Astrana Health, Inc. (ASTH)Healthcare | Medical Care Facilities | Alhambra, United States | NasdaqCM
37.87 USD
-0.53
(-1.380%) ⇩
(Oct. 13, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
|
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 7:50 a.m. EDT
The investment case here is a classic tale of a turnaround story fighting against a brutal recent price trajectory. Fundamentally, the business is showing signs of life with revenue growing nearly 50% and earnings doubling, while the forward P/E of roughly 10x suggests the market has already priced in a significant portion of that recovery. However, the price action tells a different story; after a massive 87% run-up, the stock has corrected sharply, leaving it with just one year of negative annual returns at the end of the window, which isn't enough to trigger a 'multi-year decline' penalty but still indicates recent weakness. The short-term outlook remains neutral to slightly cautious because the statistical forecast models see no clear edge, and options traders are actively buying protection. While the long-term fundamentals are solid enough to warrant a buy-and-hold approach given the cheap valuation relative to growth, the path forward is likely to be volatile as the market digests whether this is a genuine inflection point or a temporary reprieve. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoARIMA ✓ | 0.042551 |
| AutoETS | 0.042552 |
| AutoTheta | 0.042561 |
| MSTL | 0.533325 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 43% |
| H-stat | 1.50 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.297 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -1.04 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Healthcare |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 163.623 |
| Revenue per Share | 78.208 |
| Market Cap | 1,878,517,376 |
| Trailing P/E | 45.63 |
| Forward P/E | 10.41 |
| Beta | 1.03 |
| Profit Margins | 1.05% |
| Previous Name | Apollo Medical Holdings, Inc. |
| Website | https://www.astranahealth.com |
As of Oct. 10, 2026, 7:50 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy put volume relative to calls, particularly in the November and February expirations where out-of-the-money puts show significant open interest. This suggests a fear of further downside or a lack of confidence in the immediate recovery, despite the stock trading near its 200-day average.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | 0.25984251 |
| Address1 | 1,668 S. Garfield Avenue |
| Address2 | 2nd Floor |
| All Time High | 133.23 |
| All Time Low | 0.1 |
| Ask | 48.39 |
| Ask Size | 2 |
| Audit Risk | 10 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 1.4 - Strong Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 348,240 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 454,015 |
| Average Volume | 454,015 |
| Average Volume10Days | 348,240 |
| Beta | 1.033 |
| Bid | 28.15 |
| Bid Size | 2 |
| Board Risk | 8 |
| Book Value | 16.865 |
| City | Alhambra |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 4 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 37.87 |
| Current Ratio | 1.229 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,790,726,400 |
| Day High | 39.87 |
| Day Low | 37.42 |
| Debt To Equity | 163.623 |
| Display Name | Astrana Health |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,793,908,800 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,793,908,800 |
| Earnings Growth | 1.105 |
| Earnings Quarterly Growth | 1.095 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,793,908,800 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,793,908,800 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,793,908,800 |
| Ebitda | 174,907,008 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.045500003 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 13.064 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 0.594 |
| Enterprise Value | 2,284,941,312 |
| Eps Current Year | 3.06667 |
| Eps Forward | 3.63667 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 0.83 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NCM |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 15 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 37.0464 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | 0.82360077 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | 0.022231601 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | 25.984251 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 51.6 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -13.73 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.26608527 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 18.08 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 19.789999 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 1.0945796 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 18.08 - 51.6 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,236,778,200,000 |
| Float Shares | 38,840,715 |
| Forward Eps | 3.63667 |
| Forward P E | 10.413372 |
| Free Cashflow | 231,191,248 |
| Full Exchange Name | NasdaqCM |
| Full Time Employees | 3,000 |
| Fullday Change | -0.5300026 |
| Fullday Change Percent | -1.380215 |
| Fullday Price | 37.87 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,790,812,800 |
| Gross Margins | 0.10457 |
| Gross Profits | 401,999,008 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.22784 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.66789 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 49,604,366 |
| Industry | Medical Care Facilities |
| Industry Disp | Medical Care Facilities |
| Industry Key | medical-care-facilities |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Last Split Date | 1,430,092,800 |
| Last Split Factor | 1:10 |
| Long Business Summary | Astrana Health, Inc., a healthcare management company, provides medical care services in the United States. The company operates through three segments: Care Partners, Care Delivery, and Care Enablement. The company offers care coordination services to patients, families, primary care physicians, specialists, acute care hospitals, alternative sites of inpatient care, physician groups, and health plans. Its physician network includes primary care physicians, specialist physicians and extenders, and hospitalists. The company serves patients primarily covered by private or public insurance, such as Medicare, Medicaid, and health maintenance organization; and non-insured patients. The company was formerly known as Apollo Medical Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Astrana Health, Inc. in February 2024. Astrana Health, Inc. was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Alhambra, California. |
| Long Name | Astrana Health, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 1,878,517,376 |
| Market State | PRE |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_4634897 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,782,777,600 |
| Name Change Date | 2,026-10-14 |
| Net Income To Common | 40,547,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 1,703,413,928 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 9 |
| Open | 39.0 |
| Operating Cashflow | 107,873,000 |
| Operating Margins | 0.03529 |
| Overall Risk | 5 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Phone | 626 282 0288 |
| Prev Name | Apollo Medical Holdings, Inc. |
| Previous Close | 38.4 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 12.3489 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 2.2454789 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 0.48866364 |
| Profit Margins | 0.01055 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.19 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | strong_buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 1.36364 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -0.530003 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -1.38022 |
| Regular Market Day High | 39.87 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 37.42 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 37.42 - 39.87 |
| Regular Market Open | 39.0 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 38.4 |
| Regular Market Price | 37.87 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,791,921,601 |
| Regular Market Volume | 268,129 |
| Return On Assets | 0.037550002 |
| Return On Equity | 0.06902 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.485 |
| Revenue Per Share | 78.208 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.17502642 |
| Sector | Healthcare |
| Sector Disp | Healthcare |
| Sector Key | healthcare |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 1 |
| Shares Outstanding | 49,604,366 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.0622 |
| Shares Short | 3,087,127 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,788,134,400 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 3,281,911 |
| Short Name | Astrana Health Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.118599996 |
| Short Ratio | 7.56 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | CA |
| Symbol | ASTH |
| Target High Price | 65.0 |
| Target Low Price | 41.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 51.66667 |
| Target Median Price | 53.0 |
| Total Cash | 400,792,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 7.832 |
| Total Debt | 979,411,008 |
| Total Revenue | 3,844,193,024 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | 0.83 |
| Trailing P E | 45.626507 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 33.08975 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | 4.7802505 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | 0.14446318 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 268,129 |
| Website | https://www.astranahealth.com |
| Zip | 91,801 |