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Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC)

Financial Services | Asset Management | Los Angeles, United States | NasdaqGS
18.64 USD -0.14 (-0.745%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 18.68 +0.04 (0.240%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★★⯪☆Dividends:★★☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 5:57 a.m. EDT

The long-term outlook remains solid, driven by a fortress-like nine-year price trajectory that is up 62% with no recent consecutive declines, indicating the market views the business quality as resilient despite cyclical headwinds. The company trades at a discount to book value, offering a margin of safety for patient capital, though the recent earnings miss and negative earnings growth suggest the recovery is still fragile. The short-term picture is mixed; while the statistical forecast model leans slightly negative, the options market is aggressively buying calls, suggesting smart money expects a bounce. However, the dividend yield is misleading; the payout ratio exceeds 100%, meaning the company is paying out more than it earns, which is unsustainable and caps the dividend rating despite the attractive headline percentage.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.027027
MSTL0.029119
AutoETS0.029939
AutoARIMA0.029939

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 52%
H-stat 5.03
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.078
Excess Kurtosis 0.19
Attribute Value
Sector Financial Services
Ex Dividend Date 2026-06-14
Last Dividend Date 2026-06-14
Debt to Equity Ratio 112.911
Revenue per Share 4.345
Market Cap 13,383,945,216
Trailing P/E 11.44
Forward P/E 9.69
Beta 0.62
Profit Margins 37.30%
Website https://arcc.ares.com

As of July 11, 2026, 5:57 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a range-bound to slightly bullish outcome in the near term, evidenced by heavy open interest in out-of-the-money calls (particularly the $20 strike) relative to puts. However, deep out-of-the-money put volume at distant expirations suggests a hedge against a significant downside event, creating a 'straddle' bias where traders expect volatility but are unsure of the direction.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
2.58% 9.88% 9.53% 9.58%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-06-15 0.480000 2.577873
2026-03-13 0.480000 2.687570
2025-12-15 0.480000 2.363368
2025-09-15 0.480000 2.252464
2025-06-13 0.480000 2.229447
2025-03-14 0.480000 2.255639
2024-12-13 0.480000 2.213001
2024-09-13 0.480000 2.356406
2024-06-14 0.480000 2.321083
2024-03-14 0.480000 2.401201
2023-12-14 0.480000 2.431611
2023-09-14 0.480000 2.487047
2023-06-14 0.480000 2.588997
2023-03-14 0.480000 2.690583
2022-12-14 0.510000 2.728732
2022-09-14 0.460000 2.417236
2022-06-14 0.450000 2.530934
2022-03-14 0.450000 2.280791
2021-12-14 0.410000 2.056168
2021-09-14 0.410000 2.044888
2021-06-14 0.400000 2.027370
2021-03-12 0.400000 2.154012
2020-12-14 0.400000 2.450980
2020-09-14 0.400000 2.807018
2020-06-12 0.400000 2.704530
2020-03-13 0.400000 2.730375
2019-12-13 0.420000 2.270270
2019-09-13 0.420000 2.208202
2019-06-13 0.420000 2.375566
2019-03-14 0.420000 2.457578
2018-12-13 0.390000 2.446675
2018-09-13 0.390000 2.270081
2018-06-14 0.380000 2.270012
2018-03-14 0.380000 2.439024
2017-12-14 0.380000 2.385436
2017-09-14 0.380000 2.411167
2017-06-13 0.380000 2.314251
2017-03-13 0.380000 2.205456
2016-12-13 0.380000 2.325581
2016-09-13 0.380000 2.473958
2016-06-13 0.380000 2.664797
2016-03-11 0.380000 2.718169
2015-12-11 0.380000 2.640723
2015-09-11 0.380000 2.557201
2015-06-11 0.380000 2.367601
2015-03-11 0.430000 2.556480
2014-12-11 0.380000 2.451613
2014-09-11 0.380000 2.279544
2014-06-12 0.380000 2.228739
2014-03-12 0.430000 2.464183
2013-12-12 0.430000 2.482679
2013-09-12 0.380000 2.185164
2013-06-12 0.380000 2.307225
2013-03-13 0.380000 2.101770
2012-12-12 0.430000 2.510216
2012-09-12 0.430000 2.491309
2012-06-13 0.370000 2.431012
2012-03-13 0.370000 2.239709
2011-12-13 0.360000 2.408027
2011-09-13 0.350000 2.473498
2011-06-13 0.350000 2.168525
2011-03-11 0.350000 2.031341
2010-12-13 0.350000 2.047981
2010-09-13 0.350000 2.247913
2010-06-11 0.350000 2.600297
2010-03-11 0.350000 2.530730
2009-12-11 0.350000 2.963590
2009-09-11 0.350000 3.531786
2009-06-11 0.350000 4.533679
2009-03-12 0.420000 12.650603
2008-12-11 0.420000 7.446809
2008-09-11 0.420000 3.626943
2008-06-12 0.420000 3.639515
2008-03-13 0.413793 3.225806
2007-12-12 0.413793 2.783300
2007-09-12 0.413793 2.727272
2007-06-13 0.403941 2.307260
2007-03-15 0.403941 2.205487
2006-12-13 0.492611 2.675228
2006-09-13 0.394089 2.352943
2006-06-13 0.374384 2.322737
2006-03-22 0.354680 2.079724
2005-12-20 0.334975 2.085887
2005-09-14 0.334975 1.988302
2005-06-28 0.315271 1.787710
2005-03-03 0.295567 1.737119
2004-12-22 0.295567 1.573154
Additional Data
dividendRate 1.92
dividendYield 10.22
exDividendDate 2026-06-15
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.92
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.10223641
lastDividendValue 0.48
lastDividendDate 2026-06-15
dividendDate 2026-06-30

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.1784777
Address1 1,800 Avenue of the Stars
Address2 Suite 1400
All Time High 23.84
All Time Low 3.12
Ask 21.52
Ask Size 1
Audit Risk 4
Average Analyst Rating 1.7 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 5,159,110
Average Daily Volume3 Month 5,478,160
Average Volume 5,478,160
Average Volume10Days 5,159,110
Beta 0.62
Bid 16.09
Bid Size 1
Board Risk 9
Book Value 19.589
City Los Angeles
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 5
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 18.64
Current Ratio 0.376
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 18.99
Day Low 18.63
Debt To Equity 112.911
Display Name Ares Capital
Dividend Date 1,782,777,600
Dividend Rate 1.92
Dividend Yield 10.22
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,355,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,355,200
Earnings Growth -0.641
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.618
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,328,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,785,328,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,785,328,200
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Revenue 9.313
Enterprise Value 28,710,946,816
Eps Current Year 1.92611
Eps Forward 1.92366
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 1.63
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,781,481,600
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 310 432 8632
Fifty Day Average 18.707
Fifty Day Average Change -0.06700134
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.0035816187
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -17.84777
Fifty Two Week High 23.42
Fifty Two Week High Change -4.7800007
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.20409909
Fifty Two Week Low 17.4
Fifty Two Week Low Change 1.2399998
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.07126436
Fifty Two Week Range 17.4 - 23.42
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,096,983,000,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 9.0
Forward Eps 1.92366
Forward P E 9.689861
Free Cashflow 909,374,976
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 1.0
Gross Profits 3,083,000,064
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00557
Held Percent Institutions 0.3623
Implied Shares Outstanding 718,022,845
Industry Asset Management
Industry Disp Asset Management
Industry Key asset-management
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,781,481,600
Last Dividend Value 0.48
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Ares Capital Corporation is a business development company specializing in growth capital, acquisition, recapitalization, mezzanine debt, restructurings, rescue financing, and leveraged buyout transactions of middle market companies. It also makes growth capital and general refinancing. It prefers to make investments in companies engaged in sports, media & entertainment, industrials & business services, infrastructure & power, financial institution groups, software & technology, specialty healthcare, consumer, retail & services, energy and the basic and growth manufacturing, consumer products, health care products, and information technology service sectors. The fund will also consider investments in industries such as restaurants, retail, oil and gas, and technology sectors. It invests in the United States based companies. It focuses on investments in Northeast, Mid-Atlantic, Southeast and Southwest regions from its New York office, the Midwest region, from the Chicago office, and the Western region from the Los Angeles office. The fund typically invests between $30 million and $500 million, in companies with an EBITDA between $10 million and $250 million. It makes debt investments between $10 million and $100 million The fund invests through revolvers, first lien loans, warrants, unitranche structures, second lien loans, mezzanine debt, private high yield, junior capital, subordinated debt, and non-control preferred and common equity. The fund also selectively considers third-party-led senior and subordinated debt financings and opportunistically considers the purchase of stressed and discounted debt positions. The fund prefers to be an agent and/or lead the transactions in which it invests. The fund also seeks board representation in its portfolio companies.
Long Name Ares Capital Corporation
Market us_market
Market Cap 13,383,945,216
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_9771238
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 1,150,000,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 13,484,469,029
Number Of Analyst Opinions 13
Open 18.86
Operating Cashflow -1,234,000,000
Operating Margins 0.80864996
Overall Risk 6
Payout Ratio 1.1779
Peg Ratio 3.72
Phone 310 201 4100
Post Market Change 0.044799805
Post Market Change Percent 0.2403423
Post Market Price 18.6848
Post Market Time 1,783,987,162
Previous Close 18.78
Price Eps Current Year 9.677536
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 0.95155436
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 4.341208
Profit Margins 0.37300998
Quick Ratio 0.322
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.71429
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.140001
Regular Market Change Percent -0.745481
Regular Market Day High 18.99
Regular Market Day Low 18.63
Regular Market Day Range 18.63 - 18.99
Regular Market Open 18.86
Regular Market Previous Close 18.78
Regular Market Price 18.64
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,801
Regular Market Volume 4,030,567
Return On Assets 0.04894
Return On Equity 0.08292
Revenue Growth 0.042
Revenue Per Share 4.345
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Financial Services
Sector Disp Financial Services
Sector Key financial-services
Share Holder Rights Risk 6
Shares Outstanding 718,022,845
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0651
Shares Short 46,730,429
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 40,982,983
Short Name Ares Capital Corporation
Short Percent Of Float 0.0654
Short Ratio 8.45
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol ARCC
Target High Price 23.0
Target Low Price 18.5
Target Mean Price 20.73077
Target Median Price 21.0
Total Cash 554,000,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.772
Total Debt 15,880,999,936
Total Revenue 3,083,000,064
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.92
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.10223641
Trailing Eps 1.63
Trailing P E 11.435582
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 19.4119
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.7719002
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.039764278
Type Disp Equity
Volume 4,030,567
Website https://arcc.ares.com
Zip 90,067-4733