ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. (ARR)Real Estate | REIT - Mortgage | Vero Beach, United States | NYSE
17.11 USD
+0.24
(1.423%)
⇧
(July 14, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 17.21 +0.10 (0.584%) ⇧ (July 14, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT) |
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 6:26 a.m. EDT
The investment case here is defined by a stark contradiction between a dangerously high headline yield and a collapsing business reality. The trailing twelve-month yield of nearly 17% is a trap; the payout ratio exceeds 115%, meaning the company is distributing more cash than it earns from operations, effectively burning capital to maintain the dividend. This is confirmed by the price history, which shows a brutal eight-year decline of over 83%, with four consecutive years of negative annual returns. The market has correctly priced this as a deteriorating asset, not a value opportunity. While the recent price action shows a slight stabilization near the 52-week lows, the fundamental damage is severe. The options market reflects this perfectly, with traders aggressively buying insurance (puts) rather than seeking upside exposure. Until the payout ratio is normalized and the multi-year decline is halted, this remains a speculative hold for distressed income seekers, not a core investment. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoTheta ✓ | 0.026262 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.027045 |
| AutoETS | 0.029999 |
| MSTL | 0.033275 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 54% |
| H-stat | 1.18 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.368 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.35 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Real Estate |
| Ex Dividend Date | 2026-07-14 |
| Last Dividend Date | 2026-06-14 |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 790.676 |
| Revenue per Share | 2.832 |
| Market Cap | 2,122,429,056 |
| Trailing P/E | 6.76 |
| Forward P/E | 5.68 |
| Beta | 1.34 |
| Profit Margins | 80.85% |
| Website | https://www.armourreit.com |
As of July 11, 2026, 6:26 a.m. EDT: Speculators are overwhelmingly positioning for downside protection, evidenced by massive open interest in out-of-the-money puts relative to calls across all expirations. The implied volatility skew is extreme, with put IV significantly higher than call IV, indicating deep fear of further price erosion. While some call volume exists at distant strikes (2028), the dominant sentiment is hedging against continued decline rather than betting on a recovery.
| Last Yield | 1yr Yield | 3yr Avg | 5yr Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.41% | 17.27% | 16.82% | 16.78% |
| Date | Dividend | Yield % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-15 | 0.24 | 1.408451 |
| 2026-05-15 | 0.24 | 1.413428 |
| 2026-04-15 | 0.24 | 1.366743 |
| 2026-03-16 | 0.24 | 1.409278 |
| 2026-02-17 | 0.24 | 1.349831 |
| 2026-01-15 | 0.24 | 1.275239 |
| 2025-12-15 | 0.24 | 1.409278 |
| 2025-11-17 | 0.24 | 1.459854 |
| 2025-10-15 | 0.24 | 1.540436 |
| 2025-09-15 | 0.24 | 1.592568 |
| 2025-08-15 | 0.24 | 1.593625 |
| 2025-07-15 | 0.24 | 1.451028 |
| 2025-06-16 | 0.24 | 1.456311 |
| 2025-05-15 | 0.24 | 1.431981 |
| 2025-04-15 | 0.24 | 1.686578 |
| 2025-03-17 | 0.24 | 1.282051 |
| 2025-02-14 | 0.24 | 1.251303 |
| 2025-01-15 | 0.24 | 1.327434 |
| 2024-12-16 | 0.24 | 1.251956 |
| 2024-11-15 | 0.24 | 1.275917 |
| 2024-10-15 | 0.24 | 1.221996 |
| 2024-09-16 | 0.24 | 1.160542 |
| 2024-08-15 | 0.24 | 1.206030 |
| 2024-07-15 | 0.24 | 1.147228 |
| 2024-06-17 | 0.24 | 1.240951 |
| 2024-05-14 | 0.24 | 1.255887 |
| 2024-04-12 | 0.24 | 1.302932 |
| 2024-03-14 | 0.24 | 1.282051 |
| 2024-02-14 | 0.24 | 1.313629 |
| 2024-01-12 | 0.24 | 1.212734 |
| 2023-12-14 | 0.40 | 2.016129 |
| 2023-11-14 | 0.40 | 2.385212 |
| 2023-10-13 | 0.40 | 2.199010 |
| 2023-09-14 | 0.40 | 1.642710 |
| 2023-08-14 | 0.40 | 1.639344 |
| 2023-07-14 | 0.40 | 1.590457 |
| 2023-06-14 | 0.40 | 1.559454 |
| 2023-05-12 | 0.40 | 1.626016 |
| 2023-04-14 | 0.40 | 1.559454 |
| 2023-03-14 | 0.40 | 1.568627 |
| 2023-02-14 | 0.50 | 1.686341 |
| 2023-01-13 | 0.50 | 1.644737 |
| 2022-12-14 | 0.50 | 1.727116 |
| 2022-11-14 | 0.50 | 1.763668 |
| 2022-10-14 | 0.50 | 2.136752 |
| 2022-09-14 | 0.50 | 1.461988 |
| 2022-08-12 | 0.50 | 1.317523 |
| 2022-07-14 | 0.50 | 1.479290 |
| 2022-06-14 | 0.50 | 1.572327 |
| 2022-05-13 | 0.50 | 1.322751 |
| 2022-04-14 | 0.50 | 1.256281 |
| 2022-03-14 | 0.50 | 1.187648 |
| 2022-02-14 | 0.50 | 1.154734 |
| 2022-01-14 | 0.50 | 1.028807 |
| 2021-12-14 | 0.50 | 1.033058 |
| 2021-11-12 | 0.50 | 0.954198 |
| 2021-10-14 | 0.50 | 0.918274 |
| 2021-09-14 | 0.50 | 0.928505 |
| 2021-08-13 | 0.50 | 0.945180 |
| 2021-07-14 | 0.50 | 0.917431 |
| 2021-06-14 | 0.50 | 0.845309 |
| 2021-05-14 | 0.50 | 0.831947 |
| 2021-04-14 | 0.50 | 0.816993 |
| 2021-03-12 | 0.50 | 0.821693 |
| 2021-02-12 | 0.50 | 0.827815 |
| 2021-01-14 | 0.50 | 0.905797 |
| 2020-12-14 | 0.50 | 0.926784 |
| 2020-11-13 | 0.50 | 0.983284 |
| 2020-10-14 | 0.50 | 1.022495 |
| 2020-09-14 | 0.50 | 1.009082 |
| 2020-08-14 | 0.50 | 1.023541 |
| 2020-07-14 | 0.50 | 1.086957 |
| 2020-06-12 | 0.45 | 1.012373 |
| 2020-03-13 | 0.85 | 1.247249 |
| 2020-02-13 | 0.85 | 0.850425 |
| 2020-01-14 | 0.85 | 0.900424 |
| 2019-12-13 | 0.85 | 0.971429 |
| 2019-11-14 | 0.85 | 1.010702 |
| 2019-10-11 | 0.85 | 1.019185 |
| 2019-09-13 | 0.85 | 0.992991 |
| 2019-08-14 | 0.85 | 1.022864 |
| 2019-07-12 | 0.85 | 0.921909 |
| 2019-06-14 | 0.95 | 1.030928 |
| 2019-05-14 | 0.95 | 1.020956 |
| 2019-04-12 | 0.95 | 0.964467 |
| 2019-03-14 | 0.95 | 0.969883 |
| 2019-02-14 | 0.95 | 0.901328 |
| 2019-01-14 | 0.95 | 0.903042 |
| 2018-12-14 | 0.95 | 0.875173 |
| 2018-11-14 | 0.95 | 0.857014 |
| 2018-10-12 | 0.95 | 0.917874 |
| 2018-09-14 | 0.95 | 0.824295 |
| 2018-08-14 | 0.95 | 0.812313 |
| 2018-07-13 | 0.95 | 0.820380 |
| 2018-06-14 | 0.95 | 0.828970 |
| 2018-05-14 | 0.95 | 0.839593 |
| 2018-04-12 | 0.95 | 0.818613 |
| 2018-03-14 | 0.95 | 0.838482 |
| 2018-02-14 | 0.95 | 0.835165 |
| 2018-01-12 | 0.95 | 0.757576 |
| 2017-12-14 | 0.95 | 0.733874 |
| 2017-11-14 | 0.95 | 0.771104 |
| 2017-10-13 | 0.95 | 0.704486 |
| 2017-09-14 | 0.95 | 0.709485 |
| 2017-08-11 | 0.95 | 0.736434 |
| 2017-07-13 | 0.95 | 0.750691 |
| 2017-06-13 | 0.95 | 0.716170 |
| 2017-05-11 | 0.95 | 0.765512 |
| 2017-04-12 | 0.95 | 0.818966 |
| 2017-03-13 | 0.95 | 0.880445 |
| 2017-02-13 | 0.95 | 0.873563 |
| 2017-01-12 | 0.95 | 0.872360 |
| 2016-12-13 | 1.10 | 1.016636 |
| 2016-11-10 | 1.10 | 0.969590 |
| 2016-10-12 | 1.10 | 0.998185 |
| 2016-09-13 | 1.10 | 1.007326 |
| 2016-08-11 | 1.10 | 0.983460 |
| 2016-07-13 | 1.10 | 1.069519 |
| 2016-06-13 | 1.10 | 1.134021 |
| 2016-05-12 | 1.10 | 1.090729 |
| 2016-04-13 | 1.35 | 1.231752 |
| 2016-03-11 | 1.65 | 1.606621 |
| 2016-02-10 | 1.65 | 1.816181 |
| 2016-01-13 | 1.65 | 1.637717 |
| 2015-12-14 | 1.65 | 1.682815 |
| 2015-11-12 | 1.65 | 1.619235 |
| 2015-10-13 | 1.65 | 1.562500 |
| 2015-09-11 | 1.65 | 1.636093 |
| 2015-08-13 | 1.65 | 1.480485 |
| 2015-07-13 | 1.60 | 1.403509 |
| 2015-06-11 | 1.60 | 1.408451 |
| 2015-05-13 | 1.60 | 1.320132 |
| 2015-04-13 | 1.60 | 1.261830 |
| 2015-03-11 | 1.60 | 1.269841 |
| 2015-02-11 | 1.60 | 1.282051 |
| 2015-01-13 | 1.60 | 1.139601 |
| 2014-12-11 | 2.00 | 1.344086 |
| 2014-11-13 | 2.00 | 1.269035 |
| 2014-10-10 | 2.00 | 1.262626 |
| 2014-09-11 | 2.00 | 1.179245 |
| 2014-08-13 | 2.00 | 1.196172 |
| 2014-07-11 | 2.00 | 1.176471 |
| 2014-06-12 | 2.00 | 1.152074 |
| 2014-05-13 | 2.00 | 1.187648 |
| 2014-04-11 | 2.00 | 1.201923 |
| 2014-03-13 | 2.00 | 1.160093 |
| 2014-02-12 | 2.00 | 1.182033 |
| 2014-01-13 | 2.00 | 1.228501 |
| 2013-12-12 | 2.00 | 1.329787 |
| 2013-11-13 | 2.00 | 1.243781 |
| 2013-10-10 | 2.00 | 1.184834 |
| 2013-09-12 | 2.80 | 1.732673 |
| 2013-08-13 | 2.80 | 1.594533 |
| 2013-07-11 | 2.80 | 1.559020 |
| 2013-06-12 | 2.80 | 1.525054 |
| 2013-05-13 | 2.80 | 1.158940 |
| 2013-04-11 | 2.80 | 1.088647 |
| 2013-03-13 | 3.20 | 1.219512 |
| 2013-02-13 | 3.20 | 1.128350 |
| 2013-01-11 | 3.20 | 1.154401 |
| 2012-12-12 | 3.60 | 1.321586 |
| 2012-11-13 | 3.60 | 1.365706 |
| 2012-10-11 | 3.60 | 1.224490 |
| 2012-09-12 | 4.00 | 1.336898 |
| 2012-08-13 | 4.00 | 1.344086 |
| 2012-07-12 | 4.00 | 1.381215 |
| 2012-06-13 | 4.00 | 1.447178 |
| 2012-05-11 | 4.00 | 1.440922 |
| 2012-04-12 | 4.00 | 1.474926 |
| 2012-03-13 | 4.40 | 1.605839 |
| 2012-02-13 | 4.40 | 1.562500 |
| 2012-01-11 | 4.40 | 1.564723 |
| 2011-12-13 | 4.40 | 1.591896 |
| 2011-11-10 | 4.40 | 1.573677 |
| 2011-10-12 | 4.40 | 1.608187 |
| 2011-09-13 | 4.80 | 1.643836 |
| 2011-08-11 | 4.80 | 1.587302 |
| 2011-07-13 | 4.80 | 1.602136 |
| 2011-06-13 | 4.80 | 1.581028 |
| 2011-05-11 | 4.80 | 1.574803 |
| 2011-04-13 | 4.80 | 1.678322 |
| 2011-03-11 | 4.80 | 1.626016 |
| 2011-02-11 | 4.80 | 1.595745 |
| 2011-01-12 | 4.80 | 1.486989 |
| 2010-12-16 | 14.40 | 4.669261 |
| 2010-09-21 | 14.40 | 5.006954 |
| 2010-06-01 | 16.00 | 5.442177 |
| 2010-03-11 | 16.00 | 4.819277 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | 0.019951582 |
| Address1 | 3,001 Ocean Drive |
| Address2 | Suite 201 |
| All Time High | 398.8 |
| All Time Low | 13.18 |
| Ask | 17.21 |
| Ask Size | 8,000 |
| Audit Risk | 8 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 2.3 - Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 4,188,180 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 3,384,096 |
| Average Volume | 3,384,096 |
| Average Volume10Days | 4,188,180 |
| Beta | 1.338 |
| Bid | 17.19 |
| Bid Size | 2,600 |
| Board Risk | 7 |
| Book Value | 18.903 |
| City | Vero Beach |
| Compensation Risk | 6 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 17.11 |
| Current Ratio | 1.131 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,782,777,600 |
| Day High | 17.305 |
| Day Low | 16.97 |
| Debt To Equity | 790.676 |
| Dividend Date | 1,785,369,600 |
| Dividend Rate | 2.88 |
| Dividend Yield | 17.07 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,776,949,200 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,776,949,200 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,776,888,000 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,776,888,000 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,776,888,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.0 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 62.976 |
| Enterprise Value | 18,732,728,320 |
| Eps Current Year | 2.92349 |
| Eps Forward | 3.01116 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 2.53 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Ex Dividend Date | 1,784,073,600 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 17.0892 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | 0.020801544 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | 0.0012172334 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | 1.9951582 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 19.31 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -2.1999989 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.11393055 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 13.98 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 3.130001 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.22389136 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 13.98 - 19.31 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,196,692,200,000 |
| Five Year Avg Dividend Yield | 18.49 |
| Float Shares | 123,740,963 |
| Forward Eps | 3.01116 |
| Forward P E | 5.682196 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,782,864,000 |
| Gross Margins | 1.0 |
| Gross Profits | 297,457,984 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.00205 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.55939 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 124,046,116 |
| Industry | REIT - Mortgage |
| Industry Disp | REIT - Mortgage |
| Industry Key | reit-mortgage |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Dividend Date | 1,781,481,600 |
| Last Dividend Value | 0.24 |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Last Split Date | 1,696,204,800 |
| Last Split Factor | 1:5 |
| Long Business Summary | ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. invests in residential mortgage-backed securities (MBS) in the United States. Its securities portfolio primarily consists of the United States Government-sponsored entity's (GSE) and the Government National Mortgage Administration's issued or guaranteed securities backed by fixed rate, hybrid adjustable rate, and adjustable-rate home loans; and unsecured notes and bonds issued by the GSE and the United States treasuries, as well as money market instruments. The company has elected to be taxed as a real estate investment trust. ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. was incorporated in 2008 and is based in Vero Beach, Florida. |
| Long Name | ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 2,122,429,056 |
| Market State | POSTPOST |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_47014609 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,774,915,200 |
| Net Income To Common | 228,291,008 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 2,092,657,976 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 4 |
| Open | 17.03 |
| Operating Cashflow | 134,276,000 |
| Operating Margins | 1.38849 |
| Overall Risk | 6 |
| Payout Ratio | 1.1566 |
| Peg Ratio | 2.97 |
| Phone | 772 617 4340 |
| Post Market Change | 0.099998474 |
| Post Market Change Percent | 0.5844446 |
| Post Market Price | 17.21 |
| Post Market Time | 1,784,073,541 |
| Previous Close | 16.87 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 5.852594 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 0.9051474 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 7.135223 |
| Profit Margins | 0.80853 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.103 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 2.33333 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 0.24 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 1.42264 |
| Regular Market Day High | 17.305 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 16.97 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 16.97 - 17.305 |
| Regular Market Open | 17.03 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 16.87 |
| Regular Market Price | 17.11 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,784,059,203 |
| Regular Market Volume | 7,498,212 |
| Return On Assets | 0.01302 |
| Return On Equity | 0.119040005 |
| Revenue Per Share | 2.832 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20365608 |
| Sector | Real Estate |
| Sector Disp | Real Estate |
| Sector Key | real-estate |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 6 |
| Shares Outstanding | 124,046,116 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.0001 |
| Shares Short | 6,800 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,780,012,800 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 10,977 |
| Short Name | ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.0001 |
| Short Ratio | 0.0 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | FL |
| Symbol | ARR |
| Target High Price | 19.0 |
| Target Low Price | 18.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 18.375 |
| Target Median Price | 18.25 |
| Total Cash | 1,867,986,944 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 15.059 |
| Total Debt | 18,478,278,656 |
| Total Revenue | 297,457,984 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 2.88 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.17071725 |
| Trailing Eps | 2.53 |
| Trailing P E | 6.762846 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 17.07655 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | 0.03345108 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | 0.00195889 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 7,498,212 |
| Website | https://www.armourreit.com |
| Zip | 32,963 |