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Aemetis, Inc. (AMTX)

Basic Materials | Specialty Chemicals | Cupertino, United States | NasdaqGM
1.86 USD -0.01 (-0.535%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 1.84 -0.02 (-0.020%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:30 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 6:01 a.m. EDT

The investment case for Aemetis is defined by a stark disconnect between its deteriorating financial reality and aggressive speculative positioning. Fundamentally, the company is in distress: it carries massive debt relative to its tiny cash pile, resulting in a precarious current ratio of 0.08, and is burning cash with negative free cash flow. While revenue growth is positive at 20%, the bottom line remains deeply negative, and the balance sheet is fragile. The lack of a dividend reflects this inability to generate distributable cash. However, the options market tells a different story, signaling a high-conviction belief in a near-term catalyst. The heavy accumulation of call options at $2.50 and $5.00 strikes suggests traders are pricing in a substantial re-rating, likely tied to the anticipated Indian subsidiary IPO or other 2026 catalysts mentioned in recent news. This creates a volatile environment where the stock could surge on news but lacks the fundamental earnings power to sustain a higher valuation without a proven track record of profitability. For now, the trade is purely speculative, betting on a turnaround story rather than current business performance.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.362071
AutoARIMA0.362195
AutoETS0.362198
MSTL0.364286

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 29%
H-stat 5.30
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.027
Excess Kurtosis 0.21
Attribute Value
Sector Basic Materials
Revenue per Share 3.444
Market Cap 134,235,440
Forward P/E -3.78
Beta 1.44
Profit Margins -26.14%
Website https://www.aemetis.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 6:01 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a significant upside move, evidenced by heavy open interest in out-of-the-money calls at strikes of $2.50 and $5.00 across multiple expirations, particularly in the January 2028 timeframe where volume exceeds open interest. Conversely, put activity is concentrated near the money or slightly out-of-the-money, suggesting a defensive stance rather than a bearish bet. The skew indicates a speculative expectation of a rally driven by catalysts like the mentioned Indian subsidiary IPO.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.25
Address1 20,400 Stevens Creek Boulevard
Address2 Suite 700
All Time High 60.0
All Time Low 0.0875
Ask 1.99
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 9
Average Analyst Rating 1.5 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 855,780
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,084,909
Average Volume 1,084,909
Average Volume10Days 855,780
Beta 1.44
Bid 1.16
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 6
Book Value -4.471
City Cupertino
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 9
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 1.86
Current Ratio 0.08
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 1.9
Day Low 1.8
Display Name Aemetis
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,039,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,039,200
Earnings Timestamp 1,786,019,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,881,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,881,800
Ebitda -1,577,000
Ebitda Margins -0.00685
Enterprise To Ebitda -434.619
Enterprise To Revenue 2.978
Enterprise Value 685,394,432
Eps Current Year -0.81486
Eps Forward -0.49242
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.86
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NGM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 408 252 8044
Fifty Day Average 1.7009
Fifty Day Average Change 0.15910006
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.093538746
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -25.0
Fifty Two Week High 3.8
Fifty Two Week High Change -1.9399999
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.5105263
Fifty Two Week Low 1.3
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.56000006
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.4307693
Fifty Two Week Range 1.3 - 3.8
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,151,415,000,000
Float Shares 67,163,189
Forward Eps -0.49242
Forward P E -3.7772634
Free Cashflow -65,829,500
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGM
Full Time Employees 220
Fullday Change -0.00999999
Fullday Change Percent -0.534759
Fullday Price 1.84
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.103999995
Gross Profits 23,938,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.069510005
Held Percent Institutions 0.24624
Implied Shares Outstanding 72,169,594
Industry Specialty Chemicals
Industry Disp Specialty Chemicals
Industry Key specialty-chemicals
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,465,948,800
Last Split Factor 4:1
Long Business Summary Aemetis, Inc. operates as a renewable natural gas and renewable fuels company. The company operates through California Ethanol, California Dairy Renewable Natural Gas, and India Biodiesel segments. It engages in the operation, acquisition, development, and commercialization of low and negative carbon intensity products and technologies that replace fossil fuel products. The company also produces and sells ethanol; wet distillers grains, distillers corn oil, and condensed distillers solubles to dairies and feedlots as animal feed; and distilled biodiesel and refined glycerin products. In addition, it produces biogas from dairy waste. Aemetis, Inc. is headquartered in Cupertino, California.
Long Name Aemetis, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 134,235,440
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_27792863
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common -60,157,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 134,957,140
Number Of Analyst Opinions 4
Open 1.89
Operating Cashflow -3,599,000
Operating Margins 0.09207
Overall Risk 8
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 408 213 0940
Post Market Change -0.01999998
Post Market Change Percent -1.0752678
Post Market Price 1.84
Post Market Time 1,787,959,805
Previous Close 1.87
Price Eps Current Year -2.2826006
Price Hint 4
Price To Book -0.4160143
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.5831987
Profit Margins -0.26136
Quick Ratio 0.037
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.5
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.00999999
Regular Market Change Percent -0.534759
Regular Market Day High 1.9
Regular Market Day Low 1.8
Regular Market Day Range 1.8 - 1.9
Regular Market Open 1.89
Regular Market Previous Close 1.87
Regular Market Price 1.86
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,201
Regular Market Volume 599,354
Return On Assets -0.02728
Revenue Growth 0.2
Revenue Per Share 3.444
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20204377
Sector Basic Materials
Sector Disp Basic Materials
Sector Key basic-materials
Share Holder Rights Risk 7
Shares Outstanding 72,169,594
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.12
Shares Short 8,662,779
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 7,537,707
Short Name Aemetis, Inc
Short Percent Of Float 0.129
Short Ratio 9.14
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol AMTX
Target High Price 28.0
Target Low Price 2.5
Target Mean Price 13.375
Target Median Price 11.5
Total Cash 973,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.013
Total Debt 552,131,968
Total Revenue 230,171,008
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.86
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 1.946075
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.08607495
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.044230025
Type Disp Equity
Volume 599,354
Website https://www.aemetis.com
Zip 95,014