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ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. (ARR)

Real Estate | REIT - Mortgage | Vero Beach, United States | NYSE
16.32 USD -0.09 (-0.548%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 16.33 +0.01 (0.061%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:56 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:★★☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 1:09 a.m. EDT

The investment case for ARMOUR Residential REIT is currently defined by a stark disconnect between its massive dividend yield and its deteriorating business reality. While the stock offers a headline-grabbing 17.65% yield, this payout is not a sign of strength but a desperate attempt to retain capital in a failing enterprise. The company has endured four consecutive years of negative annual returns, with the share price collapsing 86% over the last nine years. This multi-year decline is the market's definitive verdict: the business is not generating enough value to justify a higher price, regardless of how cheap the P/E ratio appears. The recent stabilization in dividends and a return to profitability are insufficient to reverse the structural damage inflicted by years of compounding losses. From a short-term perspective, the stock is trapped between a floor set by the dividend and a ceiling imposed by the lack of growth momentum, resulting in a neutral outlook. Long-term investors should view this as a value trap; the low valuation reflects the high risk of permanent capital impairment rather than a margin of safety. The heavy put option activity confirms that sophisticated players see significant downside risk ahead.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.016567
AutoETS0.029625
AutoARIMA0.030951
MSTL0.032387

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 67%
H-stat 0.93
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.410
Excess Kurtosis -0.78
Attribute Value
Sector Real Estate
Ex Dividend Date 2026-09-14
Last Dividend Date 2026-08-16
Debt to Equity Ratio 756.724
Revenue per Share 4.217
Market Cap 2,310,145,536
Trailing P/E 3.72
Forward P/E 5.56
Beta 1.34
Profit Margins 87.82%
Website https://www.armourreit.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 1:09 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy open interest in out-of-the-money puts (strikes 15 and 20) across multiple expirations, suggesting a fear of further downside or a 'crash' scenario. Conversely, call volume is concentrated near the money (strikes 16-18), indicating a limited bullish thesis focused on mean reversion rather than a breakout. The implied volatility skew shows significantly higher premiums for deep out-of-the-money puts compared to calls, reflecting asymmetric risk pricing where the market prices in a higher probability of continued decline than a sharp rally.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
1.46% 17.07% 17.22% 17.16%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-08-17 0.24 1.458080
2026-07-15 0.24 1.387283
2026-06-15 0.24 1.408451
2026-05-15 0.24 1.413428
2026-04-15 0.24 1.366743
2026-03-16 0.24 1.409278
2026-02-17 0.24 1.349831
2026-01-15 0.24 1.275239
2025-12-15 0.24 1.409278
2025-11-17 0.24 1.459854
2025-10-15 0.24 1.540436
2025-09-15 0.24 1.592568
2025-08-15 0.24 1.593625
2025-07-15 0.24 1.451028
2025-06-16 0.24 1.456311
2025-05-15 0.24 1.431981
2025-04-15 0.24 1.686578
2025-03-17 0.24 1.282051
2025-02-14 0.24 1.251303
2025-01-15 0.24 1.327434
2024-12-16 0.24 1.251956
2024-11-15 0.24 1.275917
2024-10-15 0.24 1.221996
2024-09-16 0.24 1.160542
2024-08-15 0.24 1.206030
2024-07-15 0.24 1.147228
2024-06-17 0.24 1.240951
2024-05-14 0.24 1.255887
2024-04-12 0.24 1.302932
2024-03-14 0.24 1.282051
2024-02-14 0.24 1.313629
2024-01-12 0.24 1.212734
2023-12-14 0.40 2.016129
2023-11-14 0.40 2.385212
2023-10-13 0.40 2.199010
2023-09-14 0.40 1.642710
2023-08-14 0.40 1.639344
2023-07-14 0.40 1.590457
2023-06-14 0.40 1.559454
2023-05-12 0.40 1.626016
2023-04-14 0.40 1.559454
2023-03-14 0.40 1.568627
2023-02-14 0.50 1.686341
2023-01-13 0.50 1.644737
2022-12-14 0.50 1.727116
2022-11-14 0.50 1.763668
2022-10-14 0.50 2.136752
2022-09-14 0.50 1.461988
2022-08-12 0.50 1.317523
2022-07-14 0.50 1.479290
2022-06-14 0.50 1.572327
2022-05-13 0.50 1.322751
2022-04-14 0.50 1.256281
2022-03-14 0.50 1.187648
2022-02-14 0.50 1.154734
2022-01-14 0.50 1.028807
2021-12-14 0.50 1.033058
2021-11-12 0.50 0.954198
2021-10-14 0.50 0.918274
2021-09-14 0.50 0.928505
2021-08-13 0.50 0.945180
2021-07-14 0.50 0.917431
2021-06-14 0.50 0.845309
2021-05-14 0.50 0.831947
2021-04-14 0.50 0.816993
2021-03-12 0.50 0.821693
2021-02-12 0.50 0.827815
2021-01-14 0.50 0.905797
2020-12-14 0.50 0.926784
2020-11-13 0.50 0.983284
2020-10-14 0.50 1.022495
2020-09-14 0.50 1.009082
2020-08-14 0.50 1.023541
2020-07-14 0.50 1.086957
2020-06-12 0.45 1.012373
2020-03-13 0.85 1.247249
2020-02-13 0.85 0.850425
2020-01-14 0.85 0.900424
2019-12-13 0.85 0.971429
2019-11-14 0.85 1.010702
2019-10-11 0.85 1.019185
2019-09-13 0.85 0.992991
2019-08-14 0.85 1.022864
2019-07-12 0.85 0.921909
2019-06-14 0.95 1.030928
2019-05-14 0.95 1.020956
2019-04-12 0.95 0.964467
2019-03-14 0.95 0.969883
2019-02-14 0.95 0.901328
2019-01-14 0.95 0.903042
2018-12-14 0.95 0.875173
2018-11-14 0.95 0.857014
2018-10-12 0.95 0.917874
2018-09-14 0.95 0.824295
2018-08-14 0.95 0.812313
2018-07-13 0.95 0.820380
2018-06-14 0.95 0.828970
2018-05-14 0.95 0.839593
2018-04-12 0.95 0.818613
2018-03-14 0.95 0.838482
2018-02-14 0.95 0.835165
2018-01-12 0.95 0.757576
2017-12-14 0.95 0.733874
2017-11-14 0.95 0.771104
2017-10-13 0.95 0.704486
2017-09-14 0.95 0.709485
2017-08-11 0.95 0.736434
2017-07-13 0.95 0.750691
2017-06-13 0.95 0.716170
2017-05-11 0.95 0.765512
2017-04-12 0.95 0.818966
2017-03-13 0.95 0.880445
2017-02-13 0.95 0.873563
2017-01-12 0.95 0.872360
2016-12-13 1.10 1.016636
2016-11-10 1.10 0.969590
2016-10-12 1.10 0.998185
2016-09-13 1.10 1.007326
2016-08-11 1.10 0.983460
2016-07-13 1.10 1.069519
2016-06-13 1.10 1.134021
2016-05-12 1.10 1.090729
2016-04-13 1.35 1.231752
2016-03-11 1.65 1.606621
2016-02-10 1.65 1.816181
2016-01-13 1.65 1.637717
2015-12-14 1.65 1.682815
2015-11-12 1.65 1.619235
2015-10-13 1.65 1.562500
2015-09-11 1.65 1.636093
2015-08-13 1.65 1.480485
2015-07-13 1.60 1.403509
2015-06-11 1.60 1.408451
2015-05-13 1.60 1.320132
2015-04-13 1.60 1.261830
2015-03-11 1.60 1.269841
2015-02-11 1.60 1.282051
2015-01-13 1.60 1.139601
2014-12-11 2.00 1.344086
2014-11-13 2.00 1.269035
2014-10-10 2.00 1.262626
2014-09-11 2.00 1.179245
2014-08-13 2.00 1.196172
2014-07-11 2.00 1.176471
2014-06-12 2.00 1.152074
2014-05-13 2.00 1.187648
2014-04-11 2.00 1.201923
2014-03-13 2.00 1.160093
2014-02-12 2.00 1.182033
2014-01-13 2.00 1.228501
2013-12-12 2.00 1.329787
2013-11-13 2.00 1.243781
2013-10-10 2.00 1.184834
2013-09-12 2.80 1.732673
2013-08-13 2.80 1.594533
2013-07-11 2.80 1.559020
2013-06-12 2.80 1.525054
2013-05-13 2.80 1.158940
2013-04-11 2.80 1.088647
2013-03-13 3.20 1.219512
2013-02-13 3.20 1.128350
2013-01-11 3.20 1.154401
2012-12-12 3.60 1.321586
2012-11-13 3.60 1.365706
2012-10-11 3.60 1.224490
2012-09-12 4.00 1.336898
2012-08-13 4.00 1.344086
2012-07-12 4.00 1.381215
2012-06-13 4.00 1.447178
2012-05-11 4.00 1.440922
2012-04-12 4.00 1.474926
2012-03-13 4.40 1.605839
2012-02-13 4.40 1.562500
2012-01-11 4.40 1.564723
2011-12-13 4.40 1.591896
2011-11-10 4.40 1.573677
2011-10-12 4.40 1.608187
2011-09-13 4.80 1.643836
2011-08-11 4.80 1.587302
2011-07-13 4.80 1.602136
2011-06-13 4.80 1.581028
2011-05-11 4.80 1.574803
2011-04-13 4.80 1.678322
2011-03-11 4.80 1.626016
2011-02-11 4.80 1.595745
2011-01-12 4.80 1.486989
2010-12-16 14.40 4.669261
2010-09-21 14.40 5.006954
2010-06-01 16.00 5.442177
2010-03-11 16.00 4.819277
Additional Data
dividendRate 2.88
dividendYield 17.55
exDividendDate 2026-09-15
trailingAnnualDividendRate 2.88
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.17550275
lastDividendValue 0.24
lastDividendDate 2026-08-17
dividendDate 2026-08-28

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.07722771
Address1 3,001 Ocean Drive
Address2 Suite 201
All Time High 398.8
All Time Low 13.18
Ask 16.35
Ask Size 5,900
Audit Risk 8
Average Daily Volume10 Day 2,783,180
Average Daily Volume3 Month 3,723,773
Average Volume 3,723,773
Average Volume10Days 2,783,180
Beta 1.344
Bid 16.34
Bid Size 3,400
Board Risk 7
Book Value 18.912
City Vero Beach
Compensation Risk 6
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 16.32
Current Ratio 1.142
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 16.5251
Day Low 16.295
Debt To Equity 756.724
Dividend Date 1,787,875,200
Dividend Rate 2.88
Dividend Yield 17.55
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,784,808,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,784,808,000
Earnings Timestamp 1,784,750,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,217,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,217,600
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Revenue 41.146
Enterprise Value 20,190,011,392
Eps Current Year 2.91287
Eps Forward 2.93391
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 4.39
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,789,430,400
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 16.6796
Fifty Day Average Change -0.35960007
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.021559274
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 7.722771
Fifty Two Week High 19.31
Fifty Two Week High Change -2.9899998
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.15484205
Fifty Two Week Low 13.98
Fifty Two Week Low Change 2.3400002
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.16738199
Fifty Two Week Range 13.98 - 19.31
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,196,692,200,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 18.59
Float Shares 141,220,396
Forward Eps 2.93391
Forward P E 5.562543
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Fullday Change -0.0900002
Fullday Change Percent -0.548447
Fullday Price 16.33
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 1.0
Gross Profits 490,692,992
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.0019699999
Held Percent Institutions 0.56549
Implied Shares Outstanding 141,553,046
Industry REIT - Mortgage
Industry Disp REIT - Mortgage
Industry Key reit-mortgage
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,786,924,800
Last Dividend Value 0.24
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,696,204,800
Last Split Factor 1:5
Long Business Summary ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. invests in residential mortgage-backed securities (MBS) in the United States. Its securities portfolio primarily consists of the United States Government-sponsored entity's (GSE) and the Government National Mortgage Administration's issued or guaranteed securities backed by fixed rate, hybrid adjustable rate, and adjustable-rate home loans; and unsecured notes and bonds issued by the GSE and the United States treasuries, as well as money market instruments. The company has elected to be taxed as a real estate investment trust. ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. was incorporated in 2008 and is based in Vero Beach, Florida.
Long Name ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 2,310,145,536
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_47014609
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 418,454,016
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 2,035,596,763
Number Of Analyst Opinions 4
Open 16.47
Operating Cashflow 319,489,984
Operating Margins 0.86998004
Overall Risk 6
Payout Ratio 0.65309995
Peg Ratio 2.97
Phone 772 617 4340
Post Market Change 0.010000229
Post Market Change Percent 0.061275914
Post Market Price 16.33
Post Market Time 1,787,961,395
Previous Close 16.41
Price Eps Current Year 5.6027217
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 0.8629441
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 4.7079244
Profit Margins 0.8782
Quick Ratio 0.087
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.0900002
Regular Market Change Percent -0.548447
Regular Market Day High 16.5251
Regular Market Day Low 16.295
Regular Market Day Range 16.295 - 16.5251
Regular Market Open 16.47
Regular Market Previous Close 16.41
Regular Market Price 16.32
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,202
Regular Market Volume 3,589,411
Return On Assets 0.02211
Return On Equity 0.20331
Revenue Per Share 4.217
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20204377
Sector Real Estate
Sector Disp Real Estate
Sector Key real-estate
Share Holder Rights Risk 6
Shares Outstanding 141,553,046
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0
Shares Short 6,451
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 8,420
Short Name ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0001
Short Ratio 0.0
Source Interval 15
State FL
Symbol ARR
Target High Price 19.0
Target Low Price 18.0
Target Mean Price 18.375
Target Median Price 18.25
Total Cash 1,636,774,016
Total Cash Per Share 11.563
Total Debt 19,516,631,040
Total Revenue 490,692,992
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 2.88
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.17550275
Trailing Eps 4.39
Trailing P E 3.71754
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 17.2045
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.8845005
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.051410995
Type Disp Equity
Volume 3,589,411
Website https://www.armourreit.com
Zip 32,963