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Aris Mining Corporation (ARIS)

Basic Materials | Gold | Vancouver, Canada | NYSE
16.25 USD -0.67 (-3.960%) ⇩ (Oct. 14, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 16.00 -0.25 (-0.250%) ⇩ (Oct. 14, 2026, 7:50 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★★⯪Dividends:★★☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 3:57 a.m. EDT

The investment case here is driven by a massive fundamental inflection point that the market is beginning to price in. The company has successfully reset its balance sheet and is executing a credible plan to quadruple gold production, which explains the explosive 125% revenue growth and the surge in profitability. With forward P/E compressing to under 6x and a strong buy consensus, the long-term outlook is exceptionally bright; the business quality has clearly improved from a value trap to a high-growth operator. However, the short-term chart tells a different story, showing a distinct downtrend where the stock has drifted below its moving averages, creating a classic 'buy the dip' scenario. While the statistical forecast model offers almost no directional guidance due to low confidence, the divergence between the deteriorating technicals and the strengthening fundamentals suggests the worst of the correction may be over. The lack of a meaningful dividend is irrelevant given the scale of the production expansion and earnings potential ahead.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoETS ✓0.247494
AutoARIMA0.247675
MSTL0.255701
AutoTheta0.314593

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS

Forecast Reliability
Score 34%
H-stat 10.93
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.106
Excess Kurtosis -1.08
Attribute Value
Sector Basic Materials
Ex Dividend Date 2022-08-29
Last Dividend Date 2025-09-03
Debt to Equity Ratio 28.652
Revenue per Share 6.229
Market Cap 3,354,498,560
Trailing P/E 11.69
Forward P/E 5.63
Beta 2.08
Profit Margins 22.43%
Previous Name Gran Colombia Gold Corp.
Website https://aris-mining.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 3:57 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning aggressively for upside, evidenced by heavy open interest in out-of-the-money calls at strikes significantly above the current price (20.0 and 22.5), which represent the top OI levels. Conversely, put activity is concentrated at lower strikes (10.0 and 15.0) with relatively thin volume compared to the call side, suggesting a bullish skew where traders are betting on continued appreciation rather than hedging against a crash.


Dividend Data

Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2025-09-04 0.140 1.571268
2025-06-05 0.140 2.071006
2025-03-13 0.140 3.160271
2022-08-30 0.012 0.482703
2022-07-28 0.012 0.414508
2022-06-29 0.012 0.439560
2022-05-31 0.012 0.352941
2022-04-28 0.012 0.284360
2022-03-30 0.012 0.258621
2022-02-25 0.012 0.269663
2022-01-28 0.012 0.302648
2021-12-30 0.012 0.289855
2021-11-29 0.012 0.297030
2021-10-28 0.012 0.281690
2021-09-28 0.012 0.320513
2021-08-30 0.012 0.315789
2021-07-29 0.012 0.316623
2021-06-29 0.012 0.295567
2021-05-28 0.012 0.278100
2021-04-29 0.012 0.281162
2021-03-30 0.012 0.284360
2021-02-25 0.012 0.252101
2021-01-28 0.012 0.234604
2020-12-30 0.012 0.190476
2020-11-27 0.012 0.258621
2020-09-29 0.011 0.231921
Additional Data
dividendYield 0.0
exDividendDate 2022-08-30
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0
lastDividendValue 0.14
lastDividendDate 2025-09-04
dividendDate 2022-09-15

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.53260875
Address1 550 Burrard Street
Address2 Suite 2900
All Time High 900.375
All Time Low 0.66
Ask 18.08
Ask Size 3,200
Audit Risk 9
Average Analyst Rating 1.5 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,591,130
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,549,407
Average Volume 1,549,407
Average Volume10Days 1,591,130
Beta 2.08
Bid 15.96
Bid Size 200
Board Risk 8
Book Value 8.552
City Vancouver
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 8
Country Canada
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 16.25
Current Ratio 1.907
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 16.5428
Day Low 15.995
Debt To Equity 28.652
Display Name Aris Mining
Dividend Date 1,663,200,000
Dividend Yield 0.0
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,360,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,360,600
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,355,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,822,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,822,400
Ebitda 626,472,000
Ebitda Margins 0.49352002
Enterprise To Ebitda 5.482
Enterprise To Revenue 2.705
Enterprise Value 3,434,281,984
Eps Current Year 2.054
Eps Forward 2.888
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 1.39
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,661,817,600
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 20
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 18.5302
Fifty Day Average Change -2.280199
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.12305313
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 53.260876
Fifty Two Week High 23.29
Fifty Two Week High Change -7.040001
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.3022757
Fifty Two Week Low 8.75
Fifty Two Week Low Change 7.5
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.85714287
Fifty Two Week Range 8.75 - 23.29
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,286,544,600,000
Float Shares 201,850,944
Forward Eps 2.888
Forward P E 5.6267314
Free Cashflow 120,859,752
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 3,578
Fullday Change 0.012149811
Fullday Change Percent 0.0716803
Fullday Price 16.25
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.59506
Gross Profits 755,356,992
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.01941
Held Percent Institutions 0.74526
Implied Shares Outstanding 206,430,693
Industry Gold
Industry Disp Gold
Industry Key gold
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,756,944,000
Last Dividend Value 0.14
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,493,251,200
Last Split Factor 1:15
Long Business Summary Aris Mining Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and operation of gold properties in Canada, Colombia, and Guyana. It also explores for silver and copper deposits. Aris Mining Corporation was formerly known as GCM Mining Corp. and changed its name to Aris Mining Corporation in September 2022. The company was founded in 2022 and is based in Vancouver, Canada.
Long Name Aris Mining Corporation
Market us_market
Market Cap 3,354,498,560
Market State POSTPOST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_108911491
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Name Change Date 2,026-10-14
Net Income To Common 284,731,008
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 3,902,015,221
Number Of Analyst Opinions 1
Open 16.33
Operating Cashflow 489,407,008
Operating Margins 0.47839
Overall Risk 8
Payout Ratio 0.0
Post Market Change -0.2503004
Post Market Change Percent -1.5403101
Post Market Price 15.9997
Post Market Time 1,792,021,858
Prev Name Gran Colombia Gold Corp.
Previous Close 16.92
Price Eps Current Year 7.9113927
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.9001403
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 2.642615
Profit Margins 0.22431
Quick Ratio 1.617
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.5
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.67
Regular Market Change Percent -3.95981
Regular Market Day High 16.5428
Regular Market Day Low 15.995
Regular Market Day Range 15.995 - 16.5428
Regular Market Open 16.33
Regular Market Previous Close 16.92
Regular Market Price 16.25
Regular Market Time 1,792,008,002
Regular Market Volume 1,827,272
Return On Assets 0.14079
Return On Equity 0.1909
Revenue Growth 0.623
Revenue Per Share 6.229
Sand P52 Week Change 0.17004645
Sector Basic Materials
Sector Disp Basic Materials
Sector Key basic-materials
Share Holder Rights Risk 5
Shares Outstanding 206,430,693
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.026400002
Shares Short 5,451,950
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 5,796,356
Short Name Aris Mining Corporation
Short Ratio 3.53
Source Interval 15
State BC
Symbol ARIS
Target High Price 37.0
Target Low Price 37.0
Target Mean Price 37.0
Target Median Price 37.0
Total Cash 425,552,000
Total Cash Per Share 2.062
Total Debt 505,833,984
Total Revenue 1,269,385,984
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 1.39
Trailing P E 11.690648
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 17.9669
Two Hundred Day Average Change -1.7168999
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.095559046
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,827,272
Website https://aris-mining.com
Zip V6C 0A3