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AppFolio, Inc. (APPF)

Technology | Software - Application | Santa Barbara, United States | NasdaqGM
159.77 USD +1.10 (0.691%) ⇧ (April 21, 2026, 11:09 a.m. EDT)

Short-term: ☆☆☆☆☆ | Long-term: ★★☆☆☆ | Dividends: ☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | April 18, 2026, 10:42 p.m. EDT

Despite a 22% up-month anomaly pushing the price up 15% from 52-week lows, the stock remains a deep value trap for fundamentals (negative earnings growth) and a momentum trap technically. The short-term rating is 0 due to the flawed forecasting signal (-0.4% predicted change in a sideways trend) and the heavy put support buying at current levels. Long-term, the -60% earnings growth and high beta make it a speculative hold at best (Rating 2). The gap between the negative earnings growth and the massive recovery to current prices is unsustainable without a fundamental reversal.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.233100
AutoETS0.233667
MSTL0.234983
AutoTheta0.238536

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 53%
H-stat 3.19
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.486
Excess Kurtosis -0.25
Attribute Value
Sector Technology
Debt to Equity Ratio 7.033
Revenue per Share 26.402
Market Cap 5,749,931,008
Trailing P/E 41.07
Forward P/E 20.08
Beta 0.84
Profit Margins 14.82%
Website https://www.appfolio.com

As of April 18, 2026, 10:42 p.m. EDT: Options market exhibits significant asymmetry. Call activity (especially near-term 5/15/300-350 strikes and 7/17/240-250 strikes) shows high volume and open interest at strikes well above the current price, suggesting speculative hopes for a recovery. However, put placement is heavy near the current price (155 ATM/otm) and there is significant Open Interest (OI) at lower strikes (e.g., 125-140) combined with spikes in volume at near-money levels (e.g., 250 OTM put volume spike). The ATM IV is elevated (>0.60) and normalized historically, indicating recent price volatility is driving premiums. The net positioning suggests a 'bearish trap' or defensive positioning (puts buying weakness at current levels) rather than a broad speculative long squeeze.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.2797222
Address1 70 Castilian Drive
All Time High 326.04
All Time Low 11.07
Ask 156.79
Ask Size 1
Audit Risk 1
Average Daily Volume10 Day 287,190
Average Daily Volume3 Month 410,265
Average Volume 410,265
Average Volume10Days 287,190
Beta 0.838
Bid 158.58
Bid Size 1
Board Risk 5
Book Value 15.076
City Santa Barbara
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,735,603,200
Compensation Risk 7
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 159.765
Current Ratio 3.307
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,774,915,200
Day High 164.42
Day Low 158.75
Debt To Equity 7.033
Display Name AppFolio
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,776,978,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,776,978,000
Earnings Growth -0.606
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.611
Earnings Timestamp 1,776,974,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,776,974,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,776,974,400
Ebitda 167,368,000
Ebitda Margins 0.17602
Enterprise To Ebitda 32.847
Enterprise To Revenue 5.782
Enterprise Value 5,497,458,688
Eps Current Year 6.55795
Eps Forward 7.95789
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 3.89
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NGM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 168.4225
Fifty Day Average Change -8.657501
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.05140347
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -27.972221
Fifty Two Week High 326.04
Fifty Two Week High Change -166.27501
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.5099835
Fifty Two Week Low 142.73
Fifty Two Week Low Change 17.035004
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.11935125
Fifty Two Week Range 142.73 - 326.04
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,435,325,400,000
Float Shares 22,916,227
Forward Eps 7.95789
Forward P E 20.076302
Free Cashflow 193,784,128
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGM
Full Time Employees 1,702
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,775,001,600
Gross Margins 0.6368
Gross Profits 605,481,024
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.04772
Held Percent Institutions 0.87634003
Implied Shares Outstanding 35,989,928
Industry Software - Application
Industry Disp Software - Application
Industry Key software-application
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary AppFolio, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides cloud-based platform for the real estate industry in the United States. The company provides a cloud-based platform that assist with accounting, reporting, marketing, leasing, maintenance, workflow automation, and communication services. It offers AppFolio Property Manager Core, a platform that provides the accounting functionalities for small property management companies, as well as serves as a system of record; AppFolio Property Manager Plus, which offers affordable housing and student housing, advanced accounting, advanced data analysis, and read-only API access services; and AppFolio Property Manager Max that provides customer relationship management tools and full database access through a read and write application programming interface services. The company also provides value-added services, such as electronic payment, tenant screening, maintenance, business optimization, resident, and risk mitigation services. It serves property managers, property investors, potential residents, residents, and vendors. AppFolio, Inc. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Santa Barbara, California.
Long Name AppFolio, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 5,749,931,008
Market State REGULAR
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_44299616
Most Recent Quarter 1,767,139,200
Net Income To Common 140,923,008
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 5,710,521,875
Number Of Analyst Opinions 7
Open 159.54
Operating Cashflow 242,104,992
Operating Margins 0.17557
Overall Risk 8
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 7.45
Phone 805 364 6093
Previous Close 158.67
Price Eps Current Year 24.362034
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 10.597307
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 6.047326
Profit Margins 0.14821
Quick Ratio 2.95
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change 1.0950012
Regular Market Change Percent 0.69078714
Regular Market Day High 164.42
Regular Market Day Low 158.75
Regular Market Day Range 158.75 - 164.42
Regular Market Open 159.54
Regular Market Previous Close 158.67
Regular Market Price 159.765
Regular Market Time 1,776,784,164
Regular Market Volume 47,142
Return On Assets 0.14529
Return On Equity 0.26542
Revenue Growth 0.219
Revenue Per Share 26.402
Sand P52 Week Change 0.34445214
Sector Technology
Sector Disp Technology
Sector Key technology
Share Holder Rights Risk 10
Shares Outstanding 24,334,816
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0617
Shares Short 2,221,090
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,772,150,400
Shares Short Prior Month 1,920,352
Short Name AppFolio, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.1149
Short Ratio 5.93
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol APPF
Target High Price 300.0
Target Low Price 222.0
Target Mean Price 263.85715
Target Median Price 260.0
Total Cash 251,223,008
Total Cash Per Share 6.98
Total Debt 38,160,000
Total Revenue 950,822,016
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 3.89
Trailing P E 41.070694
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 227.9451
Two Hundred Day Average Change -68.1801
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.29910755
Type Disp Equity
Volume 47,142
Website https://www.appfolio.com
Zip 93,117