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Arm Holdings plc (ARM)

Technology | Semiconductors | Cambridge, United Kingdom | NasdaqGS
298.99 USD -24.40 (-7.545%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 297.30 -1.69 (-1.690%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★☆☆Long-term:★★★⯪☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 5:56 a.m. EDT

Arm Holdings presents a stark dichotomy between world-class business fundamentals and an exorbitant valuation. The company boasts exceptional gross margins near 98%, a fortress balance sheet with net cash, and robust revenue growth exceeding 20%. However, trading at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of nearly 380 times implies the market is pricing in perfection that may never materialize. While the 200-day moving average sits significantly below the current price, suggesting a long-term uptrend, the last 14 days have seen a sharp correction from June highs, and analyst consensus targets currently sit below the share price. The options market reflects this tension, with high implied volatility and mixed positioning. For investors, the long-term thesis relies on the assumption that the business can sustain its growth trajectory despite the steep valuation, but the short-term outlook remains precarious given the recent price weakness and lack of income support.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.168742
AutoTheta0.242843
MSTL0.381621
AutoETS0.405183

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 33%
H-stat 1.44
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.279
Excess Kurtosis -1.11
Attribute Value
Sector Technology
Debt to Equity Ratio 5.926
Revenue per Share 4.637
Market Cap 319,344,869,376
Trailing P/E 355.94
Forward P/E 97.05
Beta 3.77
Profit Margins 18.37%
Website https://www.arm.com

As of July 11, 2026, 5:56 a.m. EDT: Implied volatility remains elevated across all expirations, reflecting significant uncertainty. Call buyers are positioning for substantial upside, placing heavy open interest walls at strikes above 400 and targeting 500+. Conversely, put buyers are hedging downside risks with significant open interest concentrated between 100 and 300 strikes. The mix suggests a speculative environment where traders are betting on a binary outcome rather than a steady path.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 1.2373738
Address1 110 Fulbourn Road
All Time High 452.7
All Time Low 46.5
Ask 376.85
Ask Size 2
Average Analyst Rating 1.9 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 6,353,530
Average Daily Volume3 Month 11,085,044
Average Volume 11,085,044
Average Volume10Days 6,353,530
Beta 3.77
Bid 298.0
Bid Size 1
Book Value 7.787
City Cambridge
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,798,675,200
Country United Kingdom
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 298.99
Current Ratio 5.996
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 310.4
Day Low 293.5
Debt To Equity 5.926
Display Name Arm
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,355,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,355,200
Earnings Growth 0.479
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.49
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,355,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,785,355,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,785,355,200
Ebitda 1,064,700,032
Ebitda Margins 0.2164
Enterprise To Ebitda 297.018
Enterprise To Revenue 64.275
Enterprise Value 316,234,858,496
Eps Current Year 2.16802
Eps Forward 3.08093
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.84
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 309.1958
Fifty Day Average Change -10.205811
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.033007596
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 123.73738
Fifty Two Week High 452.7
Fifty Two Week High Change -153.71002
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.33954057
Fifty Two Week Low 100.02
Fifty Two Week Low Change 198.97
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 1.9893023
Fifty Two Week Range 100.02 - 452.7
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,694,698,200,000
Float Shares 142,609,876
Forward Eps 3.08093
Forward P E 97.04537
Free Cashflow 750,499,968
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 9,584
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.97541
Gross Profits 4,799,000,064
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00071000005
Held Percent Institutions 0.95944
Implied Shares Outstanding 1,068,078,760
Industry Semiconductors
Industry Disp Semiconductors
Industry Key semiconductors
Ipo Expected Date 2,023-09-14
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,774,915,200
Long Business Summary Arm Holdings plc researches, develops, licenses, and markets central processing unit (CPU) intellectual property (IP), graphics processing unit IP, systems IP, compute subsystems (CSS), and associated software, tools and related services. The company provides a product portfolio, including CPU IP, GPU and neural processing unit (NPU) accelerators, system IP such as interconnects, compute platform products including pre-integrated CSSs, and development tools and software. The company serves semiconductor companies, original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), cloud service providers (CSPs), and organizations developing chips for end markets such as smartphones, consumer electronics, industrial IoT, embedded systems, cloud data centers, networking, automotive, and robotics. It provides its products and services in the United States, China, Japan, Taiwan, Korea, and internationally. The company was founded in 1990 and is based in Cambridge, United Kingdom. Arm Holdings plc operates as a subsidiary of SoftBank Group Corp.
Long Name Arm Holdings plc
Market us_market
Market Cap 319,344,869,376
Market State POSTPOST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_667281196
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 904,000,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,806,451,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 345,405,990,196
Number Of Analyst Opinions 37
Open 310.28
Operating Cashflow 1,524,000,000
Operating Margins 0.2953
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 2.67
Phone 44 1223 400 400
Post Market Change -1.6900024
Post Market Change Percent -0.5652371
Post Market Price 297.3
Post Market Time 1,783,987,197
Previous Close 323.39
Price Eps Current Year 137.90924
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 38.39604
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 64.90749
Profit Margins 0.18374
Quick Ratio 5.834
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.925
Region US
Regular Market Change -24.4
Regular Market Change Percent -7.54508
Regular Market Day High 310.4
Regular Market Day Low 293.5
Regular Market Day Range 293.5 - 310.4
Regular Market Open 310.28
Regular Market Previous Close 323.39
Regular Market Price 298.99
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,801
Regular Market Volume 4,941,759
Return On Assets 0.057800002
Return On Equity 0.119540006
Revenue Growth 0.201
Revenue Per Share 4.637
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Technology
Sector Disp Technology
Sector Key technology
Shares Outstanding 1,068,078,760
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0161
Shares Short 17,227,301
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 18,511,799
Short Name Arm Holdings plc
Short Percent Of Float 0.1185
Short Ratio 1.38
Source Interval 15
Symbol ARM
Target High Price 500.0
Target Low Price 125.0
Target Mean Price 298.83838
Target Median Price 260.0
Total Cash 3,600,999,936
Total Cash Per Share 3.371
Total Debt 491,000,000
Total Revenue 4,920,000,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 0.84
Trailing P E 355.9405
Trailing Peg Ratio 2.6678
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 181.33713
Two Hundred Day Average Change 117.65286
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.64880735
Type Disp Equity
Volume 4,941,759
Website https://www.arm.com
Zip CB1 9NJ