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APi Group Corporation (APG)

Industrials | Engineering & Construction | New Brighton, United States | NYSE
41.40 USD +0.04 (0.097%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★★☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 3:04 a.m. EDT

The investment case here is driven by a powerful convergence of aggressive analyst upgrades and a robust acquisition strategy. The company's purchase of WTech Fire Group is expected to add $175 million in annual revenue, validating the 'strong buy' consensus and pushing the average price target to $52.70, which implies significant upside from current levels. Fundamentally, the business is showing excellent health with a 15.3% revenue growth rate and a 68.8% earnings expansion, supported by a fortress-like cash generation profile where free cash flow exceeds $700 million. The balance sheet is manageable despite the debt load, given the strong operating cash flow. However, the short-term outlook faces some headwinds. The statistical forecasting model suggests a slight negative lean (-0.53%) over the next 45 days, likely reflecting the stock's recent pullback from its highs and the fact that it is currently trading below its 50-day moving average. Despite this technical weakness, the options market tells a different story, with traders aggressively buying calls and ignoring downside protection, suggesting they believe the fundamental catalysts will quickly overcome the technical resistance.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL_84 ✓0.064502
AutoETS0.066298
MSTL0.069393
AutoTheta0.082757
AutoARIMA0.092414
MSTL_84_1260.142333
MSTL_1260.149089

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL_84

Forecast Reliability
Score 41%
H-stat 2.92
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.005
Excess Kurtosis 0.03
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Debt to Equity Ratio 88.067
Revenue per Share 19.48
Market Cap 17,935,640,576
Forward P/E 21.20
Beta 1.60
Profit Margins 3.96%
Website https://www.apigroupcorp.com

As of July 11, 2026, 3:04 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioned for upside, evidenced by massive open interest in out-of-the-money calls (e.g., 11.8k at the $45 strike for July expiry and 15.8k at $47 for October), while put volume remains negligible. This indicates a strong bullish sentiment expecting a breakout above current levels.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.19884062
Address1 1,100 Old Highway 8 NW
All Time High 49.99
All Time Low 5.893333
Ask 43.55
Ask Size 400
Audit Risk 9
Average Analyst Rating 1.3 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 3,243,520
Average Daily Volume3 Month 3,019,918
Average Volume 3,019,918
Average Volume10Days 3,243,520
Beta 1.6
Bid 39.7
Bid Size 300
Board Risk 5
Book Value 8.047
City New Brighton
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 6
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 41.4
Current Ratio 1.435
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 41.63
Day Low 41.0
Debt To Equity 88.067
Display Name APi
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,777,552,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,777,552,200
Earnings Growth 0.688
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.629
Earnings Timestamp 1,777,552,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,785,414,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,785,414,600
Ebitda 1,035,000,000
Ebitda Margins 0.12662
Enterprise To Ebitda 19.672
Enterprise To Revenue 2.491
Enterprise Value 20,360,638,464
Eps Current Year 1.70065
Eps Forward 1.95283
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.64
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 42.6622
Fifty Day Average Change -1.2621994
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.029585894
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 19.884062
Fifty Two Week High 49.99
Fifty Two Week High Change -8.59
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.17183436
Fifty Two Week Low 33.4
Fifty Two Week Low Change 8.0
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.23952095
Fifty Two Week Range 33.4 - 49.99
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,588,167,000,000
Float Shares 354,987,014
Forward Eps 1.95283
Forward P E 21.200003
Free Cashflow 715,875,008
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 29,000
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.31379998
Gross Profits 2,564,999,936
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.12198
Held Percent Institutions 0.83709997
Implied Shares Outstanding 433,227,989
Industry Engineering & Construction
Industry Disp Engineering & Construction
Industry Key engineering-construction
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,751,328,000
Last Split Factor 3:2
Long Business Summary APi Group Corporation provides fire and life safety, security, elevator and escalator, and specialty services worldwide. It operates in two segments, Safety Services and Specialty Services. The company offers fire protection solutions; electronic security systems; and elevators and escalators, including the design, installation, inspection, service, and monitoring of life safety systems to high tech services, advanced manufacturing, healthcare, fulfillment and distribution centers, and critical infrastructure end markets. It also provides various specialty contracting, fabrication and distribution, and infrastructure and utility services to critical infrastructure, high tech services, and healthcare end markets. The company was formerly known as J2 Acquisition Limited and changed its name to APi Group Corporation in October 2019. APi Group Corporation was founded in 1926 and is headquartered in New Brighton, Minnesota.
Long Name APi Group Corporation
Market us_market
Market Cap 17,935,640,576
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_537628097
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common -268,000,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 17,935,638,744
Number Of Analyst Opinions 10
Open 41.11
Operating Cashflow 782,000,000
Operating Margins 0.07265
Overall Risk 5
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 651 636 4320
Pre Market Change 0.0
Pre Market Change Percent 0.0
Pre Market Price 41.4
Pre Market Time 1,784,021,845
Previous Close 41.36
Price Eps Current Year 24.343634
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 5.144775
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 2.1942306
Profit Margins 0.03964
Quick Ratio 1.295
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.3
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.0400009
Regular Market Change Percent 0.096714
Regular Market Day High 41.63
Regular Market Day Low 41.0
Regular Market Day Range 41.0 - 41.63
Regular Market Open 41.11
Regular Market Previous Close 41.36
Regular Market Price 41.4
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,802
Regular Market Volume 1,180,591
Return On Assets 0.051570002
Return On Equity 0.10019
Revenue Growth 0.153
Revenue Per Share 19.48
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Share Holder Rights Risk 4
Shares Outstanding 433,227,989
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.024300002
Shares Short 10,522,479
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 7,321,676
Short Name APi Group Corporation
Short Percent Of Float 0.0293
Short Ratio 3.2
Source Interval 15
State MN
Symbol APG
Target High Price 56.0
Target Low Price 49.0
Target Mean Price 52.7
Target Median Price 53.0
Total Cash 645,000,000
Total Cash Per Share 1.489
Total Debt 3,070,000,128
Total Revenue 8,174,000,128
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.64
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 40.7928
Two Hundred Day Average Change 0.6072006
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.014884994
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,180,591
Website https://www.apigroupcorp.com
Zip 55,112