $25.06 to around $4.20, trading well below its 50-day and 200-day averages, which signals a prolonged downtrend. Crucially, the options market is screaming caution: there is overwhelming open interest in deep out-of-the-money puts, suggesting traders are betting on further catastrophic drops. Conversely, call activity is virtually non-existent. For a short ETF, this creates a dangerous feedback loop where the underlying asset's continued decline drives the ETF up, but the lack of call buying (which usually provides liquidity and dampens moves) combined with heavy put positioning suggests the market expects the underlying stock to keep falling. The statistical forecast model is useless here due to extremely low confidence, so we rely on the clear technical breakdown and options flow. With no dividends and a history of massive losses, this is not a buy; it is a speculative vehicle for those betting on the continued failure of the underlying space company.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.262922
AutoETS0.262929
MSTL0.272209
AutoTheta0.524574

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 26%
H-stat 2.95
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.436
Excess Kurtosis -0.86

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 6:02 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioning for downside protection, evidenced by massive open interest in deep out-of-the-money puts (strikes at 1.0 and 3.0) compared to negligible call activity. The implied volatility for puts is significantly elevated relative to calls, indicating a market consensus expecting a sharp decline rather than a rally.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 25.06
All Time Low 3.16
Ask 5.64
Ask Size 3,100
Average Daily Volume10 Day 989,060
Average Daily Volume3 Month 3,741,419
Average Volume 3,741,419
Average Volume10Days 989,060
Beta3 Year 0.0
Bid 5.61
Bid Size 3,400
Category Trading--Inverse Equity
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 5.7
Day Low 5.14
Esg Populated 0
Exchange BTS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 5.6182
Fifty Day Average Change 0.0018000603
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.00032039805
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -69.27748
Fifty Two Week High 25.06
Fifty Two Week High Change -19.439999
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.7757382
Fifty Two Week Low 3.16
Fifty Two Week Low Change 2.4599998
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.77848095
Fifty Two Week Range 3.16 - 25.06
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,770,388,200,000
Full Exchange Name Cboe US
Fullday Change 0.56
Fullday Change Percent 11.0672
Fullday Price 5.65
Fund Family Defiance ETFs LLC
Fund Inception Date 1,770,249,600
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The fund is an actively managed exchange traded fund that attempts to achieve 2 times the inverse (-200%) of the daily percentage change in the price of the Underlying Security by employing derivatives, namely swap agreements and/or listed options contracts. The fund aims to generate 2 times the inverse of the daily performance of the Underlying Security for a single day, and not for any other period. The fund is non-diversified.
Long Name Defiance Daily Target 2X Short ASTS ETF
Market us_market
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1967451988
Nav Price 5.3587
Net Assets 454,174.0
Net Expense Ratio 1.31
Open 5.18
Post Market Change 0.03000021
Post Market Change Percent 0.53381157
Post Market Price 5.65
Post Market Time 1,787,960,684
Previous Close 5.06
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.56
Regular Market Change Percent 11.0672
Regular Market Day High 5.7
Regular Market Day Low 5.14
Regular Market Day Range 5.14 - 5.7
Regular Market Open 5.18
Regular Market Previous Close 5.06
Regular Market Price 5.62
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,200
Regular Market Volume 533,527
Short Name Defiance Daily Target 2X Short
Source Interval 15
Symbol ASTN
Total Assets 454,174
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns -59.0231
Trailing Three Month Returns -59.0231
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 10.628786
Two Hundred Day Average Change -5.008786
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.47124726
Type Disp ETF
Volume 533,527