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Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. (AQN)

Utilities | Utilities - Diversified | Oakville, Canada | NYSE
5.72 USD +0.07 (1.239%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 5.74 +0.02 (0.350%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 6:42 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★☆☆☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:★★☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 6:51 a.m. EDT

The investment case here is defined by a stark disconnect between the headline yield and the reality of the business trajectory. While the 4.6% dividend yield looks attractive on paper, the company is currently burning cash, with free cash flow running at a loss of nearly $275 million. This is not a sustainable payout; the company is effectively selling its own assets to fund these distributions, which is a dangerous signal for any long-term holder. The price action confirms this deterioration. Over the last nine years, the stock has lost more than a third of its value, and the last four consecutive years have seen double-digit declines. The market has already priced in the fact that this is a value trap; the low price does not represent a margin of safety, but rather a reflection of deteriorating fundamentals. The balance sheet is fragile, with debt-to-equity exceeding 133%, leaving little room for error in an interest-rate-sensitive sector. Short-term, the sentiment remains bearish. Options traders are overwhelmingly buying protection, with put open interest far outweighing call interest, suggesting that even speculative investors expect further weakness before any recovery. The statistical models also lean slightly negative, though with low confidence. Given the cash burn, the multi-year decline, and the defensive positioning of the options market, the prudent move is to avoid accumulating more shares. The dividend is a trap, not a reward.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.035239
AutoTheta0.039974
AutoETS0.053679
MSTL_520.057412
MSTL0.061233
MSTL_1050.074407
MSTL_52_1050.077011

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 42%
H-stat 9.10
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.598
Excess Kurtosis -0.28
Attribute Value
Sector Utilities
Ex Dividend Date 2026-06-29
Last Dividend Date 2026-06-29
Debt to Equity Ratio 133.219
Revenue per Share 3.297
Market Cap 4,402,486,784
Trailing P/E 22.00
Forward P/E 14.28
Beta 0.90
Profit Margins 6.72%
Website https://algonquinpower.com

As of July 11, 2026, 6:51 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy put volume relative to calls, particularly in the October and January expirations where out-of-the-money puts dominate open interest. Implied volatility is significantly higher for puts (1.72 ATM) compared to calls (0.8 ATM), indicating a market pricing in downside risk rather than upside potential. The lack of call open interest beyond the nearest expiration suggests a near-term 'wait and see' stance rather than a bullish bet.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
1.11% 2.17% 4.76% 5.19%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-06-30 0.065 1.109215
2026-03-31 0.065 1.058632
2025-06-30 0.065 1.134380
2025-03-31 0.065 1.264591
2024-12-31 0.065 1.460674
2024-09-27 0.065 1.175407
2024-06-28 0.109 1.860068
2024-03-27 0.109 1.744000
2023-12-28 0.109 1.724683
2023-09-27 0.109 1.735669
2023-06-29 0.109 1.310096
2023-03-30 0.109 1.270396
2022-12-29 0.181 2.754947
2022-09-28 0.181 1.560345
2022-06-29 0.181 1.344725
2022-03-30 0.171 1.103226
2021-12-30 0.171 1.185031
2021-09-28 0.171 1.152291
2021-06-29 0.171 1.140000
2021-03-30 0.155 0.989151
2020-12-30 0.155 0.938257
2020-09-29 0.155 1.084675
2020-06-29 0.155 1.208106
2020-03-30 0.141 1.117274
2019-12-30 0.141 1.002132
2019-09-27 0.141 1.032967
2019-06-27 0.141 1.166253
2019-03-28 0.128 1.146953
2018-12-28 0.128 1.291625
2018-09-27 0.128 1.246349
2018-06-28 0.128 1.340314
2018-03-28 0.117 1.181818
2017-12-28 0.117 1.047449
2017-09-28 0.117 1.109005
2017-06-28 0.117 1.096532
2017-03-29 0.117 1.222571
2016-12-28 0.106 1.263409
2016-09-28 0.106 1.169978
2016-06-28 0.106 1.175166
2016-03-29 0.096 1.163636
2015-12-29 0.096 1.195517
2015-09-28 0.096 1.403509
2015-06-26 0.096 1.216730
2015-03-27 0.087 1.178862
2014-12-29 0.087 1.043165
2014-09-26 0.088 1.113924
2014-06-26 0.079 1.044974
2014-03-27 0.077 1.104735
2013-12-27 0.080 1.179941
Additional Data
dividendRate 0.26
dividendYield 4.6
exDividendDate 2026-06-30
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.26
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.046017695
lastDividendValue 0.065
lastDividendDate 2026-06-30
dividendDate 2026-07-15

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.034188032
Address1 354 Davis Road
All Time High 17.86
All Time Low 3.26
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 32,100
Audit Risk 2
Average Analyst Rating 2.6 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 5,472,010
Average Daily Volume3 Month 4,390,678
Average Volume 4,390,678
Average Volume10Days 5,472,010
Beta 0.896
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 87,800
Board Risk 4
Book Value 5.812
City Oakville
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 4
Country Canada
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 5.72
Current Ratio 1.047
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 5.74
Day Low 5.675
Debt To Equity 133.219
Display Name Algonquin Power & Utilities
Dividend Date 1,784,073,600
Dividend Rate 0.26
Dividend Yield 4.6
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,778,243,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,778,243,400
Earnings Growth -0.107
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.11
Earnings Timestamp 1,778,243,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,786,105,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,786,105,800
Ebitda 926,800,000
Ebitda Margins 0.36580002
Enterprise To Ebitda 12.494
Enterprise To Revenue 4.57
Enterprise Value 11,579,632,640
Eps Current Year 0.35574
Eps Forward 0.4005
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.26
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,782,777,600
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 905 465 4514
Fifty Day Average 5.9228
Fifty Day Average Change -0.20280027
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.034240607
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -3.4188032
Fifty Two Week High 7.11
Fifty Two Week High Change -1.3900003
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.19549935
Fifty Two Week Low 5.32
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.39999962
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.0751879
Fifty Two Week Range 5.32 - 7.11
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,262,097,000,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 6.21
Float Shares 630,437,175
Forward Eps 0.4005
Forward P E 14.282146
Free Cashflow -274,312,512
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 3,233
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.36876
Gross Profits 934,300,032
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00029
Held Percent Institutions 0.74344003
Implied Shares Outstanding 769,665,544
Industry Utilities - Diversified
Industry Disp Utilities - Diversified
Industry Key utilities-diversified
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,782,777,600
Last Dividend Value 0.065
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. operates in the power and utility industries. It owns and operates a portfolio of regulated electric, water distribution and wastewater collection, and natural gas utility systems and transmission operations. As of December 31, 2025, it operated a portfolio of regulated utility systems in the United States, Canada, Bermuda, and Chile, serving approximately 1,272,000 customer connections. Its regulated electrical distribution utility systems and related transmission and generation assets are located in the states of Arkansas, California, Kansas, Missouri, Nevada, New Hampshire, and Oklahoma, as well as in Bermuda with approximately 311,000 electric customer connections. Its regulated water distribution and wastewater utility systems are located in the states of Arizona, Arkansas, California, Illinois, Missouri, New York, and Texas, as well as in Chile with approximately 583,000 customer connections. It's regulated natural gas distribution utility systems are located in the states of Georgia, Illinois, Iowa, Massachusetts, Missouri, New Hampshire, and New York; and in the Canadian province of New Brunswick with approximately 378,000 natural gas customer connections. It also owns and operates generating assets with a gross capacity of approximately 2.0 gigawatt (GW) and has investments in generating assets with approximately 0.3 GW of net generation capacity. It generates and sells hydroelectric energy in Canada, and capacity and renewable attributes are produced by its portfolio of 14 hydroelectric power generation facilities located in the provinces of Alberta, Ontario, New Brunswick, and Quebec. As of December 31, 2025, it had a combined gross generating capacity of approximately 112 megawatts (MW) and a combined net generating capacity of approximately 105 MW. The company was formerly known as Traduction Militech Translation Inc. in October 2009. The company was incorporated in 1988 and is headquartered in Oakville, Canada.
Long Name Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp.
Market us_market
Market Cap 4,402,486,784
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_882318
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 198,300,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 4,353,324,165
Number Of Analyst Opinions 10
Open 5.66
Operating Cashflow 562,400,000
Operating Margins 0.22627
Overall Risk 4
Payout Ratio 1.0
Phone 905 465 4500
Post Market Change 0.01999998
Post Market Change Percent 0.34965003
Post Market Price 5.74
Post Market Time 1,783,982,547
Previous Close 5.65
Price Eps Current Year 16.079159
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 0.9841707
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.7376409
Profit Margins 0.06718
Quick Ratio 0.497
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 2.58333
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.0699997
Regular Market Change Percent 1.23893
Regular Market Day High 5.74
Regular Market Day Low 5.675
Regular Market Day Range 5.675 - 5.74
Regular Market Open 5.66
Regular Market Previous Close 5.65
Regular Market Price 5.72
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,802
Regular Market Volume 2,381,977
Return On Assets 0.02317
Return On Equity 0.02671
Revenue Growth 0.144
Revenue Per Share 3.297
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Utilities
Sector Disp Utilities
Sector Key utilities
Share Holder Rights Risk 7
Shares Outstanding 769,665,544
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0191
Shares Short 11,842,258
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 8,541,053
Short Name Algonquin Power & Utilities Cor
Short Ratio 3.57
Source Interval 15
State ON
Symbol AQN
Target High Price 7.25
Target Low Price 6.0
Target Mean Price 6.775
Target Median Price 7.0
Total Cash 55,500,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.072
Total Debt 6,716,899,840
Total Revenue 2,533,600,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.26
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.046017695
Trailing Eps 0.26
Trailing P E 22.0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 6.1179
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.3979001
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.06503867
Type Disp Equity
Volume 2,381,977
Website https://algonquinpower.com
Zip L6J 2X1