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ARKO Petroleum Corp. (APC)

Energy | Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing | Richmond, United States | NasdaqCM
15.81 USD -0.27 (-1.678%) ⇩ (Oct. 14, 2026, 11:27 a.m. EDT)

Short-term:★☆☆☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 3:10 a.m. EDT

The immediate outlook is bearish as the stock has lost nearly 12% over the last two weeks, trading well below its 50-day moving average, while the statistical forecast model offers no directional edge with low confidence. Despite a 'strong buy' analyst consensus and a significant 30% earnings growth beat, the company's fundamentals reveal severe structural fragility: debt-to-equity is a staggering 304%, operating margins are compressed to just 1.3%, and the business is burning cash with only $58 million in operating cash flow against nearly $784 million in total debt. This precarious balance sheet makes the current 3% dividend yield suspect, as the payout ratio sits at a risky 30% while free cash flow appears insufficient to sustain such distributions without further dilution or distress. The recent news of a potential merger with ARKO suggests the market is pricing in a rescue or restructuring rather than organic growth, reinforcing the view that the standalone entity is too risky to hold for the near term.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoETS ✓0.100124
AutoARIMA0.100415
MSTL0.102320
AutoTheta0.109517

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS

Forecast Reliability
Score 35%
H-stat 11.68
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.000
Excess Kurtosis 1.16
Attribute Value
Sector Energy
Ex Dividend Date 2026-08-17
Last Dividend Date 2026-08-17
Debt to Equity Ratio 303.906
Revenue per Share 150.517
Market Cap 752,085,248
Trailing P/E 18.60
Forward P/E 14.92
Profit Margins 0.64%
Website https://www.arkopetroleum.com

Dividend Data

Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-08-18 0.50 2.695418
2026-04-10 0.26 1.385189
Additional Data
dividendYield 3.11
exDividendDate 2026-08-18
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.76
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.047263682
lastDividendValue 0.5
lastDividendDate 2026-08-18
dividendDate 2026-08-28

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.08376068
Address1 8,565 Magellan Parkway
Address2 Suite 400
All Time High 21.72
All Time Low 14.5
Ask 20.48
Ask Size 2
Average Analyst Rating 1.0 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 159,070
Average Daily Volume3 Month 149,312
Average Volume 149,312
Average Volume10Days 159,070
Bid 11.59
Bid Size 2
Book Value 5.419
City Richmond
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 15.81
Current Ratio 1.178
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 16.215
Day Low 15.66
Debt To Equity 303.906
Display Name ARKO Petroleum
Dividend Date 1,787,875,200
Dividend Yield 3.11
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,050,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,050,000
Earnings Growth -0.102
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.22
Earnings Timestamp 1,786,046,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,908,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,908,800
Ebitda 146,694,000
Ebitda Margins 0.02456
Enterprise To Ebitda 10.456
Enterprise To Revenue 0.257
Enterprise Value 1,533,765,248
Eps Current Year 0.95
Eps Forward 1.06
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.85
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,787,011,200
Exchange NCM
Exchange Data Delayed By 15
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 17.942
Fifty Day Average Change -2.131999
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.11882728
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -8.376068
Fifty Two Week High 21.72
Fifty Two Week High Change -5.909999
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.2720994
Fifty Two Week Low 14.5
Fifty Two Week Low Change 1.3100004
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.09034485
Fifty Two Week Range 14.5 - 21.72
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,770,906,600,000
Float Shares 12,550,452
Forward Eps 1.06
Forward P E 14.915095
Full Exchange Name NasdaqCM
Full Time Employees 360
Fullday Change -0.2699995
Fullday Change Percent -1.6780578
Fullday Price 15.81
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.050040003
Gross Profits 298,936,992
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00466
Held Percent Institutions 0.98550004
Implied Shares Outstanding 47,570,223
Industry Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Industry Disp Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Industry Key oil-gas-refining-marketing
Ipo Expected Date 2,026-02-12
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,787,011,200
Last Dividend Value 0.5
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary ARKO Petroleum Corp. operates as a fuel distributor in North America. The company operates through three segments: Wholesale, Fleet Fueling, and GPMP. The Wholesale segment supplies fuel to gas stations operated by third-party dealers, sub-wholesalers, and bulk and spot purchasers. The Fleet Fueling segment engages in the operation of proprietary and third-party cardlock locations that sell fuel to light industrial trucks and commercial vehicles, and municipal entities. The GPMP segment sells and supplies fuel to ARKO retail sites. The company was incorporated in 2025 and is based in Richmond, Virginia. ARKO Petroleum Corp. is a subsidiary of Arko Convenience Stores LLC.
Long Name ARKO Petroleum Corp.
Market us_market
Market Cap 752,085,248
Market State REGULAR
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1974822084
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 38,484,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 806,790,982
Number Of Analyst Opinions 4
Open 16.0
Operating Cashflow 58,394,000
Operating Margins 0.01279
Payout Ratio 0.3045
Phone 804 730 1568
Previous Close 16.08
Price Eps Current Year 16.642105
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 2.9175124
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.12590347
Profit Margins 0.00644
Quick Ratio 0.757
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.0
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.2699995
Regular Market Change Percent -1.6780578
Regular Market Day High 16.215
Regular Market Day Low 15.66
Regular Market Day Range 15.66 - 16.215
Regular Market Open 16.0
Regular Market Previous Close 16.08
Regular Market Price 15.81
Regular Market Time 1,791,991,645
Regular Market Volume 13,612
Revenue Growth 0.274
Revenue Per Share 150.517
Sand P52 Week Change 0.17004645
Sector Energy
Sector Disp Energy
Sector Key energy
Shares Outstanding 12,570,223
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0167
Shares Short 792,584
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 985,919
Short Name ARKO Petroleum Corp.
Short Percent Of Float 0.063200004
Short Ratio 4.86
Source Interval 15
State VA
Symbol APC
Target High Price 25.0
Target Low Price 21.0
Target Mean Price 22.25
Target Median Price 21.5
Total Cash 14,563,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.306
Total Debt 783,398,976
Total Revenue 5,973,507,072
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.76
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.047263682
Trailing Eps 0.85
Trailing P E 18.6
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 18.792261
Two Hundred Day Average Change -2.9822607
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.15869622
Type Disp Equity
Volume 13,612
Website https://www.arkopetroleum.com
Zip 23,227-1150