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AMERISAFE, Inc. (AMSF)

Financial Services | Insurance - Specialty | Deridder, United States | NasdaqGS
35.29 USD +0.83 (2.409%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 35.29
Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★☆☆☆Dividends:★★★☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 4:39 a.m. EDT

The long-term outlook remains bearish due to a structural deterioration evidenced by six consecutive years of negative annual returns, with the most recent two years showing continued decline. Despite a recent price bounce off the lows, the multi-year trajectory suggests the market has correctly priced in a failing business model, capping the long-term rating at a weak level. The short-term picture is mixed; while the stock has recovered some ground from its yearly low, the statistical forecast offers no directional edge, and the low beta indicates a lack of momentum. However, the high dividend yield provides a floor, making it a speculative hold rather than a core investment. Options flow confirms this defensive stance, with traders buying protection against a potential collapse rather than betting on a rally.
Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.030128
AutoETS0.031382
AutoARIMA0.031383
AutoTheta0.034824

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 43%
H-stat 7.34
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.008
Excess Kurtosis 0.59
Attribute Value
Sector Financial Services
Ex Dividend Date 2026-06-11
Last Dividend Date 2026-06-11
Revenue per Share 17.175
Market Cap 660,056,128
Trailing P/E 14.17
Forward P/E 16.94
Beta 0.26
Profit Margins 14.27%
Website https://www.amerisafe.com

As of July 11, 2026, 4:39 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy open interest in deep out-of-the-money puts (strikes 22.5 and 25), suggesting a fear of a significant downside gap or crash. Conversely, call activity is sparse and concentrated in far-dated strikes, indicating a lack of immediate bullish conviction despite the recent price recovery.

Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
1.30% 7.17% 8.64% 9.05%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-06-12 0.41 1.300349
2026-03-13 0.41 1.248097
2025-12-05 1.39 3.742596
2025-09-12 0.39 0.880958
2025-06-13 0.39 0.877390
2025-03-07 0.39 0.781407
2024-12-06 3.37 6.122820
2024-09-06 0.37 0.762572
2024-06-14 0.37 0.874291
2024-03-07 0.37 0.704762
2023-11-30 3.84 7.973422
2023-09-07 0.34 0.659298
2023-06-15 0.34 0.637062
2023-03-09 0.34 0.661093
2022-12-01 4.31 8.092377
2022-09-08 0.31 0.640628
2022-06-16 0.31 0.640496
2022-03-10 0.31 0.660981
2021-12-02 0.29 0.542766
2021-11-09 4.00 6.958942
2021-09-09 0.29 0.509398
2021-06-17 0.29 0.469332
2021-03-11 0.29 0.453267
2020-12-03 0.27 0.495686
2020-11-09 3.50 6.004460
2020-09-10 0.27 0.422139
2020-06-11 0.27 0.435484
2020-03-12 0.27 0.500742
2019-12-12 0.25 0.374420
2019-11-12 3.50 5.181347
2019-09-05 0.25 0.368949
2019-06-06 0.25 0.412541
2019-03-07 0.25 0.411455
2018-12-13 3.72 6.210350
2018-09-06 0.22 0.343482
2018-06-07 0.22 0.363336
2018-03-08 0.22 0.390417
2017-12-13 3.70 5.996758
2017-09-07 0.20 0.380952
2017-06-07 0.20 0.378430
2017-03-08 0.20 0.315209
2016-12-13 3.43 5.496795
2016-09-07 0.18 0.294744
2016-06-08 0.18 0.281030
2016-03-10 0.18 0.353704
2015-12-10 3.15 6.368783
2015-09-09 0.15 0.321199
2015-06-10 0.15 0.342700
2015-03-11 0.15 0.374251
2014-12-10 1.12 2.668573
2014-09-10 0.12 0.311526
2014-06-10 0.12 0.317965
2014-03-12 0.62 1.443539
2013-12-11 0.08 0.196802
2013-09-11 0.08 0.239808
2013-06-10 0.08 0.230481
2013-03-12 0.08 0.238877
Additional Data
dividendRate 1.64
dividendYield 4.76
exDividendDate 2026-06-12
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.58
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.045850262
lastDividendValue 0.41
lastDividendDate 2026-06-12
dividendDate 2026-06-19

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.23114681
Address1 2,301 Highway 190 West
All Time High 80.65
All Time Low 8.12
Ask 44.78
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 7
Average Daily Volume10 Day 302,360
Average Daily Volume3 Month 237,734
Average Volume 237,734
Average Volume10Days 302,360
Beta 0.26
Bid 25.02
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 2
Book Value 13.193
City Deridder
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 3
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 35.29
Current Ratio 1.924
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 35.41
Day Low 34.66
Display Name AMERISAFE
Dividend Date 1,781,827,200
Dividend Rate 1.64
Dividend Yield 4.76
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,784,750,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,784,750,400
Earnings Growth -0.085
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.09
Earnings Timestamp 1,784,664,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,784,664,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,784,664,000
Ebitda 58,493,000
Ebitda Margins 0.18010001
Enterprise To Ebitda 10.2
Enterprise To Revenue 1.837
Enterprise Value 596,643,264
Eps Current Year 2.08333
Eps Forward 2.08333
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 2.49
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,781,222,400
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 31.6476
Fifty Day Average Change 3.6424007
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.11509248
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -23.114681
Fifty Two Week High 47.86
Fifty Two Week High Change -12.57
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.262641
Fifty Two Week Low 29.42
Fifty Two Week Low Change 5.870001
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.19952416
Fifty Two Week Range 29.42 - 47.86
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,132,324,200,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 2.86
Float Shares 18,305,313
Forward Eps 2.08333
Forward P E 16.939228
Free Cashflow 22,471,750
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.28035998
Gross Profits 91,056,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.02029
Held Percent Institutions 0.99522
Implied Shares Outstanding 18,703,771
Industry Insurance - Specialty
Industry Disp Insurance - Specialty
Industry Key insurance-specialty
Ir Website http://www.snl.com/irweblinkx/corporateprofile.aspx?iid=4041394
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,781,222,400
Last Dividend Value 0.41
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary AMERISAFE, Inc., an insurance holding company, underwrites workers' compensation insurance in the United States. The company provides benefits to injured employees for temporary or permanent disability, death, and medical and hospital expenses. It sells its products through retail and wholesale brokers and agents; and small and mid-sized employers engaged in hazardous industries, including construction, trucking, logging and lumber, agriculture, manufacturing, telecommunications, and maritime. The company was incorporated in 1985 and is based in Deridder, Louisiana.
Long Name AMERISAFE, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 660,056,128
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_24806
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 46,341,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 644,531,948
Number Of Analyst Opinions 3
Open 34.48
Operating Cashflow 10,164,000
Operating Margins 0.12684
Overall Risk 5
Payout Ratio 0.65019995
Peg Ratio 1.81
Phone 337 463 9052
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 35.29
Post Market Time 1,783,981,117
Previous Close 34.46
Price Eps Current Year 16.939228
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 2.6749034
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 2.0323176
Profit Margins 0.14267999
Quick Ratio 1.311
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.830002
Regular Market Change Percent 2.4086
Regular Market Day High 35.41
Regular Market Day Low 34.66
Regular Market Day Range 34.66 - 35.41
Regular Market Open 34.48
Regular Market Previous Close 34.46
Regular Market Price 35.29
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,801
Regular Market Volume 164,117
Return On Assets 0.031689998
Return On Equity 0.18266001
Revenue Growth 0.103
Revenue Per Share 17.175
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Financial Services
Sector Disp Financial Services
Sector Key financial-services
Share Holder Rights Risk 9
Shares Outstanding 18,703,771
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0437
Shares Short 817,270
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 450,925
Short Name AMERISAFE, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.053000003
Short Ratio 2.92
Source Interval 15
State LA
Symbol AMSF
Target High Price 45.0
Target Low Price 31.0
Target Mean Price 36.66667
Target Median Price 34.0
Total Cash 62,979,000
Total Cash Per Share 3.369
Total Debt 0
Total Revenue 324,780,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.58
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.045850262
Trailing Eps 2.49
Trailing P E 14.172691
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 36.23345
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.9434509
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.02603812
Type Disp Equity
Volume 164,117
Website https://www.amerisafe.com
Zip 70,634