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Amplitude, Inc. (AMPL)

Technology | Software - Application | San Francisco, United States | NasdaqCM
15.29 USD -0.32 (-2.050%) ⇩ (Oct. 14, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 15.29

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 5:52 a.m. EDT

The investment case for Amplitude is currently bifurcated between a recovering business and a market that remains deeply skeptical of its capital efficiency. Fundamentally, the company shows signs of stabilization with revenue growing 21% and a recent year-over-year price gain, yet the long-term outlook remains precarious due to a catastrophic four-year cumulative decline of nearly 80%. The balance sheet is fragile, with negative operating margins (-33%) and negative return on equity (-48%), meaning the company is burning cash despite generating some free cash flow. This structural weakness explains why the stock trades at a premium to book value despite being unprofitable. In the short term, the narrative is shifting positively. The stock has rallied significantly off its lows, trading well above its 200-day average, and institutional investors like BlackRock and FMR have increased their stakes, signaling renewed interest. However, the options market tells a different story; there is a dense 'wall' of put open interest at lower strikes, acting as a psychological and financial barrier that suggests traders expect volatility or further downside before a sustained bull run can occur. With no dividend to provide income and a forward P/E of over 90 reflecting high expectations for profitability that haven't materialized yet, the risk-reward profile favors waiting for clearer proof of sustainable profitability before committing significant capital.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.355757
AutoTheta0.356407
AutoETS0.357252
MSTL0.370871

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 31%
H-stat 2.63
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.000
Excess Kurtosis 1.04
Attribute Value
Sector Technology
Debt to Equity Ratio 7.127
Revenue per Share 2.828
Market Cap 1,909,966,592
Forward P/E 88.05
Beta 1.50
Profit Margins -26.59%
Website https://www.amplitude.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 5:52 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioned for downside protection with massive open interest in out-of-the-money puts (strikes 6.0, 7.5, 11.0) expiring late 2026 and early 2027, indicating a fear of a significant drop to the $5-$10 range. Conversely, call activity is sparse and concentrated near the money or slightly out-of-the-money, with very low open interest relative to put volume, suggesting limited speculative bullish conviction despite the recent price recovery.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.5455445
Address1 201 Third Street
Address2 Suite 200
All Time High 87.98
All Time Low 5.51
Ask 19.96
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 1
Average Analyst Rating 1.8 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 2,088,740
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,899,604
Average Volume 1,899,604
Average Volume10Days 2,088,740
Beta 1.499
Bid 11.45
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 7
Book Value 1.091
City San Francisco
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 9
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 15.29
Current Ratio 1.047
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 15.69
Day Low 15.185
Debt To Equity 7.127
Display Name Amplitude
Dividend Yield 0.0
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,793,829,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,793,829,600
Earnings Timestamp 1,793,908,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,908,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,908,800
Ebitda -96,246,000
Ebitda Margins -0.25709
Enterprise To Ebitda -18.901
Enterprise To Revenue 4.859
Enterprise Value 1,819,107,840
Eps Current Year 0.07427
Eps Forward 0.17365
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.75
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NCM
Exchange Data Delayed By 15
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 13.3253
Fifty Day Average Change 1.9646997
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.14744131
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 54.55445
Fifty Two Week High 16.175
Fifty Two Week High Change -0.8849993
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.054714024
Fifty Two Week Low 5.51
Fifty Two Week Low Change 9.78
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 1.7749546
Fifty Two Week Range 5.51 - 16.175
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,632,835,800,000
Float Shares 94,956,197
Forward Eps 0.17365
Forward P E 88.050674
Free Cashflow 71,186,872
Full Exchange Name NasdaqCM
Full Time Employees 795
Fullday Change -0.3199997
Fullday Change Percent -2.049966
Fullday Price 15.29
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.72416997
Gross Profits 271,105,984
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.051020004
Held Percent Institutions 0.80531996
Implied Shares Outstanding 124,916,066
Industry Software - Application
Industry Disp Software - Application
Industry Key software-application
Ipo Expected Date 2,021-09-28
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Amplitude, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides an AI analytics platform that helps analyze customer behavior within digital products in the United States and internationally. It offers Amplitude Analytics, which provides real-time insights into user behavior; Amplitude Session Replay, a tool that offers a qualitative perspective by reconstructing user journeys; Amplitude Feature Experimentation, which enables product, data, and engineering teams to build experiments; Amplitude Web Experimentation, a solution that reduces the need for engineering support and accelerates testing; Amplitude Activation, which resolves identity conflicts, streamlines data integration, and facilitates organizations to personalize and activate campaigns and experiences; Amplitude Guides and Surveys that helps companies to deploy in-product guides, tours, and surveys using the power of behavioral insights to fuel great results; Amplitude AI Agents, accomplish specific goals, such as increasing checkout conversions or feature adoption; Amplitude MCP, is a server enables teams to analyze product data, experiments, and user behavior using conversational AI; Amplitude AI Visibility gives marketers unprecedented insights into how their brand show up; Amplitude AI Feedback, is a feedback engine that uses proprietary large language models to convert raw user input into actionable insights; and Amplitude Automated Insights, is a replicates standard analysis process, executes chained tool calls, and it searches charts and reports to investigate experiments, campaigns, and product releases. It also provides customer support related to initial implementation setup, ongoing support services, and application training. It delivers its application over the Internet as a subscription service using a software-as-a-service model. It was formerly known as Sonalight, Inc. and changed to Amplitude, Inc. in December 2014. The company was incorporated in 2011 and is based in San Francisco, California.
Long Name Amplitude, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 1,909,966,592
Market State POST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_247542783
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common -99,533,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 1,718,220,487
Number Of Analyst Opinions 11
Open 15.42
Operating Cashflow 31,763,000
Operating Margins -0.32768002
Overall Risk 10
Phone 415 231 2353
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 15.29
Post Market Time 1,792,008,525
Previous Close 15.61
Price Eps Current Year 205.87047
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 14.014666
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 5.101829
Profit Margins -0.26587
Quick Ratio 0.846
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.75
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.3199997
Regular Market Change Percent -2.0499659
Regular Market Day High 15.69
Regular Market Day Low 15.185
Regular Market Day Range 15.185 - 15.69
Regular Market Open 15.42
Regular Market Previous Close 15.61
Regular Market Price 15.29
Regular Market Time 1,792,008,001
Regular Market Volume 1,492,155
Return On Assets -0.1554
Return On Equity -0.47887
Revenue Growth 0.212
Revenue Per Share 2.828
Sand P52 Week Change 0.17004645
Sector Technology
Sector Disp Technology
Sector Key technology
Share Holder Rights Risk 10
Shares Outstanding 101,261,624
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0572
Shares Short 7,143,138
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 7,435,398
Short Name Amplitude, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0832
Short Ratio 4.36
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol AMPL
Target High Price 18.0
Target Low Price 11.0
Target Mean Price 14.77273
Target Median Price 14.0
Total Cash 140,539,008
Total Cash Per Share 1.125
Total Debt 9,707,000
Total Revenue 374,368,992
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.75
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 9.263725
Two Hundred Day Average Change 6.0262747
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.6505239
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,492,155
Website https://www.amplitude.com
Zip 94,103