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AMERISAFE, Inc. (AMSF)

Financial Services | Insurance - Specialty | Deridder, United States | NasdaqGS
26.25 USD +0.11 (0.421%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 26.25

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★★☆☆☆Dividends:★★★☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 4:18 a.m. EDT

The immediate outlook is bearish as the stock trades at its 52-week low, having failed to break out of a prolonged downtrend. While the company boasts a fortress balance sheet and a 6.4% yield, the recent earnings miss and widening combined ratio suggest the bull case is under pressure. The market is pricing in further pain, evidenced by the heavy put buying at key resistance levels. For income investors, the high yield provides a cushion, but the lack of capital appreciation makes this a defensive hold rather than a growth opportunity. The disconnect between the strong fundamentals and the weak price action suggests the market is waiting for proof of sustained margin improvement before committing capital.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.088686
AutoTheta0.093548
AutoETS0.103937
MSTL0.104333

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 50%
H-stat 2.68
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.147
Excess Kurtosis -1.43
Attribute Value
Sector Financial Services
Ex Dividend Date 2026-09-10
Last Dividend Date 2026-06-11
Revenue per Share 17.858
Market Cap 490,974,016
Trailing P/E 10.54
Forward P/E 13.02
Beta 0.28
Profit Margins 14.00%
Website https://www.amerisafe.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 4:18 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy put volume at the $30 strike for September expiration, creating a significant barrier against further downside. Conversely, call interest is concentrated at the $35 strike for October, suggesting a speculative belief that the stock can recover to near-52-week highs despite current weakness. Implied volatility is elevated for near-term protection, indicating fear of a continued grind lower.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
1.30% 7.17% 8.64% 9.05%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-06-12 0.41 1.300349
2026-03-13 0.41 1.248097
2025-12-05 1.39 3.742596
2025-09-12 0.39 0.880958
2025-06-13 0.39 0.877390
2025-03-07 0.39 0.781407
2024-12-06 3.37 6.122820
2024-09-06 0.37 0.762572
2024-06-14 0.37 0.874291
2024-03-07 0.37 0.704762
2023-11-30 3.84 7.973422
2023-09-07 0.34 0.659298
2023-06-15 0.34 0.637062
2023-03-09 0.34 0.661093
2022-12-01 4.31 8.092377
2022-09-08 0.31 0.640628
2022-06-16 0.31 0.640496
2022-03-10 0.31 0.660981
2021-12-02 0.29 0.542766
2021-11-09 4.00 6.958942
2021-09-09 0.29 0.509398
2021-06-17 0.29 0.469332
2021-03-11 0.29 0.453267
2020-12-03 0.27 0.495686
2020-11-09 3.50 6.004460
2020-09-10 0.27 0.422139
2020-06-11 0.27 0.435484
2020-03-12 0.27 0.500742
2019-12-12 0.25 0.374420
2019-11-12 3.50 5.181347
2019-09-05 0.25 0.368949
2019-06-06 0.25 0.412541
2019-03-07 0.25 0.411455
2018-12-13 3.72 6.210350
2018-09-06 0.22 0.343482
2018-06-07 0.22 0.363336
2018-03-08 0.22 0.390417
2017-12-13 3.70 5.996758
2017-09-07 0.20 0.380952
2017-06-07 0.20 0.378430
2017-03-08 0.20 0.315209
2016-12-13 3.43 5.496795
2016-09-07 0.18 0.294744
2016-06-08 0.18 0.281030
2016-03-10 0.18 0.353704
2015-12-10 3.15 6.368783
2015-09-09 0.15 0.321199
2015-06-10 0.15 0.342700
2015-03-11 0.15 0.374251
2014-12-10 1.12 2.668573
2014-09-10 0.12 0.311526
2014-06-10 0.12 0.317965
2014-03-12 0.62 1.443539
2013-12-11 0.08 0.196802
2013-09-11 0.08 0.239808
2013-06-10 0.08 0.230481
2013-03-12 0.08 0.238877
Additional Data
dividendRate 1.64
dividendYield 6.27
exDividendDate 2026-09-11
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.6
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.061208878
lastDividendValue 0.41
lastDividendDate 2026-06-12
dividendDate 2026-09-25

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.42950678
Address1 2,301 Highway 190 West
All Time High 80.65
All Time Low 8.12
Ask 33.6
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 7
Average Daily Volume10 Day 362,700
Average Daily Volume3 Month 302,151
Average Volume 302,151
Average Volume10Days 362,700
Beta 0.275
Bid 19.13
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 2
Book Value 13.496
City Deridder
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 3
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 26.25
Current Ratio 2.042
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 26.67
Day Low 26.14
Display Name AMERISAFE
Dividend Date 1,790,294,400
Dividend Rate 1.64
Dividend Yield 6.27
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,784,730,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,784,730,600
Earnings Growth 0.068
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.046
Earnings Timestamp 1,784,664,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,217,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,217,600
Ebitda 59,286,000
Ebitda Margins 0.17663
Enterprise To Ebitda 6.705
Enterprise To Revenue 1.184
Enterprise Value 397,500,864
Eps Current Year 1.95
Eps Forward 2.01667
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 2.49
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,789,084,800
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 30.7552
Fifty Day Average Change -4.5051994
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.14648578
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -42.950676
Fifty Two Week High 47.86
Fifty Two Week High Change -21.61
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.4515253
Fifty Two Week Low 25.65
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.6000004
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.023391828
Fifty Two Week Range 25.65 - 47.86
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,132,324,200,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 2.86
Float Shares 18,135,137
Forward Eps 2.01667
Forward P E 13.016507
Free Cashflow 36,250,000
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Fullday Change 0.110001
Fullday Change Percent 0.420813
Fullday Price 26.25
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.27679002
Gross Profits 92,906,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.020599999
Held Percent Institutions 1.04054
Implied Shares Outstanding 18,703,771
Industry Insurance - Specialty
Industry Disp Insurance - Specialty
Industry Key insurance-specialty
Ir Website http://www.snl.com/irweblinkx/corporateprofile.aspx?iid=4041394
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,781,222,400
Last Dividend Value 0.41
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary AMERISAFE, Inc., an insurance holding company, underwrites workers' compensation insurance in the United States. The company provides benefits to injured employees for temporary or permanent disability, death, and medical and hospital expenses. It sells its products through retail and wholesale brokers and agents; and small and mid-sized employers engaged in hazardous industries, including construction, trucking, logging and lumber, agriculture, manufacturing, telecommunications, and maritime. The company was incorporated in 1985 and is based in Deridder, Louisiana.
Long Name AMERISAFE, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 490,974,016
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_24806
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 46,981,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 484,532,556
Number Of Analyst Opinions 3
Open 26.25
Operating Cashflow 20,400,000
Operating Margins 0.19858
Overall Risk 5
Payout Ratio 0.64519995
Peg Ratio 1.81
Phone 337 463 9052
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 26.25
Post Market Time 1,787,959,804
Previous Close 26.14
Price Eps Current Year 13.461538
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.9450207
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.4627297
Profit Margins 0.13997
Quick Ratio 1.445
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.110001
Regular Market Change Percent 0.420813
Regular Market Day High 26.67
Regular Market Day Low 26.14
Regular Market Day Range 26.14 - 26.67
Regular Market Open 26.25
Regular Market Previous Close 26.14
Regular Market Price 26.25
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,201
Regular Market Volume 244,506
Return On Assets 0.03209
Return On Equity 0.18225001
Revenue Growth 0.134
Revenue Per Share 17.858
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20504117
Sector Financial Services
Sector Disp Financial Services
Sector Key financial-services
Share Holder Rights Risk 9
Shares Outstanding 18,703,771
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.037
Shares Short 685,502
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 835,527
Short Name AMERISAFE, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.044899996
Short Ratio 1.99
Source Interval 15
State LA
Symbol AMSF
Target High Price 42.0
Target Low Price 32.0
Target Mean Price 35.66667
Target Median Price 33.0
Total Cash 88,748,000
Total Cash Per Share 4.791
Total Debt 0
Total Revenue 335,656,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.6
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.061208878
Trailing Eps 2.49
Trailing P E 10.542169
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 34.1623
Two Hundred Day Average Change -7.9123
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.23160912
Type Disp Equity
Volume 244,506
Website https://www.amerisafe.com
Zip 70,634