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Astrana Health, Inc. (ASTH)

Healthcare | Medical Care Facilities | Alhambra, United States | NasdaqCM
47.64 USD +0.76 (1.632%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 48.43 +0.79 (1.660%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 7:23 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★★☆Long-term:★★★⯪☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 4:04 a.m. EDT

The investment case for Astrana Health is driven by a powerful convergence of explosive earnings growth and aggressive institutional upgrading. While the stock trades at a lofty trailing P/E of 76x, the forward P/E of 13.7x reflects a stark reality: earnings are expanding at roughly 110% annually, rendering the current valuation extremely cheap relative to the growth rate. The balance sheet is manageable with strong free cash flow generation, and the recent surge in price action—closing near 52-week highs—confirms that the market is fully embracing this turnaround story. Short-term momentum is robust, with the stock trading significantly above its 50-day and 200-day averages, supported by heavy call buying that targets prices well above the current level. However, the long-term outlook carries a caveat: the company is currently in a volatile transition phase, having suffered a sharp 44.6% drop in the most recent fiscal year despite the massive cumulative gains seen over the last decade. This recent dip suggests the market is still recalibrating the sustainability of these results. Nevertheless, the combination of a 'strong buy' analyst consensus, double-digit revenue growth, and a clean balance sheet makes this a compelling high-conviction entry for growth-oriented investors, provided they can stomach the inherent volatility of a rapidly scaling medical facility operator.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.059489
AutoETS0.084133
MSTL0.086860
AutoARIMA0.186732

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 36%
H-stat 7.61
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.370
Excess Kurtosis -1.02
Attribute Value
Sector Healthcare
Debt to Equity Ratio 184.463
Revenue per Share 71.718
Market Cap 2,362,153,984
Trailing P/E 78.10
Forward P/E 13.93
Beta 0.89
Profit Margins 0.86%
Previous Name Apollo Medical Holdings, Inc.
Website https://www.astranahealth.com

As of July 11, 2026, 4:04 a.m. EDT: Speculators are aggressively positioning for a significant upside move, evidenced by massive call volume and open interest at strikes well above the current price (e.g., 55.00 and 60.00 for February 2027), while put activity remains negligible and concentrated at deep out-of-the-money strikes. Implied volatility is elevated on calls, suggesting a high-convience bet on continued appreciation rather than a hedge against downside risk.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.86624205
Address1 1,668 S. Garfield Avenue
Address2 2nd Floor
All Time High 133.23
All Time Low 0.1
Ask 61.0
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 9
Average Analyst Rating 1.4 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 931,090
Average Daily Volume3 Month 587,114
Average Volume 587,114
Average Volume10Days 931,090
Beta 0.893
Bid 34.61
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 8
Book Value 16.35
City Alhambra
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 4
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 47.64
Current Ratio 1.347
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 48.42
Day Low 46.87
Debt To Equity 184.463
Display Name Astrana Health
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,778,189,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,778,189,400
Earnings Growth 1.101
Earnings Quarterly Growth 1.157
Earnings Timestamp 1,778,184,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,786,046,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,786,046,400
Ebitda 159,623,008
Ebitda Margins 0.04526
Enterprise To Ebitda 17.079
Enterprise To Revenue 0.773
Enterprise Value 2,726,150,912
Eps Current Year 2.92
Eps Forward 3.42
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.61
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NCM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 39.8976
Fifty Day Average Change 7.742401
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.19405682
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 86.62421
Fifty Two Week High 51.6
Fifty Two Week High Change -3.959999
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.07674417
Fifty Two Week Low 18.08
Fifty Two Week Low Change 29.56
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 1.6349558
Fifty Two Week Range 18.08 - 51.6
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,236,778,200,000
Float Shares 37,204,422
Forward Eps 3.42
Forward P E 13.929824
Free Cashflow 287,761,888
Full Exchange Name NasdaqCM
Full Time Employees 3,000
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.10661
Gross Profits 375,944,992
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.22872
Held Percent Institutions 0.61532
Implied Shares Outstanding 49,583,418
Industry Medical Care Facilities
Industry Disp Medical Care Facilities
Industry Key medical-care-facilities
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,430,092,800
Last Split Factor 1:10
Long Business Summary Astrana Health, Inc., a healthcare management company, provides medical care services in the United States. The company operates through three segments: Care Partners, Care Delivery, and Care Enablement. The company offers care coordination services to patients, families, primary care physicians, specialists, acute care hospitals, alternative sites of inpatient care, physician groups, and health plans. Its physician network includes primary care physicians, specialist physicians and extenders, and hospitalists. The company serves patients primarily covered by private or public insurance, such as Medicare, Medicaid, and health maintenance organization; and non-insured patients. The company was formerly known as Apollo Medical Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Astrana Health, Inc. in February 2024. Astrana Health, Inc. was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Alhambra, California.
Long Name Astrana Health, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 2,362,153,984
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_4634897
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Name Change Date 2,026-07-13
Net Income To Common 30,231,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 2,324,222,718
Number Of Analyst Opinions 9
Open 46.87
Operating Cashflow 166,026,000
Operating Margins 0.03016
Overall Risk 4
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 626 282 0288
Post Market Change 0.7909012
Post Market Change Percent 1.6601621
Post Market Price 48.4309
Post Market Time 1,783,985,036
Prev Name Apollo Medical Holdings, Inc.
Previous Close 46.875
Price Eps Current Year 16.315067
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 2.9137614
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.66983354
Profit Margins 0.00857
Quick Ratio 1.306
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.36364
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.764999
Regular Market Change Percent 1.632
Regular Market Day High 48.42
Regular Market Day Low 46.87
Regular Market Day Range 46.87 - 48.42
Regular Market Open 46.87
Regular Market Previous Close 46.875
Regular Market Price 47.64
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,801
Regular Market Volume 353,091
Return On Assets 0.03565
Return On Equity 0.05659
Revenue Growth 0.556
Revenue Per Share 71.718
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Healthcare
Sector Disp Healthcare
Sector Key healthcare
Share Holder Rights Risk 1
Shares Outstanding 49,583,418
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0539
Shares Short 2,674,196
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 2,397,686
Short Name Astrana Health Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.1028
Short Ratio 3.83
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol ASTH
Target High Price 53.0
Target Low Price 41.0
Target Mean Price 47.11111
Target Median Price 47.0
Total Cash 478,383,008
Total Cash Per Share 9.648
Total Debt 1,065,192,000
Total Revenue 3,526,479,104
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 0.61
Trailing P E 78.09836
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 29.39215
Two Hundred Day Average Change 18.247849
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.62084085
Type Disp Equity
Volume 353,091
Website https://www.astranahealth.com
Zip 91,801