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Amplitude, Inc. (AMPL)

Technology | Software - Application | San Francisco, United States | NasdaqCM
9.36 USD +0.18 (1.961%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 6:24 a.m. EDT

Amplitude presents a classic turnaround story where the market is pricing in a massive recovery, yet the underlying business still struggles with profitability. The short-term outlook is constructive; the stock has rallied nearly 40% in the last two weeks, breaking above key moving averages, and options flow is screaming 'bullish' with heavy call buying at strikes far above the current price. However, the long-term investment case remains fragile because the company is still burning cash, with negative operating margins and a forward P/E that implies high expectations for immediate profitability. While the balance sheet is clean enough to survive, the lack of consistent earnings growth prevents a top-tier long-term rating. Investors should view this as a high-conviction momentum play on a potential inflection point rather than a stable compounder.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.126864
AutoETS0.126866
MSTL0.127215
AutoTheta0.128090

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 42%
H-stat 0.77
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.124
Excess Kurtosis -0.89
Attribute Value
Sector Technology
Debt to Equity Ratio 4.67
Revenue per Share 2.685
Market Cap 1,241,316,096
Forward P/E 69.81
Beta 1.45
Profit Margins -25.11%
Website https://www.amplitude.com

As of July 11, 2026, 6:24 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily skewed toward bullish positioning, evidenced by massive open interest in out-of-the-money calls (strikes 12.5 and 15.0 for 2027/2028 expirations) compared to negligible put volume. Implied volatility is elevated on calls, suggesting a premium priced for a significant upside move, while the put side shows almost no speculative interest beyond standard hedging at lower strikes.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.2626506
Address1 201 Third Street
Address2 Suite 200
All Time High 87.98
All Time Low 5.51
Ask 11.86
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 1
Average Analyst Rating 1.8 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 3,089,620
Average Daily Volume3 Month 2,579,881
Average Volume 2,579,881
Average Volume10Days 3,089,620
Beta 1.447
Bid 6.8
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 7
Book Value 1.639
City San Francisco
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 9
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 9.36
Current Ratio 1.515
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 9.62
Day Low 9.185
Debt To Equity 4.67
Display Name Amplitude
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,778,101,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,778,101,200
Earnings Timestamp 1,778,097,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,785,960,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,785,960,000
Ebitda -92,030,000
Ebitda Margins -0.25797
Enterprise To Ebitda -11.622
Enterprise To Revenue 2.998
Enterprise Value 1,069,539,136
Eps Current Year 0.05043
Eps Forward 0.13407
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.67
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NCM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 7.2718
Fifty Day Average Change 2.0881996
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.28716406
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -26.26506
Fifty Two Week High 14.49
Fifty Two Week High Change -5.13
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.35403728
Fifty Two Week Low 5.51
Fifty Two Week Low Change 3.8499994
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.69872946
Fifty Two Week Range 5.51 - 14.49
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,632,835,800,000
Float Shares 96,349,208
Forward Eps 0.13407
Forward P E 69.81428
Free Cashflow 52,883,124
Full Exchange Name NasdaqCM
Full Time Employees 818
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.7357
Gross Profits 262,462,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.05489
Held Percent Institutions 0.81381
Implied Shares Outstanding 132,619,246
Industry Software - Application
Industry Disp Software - Application
Industry Key software-application
Ipo Expected Date 2,021-09-28
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Amplitude, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides an AI analytics platform that helps analyze customer behavior within digital products in the United States and internationally. It offers Amplitude Analytics, which provides real-time insights into user behavior; Amplitude Session Replay, a tool that offers a qualitative perspective by reconstructing user journeys; Amplitude Feature Experimentation, which enables product, data, and engineering teams to build experiments; Amplitude Web Experimentation, a solution that reduces the need for engineering support and accelerates testing; Amplitude Activation, which resolves identity conflicts, streamlines data integration, and facilitates organizations to personalize and activate campaigns and experiences; Amplitude Guides and Surveys that helps companies to deploy in-product guides, tours, and surveys using the power of behavioral insights to fuel great results; Amplitude AI Agents, accomplish specific goals, such as increasing checkout conversions or feature adoption; Amplitude MCP, is a server enables teams to analyze product data, experiments, and user behavior using conversational AI; Amplitude AI Visibility gives marketers unprecedented insights into how their brand show up; Amplitude AI Feedback, is a feedback engine that uses proprietary large language models to convert raw user input into actionable insights; and Amplitude Automated Insights, is a replicates standard analysis process, executes chained tool calls, and it searches charts and reports to investigate experiments, campaigns, and product releases. It also provides customer support related to initial implementation setup, ongoing support services, and application training. It delivers its application over the Internet as a subscription service using a software-as-a-service model. It was formerly known as Sonalight, Inc. and changed to Amplitude, Inc. in December 2014. The company was incorporated in 2011 and is based in San Francisco, California.
Long Name Amplitude, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 1,241,316,096
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_247542783
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common -89,584,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 1,241,316,141
Number Of Analyst Opinions 11
Open 9.32
Operating Cashflow 26,237,000
Operating Margins -0.2582
Overall Risk 10
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 415 231 2353
Pre Market Change -0.019999504
Pre Market Change Percent -0.21366993
Pre Market Price 9.34
Pre Market Time 1,784,021,430
Previous Close 9.18
Price Eps Current Year 185.6038
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 5.7107987
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 3.4794834
Profit Margins -0.25111
Quick Ratio 1.283
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.75
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.179999
Regular Market Change Percent 1.96078
Regular Market Day High 9.62
Regular Market Day Low 9.185
Regular Market Day Range 9.185 - 9.62
Regular Market Open 9.32
Regular Market Previous Close 9.18
Regular Market Price 9.36
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,801
Regular Market Volume 1,640,480
Return On Assets -0.14151
Return On Equity -0.35355
Revenue Growth 0.169
Revenue Per Share 2.685
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Technology
Sector Disp Technology
Sector Key technology
Share Holder Rights Risk 10
Shares Outstanding 103,867,086
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.060399998
Shares Short 8,006,545
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 7,177,401
Short Name Amplitude, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.090500005
Short Ratio 3.17
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol AMPL
Target High Price 18.0
Target Low Price 8.0
Target Mean Price 10.86364
Target Median Price 10.0
Total Cash 181,924,992
Total Cash Per Share 1.372
Total Debt 10,148,000
Total Revenue 356,752,992
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.67
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 8.678775
Two Hundred Day Average Change 0.6812248
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.0784932
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,640,480
Website https://www.amplitude.com
Zip 94,103