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Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc. (ARCT)

Healthcare | Biotechnology | San Diego, United States | NasdaqGM
8.90 USD +0.05 (0.565%) ⇧ (April 20, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term: ★★★☆☆ | Long-term: ★★☆☆☆ | Dividends: ☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | April 18, 2026, 11:31 p.m. EDT

ARCT remains a speculative pipeline play (Star Rating 3 short-term, 2 long-term) with no income generation (0 dividend). Despite the recent -58% crash, the data shows a 'wait-and-see' market: analyst consensus remains 'Modest Buy' based on infrastructure value, but capital flow is cautious, evident in the bearish skew of June puts and the lack of options volume beyond 3 months. The stock is trading below its 50-day MA but significantly below its 200-day MA, confirming a technical downtrend that requires a strong thesis breakthrough to reverse.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.066126
AutoETS0.067452
AutoTheta0.074235
AutoARIMA0.079881

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 45%
H-stat 8.70
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.575
Excess Kurtosis -0.76
Attribute Value
Sector Healthcare
Debt to Equity Ratio 11.682
Revenue per Share 2.995
Market Cap 252,965,296
Forward P/E -2.12
Beta 2.44
Profit Margins -80.19%
Website https://arcturusrx.com

As of April 18, 2026, 11:31 p.m. EDT: Implied volatility (IV) is inflated across the board compared to historical norms, suggesting significant hedging activity or fear of volatility given the -58% recent selloff. Option positioning is mixed but leans bearish in terms of Open Interest (OI) concentration. For the May '26 expiration, while ATM calls show strong positioning, the June '26 puts exhibit massive OTM positioning (1.8k OI) versus only 89 OI for calls, creating a skewed gamma structure that limits downside appreciation but offers high leverage for downside bets. The Sept call option chain is nearly depleted (very low volume/OI), indicating a lack of time-based momentum or speculative upside bets further out. The disparity in strike positioning suggests airlines are betting on further decay to the lower strikes (wrong-side of pennies at 7.5) rather than immediate recovery.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.2686935
Address1 10,285 Science Center Drive
All Time High 188.72
All Time Low 4.11
Ask 11.07
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 10
Average Analyst Rating 1.6 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 393,160
Average Daily Volume3 Month 479,362
Average Volume 479,362
Average Volume10Days 393,160
Beta 2.436
Bid 6.34
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 3
Book Value 7.531
City San Diego
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,735,603,200
Compensation Risk 8
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 8.9
Current Ratio 6.637
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,774,915,200
Day High 8.965
Day Low 8.5505
Debt To Equity 11.682
Display Name Arcturus Therapeutics
Dividend Date 1,510,790,400
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,772,573,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,772,573,400
Earnings Timestamp 1,772,571,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,778,529,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,778,529,600
Ebitda -73,235,000
Ebitda Margins -0.89277
Enterprise To Ebitda -0.643
Enterprise To Revenue 0.574
Enterprise Value 47,054,316
Eps Current Year -4.02542
Eps Forward -4.20789
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -2.4
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NGM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 7.6404
Fifty Day Average Change 1.2595997
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.16486044
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -26.86935
Fifty Two Week High 24.17
Fifty Two Week High Change -15.27
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.63177496
Fifty Two Week Low 5.85
Fifty Two Week Low Change 3.0499997
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.5213675
Fifty Two Week Range 5.85 - 24.17
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,369,229,400,000
Float Shares 26,283,665
Forward Eps -4.20789
Forward P E -2.1150742
Free Cashflow 9,176,875
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGM
Full Time Employees 106
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,775,001,600
Gross Margins -0.36792
Gross Profits -30,181,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.07526
Held Percent Institutions 0.78579
Implied Shares Outstanding 28,423,069
Industry Biotechnology
Industry Disp Biotechnology
Industry Key biotechnology
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,510,790,400
Last Split Factor 1:7
Long Business Summary Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc., a messenger RNA medicines company, focuses on the development of liver and respiratory rare disease therapeutics. Its technology platforms include STARR, a self-amplifying mRNA technology platform, and LUNAR, a lipid-mediated delivery system. The company also develops ARCT-032 (LUNAR-CF), an mRNA therapeutic candidate for cystic fibrosis that is in Phase 2 clinical development; and ARCT-810 (LUNAR-OTC), which is in Phase 2 clinical development to address ornithine transcarbamylase (OTC) deficiency. In addition, it develops KOSTAIVE, a self-amplifying RNA vaccine for COVID-19; ARCT-2138 (LUNAR-FLU), which is in Phase1 clinical trial for the treatment of seasonal influenza; and ARCT-2304 (LUNAR-H5N1) that is in Phase1 clinical trial for the treatment of Pandemic Influenza. Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc. was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in San Diego, California.
Long Name Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 252,965,296
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_235062181
Most Recent Quarter 1,767,139,200
Net Income To Common -65,783,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 252,965,314
Number Of Analyst Opinions 10
Open 8.75
Operating Cashflow -74,271,000
Operating Margins -4.3506103
Overall Risk 7
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 858 900 2660
Pre Market Change -0.03999996
Pre Market Change Percent -0.4494378
Pre Market Price 8.86
Pre Market Time 1,776,777,635
Previous Close 8.85
Price Eps Current Year -2.2109492
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.1817819
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 3.0837767
Profit Margins -0.80193
Quick Ratio 6.5
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.61538
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.049999
Regular Market Change Percent 0.564963
Regular Market Day High 8.965
Regular Market Day Low 8.5505
Regular Market Day Range 8.5505 - 8.965
Regular Market Open 8.75
Regular Market Previous Close 8.85
Regular Market Price 8.9
Regular Market Time 1,776,715,201
Regular Market Volume 285,775
Return On Assets -0.15495
Return On Equity -0.28917998
Revenue Growth -0.684
Revenue Per Share 2.995
Sand P52 Week Change 0.34445214
Sector Healthcare
Sector Disp Healthcare
Sector Key healthcare
Share Holder Rights Risk 6
Shares Outstanding 28,423,069
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.22690001
Shares Short 6,450,517
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,772,150,400
Shares Short Prior Month 6,081,175
Short Name Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings
Short Percent Of Float 0.3425
Short Ratio 11.23
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol ARCT
Target High Price 68.0
Target Low Price 8.0
Target Mean Price 23.3
Target Median Price 20.5
Total Cash 230,908,992
Total Cash Per Share 8.124
Total Debt 24,998,000
Total Revenue 82,031,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -2.4
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 11.23895
Two Hundred Day Average Change -2.3389502
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.20811109
Type Disp Equity
Volume 285,775
Website https://arcturusrx.com
Zip 92,121