Ameresco, Inc. (AMRC)Industrials | Engineering & Construction | Framingham, United States | NYSE
20.09 USD
-0.02
(-0.099%) ⇩
(Oct. 15, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
|
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 5:54 a.m. EDT
The investment case for Ameresco is currently bifurcated between a compelling fundamental turnaround story and a precarious execution reality. On paper, the business looks like a deep value opportunity: trading at less than one times book value with a forward P/E of roughly 13x suggests the market has priced in a permanent impairment that may not exist. Revenue is growing at a healthy 9%, and the company has successfully navigated a multi-year downturn, with the last year showing a strong rebound. However, the balance sheet remains a significant overhang, carrying nearly $2.6 billion in debt against only $138 million in cash, resulting in negative free cash flow. This structural weakness explains why the stock has underperformed so severely despite the recent operational recovery. The short-term outlook is murky. While the price has stabilized after a brutal decline, the statistical models offer no directional bias, and the options market is split between hedging against a crash and dreaming of a moonshot rally. The lack of a dividend and the high beta (2.62) amplify the volatility inherent in this turnaround play. Until the debt load is meaningfully reduced or cash flow turns consistently positive, the 'value' label carries a heavy caveat: the market is right to be skeptical about the speed of the recovery. For now, this remains a hold for patient capital waiting for the balance sheet to clean up, rather than a high-conviction entry. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| MSTL ✓ | 0.080186 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.086147 |
| AutoETS | 0.086223 |
| AutoTheta | 0.086546 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 39% |
| H-stat | 0.12 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.767 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.12 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Industrials |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 190.148 |
| Revenue per Share | 38.294 |
| Market Cap | 1,066,100,224 |
| Trailing P/E | 37.91 |
| Forward P/E | 12.21 |
| Beta | 2.62 |
| Profit Margins | 1.40% |
| Website | https://www.ameresco.com |
As of Oct. 10, 2026, 5:54 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy out-of-the-money put open interest at strikes significantly below the current price (15.0 and 17.5), suggesting a fear of a sharp downside move. Conversely, call activity is concentrated far out-of-the-money (35.0 and 50.0 strikes), indicating bets on a massive, speculative rally rather than a measured recovery. Implied volatility is elevated, reflecting uncertainty about whether the stock can bridge the gap between its depressed current price and the analyst consensus targets.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.4968695 |
| Address1 | 111 Speen Street |
| Address2 | Suite 410 |
| All Time High | 101.86 |
| All Time Low | 3.91 |
| Ask | 32.0 |
| Ask Size | 200 |
| Audit Risk | 3 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 1.8 - Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 504,190 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 667,356 |
| Average Volume | 667,356 |
| Average Volume10Days | 504,190 |
| Beta | 2.621 |
| Bid | 19.0 |
| Bid Size | 300 |
| Board Risk | 7 |
| Book Value | 23.306 |
| City | Framingham |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 8 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 20.09 |
| Current Ratio | 1.673 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,790,726,400 |
| Day High | 20.17 |
| Day Low | 19.05 |
| Debt To Equity | 190.148 |
| Display Name | Ameresco |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,794,259,800 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,794,259,800 |
| Earnings Growth | -0.25 |
| Earnings Quarterly Growth | -0.245 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,794,254,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,794,254,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,794,254,400 |
| Ebitda | 253,387,008 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.1252 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 14.252 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 1.784 |
| Enterprise Value | 3,611,193,088 |
| Eps Current Year | 1.22782 |
| Eps Forward | 1.64541 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 0.53 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 20 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 22.9802 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -2.8901997 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.12576912 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -49.68695 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 42.83 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -22.740002 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.5309363 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 18.38 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 1.710001 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.093035966 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 18.38 - 42.83 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,279,805,400,000 |
| Float Shares | 32,042,440 |
| Forward Eps | 1.64541 |
| Forward P E | 12.209723 |
| Free Cashflow | -371,456,000 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE |
| Full Time Employees | 1,601 |
| Fullday Change | 0.030000687 |
| Fullday Change Percent | 0.14933144 |
| Fullday Price | 20.12 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,790,812,800 |
| Gross Margins | 0.16132 |
| Gross Profits | 326,507,008 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.08976 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 1.02308 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 53,066,211 |
| Industry | Engineering & Construction |
| Industry Disp | Engineering & Construction |
| Industry Key | engineering-construction |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | Ameresco, Inc. engages in the provision of energy solutions in the United States, Canada, and Europe. The company operates through North America Regions, U.S. Federal, Renewable Fuels, Europe, and All Other segments. It offers energy efficiency, infrastructure upgrades, energy security and resilience, asset sustainability, and renewable energy solutions for businesses and organizations. The company also designs, develops, engineers, and installs projects that reduce the energy, as well as operations and maintenance (O&M) costs of its customers' facilities; and projects primarily include various measures customized for the facility and designed to enhance the efficiency of building systems, such as heating, ventilation, cooling, and lighting systems. In addition, it offers renewable energy solutions and services, such as the development and construction of small-scale plants that the company owns or develops for customers that produce electricity, gas, heat, or cooling from renewable sources of energy and O&M services; and sells electricity, processed renewable gas fuel, and heat or cooling produced from renewable sources of energy. Further, the company provides photovoltaic (PV) solar energy products and systems, as well as provides consulting, and enterprise energy management services. It serves the federal, state and local governments, utilities, data centers, educational and healthcare institutions, housing authorities, and commercial and industrial customers. Ameresco, Inc. was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Framingham, Massachusetts. |
| Long Name | Ameresco, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 1,066,100,224 |
| Market State | PRE |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_1795267 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,782,777,600 |
| Net Income To Common | 28,238,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 1,206,194,976 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 10 |
| Open | 19.6 |
| Operating Cashflow | -96,996,000 |
| Operating Margins | 0.08489 |
| Overall Risk | 9 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Peg Ratio | 1.12 |
| Phone | 508 661 2200 |
| Pre Market Change | 0.030000687 |
| Pre Market Change Percent | 0.14933144 |
| Pre Market Price | 20.12 |
| Pre Market Time | 1,792,154,002 |
| Previous Close | 20.11 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 16.362333 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 0.8620098 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 0.52674574 |
| Profit Margins | 0.0139999995 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.371 |
| Quote Source Name | Delayed Quote |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 1.75 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -0.0200005 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -0.0994553 |
| Regular Market Day High | 20.17 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 19.05 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 19.05 - 20.17 |
| Regular Market Open | 19.6 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 20.11 |
| Regular Market Price | 20.09 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,792,094,402 |
| Regular Market Volume | 791,456 |
| Return On Assets | 0.01895 |
| Return On Equity | 0.04315 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.091 |
| Revenue Per Share | 38.294 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.16207206 |
| Sector | Industrials |
| Sector Disp | Industrials |
| Sector Key | industrials |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 10 |
| Shares Outstanding | 35,066,211 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.0992 |
| Shares Short | 5,263,390 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,788,134,400 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 4,986,733 |
| Short Name | Ameresco, Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.19409999 |
| Short Ratio | 8.3 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | MA |
| Symbol | AMRC |
| Target High Price | 62.0 |
| Target Low Price | 26.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 41.4 |
| Target Median Price | 39.0 |
| Total Cash | 138,332,992 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 2.607 |
| Total Debt | 2,569,072,896 |
| Total Revenue | 2,023,937,024 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | 0.53 |
| Trailing P E | 37.905663 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | 1.2677 |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 27.1022 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -7.0121994 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.25873175 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 791,456 |
| Website | https://www.ameresco.com |
| Zip | 1,701 |