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Ambiq Micro, Inc. (AMBQ)

Technology | Semiconductors | Austin, United States | NYSE
57.34 USD -2.75 (-4.576%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 58.10 +0.76 (1.325%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:49 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 5:40 a.m. EDT

The investment case for Ambiq Micro is currently bifurcated between a compelling long-term narrative and a precarious short-term reality. Fundamentally, the company is exhibiting signs of a turnaround with revenue growth nearing 90%, yet it remains trapped in a value trap with negative earnings, negative free cash flow, and a forward P/E that is mathematically undefined due to losses. The balance sheet is surprisingly robust with minimal debt, but the lack of profitability prevents a definitive 'buy' rating despite the optimistic analyst targets. In the short term, the stock is behaving like a speculative vehicle rather than a core holding. The recent price action shows a failure to sustain gains above the 50-day average, leaving it vulnerable to mean reversion. The options market confirms this tension: traders are buying deep out-of-the-money calls for a moonshot scenario while hedging with near-the-money puts, creating a volatile environment unsuitable for steady accumulation. Until the company demonstrates a path to profitability or the price breaks decisively above key resistance levels, the risk-reward profile remains neutral.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoETS ✓0.186280
MSTL0.197934
AutoTheta0.212331
AutoARIMA0.399625

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS

Forecast Reliability
Score 29%
H-stat 26.58
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.167
Excess Kurtosis -1.31
Attribute Value
Sector Technology
Debt to Equity Ratio 1.133
Revenue per Share 5.351
Market Cap 1,386,741,248
Forward P/E -248.01
Profit Margins -37.77%
Website https://ambiq.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 5:40 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for significant volatility rather than a specific directional outcome. Call volume is heavily skewed toward out-of-the-money strikes (90, 100, 125, 130), suggesting bets on a massive upside surge, while put volume concentrates near the money (55, 60), indicating a hedge against a drop to current levels. The massive IV spike on deep OTM calls (2870%) versus the relatively standard ATM IV suggests traders are pricing in a binary event or extreme tail risk, creating a 'lottery ticket' environment where the probability of a moderate move is priced out.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.62361526
Address1 6,500 River Place Boulevard
Address2 Building 7 Suite 200
All Time High 91.61
All Time Low 22.12
Ask 59.0
Ask Size 300
Audit Risk 7
Average Daily Volume10 Day 394,040
Average Daily Volume3 Month 593,241
Average Volume 593,241
Average Volume10Days 394,040
Bid 57.4
Bid Size 300
Board Risk 7
Book Value 16.759
City Austin
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 10
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 57.34
Current Ratio 15.952
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 60.2275
Day Low 57.08
Debt To Equity 1.133
Display Name Ambiq Micro
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,451,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,451,400
Earnings Timestamp 1,786,451,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,881,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,881,800
Ebitda -35,495,000
Ebitda Margins -0.36266997
Enterprise To Ebitda -28.865
Enterprise To Revenue 10.468
Enterprise Value 1,024,550,272
Eps Current Year -0.53375
Eps Forward -0.2312
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -4.24
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 72.3356
Fifty Day Average Change -14.995602
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.20730597
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 62.361526
Fifty Two Week High 91.61
Fifty Two Week High Change -34.27
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.3740858
Fifty Two Week Low 22.12
Fifty Two Week Low Change 35.22
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 1.5922242
Fifty Two Week Range 22.12 - 91.61
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,753,882,200,000
Float Shares 21,681,678
Forward Eps -0.2312
Forward P E -248.01039
Free Cashflow -27,998,124
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 200
Fullday Change -2.75
Fullday Change Percent -4.57647
Fullday Price 58.1
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.43623
Gross Profits 42,694,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.049990002
Held Percent Institutions 1.24149
Implied Shares Outstanding 24,184,536
Industry Semiconductors
Industry Disp Semiconductors
Industry Key semiconductors
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Ambiq Micro, Inc. provides ultra-low-power semiconductor solutions in the United States, Europe, Asia, and internationally. It develops sub-threshold power-optimized technology (SPOT) platform which is designed to reduce power consumption of battery- and wireline-powered devices alike. The company's flagship products include Apollo family of products which pair rich peripheral sets with host processors capable of software-based AI computations or vector-accelerated AI computations; and Atomiq, targeting AI applications to provide AI acceleration along with new memory innovations. It also provides AmbiqSuite Software Development Kit (SDK), which provides firmware and drivers required to operate systems-on-chips (SoC); software modules, such as graphiqSPOT for graphics and display management, blueSPOT for Bluetooth communications, secureSPOT for managing security, and others; and AI enablement software. The company serves various markets requiring on-device and real-time AI, including smartwatches and fitness trackers, augmented and virtual reality (AR/VR) glasses, smart rings, digital health monitors, security systems and access control, livestock tracking, crop monitoring, and factory automation. It offers its products through internal direct sales force, and through a network of distributors and sales representatives. The company was formerly known as Cubiq Microchip, Inc. and changed its name to Ambiq Micro, Inc. in October 2012. The company was incorporated in 2010 and is based in Austin, Texas.
Market us_market
Market Cap 1,386,741,248
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_108952279
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common -36,967,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 1,453,248,768
Number Of Analyst Opinions 6
Open 59.98
Operating Cashflow -29,819,000
Operating Margins -0.25743
Overall Risk 9
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 512 879 2850
Post Market Change 0.7599983
Post Market Change Percent 1.3254243
Post Market Price 58.1
Post Market Time 1,787,960,961
Previous Close 60.09
Price Eps Current Year -107.42857
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 3.4214451
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 14.169217
Profit Margins -0.37772
Quick Ratio 14.714
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change -2.75
Regular Market Change Percent -4.57647
Regular Market Day High 60.2275
Regular Market Day Low 57.08
Regular Market Day Range 57.08 - 60.2275
Regular Market Open 59.98
Regular Market Previous Close 60.09
Regular Market Price 57.34
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,202
Regular Market Volume 278,979
Return On Assets -0.10104
Return On Equity -0.15548
Revenue Growth 0.897
Revenue Per Share 5.351
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20504117
Sector Technology
Sector Disp Technology
Sector Key technology
Share Holder Rights Risk 8
Shares Outstanding 24,184,536
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0713
Shares Short 1,723,765
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 1,766,758
Short Name Ambiq Micro, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0752
Short Ratio 3.4
Source Interval 15
State TX
Symbol AMBQ
Target High Price 125.0
Target Low Price 73.0
Target Mean Price 85.66667
Target Median Price 78.0
Total Cash 366,774,016
Total Cash Per Share 15.166
Total Debt 4,583,000
Total Revenue 97,870,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -4.24
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 46.67845
Two Hundred Day Average Change 10.661549
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.22840407
Type Disp Equity
Volume 278,979
Website https://ambiq.com
Zip 78,730