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ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF (ARKB)

Digital Assets | Exchange Traded Fund | Cboe US
25.72 USD -0.79 (-2.980%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 25.88 +0.16 (0.627%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:55 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 4:47 a.m. EDT

The ARKB ETF is currently exhibiting classic speculative volatility characteristics rather than steady investment behavior. The price action shows a sharp recovery from August lows, climbing nearly 20% in a week, yet the statistical forecast model remains weak and bearish, highlighting a disconnect between recent momentum and predictive algorithms. This tension is best explained by the options data: market participants are placing heavy bets on a continuation of this rally, with significant call buying at $30 and $39 strikes suggesting a belief in a major Bitcoin-driven surge. However, the lack of dividends and the asset's nature as a leveraged crypto proxy mean there is no safety net. While the immediate technical setup looks bullish with strong relative strength against its moving averages, the underlying statistical signal warns of potential noise. This is a high-risk, high-reward momentum play suitable for traders betting on a crypto bull run, but it lacks the fundamental durability required for a core long-term holding.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.098585
AutoETS0.102459
AutoTheta0.103230
AutoARIMA0.189957

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 32%
H-stat 11.01
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.000
Excess Kurtosis 1.19

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 4:47 a.m. EDT: Speculators are aggressively positioning for a significant upside breakout, evidenced by massive open interest walls at $30 and $39 strikes and heavy volume spikes on calls far out-of-the-money. Conversely, put buyers are hedging deep downside scenarios at $15-$18, creating a wide volatility range. The skew suggests a 'long gamma' environment where traders expect a binary move away from the current consolidation, leaning heavily toward the upside.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 59.22
All Time Low 12.873333
Ask 25.79
Ask Size 9,200
Average Daily Volume10 Day 2,383,620
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,913,615
Average Volume 1,913,615
Average Volume10Days 2,383,620
Beta3 Year 0.0
Bid 25.67
Bid Size 8,200
Category Digital Assets
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 26.485
Day Low 25.495
Display Name ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF
Dividend Yield 0.0
Esg Populated 0
Exchange BTS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 21.7031
Fifty Day Average Change 4.016899
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.18508412
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -30.165625
Fifty Two Week High 41.99
Fifty Two Week High Change -16.270002
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.38747326
Fifty Two Week Low 19.24
Fifty Two Week Low Change 6.4799995
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.3367983
Fifty Two Week Range 19.24 - 41.99
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,704,983,400,000
Full Exchange Name Cboe US
Fullday Change -0.790001
Fullday Change Percent -2.98001
Fullday Price 25.8813
Fund Family 21Shares US LLC
Fund Inception Date 1,704,844,800
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Ipo Expected Date 2,024-01-11
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The index is designed to reflect the performance of bitcoin in U.S. dollars. In seeking to achieve its investment objective, the trust will hold bitcoin and will value its shares daily based on the index.
Long Name ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF
Market us_market
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1672350111
Nav Price 26.561
Net Assets 2,128,186,370.0
Net Expense Ratio 0.21
Open 26.28
Post Market Change 0.16130066
Post Market Change Percent 0.627141
Post Market Price 25.8813
Post Market Time 1,787,961,317
Previous Close 26.51
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.790001
Regular Market Change Percent -2.98001
Regular Market Day High 26.485
Regular Market Day Low 25.495
Regular Market Day Range 25.495 - 26.485
Regular Market Open 26.28
Regular Market Previous Close 26.51
Regular Market Price 25.72
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,200
Regular Market Volume 2,583,146
Short Name ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF
Source Interval 15
Symbol ARKB
Total Assets 2,128,186,368
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns -17.65007
Trailing Three Month Returns -17.65007
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 24.966326
Two Hundred Day Average Change 0.75367355
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.030187603
Type Disp ETF
Volume 2,583,146
Yield 0.0
Ytd Return -27.97861