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A. O. Smith Corporation (AOS)

Industrials | Specialty Industrial Machinery | Milwaukee, United States | NYSE
59.53 USD -0.91 (-1.506%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 59.00 -0.53 (-0.530%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 7:49 p.m. EDT)
Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★★☆☆Dividends:★★★⯪☆
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 2:57 a.m. EDT

A. O. Smith presents a classic case of a high-quality business currently punished by a deteriorating multi-year price trajectory. While the company boasts exceptional fundamentals—specifically a 28% return on equity and robust free cash flow—the market has clearly lost faith, pricing in a structural decline as evidenced by the single-digit consecutive negative annual returns ending recently. This disconnect creates a compelling long-term setup, though the immediate outlook remains murky. The heavy put writing by options traders confirms that the street expects further weakness, likely waiting for the latest quarterly results to see if the recent rebound was a dead cat bounce or a genuine reversal. For investors, the dividend yield offers a cushion, but the path to recovery requires patience as the market digests the recent earnings misses.
Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.112338
AutoETS0.112338
AutoTheta0.112373
MSTL0.116437
MSTL_1260.119211
MSTL_840.127104
MSTL_84_1260.134410

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 49%
H-stat 1.66
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.104
Excess Kurtosis -1.01
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Ex Dividend Date 2026-04-29
Last Dividend Date 2026-04-29
Debt to Equity Ratio 34.981
Revenue per Share 27.285
Market Cap 8,204,937,728
Trailing P/E 15.87
Forward P/E 14.30
Beta 1.15
Profit Margins 13.84%
Website https://www.aosmith.com

As of July 11, 2026, 2:57 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioning for downside protection, evidenced by massive out-of-the-money put open interest relative to calls across all expirations. The 'Top OI' strikes for puts are significantly lower than the current price, indicating a fear of a sharp decline. Conversely, call positioning is sparse and concentrated near the money, suggesting limited speculative appetite for a rapid rally despite the stock trading below its 200-day average.

Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.58% 2.10% 1.86% 1.83%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-04-30 0.360000 0.582147
2026-01-30 0.360000 0.489863
2025-10-31 0.360000 0.545537
2025-07-31 0.340000 0.480294
2025-04-30 0.340000 0.501032
2025-01-31 0.340000 0.505201
2024-10-31 0.340000 0.452730
2024-07-31 0.320000 0.376294
2024-04-29 0.320000 0.379552
2024-01-30 0.320000 0.401405
2023-10-30 0.320000 0.460498
2023-07-28 0.300000 0.415570
2023-04-27 0.300000 0.437573
2023-01-30 0.300000 0.503694
2022-10-28 0.300000 0.551673
2022-07-28 0.280000 0.459092
2022-04-28 0.280000 0.467680
2022-01-28 0.280000 0.370861
2021-10-28 0.280000 0.396096
2021-07-29 0.260000 0.369161
2021-04-29 0.260000 0.380061
2021-01-28 0.260000 0.456862
2020-10-29 0.260000 0.487074
2020-07-30 0.240000 0.495254
2020-04-29 0.240000 0.544712
2020-01-30 0.240000 0.552359
2019-10-30 0.240000 0.476380
2019-07-30 0.220000 0.485758
2019-04-29 0.220000 0.394195
2019-01-30 0.220000 0.460251
2018-10-30 0.220000 0.481190
2018-07-30 0.180000 0.306853
2018-04-27 0.180000 0.288600
2018-01-30 0.180000 0.271003
2017-10-30 0.140000 0.236566
2017-07-27 0.140000 0.259692
2017-04-26 0.140000 0.264301
2017-01-27 0.140000 0.288184
2016-10-27 0.120000 0.267261
2016-07-27 0.120000 0.256164
2016-04-27 0.120000 0.303222
2016-02-03 0.120000 0.353097
2015-10-28 0.095000 0.248626
2015-07-29 0.095000 0.267794
2015-04-28 0.095000 0.292308
2015-02-04 0.095000 0.310915
2014-10-29 0.075000 0.286424
2014-07-29 0.075000 0.316322
2014-04-28 0.075000 0.320924
2014-02-05 0.075000 0.325027
2013-10-29 0.060000 0.236546
2013-07-29 0.060000 0.296150
2013-04-25 0.060000 0.319361
2013-01-29 0.050000 0.284051
2012-10-31 0.050000 0.329110
2012-07-27 0.050000 0.393391
2012-04-26 0.040000 0.335711
2012-01-27 0.040000 0.378519
2011-10-27 0.040000 0.410151
2011-07-27 0.040000 0.382409
2011-04-27 0.035000 0.321987
2011-01-27 0.035000 0.321175
2010-10-27 0.035000 0.372340
2010-07-28 0.035000 0.382514
2010-04-28 0.032500 0.375289
2010-01-27 0.032500 0.445104
2009-10-28 0.032500 0.491060
2009-07-29 0.032500 0.498594
2009-04-28 0.031667 0.637377
2009-01-28 0.031667 0.634821
2008-10-29 0.031667 0.649357
2008-07-29 0.031667 0.489066
2008-04-28 0.030000 0.576369
2008-01-29 0.030000 0.528634
2007-10-29 0.030000 0.492341
2007-07-27 0.030000 0.378231
2007-04-26 0.028333 0.442358
2007-01-29 0.028333 0.444672
2006-10-27 0.028333 0.480356
2006-07-27 0.028333 0.401602
2006-04-26 0.026667 0.334173
2006-01-27 0.026667 0.375151
2005-10-27 0.026667 0.517806
2005-07-27 0.026667 0.587163
2005-04-27 0.026667 0.552684
2005-01-27 0.026667 0.595467
2004-10-27 0.026667 0.595911
2004-07-28 0.026667 0.555562
2004-04-28 0.025000 0.497512
2004-01-28 0.025000 0.473784
2003-10-29 0.025000 0.486224
2003-07-29 0.025000 0.465838
2003-04-28 0.023333 0.470740
2003-01-29 0.023333 0.549012
2002-10-29 0.023333 0.579702
2002-07-29 0.023333 0.457510
2002-04-26 0.021667 0.444451
2002-01-29 0.021667 0.578044
2001-10-29 0.021667 0.820202
2001-07-27 0.021667 0.720632
2001-04-26 0.021667 0.683861
2001-01-29 0.021667 0.790286
2000-10-27 0.021667 0.967457
2000-07-27 0.021667 0.818910
2000-04-26 0.020000 0.598131
2000-01-27 0.020000 0.590769
1999-10-27 0.020000 0.487310
1999-07-28 0.020000 0.412017
1999-04-28 0.020000 0.500000
1999-01-27 0.020000 0.510638
1998-10-28 0.020000 0.607595
1998-07-29 0.020000 0.440367
1998-04-28 0.018889 0.378305
1998-01-28 0.018889 0.404764
1997-10-29 0.018889 0.407188
1997-07-29 0.018889 0.478876
1997-04-28 0.018889 0.490978
1997-01-29 0.018889 0.521076
1996-10-29 0.018889 0.647623
1996-07-29 0.018889 0.772732
1996-04-26 0.018889 0.739135
1996-01-29 0.016667 0.609149
1995-10-27 0.016667 0.718577
1995-07-27 0.016667 0.553006
1995-04-24 0.016667 0.621774
1995-01-25 0.014444 0.565200
1994-10-25 0.014444 0.530596
1994-07-25 0.014444 0.479248
1994-04-25 0.014444 0.462208
1994-01-25 0.012222 0.325920
1993-10-25 0.012222 0.396389
1993-07-26 0.012222 0.431365
1993-04-26 0.011111 0.514464
1993-03-02 0.027778 1.315800
1993-01-25 0.011111 0.561398
1992-10-26 0.011111 0.658430
1992-07-27 0.011111 0.624994
1992-04-24 0.011111 0.650400
1992-01-27 0.011111 0.987644
1991-10-25 0.011111 1.111100
1991-07-25 0.011111 1.103438
1991-04-24 0.011111 1.081070
1991-01-25 0.011111 1.249987
1990-10-25 0.011111 1.300800
1990-07-25 0.011111 1.088425
1990-04-24 0.011111 1.249987
1990-01-25 0.011111 1.632636
1989-10-25 0.011111 1.311463
1989-07-25 0.011111 1.194017
1989-04-24 0.011111 1.111100
1989-01-25 0.011111 1.202996
1988-10-25 0.011111 1.259831
1988-07-25 0.011111 1.221362
1988-04-25 0.011111 1.403494
1988-01-25 0.011111 1.616145
1987-10-26 0.011111 1.523794
1987-07-27 0.011111 0.909082
1987-04-24 0.011111 0.888880
1987-01-26 0.011111 0.874308
1986-10-27 0.011111 0.893845
1986-07-25 0.011111 0.816318
1986-04-24 0.011111 0.720713
1986-01-27 0.011111 0.761897
Additional Data
dividendRate 1.42
dividendYield 2.35
exDividendDate 2026-04-30
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.4
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.023163468
lastDividendValue 0.36
lastDividendDate 2026-04-30
dividendDate 2026-05-15

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.12214959
Address1 11,270 West Park Place
All Time High 92.45
All Time Low 0.541667
Ask 59.43
Ask Size 100
Audit Risk 4
Average Analyst Rating 2.5 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,753,860
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,780,085
Average Volume 1,780,085
Average Volume10Days 1,753,860
Beta 1.153
Bid 59.52
Bid Size 200
Board Risk 10
Book Value 13.625
City Milwaukee
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 7
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 59.53
Current Ratio 1.558
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 60.82
Day Low 59.09
Debt To Equity 34.981
Display Name A. O. Smith
Dividend Date 1,778,803,200
Dividend Rate 1.42
Dividend Yield 2.35
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,441,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,441,600
Earnings Growth -0.105
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.136
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,414,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,785,414,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,785,414,600
Ebitda 795,299,968
Ebitda Margins 0.20864001
Enterprise To Ebitda 10.886
Enterprise To Revenue 2.271
Enterprise Value 8,657,938,432
Eps Current Year 3.77279
Eps Forward 4.16223
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 3.75
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,777,507,200
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 58.96
Fifty Day Average Change 0.5699997
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.009667566
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -12.214958
Fifty Two Week High 81.87
Fifty Two Week High Change -22.340004
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.27287167
Fifty Two Week Low 54.16
Fifty Two Week Low Change 5.369999
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.09915064
Fifty Two Week Range 54.16 - 81.87
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 433,776,600,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 1.79
Float Shares 109,781,877
Forward Eps 4.16223
Forward P E 14.302429
Free Cashflow 495,612,512
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 11,500
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.38764998
Gross Profits 1,477,699,968
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00454
Held Percent Institutions 1.10515
Implied Shares Outstanding 137,828,624
Industry Specialty Industrial Machinery
Industry Disp Specialty Industrial Machinery
Industry Key specialty-industrial-machinery
Ir Website http://investor.shareholder.com/aosmith/
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,777,507,200
Last Dividend Value 0.36
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,475,712,000
Last Split Factor 2:1
Long Business Summary A. O. Smith Corporation manufactures and markets residential and commercial gas and electric water heaters, boilers, heat pumps, tanks, and water treatment products in North America, China, Europe, and India. The company offers water heaters for residences, restaurants, hotels, office buildings, laundries, car washes, and small businesses; boilers for hospitals, schools, hotels, homes, apartments, and condominiums, and other large commercial buildings; and water treatment products comprising point-of-entry water softeners, well water solutions, and whole-home water filtration products, and point-of-use carbon and reverse osmosis products for residences, restaurants, hotels, and offices. It also provides commercial water treatment and filtration products; expansion tanks, commercial solar water heating systems, swimming pool and spa heaters, and related products and parts; and electric wall-hung, gas tankless, combi-boiler, and heat pump and solar water heaters. The company offers its products under the A. O. Smith, State, Lochinvar, Hague, Water-Right, Master Water, Atlantic Filter, Impact, and Water Tec brands. It distributes its products through independent wholesale plumbing distributors, as well as to retail channels consisting of hardware and home center chains, and manufacturer representative firms, as well as offers Aquasana branded products directly to consumers through e-commerce channels; and A. O. Smith branded water treatment products through dealer network and Amazon. A. O. Smith Corporation was founded in 1874 and is headquartered in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.
Long Name A. O. Smith Corporation
Market us_market
Market Cap 8,204,937,728
Market State POSTPOST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_997111
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 527,600,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 8,330,362,033
Number Of Analyst Opinions 11
Open 60.44
Operating Cashflow 707,500,032
Operating Margins 0.17111
Overall Risk 10
Payout Ratio 0.37330002
Peg Ratio 1.59
Phone 414 359 4000
Post Market Change -0.5299988
Post Market Change Percent -0.8903054
Post Market Price 59.0
Post Market Time 1,783,986,564
Previous Close 60.44
Price Eps Current Year 15.778773
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 4.369174
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 2.1524537
Profit Margins 0.13841
Quick Ratio 0.954
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 2.53846
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.91
Regular Market Change Percent -1.50563
Regular Market Day High 60.82
Regular Market Day Low 59.09
Regular Market Day Range 59.09 - 60.82
Regular Market Open 60.44
Regular Market Previous Close 60.44
Regular Market Price 59.53
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,802
Regular Market Volume 1,266,395
Return On Assets 0.12775
Return On Equity 0.28267
Revenue Growth -0.019
Revenue Per Share 27.285
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Share Holder Rights Risk 10
Shares Outstanding 111,965,465
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0758
Shares Short 10,441,385
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 7,406,165
Short Name A.O. Smith Corporation
Short Percent Of Float 0.1075
Short Ratio 5.5
Source Interval 15
State WI
Symbol AOS
Target High Price 84.0
Target Low Price 59.0
Target Mean Price 70.45455
Target Median Price 70.0
Total Cash 203,900,000
Total Cash Per Share 1.479
Total Debt 656,899,968
Total Revenue 3,811,899,904
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.4
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.023163468
Trailing Eps 3.75
Trailing P E 15.874666
Trailing Peg Ratio 1.5864
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 66.7021
Two Hundred Day Average Change -7.172104
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.1075244
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,266,395
Website https://www.aosmith.com
Zip 53,224