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Arko Corp. (ARKO)

Consumer Cyclical | Specialty Retail | Richmond, United States | NasdaqCM
8.10 USD +0.03 (0.372%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:★★☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 2:50 a.m. EDT

The investment case for Arko Corp. is severely compromised by a deteriorating business trajectory and a fragile balance sheet. Fundamentally, the company is in a multi-year decline, having lost over half its value since 2019 with three consecutive years of negative annual returns. Revenue is shrinking (-3%), profitability is negligible (0.4% margins), and the debt-to-equity ratio is dangerously high at 420%. While the stock trades at a low P/S ratio, this reflects the market's rejection of the business model rather than a margin of safety. The dividend, while providing a 1.5% yield, is unsustainable given the payout ratio sits at 60% while earnings are barely positive; any cut in earnings would likely trigger an immediate suspension of payments. Technically, the stock is struggling to maintain gains, trading below its 50-day average despite a recent bounce, and the statistical forecast offers only a weak, low-confidence lean upward which contradicts the broader structural weakness. Options activity confirms this pessimism, with traders aggressively buying cheap puts to hedge against further drops while ignoring the upside. There is no compelling catalyst to reverse this trend, making this a poor candidate for capital preservation or growth.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL_79_115 ✓0.235501
MSTL_790.236714
MSTL0.243366
AutoARIMA0.248745
AutoETS0.253068
MSTL_1150.257221
AutoTheta0.263445

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL_79_115

Forecast Reliability
Score 34%
H-stat 15.44
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.082
Excess Kurtosis -1.41
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Ex Dividend Date 2026-05-17
Last Dividend Date 2026-05-17
Debt to Equity Ratio 420.146
Revenue per Share 57.836
Market Cap 908,704,384
Trailing P/E 40.50
Forward P/E 162.00
Beta 0.99
Profit Margins 0.44%
Previous Name Arko Holdings Ltd.
Website https://www.arkocorp.com

As of July 11, 2026, 2:50 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioning for downside protection, evidenced by massive open interest in out-of-the-money puts (111 contracts at $5 strike for July expiry vs zero in-the-money put volume). Conversely, call activity is sparse and concentrated in deep out-of-the-money strikes ($10), suggesting a speculative hope for a rebound rather than a conviction bet on immediate upside. Implied volatility is significantly elevated for puts compared to calls, indicating the market prices in a high probability of further decline.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.43% 2.27% 2.11%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-05-18 0.03 0.426136
2026-03-10 0.03 0.528169
2025-11-17 0.03 0.717703
2025-08-18 0.03 0.600000
2025-05-19 0.03 0.603622
2025-03-10 0.03 0.751880
2024-11-19 0.03 0.458015
2024-08-19 0.03 0.469484
2024-05-17 0.03 0.525394
2024-03-08 0.03 0.468019
2023-11-16 0.03 0.416667
2023-08-14 0.03 0.361446
2023-05-18 0.03 0.403769
2023-03-08 0.03 0.344828
2022-11-21 0.03 0.336323
2022-08-26 0.02 0.199800
2022-05-27 0.02 0.222222
2022-03-14 0.02 0.243013
Additional Data
dividendRate 0.12
dividendYield 1.49
exDividendDate 2026-05-18
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.12
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.014869888
lastDividendValue 0.03
lastDividendDate 2026-05-18
dividendDate 2026-05-29

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.7581699
Address1 8,565 Magellan Parkway
Address2 Suite 400
All Time High 16.91
All Time Low 3.51
Ask 10.36
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 6
Average Daily Volume10 Day 944,700
Average Daily Volume3 Month 930,108
Average Volume 930,108
Average Volume10Days 944,700
Beta 0.985
Bid 5.84
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 7
Book Value 3.525
City Richmond
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 6
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 8.1
Current Ratio 1.62
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 8.23
Day Low 8.09
Debt To Equity 420.146
Display Name Arko
Dividend Date 1,780,012,800
Dividend Rate 0.12
Dividend Yield 1.49
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,778,158,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,778,158,800
Earnings Timestamp 1,778,157,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,785,933,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,785,933,000
Ebitda 253,854,000
Ebitda Margins 0.039130002
Enterprise To Ebitda 12.397
Enterprise To Revenue 0.485
Enterprise Value 3,147,098,368
Eps Forward 0.05
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.2
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,779,062,400
Exchange NCM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 7.5006
Fifty Day Average Change 0.5994005
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.079913676
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 75.816986
Fifty Two Week High 8.755
Fifty Two Week High Change -0.65499973
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.07481436
Fifty Two Week Low 3.71
Fifty Two Week Low Change 4.3900003
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 1.1832885
Fifty Two Week Range 3.71 - 8.755
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,563,888,600,000
Float Shares 56,036,768
Forward Eps 0.05
Forward P E 162.0
Free Cashflow 12,534,250
Full Exchange Name NasdaqCM
Full Time Employees 9,748
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.17990999
Gross Profits 1,167,165,056
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.29814
Held Percent Institutions 0.66173
Implied Shares Outstanding 112,185,721
Industry Specialty Retail
Industry Disp Specialty Retail
Industry Key specialty-retail
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,779,062,400
Last Dividend Value 0.03
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Arko Corp., through its subsidiary, operates a chain of convenience stores in the United States. It operates through four segments Retail, Wholesale, Fleet Fueling, and GPMP segments. The Retail segment engages in the operation of retail stores that sells fuel and merchandise, as well as cold and hot prepared foods, beverages, cigarettes and other tobacco products, candy, salty snacks, grocery, beer and general merchandise to retail consumers. The Wholesale segment supplies fuel to dealers, sub-wholesalers, and bulk and spot purchasers. The Fleet Fueling segment operates proprietary and third-party cardlock, and sells fuel using proprietary fuel cards. The GPMP segment is involved in the wholesale distribution of fuel to the retail and wholesale segments. The company is based in Richmond, Virginia.
Long Name Arko Corp.
Market us_market
Market Cap 908,704,384
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_952512
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Name Change Date 2,026-07-13
Net Income To Common 23,025,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 905,338,768
Number Of Analyst Opinions 2
Open 8.09
Operating Cashflow 167,852,992
Operating Margins 0.0069999998
Overall Risk 6
Payout Ratio 0.6
Phone 804 730 1568
Pre Market Change 0.09999943
Pre Market Change Percent 1.2345607
Pre Market Price 8.2
Pre Market Time 1,784,018,200
Prev Name Arko Holdings Ltd.
Previous Close 8.07
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 2.2978723
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.14006701
Profit Margins 0.0044400003
Quick Ratio 0.925
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.0300007
Regular Market Change Percent 0.371756
Regular Market Day High 8.23
Regular Market Day Low 8.09
Regular Market Day Range 8.09 - 8.23
Regular Market Open 8.09
Regular Market Previous Close 8.07
Regular Market Price 8.1
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,801
Regular Market Volume 541,386
Return On Assets 0.02078
Return On Equity 0.065170005
Revenue Growth -0.031
Revenue Per Share 57.836
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Share Holder Rights Risk 5
Shares Outstanding 112,185,721
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.048699997
Shares Short 5,458,764
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 4,075,233
Short Name ARKO Corp.
Short Percent Of Float 0.08270001
Short Ratio 5.43
Source Interval 15
State VA
Symbol ARKO
Target High Price 9.0
Target Low Price 8.0
Target Mean Price 8.5
Target Median Price 8.5
Total Cash 279,327,008
Total Cash Per Share 2.49
Total Debt 2,353,068,032
Total Revenue 6,487,640,064
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.12
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.014869888
Trailing Eps 0.2
Trailing P E 40.5
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 5.72965
Two Hundred Day Average Change 2.3703504
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.41369897
Type Disp Equity
Volume 541,386
Website https://www.arkocorp.com
Zip 23,227-1150