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Arcutis Biotherapeutics, Inc. (ARQT)

Healthcare | Biotechnology | Westlake Village, United States | NasdaqGS
23.78 USD -1.09 (-4.383%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 23.74 -0.04 (-0.040%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:30 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★★☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 5:07 a.m. EDT

The investment case here is driven by a powerful divergence between a deteriorating technical trend and a fundamentally recovering business. While the stock has suffered a brutal 43% decline over the last five years, the most recent annual performance tells a different story: a massive 92% surge in value and a 59% jump in revenue growth. This turnaround is priced in, yet the balance sheet remains pristine with a fortress-like current ratio of nearly 3x and manageable debt levels. The high forward P/E reflects the market's expectation of continued expansion as the dermatology platform compounds. Short-term, the setup looks attractive despite the weak statistical forecast. The price is hovering near its 200-day average, and the options chain reveals aggressive speculation on a breakout to the upside, with heavy call open interest at strikes well above the current level. This suggests smart money sees a catalyst approaching. However, the recent insider selling and the stock's failure to break above the 52-week high create some friction. I am leaning bullish for the near term based on the options flow and the reversal of the long-term downtrend, but the lack of a dividend and the inherent volatility of a biotech turnaround keep the short-term rating from being a full conviction buy.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.163814
MSTL0.187633
AutoARIMA0.191503
AutoETS0.191574

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 31%
H-stat 3.18
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.003
Excess Kurtosis 0.39
Attribute Value
Sector Healthcare
Debt to Equity Ratio 51.744
Revenue per Share 3.598
Market Cap 2,988,954,880
Trailing P/E 113.24
Forward P/E 18.25
Beta 1.53
Profit Margins 6.15%
Website https://www.arcutis.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 5:07 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a significant upside breakout, evidenced by heavy open interest in out-of-the-money calls at strikes significantly above the current price (30 and 32.5 for August expiry; 30 and 35 for January expiry). Conversely, put activity is concentrated deep in-the-money at lower strikes (12.5 and 17.5), suggesting a floor rather than a bearish bet. The skew in volume and open interest strongly favors a bullish scenario over the next few months.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.62336814
Address1 3,027 Townsgate Road
Address2 Suite 300
All Time High 40.88
All Time Low 1.76
Ask 31.0
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 2
Average Analyst Rating 1.5 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,769,560
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,679,933
Average Volume 1,679,933
Average Volume10Days 1,769,560
Beta 1.526
Bid 23.75
Bid Size 1
Board Risk 5
Book Value 1.756
City Westlake Village
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 8
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 23.78
Current Ratio 2.917
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 24.88
Day Low 23.74
Debt To Equity 51.744
Display Name Arcutis Biotherapeutics
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,961,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,961,800
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,960,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,131,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,131,200
Ebitda 36,503,000
Ebitda Margins 0.07867
Enterprise To Ebitda 78.474
Enterprise To Revenue 6.174
Enterprise Value 2,864,539,904
Eps Current Year 0.41167
Eps Forward 1.30333
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.21
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 26.7004
Fifty Day Average Change -2.9203987
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.109376594
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 62.336815
Fifty Two Week High 31.77
Fifty Two Week High Change -7.99
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.25149512
Fifty Two Week Low 15.13
Fifty Two Week Low Change 8.650001
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.57171184
Fifty Two Week Range 15.13 - 31.77
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,580,481,000,000
Float Shares 93,801,397
Forward Eps 1.30333
Forward P E 18.245573
Free Cashflow 21,685,376
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 354
Fullday Change -1.09
Fullday Change Percent -4.38279
Fullday Price 23.74
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.91143
Gross Profits 422,884,992
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.01779
Held Percent Institutions 1.08794
Implied Shares Outstanding 125,691,961
Industry Biotechnology
Industry Disp Biotechnology
Industry Key biotechnology
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Arcutis Biotherapeutics, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on developing and commercializing treatments for dermatological diseases. The company's lead product is ZORYVE, a topical roflumilast cream for the treatment of plaque psoriasis and atopic dermatitis. It also develops ZORYVE foam seborrheic dermatitis, and scalp and body psoriasis treatment; ARQ-234, a fusion protein that is a potent and highly selective checkpoint agonist of the CD200 receptor. The company was formerly known as Arcutis, Inc. and changed its name to Arcutis Biotherapeutics, Inc. in October 2019. Arcutis Biotherapeutics, Inc. was incorporated in 2016 and is headquartered in Westlake Village, California.
Long Name Arcutis Biotherapeutics, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 2,988,954,880
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_549019944
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 28,519,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 3,123,445,230
Number Of Analyst Opinions 8
Open 24.88
Operating Cashflow 39,309,000
Operating Margins 0.12651
Overall Risk 6
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 805 418 5006
Post Market Change -0.040000916
Post Market Change Percent -0.16821243
Post Market Price 23.74
Post Market Time 1,787,959,806
Previous Close 24.87
Price Eps Current Year 57.764717
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 13.542141
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 6.441977
Profit Margins 0.06147
Quick Ratio 2.455
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.5
Region US
Regular Market Change -1.09
Regular Market Change Percent -4.38279
Regular Market Day High 24.88
Regular Market Day Low 23.74
Regular Market Day Range 23.74 - 24.88
Regular Market Open 24.88
Regular Market Previous Close 24.87
Regular Market Price 23.78
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,201
Regular Market Volume 1,535,819
Return On Assets 0.05091
Return On Equity 0.15864
Revenue Growth 0.593
Revenue Per Share 3.598
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20504117
Sector Healthcare
Sector Disp Healthcare
Sector Key healthcare
Share Holder Rights Risk 7
Shares Outstanding 125,691,961
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.1171
Shares Short 14,717,905
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 13,561,565
Short Name Arcutis Biotherapeutics, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.1249
Short Ratio 10.0
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol ARQT
Target High Price 40.0
Target Low Price 34.0
Target Mean Price 36.875
Target Median Price 37.0
Total Cash 238,552,000
Total Cash Per Share 1.898
Total Debt 114,137,000
Total Revenue 463,980,992
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 0.21
Trailing P E 113.238106
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 25.61625
Two Hundred Day Average Change -1.8362484
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.07168295
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,535,819
Website https://www.arcutis.com
Zip 91,361