Antero Resources Corporation (AR)Energy | Oil & Gas E&P | Denver, United States | NYSE
34.28 USD
+1.05
(3.160%)
⇧
(July 13, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 34.75 +0.47 (1.371%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 7:53 p.m. EDT) |
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 3:16 a.m. EDT
The investment case here rests entirely on a turnaround story rather than a fortress balance sheet. Fundamentally, the company shows signs of life with revenue growing 34% and earnings up 160%, supported by a forward P/E of roughly 7.6x, which suggests the market prices in significant recovery. However, the balance sheet remains precarious with a current ratio of just 0.4 and substantial debt, preventing a top-tier long-term rating despite the improving operational metrics. Short-term, the technicals and sentiment are diverging sharply from the cautious statistical models. The forecasting model offers no directional edge, yet options traders are screaming 'bullish,' pouring capital into calls at strikes significantly above the current price. This disconnect suggests smart money is betting on a catalyst—likely the upcoming Q2 2026 results—to unlock value. Without a dividend to provide income, the trade relies purely on capital appreciation. Given the high volatility and the gap between weak fundamentals and aggressive speculative positioning, the outlook is cautiously optimistic but far from a conviction buy. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoETS ✓ | 0.038665 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.038665 |
| MSTL | 0.039568 |
| MSTL_74 | 0.040962 |
| AutoTheta | 0.042316 |
| MSTL_74_126 | 0.047401 |
| MSTL_126 | 0.050951 |
Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: AutoETS
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 43% |
| H-stat | 0.93 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.293 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.94 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Energy |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 57.771 |
| Revenue per Share | 18.199 |
| Market Cap | 10,621,177,856 |
| Trailing P/E | 11.09 |
| Forward P/E | 7.89 |
| Beta | 0.33 |
| Profit Margins | 17.09% |
| Website | https://www.anteroresources.com |
As of July 11, 2026, 3:16 a.m. EDT: Speculators are aggressively positioning for upside, evidenced by massive open interest and volume spikes in out-of-the-money calls (strikes 36, 37, 40, 42) relative to puts. While there is some defensive put buying at lower strikes, the overwhelming capital flow is directional bullishness targeting a move toward the $40-$45 range within the next few months.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.105758905 |
| Address1 | 1,615 Wynkoop Street |
| All Time High | 68.43 |
| All Time Low | 0.64 |
| Ask | 34.29 |
| Ask Size | 200 |
| Audit Risk | 7 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 1.7 - Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 4,392,800 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 4,830,488 |
| Average Volume | 4,830,488 |
| Average Volume10Days | 4,392,800 |
| Beta | 0.328 |
| Bid | 34.27 |
| Bid Size | 300 |
| Board Risk | 3 |
| Book Value | 26.025 |
| City | Denver |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 4 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 34.28 |
| Current Ratio | 0.4 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,782,777,600 |
| Day High | 34.62 |
| Day Low | 33.35 |
| Debt To Equity | 57.771 |
| Display Name | Antero Resources |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,777,561,200 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,777,561,200 |
| Earnings Growth | 1.606 |
| Earnings Quarterly Growth | 1.574 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,777,492,800 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,785,355,200 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,785,355,200 |
| Ebitda | 2,135,606,016 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.37962002 |
| Eps Current Year | 4.28689 |
| Eps Forward | 4.34239 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 3.09 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fax | 303 357 7315 |
| Fifty Day Average | 35.9756 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -1.6956024 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.04713201 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -10.575891 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 45.75 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -11.470001 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.2507104 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 29.1 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 5.1799984 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.17800681 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 29.1 - 45.75 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,381,411,800,000 |
| Float Shares | 298,455,724 |
| Forward Eps | 4.34239 |
| Forward P E | 7.89427 |
| Free Cashflow | 635,028,352 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE |
| Full Time Employees | 632 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,782,864,000 |
| Gross Margins | 0.67232 |
| Gross Profits | 3,782,251,008 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.04369 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.89504 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 309,836,000 |
| Industry | Oil & Gas E&P |
| Industry Disp | Oil & Gas E&P |
| Industry Key | oil-gas-e-p |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | Antero Resources Corporation, an independent oil and natural gas company, engages in the development, production, exploration, and acquisition of natural gas, natural gas liquids (NGLs), and oil properties in the United States. It operates in three segments: Exploration and Production; Marketing; and Equity Method Investment in Antero Midstream. As of December 31, 2025, the company had approximately 537,000 net acres in the Appalachian Basin; and approximately 168,000 net acres in the Upper Devonian Shale. Its gathering and compression systems also comprise 731 miles of gas gathering pipelines in the Appalachian Basin. The company was formerly known as Antero Resources Appalachian Corporation and changed its name to Antero Resources Corporation in June 2013. Antero Resources Corporation was incorporated in 2002 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado. |
| Long Name | Antero Resources Corporation |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 10,621,177,856 |
| Market State | POSTPOST |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_4544094 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,774,915,200 |
| Net Income To Common | 961,662,976 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 10,295,850,280 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 20 |
| Open | 33.57 |
| Operating Cashflow | 2,032,248,960 |
| Operating Margins | 0.36523998 |
| Overall Risk | 5 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Peg Ratio | 0.59 |
| Phone | 303 357 7310 |
| Post Market Change | 0.47000122 |
| Post Market Change Percent | 1.3710655 |
| Post Market Price | 34.75 |
| Post Market Time | 1,783,986,780 |
| Previous Close | 33.23 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 7.996473 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 1.3171949 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 1.8879845 |
| Profit Margins | 0.17094 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.287 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 1.7 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 1.05 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 3.15979 |
| Regular Market Day High | 34.62 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 33.35 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 33.35 - 34.62 |
| Regular Market Open | 33.57 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 33.23 |
| Regular Market Price | 34.28 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,783,972,803 |
| Regular Market Volume | 5,378,564 |
| Return On Assets | 0.05886 |
| Return On Equity | 0.12837 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.343 |
| Revenue Per Share | 18.199 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20847368 |
| Sector | Energy |
| Sector Disp | Energy |
| Sector Key | energy |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 7 |
| Shares Outstanding | 309,836,000 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.0382 |
| Shares Short | 11,840,934 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,780,012,800 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 12,552,038 |
| Short Name | Antero Resources Corporation |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.0399 |
| Short Ratio | 2.34 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | CO |
| Symbol | AR |
| Target High Price | 59.0 |
| Target Low Price | 38.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 48.75 |
| Target Median Price | 49.0 |
| Total Debt | 4,750,665,216 |
| Total Revenue | 5,625,670,144 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | 3.09 |
| Trailing P E | 11.093851 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | 0.5946 |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 35.60725 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -1.3272514 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.03727475 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 5,378,564 |
| Website | https://www.anteroresources.com |
| Zip | 80,202 |