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Amplitude, Inc. (AMPL)

Technology | Software - Application | San Francisco, United States | NasdaqCM
14.30 USD +0.02 (0.140%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 13.88 -0.42 (-0.417%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:30 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 4:07 a.m. EDT

Amplitude presents a classic value trap scenario where strong recent revenue growth masks deteriorating profitability. While the company posted a 21% revenue increase and beat top-line estimates, it missed earnings and issued weak guidance, causing the stock to slide 16% recently. Fundamentally, the business is struggling with negative operating margins (-33%) and a return on equity of nearly -48%, meaning the growth is currently destroying shareholder value. The balance sheet is fragile with a current ratio just above 1.0 and significant debt relative to equity. The short-term outlook is mixed but leans slightly negative due to the recent earnings miss and the overwhelming options flow showing heavy hedging via put purchases. The statistical forecast model offers no directional signal, which aligns with the uncertainty surrounding the company's path to profitability. Long-term, the stock is priced for perfection given the high forward P/E of 77x on meager earnings, and the lack of a dividend makes it unsuitable for income investors. Until operating margins turn positive and the balance sheet strengthens, the investment case remains speculative despite the impressive top-line numbers.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.137891
AutoETS0.138181
AutoARIMA0.138182
AutoTheta0.140824

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 43%
H-stat 0.86
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.246
Excess Kurtosis -1.20
Attribute Value
Sector Technology
Debt to Equity Ratio 7.127
Revenue per Share 2.828
Market Cap 1,786,299,776
Forward P/E 82.75
Beta 1.43
Profit Margins -26.59%
Website https://www.amplitude.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 4:07 a.m. EDT: Speculators are aggressively positioning for downside protection with heavy out-of-the-money put volume in October and January expirations, creating a distinct 'bear put spread' bias. Conversely, call activity is concentrated in the money and slightly out-of-the-money strikes, suggesting a belief in a rebound to current levels rather than a massive breakout. The implied volatility skew shows significantly higher pricing for deep puts compared to calls, indicating fear of a drop below $8-$9.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.3289963
Address1 201 Third Street
Address2 Suite 200
All Time High 87.98
All Time Low 5.51
Ask 14.29
Ask Size 3
Audit Risk 1
Average Analyst Rating 1.8 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,701,300
Average Daily Volume3 Month 2,346,453
Average Volume 2,346,453
Average Volume10Days 1,701,300
Beta 1.427
Bid 10.52
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 7
Book Value 1.091
City San Francisco
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 9
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 14.3
Current Ratio 1.047
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 14.755
Day Low 14.15
Debt To Equity 7.127
Display Name Amplitude
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,963,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,963,600
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,960,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,822,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,822,400
Ebitda -96,246,000
Ebitda Margins -0.25709
Enterprise To Ebitda -17.2
Enterprise To Revenue 4.422
Enterprise Value 1,655,467,776
Eps Current Year 0.07344
Eps Forward 0.17282
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.75
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NCM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 10.0362
Fifty Day Average Change 4.2638006
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.42484215
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 32.89963
Fifty Two Week High 14.76
Fifty Two Week High Change -0.46000004
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.031165313
Fifty Two Week Low 5.51
Fifty Two Week Low Change 8.79
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 1.5952812
Fifty Two Week Range 5.51 - 14.76
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,632,835,800,000
Float Shares 93,553,389
Forward Eps 0.17282
Forward P E 82.745056
Free Cashflow 71,186,872
Full Exchange Name NasdaqCM
Full Time Employees 795
Fullday Change 0.0200005
Fullday Change Percent 0.140059
Fullday Price 13.8831
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.72416997
Gross Profits 271,105,984
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.053969998
Held Percent Institutions 0.80516
Implied Shares Outstanding 124,916,066
Industry Software - Application
Industry Disp Software - Application
Industry Key software-application
Ipo Expected Date 2,021-09-28
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Amplitude, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides an AI analytics platform that helps analyze customer behavior within digital products in the United States and internationally. It offers Amplitude Analytics, which provides real-time insights into user behavior; Amplitude Session Replay, a tool that offers a qualitative perspective by reconstructing user journeys; Amplitude Feature Experimentation, which enables product, data, and engineering teams to build experiments; Amplitude Web Experimentation, a solution that reduces the need for engineering support and accelerates testing; Amplitude Activation, which resolves identity conflicts, streamlines data integration, and facilitates organizations to personalize and activate campaigns and experiences; Amplitude Guides and Surveys that helps companies to deploy in-product guides, tours, and surveys using the power of behavioral insights to fuel great results; Amplitude AI Agents, accomplish specific goals, such as increasing checkout conversions or feature adoption; Amplitude MCP, is a server enables teams to analyze product data, experiments, and user behavior using conversational AI; Amplitude AI Visibility gives marketers unprecedented insights into how their brand show up; Amplitude AI Feedback, is a feedback engine that uses proprietary large language models to convert raw user input into actionable insights; and Amplitude Automated Insights, is a replicates standard analysis process, executes chained tool calls, and it searches charts and reports to investigate experiments, campaigns, and product releases. It also provides customer support related to initial implementation setup, ongoing support services, and application training. It delivers its application over the Internet as a subscription service using a software-as-a-service model. It was formerly known as Sonalight, Inc. and changed to Amplitude, Inc. in December 2014. The company was incorporated in 2011 and is based in San Francisco, California.
Long Name Amplitude, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 1,786,299,776
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_247542783
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common -99,533,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 1,783,801,421
Number Of Analyst Opinions 11
Open 14.3
Operating Cashflow 31,763,000
Operating Margins -0.32768002
Overall Risk 10
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 415 231 2353
Post Market Change -0.41690063
Post Market Change Percent -2.915389
Post Market Price 13.8831
Post Market Time 1,787,959,806
Previous Close 14.28
Price Eps Current Year 194.71678
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 13.107242
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 4.771495
Profit Margins -0.26587
Quick Ratio 0.846
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.75
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.0200005
Regular Market Change Percent 0.140059
Regular Market Day High 14.755
Regular Market Day Low 14.15
Regular Market Day Range 14.15 - 14.755
Regular Market Open 14.3
Regular Market Previous Close 14.28
Regular Market Price 14.3
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,201
Regular Market Volume 2,233,519
Return On Assets -0.1554
Return On Equity -0.47887
Revenue Growth 0.212
Revenue Per Share 2.828
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20204377
Sector Technology
Sector Disp Technology
Sector Key technology
Share Holder Rights Risk 10
Shares Outstanding 101,261,624
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0621
Shares Short 7,756,543
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 8,696,566
Short Name Amplitude, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0904
Short Ratio 3.51
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol AMPL
Target High Price 18.0
Target Low Price 11.0
Target Mean Price 13.77273
Target Median Price 13.0
Total Cash 140,539,008
Total Cash Per Share 1.125
Total Debt 9,707,000
Total Revenue 374,368,992
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.75
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 8.800025
Two Hundred Day Average Change 5.499975
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.6249954
Type Disp Equity
Volume 2,233,519
Website https://www.amplitude.com
Zip 94,103