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YieldMax AAPL Option Income Strategy ETF (APLY)

Derivative Income | Exchange Traded Fund | NYSEArca
12.31 USD +0.07 (0.531%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★☆☆☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:★☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 6:54 a.m. EDT

The long-term rating is a severe 1 because the business model is fundamentally broken: the fund has lost nearly 40% of its value over just two years, with the price dropping from $21.61 to $12.24. This is not a temporary dip; it is a structural collapse where the strategy of selling options on Apple has failed to generate enough premium to offset the decay of the underlying shares. The massive dividend yield of 11.6% is a trap; it is being funded entirely by the destruction of capital, not by sustainable earnings. Every dollar paid out represents a dollar of principal that will never be returned, making the yield mathematically unsustainable. The short-term outlook is equally bleak, as the heavy put option flow suggests investors are actively hedging against further losses, and the statistical forecast shows zero expected gain. This is a classic 'value trap' where the high yield is the bait for a losing investment.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.029894
AutoETS0.029896
MSTL0.034995
AutoTheta0.041099

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 49%
H-stat 6.01
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.094
Excess Kurtosis -1.59

As of July 11, 2026, 6:54 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning heavily for downside protection, evidenced by massive open interest in deep out-of-the-money puts (strikes 13-23) expiring in October and January, while call activity remains thin and concentrated near the money. Implied volatility is significantly elevated for these protective puts compared to calls, indicating a market consensus expecting a sharp drop rather than a rally.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.50% 33.02% 28.96%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-07-09 0.062 0.504065
2026-07-02 0.047 0.387469
2026-06-25 0.046 0.414788
2026-06-18 0.057 0.475000
2026-06-11 0.068 0.565724
2026-06-04 0.105 0.828729
2026-05-28 0.121 0.944575
2026-05-21 0.110 0.866142
2026-05-14 0.121 0.961844
2026-05-07 0.103 0.830645
2026-04-30 0.096 0.804627
2026-04-23 0.090 0.746269
2026-04-16 0.072 0.606061
2026-04-09 0.061 0.515638
2026-04-02 0.062 0.529010
2026-03-26 0.061 0.526316
2026-03-19 0.047 0.407986
2026-03-12 0.062 0.525869
2026-03-05 0.065 0.539867
2026-02-26 0.091 0.725100
2026-02-19 0.050 0.407166
2026-02-12 0.177 1.403648
2026-02-05 0.058 0.444104
2026-01-29 0.049 0.392943
2026-01-22 0.047 0.387789
2026-01-15 0.042 0.332542
2026-01-08 0.048 0.379147
2026-01-02 0.053 0.399698
2025-12-26 0.052 0.389513
2025-12-18 0.061 0.454884
2025-12-11 0.054 0.394737
2025-12-04 0.118 0.851371
2025-11-28 0.066 0.474820
2025-11-20 0.098 0.727003
2025-11-13 0.065 0.469314
2025-11-06 0.111 0.809038
2025-10-30 0.131 0.943804
2025-10-23 0.111 0.821006
2025-10-16 0.176 1.332324
2025-09-25 0.357 2.609649
2025-08-28 0.347 2.622827
2025-07-31 0.410 3.266932
2025-07-03 0.270 2.076923
2025-06-05 0.312 2.476190
2025-05-08 0.651 5.038700
2025-04-10 0.302 2.344720
2025-03-13 0.344 2.393876
2025-02-13 0.363 2.181490
2025-01-16 0.284 1.743401
2024-12-19 0.422 2.343143
2024-11-21 0.335 1.918671
2024-10-24 0.343 1.943343
2024-09-06 0.453 2.616984
2024-08-07 0.350 2.053990
2024-07-05 0.323 1.754481
2024-06-06 0.404 2.319173
2024-05-06 0.339 2.032374
2024-04-04 0.384 2.318841
2024-03-06 0.416 2.513595
2024-02-07 0.173 0.937161
2024-01-05 0.560 3.130240
2023-12-07 0.466 2.378643
2023-11-08 0.173 0.908613
2023-10-06 0.478 2.556150
2023-09-08 0.226 1.172807
2023-08-04 0.556 2.697719
2023-07-07 0.633 2.881464
2023-06-07 0.288 1.355167
Additional Data
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0
dividendYield 11.64

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 23.02
All Time Low 11.05
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 800
Average Daily Volume10 Day 82,350
Average Daily Volume3 Month 120,577
Average Volume 120,577
Average Volume10Days 82,350
Beta3 Year 0.76
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 1,300
Category Derivative Income
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 12.485
Day Low 12.275
Dividend Yield 11.64
Esg Populated 0
Exchange PCX
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 12.26678
Fifty Day Average Change 0.04322052
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.0035233793
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -5.0038815
Fifty Two Week High 14.21
Fifty Two Week High Change -1.8999996
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.13370863
Fifty Two Week Low 11.05
Fifty Two Week Low Change 1.2600002
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.114027165
Fifty Two Week Range 11.05 - 14.21
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,681,824,600,000
Full Exchange Name NYSEArca
Fund Family YieldMax ETFs
Fund Inception Date 1,681,689,600
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The fund will seek to employ its investment strategy as it relates to AAPL regardless of whether there are periods adverse market, economic, or other conditions and will not seek to take temporary defensive positions during such periods. The fund is non-diversified.
Long Name YieldMax AAPL Option Income Strategy ETF
Market us_market
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1799894171
Nav Price 12.255
Net Assets 118,226,848.0
Net Expense Ratio 1.04
Open 12.28
Pre Market Change -0.11000061
Pre Market Change Percent -0.8935874
Pre Market Price 12.2
Pre Market Time 1,784,016,470
Previous Close 12.245
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.0650005
Regular Market Change Percent 0.530833
Regular Market Day High 12.485
Regular Market Day Low 12.275
Regular Market Day Range 12.275 - 12.485
Regular Market Open 12.28
Regular Market Previous Close 12.245
Regular Market Price 12.31
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,800
Regular Market Volume 62,360
Short Name YieldMax AAPL Option Income Str
Source Interval 15
Symbol APLY
Three Year Average Return 0.0981765
Total Assets 118,226,848
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns 8.18948
Trailing Three Month Returns 8.18948
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 12.741995
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.43199444
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.033903204
Type Disp ETF
Volume 62,360
Yield 0.1164
Ytd Return 1.67359