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Ameresco, Inc. (AMRC)

Industrials | Engineering & Construction | Framingham, United States | NYSE
25.87 USD +0.86 (3.439%) ⇧ (April 17, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 25.86 -0.01 (-0.010%) ⇩ (April 17, 2026, 8 p.m. EDT)

Short-term: ★★☆☆☆ | Long-term: ★★☆☆☆ | Dividends: ★☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | April 18, 2026, 11:38 p.m. EDT

Ameresco (AMRC) presents a 'value trap' with high debt-to-equity and negative free cash flow, despite attractive PE compression relative to growth. Analysts target $42, but the model predicts a -1.3% move due to high market volatility (H-stat > 15). The options market is positioning for a low-end bounce but hedging heavily against a drop to $15. Until the debt structure improves and margins stabilize, a multi-year hold is risky; short-term plays should focus on the $15-17.5 put support zone.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.154472
AutoETS0.154651
AutoARIMA0.156582
MSTL0.160486

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 43%
H-stat 15.59
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.102
Excess Kurtosis -1.46
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Debt to Equity Ratio 217.39
Revenue per Share 36.677
Market Cap 1,368,007,552
Trailing P/E 31.17
Forward P/E 15.46
Beta 2.61
Profit Margins 2.29%
Website https://www.ameresco.com

As of April 18, 2026, 11:38 p.m. EDT: Options flow shows a distinct bullish tail risk hedge with significant open interest (OI) at 2026-05/07/10 strikes below the current price (e.g., $15, $17.5, $20 puts), suggesting floor buying. Conversely, calls show asymmetric positioning with high OTM OI at elevated levels ($40, $50), indicating speculation on a significant upside move. The $30 call has a 16% increase in volume (OTM), while the $15 put has massive OI (-42%), suggesting a range-bound or reversal setup with a defined downside target at $15-17.5 while ambient IV remains relatively low (~0.85-0.92).


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 1.987298
Address1 111 Speen Street
Address2 Suite 410
All Time High 101.86
All Time Low 3.91
Ask 27.37
Ask Size 200
Audit Risk 3
Average Analyst Rating 1.7 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 535,730
Average Daily Volume3 Month 526,087
Average Volume 526,087
Average Volume10Days 535,730
Beta 2.61
Bid 25.29
Bid Size 300
Board Risk 7
Book Value 20.434
City Framingham
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,735,603,200
Compensation Risk 9
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 25.87
Current Ratio 1.509
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,774,915,200
Day High 26.17
Day Low 25.51
Debt To Equity 217.39
Display Name Ameresco
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,777,926,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,777,926,600
Earnings Growth -0.517
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.505
Earnings Timestamp 1,777,924,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,777,924,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,777,924,800
Ebitda 230,248,992
Ebitda Margins 0.119169995
Enterprise To Ebitda 16.436
Enterprise To Revenue 1.959
Enterprise Value 3,784,279,552
Eps Current Year 1.16405
Eps Forward 1.67303
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.83
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 28.18
Fifty Day Average Change -2.3099995
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.08197301
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 198.7298
Fifty Two Week High 44.93
Fifty Two Week High Change -19.06
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.42421544
Fifty Two Week Low 8.49
Fifty Two Week Low Change 17.380001
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 2.0471144
Fifty Two Week Range 8.49 - 44.93
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,279,805,400,000
Float Shares 32,031,575
Forward Eps 1.67303
Forward P E 15.462963
Free Cashflow -335,935,264
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 1,601
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,775,001,600
Gross Margins 0.15735
Gross Profits 304,012,992
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.085080005
Held Percent Institutions 0.98444
Implied Shares Outstanding 52,880,073
Industry Engineering & Construction
Industry Disp Engineering & Construction
Industry Key engineering-construction
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Ameresco, Inc. engages in the provision of energy solutions in the United States, Canada, and Europe. The company operates through North America Regions, U.S. Federal, Renewable Fuels, Europe, and All Other segments. It offers energy efficiency, infrastructure upgrades, energy security and resilience, asset sustainability, and renewable energy solutions for businesses and organizations. The company also designs, develops, engineers, and installs projects that reduce the energy, as well as operations and maintenance (O&M) costs of its customers' facilities; and projects primarily include various measures customized for the facility and designed to enhance the efficiency of building systems, such as heating, ventilation, cooling, and lighting systems. In addition, it offers renewable energy solutions and services, such as the development and construction of small-scale plants that the company owns or develops for customers that produce electricity, gas, heat, or cooling from renewable sources of energy and O&M services; and sells electricity, processed renewable gas fuel, and heat or cooling produced from renewable sources of energy. Further, the company provides photovoltaic (PV) solar energy products and systems, as well as provides consulting, and enterprise energy management services. It serves the federal, state and local governments, utilities, data centers, educational and healthcare institutions, housing authorities, and commercial and industrial customers. Ameresco, Inc. was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Framingham, Massachusetts.
Long Name Ameresco, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 1,368,007,552
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1795267
Most Recent Quarter 1,767,139,200
Net Income To Common 44,176,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 1,368,007,488
Number Of Analyst Opinions 10
Open 25.59
Operating Cashflow -80,360,000
Operating Margins 0.07493
Overall Risk 10
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 1.98
Phone 508 661 2200
Post Market Change -0.010000229
Post Market Change Percent -0.038655695
Post Market Price 25.86
Post Market Time 1,776,470,400
Previous Close 25.01
Price Eps Current Year 22.224133
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.2660272
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.7080323
Profit Margins 0.022920001
Quick Ratio 1.22
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.66667
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.860001
Regular Market Change Percent 3.43863
Regular Market Day High 26.17
Regular Market Day Low 25.51
Regular Market Day Range 25.51 - 26.17
Regular Market Open 25.59
Regular Market Previous Close 25.01
Regular Market Price 25.87
Regular Market Time 1,776,456,003
Regular Market Volume 336,501
Return On Assets 0.01805
Return On Equity 0.05219
Revenue Growth 0.091
Revenue Per Share 36.677
Sand P52 Week Change 0.38150132
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Share Holder Rights Risk 10
Shares Outstanding 34,880,073
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0718
Shares Short 3,796,309
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,772,150,400
Shares Short Prior Month 3,132,765
Short Name Ameresco, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.1232
Short Ratio 6.53
Source Interval 15
State MA
Symbol AMRC
Target High Price 62.0
Target Low Price 28.0
Target Mean Price 42.6
Target Median Price 42.5
Total Cash 71,785,000
Total Cash Per Share 1.358
Total Debt 2,443,972,096
Total Revenue 1,932,125,952
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 0.83
Trailing P E 31.168676
Trailing Peg Ratio 2.0813
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 29.1229
Two Hundred Day Average Change -3.2528992
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.11169558
Type Disp Equity
Volume 336,501
Website https://www.ameresco.com
Zip 1,701