Aspen Aerogels, Inc. (ASPN)Basic Materials | Specialty Chemicals | Northborough, United States | NYSE
5.16 USD
-0.31
(-5.667%) ⇩
(Oct. 14, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 5.16 |
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 4:38 a.m. EDT
The investment case for Aspen Aerogels is currently broken by a severe deterioration in business fundamentals. The company is reporting a net loss of nearly $390 million for the year and a significant revenue contraction of 36%, while operating margins remain deeply negative at -29%. This is not a cyclical downturn; it is a structural failure where the core business is failing to generate cash or profits. The balance sheet, while currently showing a positive cash balance, is propped up by a strategic review amidst these losses, indicating management is unsure of the path forward. The market has rightly punished this stock, sending it down 64% year-over-year, yet the recent price action shows no sign of stabilization. The statistical forecast models are weak and unreliable here, offering no clear directional edge against the backdrop of such poor earnings. Furthermore, the options market confirms the pessimism, with traders aggressively buying deep puts to hedge against further drops. There is no dividend to provide income, and the lack of growth makes any current valuation a trap. The 'strategic review' mentioned in headlines is a red flag, not a silver lining. Until the company demonstrates a return to profitability and stabilizes its revenue stream, this remains a high-risk speculative vehicle with no margin of safety. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| MSTL ✓ | 0.077238 |
| AutoETS | 0.077327 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.077479 |
| AutoTheta | 0.090652 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 38% |
| H-stat | 0.11 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.151 |
| Excess Kurtosis | 0.57 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Basic Materials |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 65.006 |
| Revenue per Share | 2.444 |
| Market Cap | 428,222,112 |
| Forward P/E | -33.29 |
| Beta | 3.06 |
| Profit Margins | -62.45% |
| Website | https://www.aerogel.com |
As of Oct. 10, 2026, 4:38 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioning for downside protection, evidenced by massive put volume and open interest concentrated in deep out-of-the-money strikes (e.g., $2.50) for November 2026. While there is some call activity at the $7.50 strike, the overwhelming capital flow is into puts, suggesting a fear of further decline rather than a bullish breakout. Implied volatility remains elevated, reflecting uncertainty.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.37981862 |
| Address1 | Building B |
| Address2 | 30 Forbes Road |
| All Time High | 65.986 |
| All Time Low | 1.6 |
| Ask | 5.46 |
| Ask Size | 1,700 |
| Audit Risk | 2 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 1.8 - Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 838,780 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 1,131,851 |
| Average Volume | 1,131,851 |
| Average Volume10Days | 838,780 |
| Beta | 3.057 |
| Bid | 5.11 |
| Bid Size | 2,000 |
| Board Risk | 5 |
| Book Value | 2.319 |
| City | Northborough |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 10 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 5.16 |
| Current Ratio | 2.519 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,790,726,400 |
| Day High | 5.425 |
| Day Low | 5.13 |
| Debt To Equity | 65.006 |
| Display Name | Aspen Aerogels |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,786,019,400 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,786,019,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,786,019,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,793,881,800 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,793,881,800 |
| Ebitda | -41,013,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | -0.20295 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | -9.793 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 1.987 |
| Enterprise Value | 401,627,136 |
| Eps Current Year | -0.57575 |
| Eps Forward | -0.155 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | -1.59 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 20 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fax | 508 691 1200 |
| Fifty Day Average | 5.3726 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -0.21260023 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.0395712 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -37.98186 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 9.348 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -4.1879997 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.44801027 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 2.3 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 2.86 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 1.2434783 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 2.3 - 9.348 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,402,666,200,000 |
| Float Shares | 76,697,404 |
| Forward Eps | -0.155 |
| Forward P E | -33.29032 |
| Free Cashflow | 44,061,624 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE |
| Full Time Employees | 854 |
| Fullday Change | 0.029999733 |
| Fullday Change Percent | 0.5514657 |
| Fullday Price | 5.16 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,790,812,800 |
| Gross Margins | 0.16244 |
| Gross Profits | 32,828,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.01403 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.74424005 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 82,988,784 |
| Industry | Specialty Chemicals |
| Industry Disp | Specialty Chemicals |
| Industry Key | specialty-chemicals |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | Aspen Aerogels, Inc., an aerogel technology company, designs, develops, manufactures, and sells aerogel materials primarily for use in the energy industrial, sustainable insulation materials, and electric vehicle (EV) markets in the United States, Canada, Asia, Europe, and Latin America. It operates through two segments: Thermal Barrier and Energy Industrial. The company offers PyroThin aerogel thermal barriers for use in battery packs in EVs; Pyrogel XTE for refineries and petrochemical facilities; Pyrogel HPS for high temperatures and in demanding thermal applications in refining and chemical processing systems; Pyrogel XTF for protection against fire; Cryogel Z for sub-ambient and cryogenic applications; Spaceloft Subsea for pipe-in-pipe applications in offshore oil production; and Cryogel X201 for cold system designs. It serves EV manufacturers, automotive suppliers, lithium-ion battery manufacturers, and e-mobility and energy storage companies. The company was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Northborough, Massachusetts. |
| Long Name | Aspen Aerogels, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 428,222,112 |
| Market State | POST |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_3044099 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,782,777,600 |
| Net Income To Common | -126,202,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 471,376,293 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 5 |
| Open | 5.36 |
| Operating Cashflow | 49,115,000 |
| Operating Margins | -0.292 |
| Overall Risk | 8 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Phone | 508 691 1111 |
| Post Market Change | 0.0 |
| Post Market Change Percent | 0.0 |
| Post Market Price | 5.16 |
| Post Market Time | 1,792,008,605 |
| Previous Close | 5.47 |
| Price Eps Current Year | -8.962223 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 2.225097 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 2.118978 |
| Profit Margins | -0.62449 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.946 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 1.83333 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -0.31 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -5.66728 |
| Regular Market Day High | 5.425 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 5.13 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 5.13 - 5.425 |
| Regular Market Open | 5.36 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 5.47 |
| Regular Market Price | 5.16 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,792,008,003 |
| Regular Market Volume | 773,575 |
| Return On Assets | -0.08449 |
| Return On Equity | -0.50356996 |
| Revenue Growth | -0.361 |
| Revenue Per Share | 2.444 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.17004645 |
| Sector | Basic Materials |
| Sector Disp | Basic Materials |
| Sector Key | basic-materials |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 8 |
| Shares Outstanding | 82,988,784 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.0735 |
| Shares Short | 6,101,632 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,788,134,400 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 8,403,741 |
| Short Name | Aspen Aerogels, Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.086899996 |
| Short Ratio | 6.69 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | MA |
| Symbol | ASPN |
| Target High Price | 10.0 |
| Target Low Price | 5.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 7.75 |
| Target Median Price | 7.75 |
| Total Cash | 151,708,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 1.828 |
| Total Debt | 125,113,000 |
| Total Revenue | 202,088,992 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | -1.59 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 4.5315 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | 0.6285 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | 0.13869579 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 773,575 |
| Website | https://www.aerogel.com |
| Zip | 1,532 |