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Arlo Technologies, Inc. (ARLO)

Industrials | Building Products & Equipment | Carlsbad, United States | NYSE
13.11 USD +0.11 (0.846%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★★⯪☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 5:18 a.m. EDT

The long-term outlook remains constructive, driven by a robust recovery in revenue growth (+26.3%) and a significant expansion in forward earnings estimates, which compresses the valuation multiple from a bloated trailing P/E of 46x to a much more reasonable forward P/E of 13x. This suggests the market is pricing in a successful turnaround where current earnings are depressed by one-off costs rather than structural failure. However, the short-term picture is clouded by persistent selling pressure; the stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, and the statistical forecast models a slight decline over the next month. Crucially, there is no dividend to provide income during this volatile transition, and insider selling headlines add to the near-term headwinds. While the fundamental thesis for a multi-year hold is strong given the improved growth trajectory and cash generation, the immediate path appears choppy as investors digest the earnings recovery.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL_74 ✓0.037421
MSTL_74_970.039830
MSTL_970.045121
MSTL0.060233
AutoETS0.063258
AutoARIMA0.063258
AutoTheta0.074073

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL_74

Forecast Reliability
Score 42%
H-stat 0.40
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.803
Excess Kurtosis -0.27
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Debt to Equity Ratio 5.165
Revenue per Share 5.319
Market Cap 1,423,874,688
Trailing P/E 46.82
Forward P/E 13.31
Beta 1.55
Profit Margins 5.46%
Website https://www.arlo.com

As of July 11, 2026, 5:18 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy put volume and open interest concentrated at lower strikes (10.00 and 12.00), suggesting a fear of further downside. Call activity is sparse and skewed toward out-of-the-money strikes (15.00 and 19.00), indicating limited bullish conviction despite the recent price bounce. Implied volatility is elevated relative to historical norms, reflecting uncertainty rather than a clear directional bet.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.19753087
Address1 5,770 Fleet Street
All Time High 23.77
All Time Low 1.2
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 1,800
Audit Risk 1
Average Analyst Rating 1.2 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,532,270
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,351,104
Average Volume 1,351,104
Average Volume10Days 1,532,270
Beta 1.551
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 500
Board Risk 4
Book Value 1.466
City Carlsbad
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 6
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 13.11
Current Ratio 1.517
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 13.19
Day Low 12.75
Debt To Equity 5.165
Display Name Arlo
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,778,187,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,778,187,600
Earnings Timestamp 1,786,046,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,786,046,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,786,046,400
Ebitda 21,179,000
Ebitda Margins 0.03778
Enterprise To Ebitda 59.711
Enterprise To Revenue 2.256
Enterprise Value 1,264,609,664
Eps Current Year 0.83833
Eps Forward 0.985
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.28
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 13.2416
Fifty Day Average Change -0.13160038
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.009938405
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -19.753086
Fifty Two Week High 19.94
Fifty Two Week High Change -6.830001
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.34252763
Fifty Two Week Low 11.05
Fifty Two Week Low Change 2.0599995
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.18642528
Fifty Two Week Range 11.05 - 19.94
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,533,303,000,000
Float Shares 105,377,589
Forward Eps 0.985
Forward P E 13.309644
Free Cashflow 63,651,124
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 376
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.4509
Gross Profits 252,782,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.03184
Held Percent Institutions 1.02536
Implied Shares Outstanding 108,609,817
Industry Building Products & Equipment
Industry Disp Building Products & Equipment
Industry Key building-products-equipment
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Arlo Technologies, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides cloud-based platform services in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific regions. The company offers Arlo Essential Cameras and Doorbells delivers smart home protection, including automated privacy shield, 360-degree coverage, and 2K video resolution; Arlo Home Security System, an all-in-one multi-sensor that provides access to security experts for monitoring and responding to emergency situations; ARLO PRO 6, a pro series wireless security cameras; ARLO ULTRA 3, a 4K HDR video resolution, auto-zoom and tracking and an expansive 180-degree field of view camera; Arlo Go 2, a camera for monitoring remote areas, large properties, construction sites, vacation homes, boat or RV slips, and hard-to-access areas; and Arlo Floodlight Camera, a wire-free floodlight camera. It also provides security system accessories, charging accessories, and mounts. In addition, the company offers Arlo Secure subscriptions, including AI-powered recognition and detection; 2K secure plan and 4K secure plus plan cloud-based video recording; unlimited cameras; advanced object detection; smart interactive notifications; smoke and CO alarm detection; cloud-based activity zone; call a friend; and 24/7 priority support and professional monitoring services; Arlo Total Security, a subscription which provides 24/7 professional monitoring and security hardware; Arlo Safe, a personal safety app that offers one-touch emergency response, family safety, and crash detection and response services; and Arlo SmartCloud, a SaaS solution that delivers security cloud services for business. It sells its products through retailers, wholesale distributors, broadcast channels, wireless carriers, and security solution providers, as well as through its website. Arlo Technologies, Inc. was incorporated in 2018 and is headquartered in Carlsbad, California.
Long Name Arlo Technologies, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 1,423,874,688
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_571928689
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,742,400
Net Income To Common 30,638,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 1,411,927,621
Number Of Analyst Opinions 5
Open 13.03
Operating Cashflow 75,666,000
Operating Margins 0.0589
Overall Risk 5
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 0.6
Phone 408 890 3900
Pre Market Change 0.07999992
Pre Market Change Percent 0.6102206
Pre Market Price 13.19
Pre Market Time 1,784,016,925
Previous Close 13.0
Price Eps Current Year 15.638233
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 8.942701
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 2.539853
Profit Margins 0.05465
Quick Ratio 1.209
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.16667
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.11
Regular Market Change Percent 0.846151
Regular Market Day High 13.19
Regular Market Day Low 12.75
Regular Market Day Range 12.75 - 13.19
Regular Market Open 13.03
Regular Market Previous Close 13.0
Regular Market Price 13.11
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,803
Regular Market Volume 578,312
Return On Assets 0.03118
Return On Equity 0.23319
Revenue Growth 0.263
Revenue Per Share 5.319
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Share Holder Rights Risk 7
Shares Outstanding 108,609,817
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.114300005
Shares Short 12,410,996
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 10,974,990
Short Name Arlo Technologies, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.1374
Short Ratio 9.83
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol ARLO
Target High Price 24.0
Target Low Price 19.0
Target Mean Price 21.4
Target Median Price 22.0
Total Cash 167,498,000
Total Cash Per Share 1.542
Total Debt 8,233,000
Total Revenue 560,612,992
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 0.28
Trailing P E 46.821426
Trailing Peg Ratio 0.5977
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 14.28585
Two Hundred Day Average Change -1.1758499
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.08230872
Type Disp Equity
Volume 578,312
Website https://www.arlo.com
Zip 92,008