Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. (AMBP)Consumer Cyclical | Packaging & Containers | Luxembourg, Luxembourg | NYSE
4.20 USD
+0.08
(1.942%)
⇧
(April 17, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 4.20 Short-term: ★★☆☆☆ | Long-term: ★☆☆☆☆ | Dividends: ★★★☆☆ |
Hot Take | April 18, 2026, 11:43 p.m. EDT
Ardagh Metal (AMBP) presents a classic value trap: a massive 9.5% yield is subsidized by a negative book value and negative trailing earnings per share, where the dividend is likely an anomaly of capital allocation rather than sustainable growth. While the stock has rallied ~14% in 2025, the fundamental fundamentals—negative EPS and significant debt despite a recent reduction—warn against long-term holding. The 9.5% yield is attractive but risky if earnings do not remain tolerably profitable. Short-term, the lack of directional momentum and the stock trading below its 50-day average suggests a wait-and-see approach; buy only on deep technical dips for income, but avoid chasing price. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| MSTL ✓ | 0.054255 |
| AutoETS | 0.054925 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.054925 |
| AutoTheta | 0.059640 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 80% |
| H-stat | 0.60 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.155 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -1.37 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Ex Dividend Date | 2026-03-11 |
| Last Dividend Date | 2026-03-11 |
| Revenue per Share | 9.197 |
| Market Cap | 2,510,338,048 |
| Forward P/E | 14.46 |
| Beta | 0.63 |
| Profit Margins | 0.20% |
| Website | https://www.ardaghmetalpackaging.com |
As of April 18, 2026, 11:43 p.m. EDT: Options data reveals significant ambiguity and lack of directional conviction. For near-term expirations (April/May), both Calls and Puts show highly disparate positions at the 2.5 strike (Deep ITM Put OI vs ITM Call OI) and 5.0 strike (ATM/OTM anchors), with Low IV (1.49-2.50). At longer tenors (July+), there is massive Open Interest in Deep ITM Calls (2.5 strike) combined with significant Put OI at 5.0 strike, while implied volatility remains critically depressed (0.40-0.66). The total implied volumes are exceptionally low (often single digits), indicating a lack of active speculative positioning and potential options data issues rather than a clear strategic bias. The mix suggests neither bullish nor bearish conviction, primarily hedging or passive long-term holding.
| Last Yield | 1yr Yield | 3yr Avg | 5yr Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.43% | 8.07% | 11.97% | — |
| Date | Dividend | Yield % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-12 | 0.1 | 2.433090 |
| 2025-08-07 | 0.1 | 2.693644 |
| 2025-05-05 | 0.1 | 2.943440 |
| 2025-03-13 | 0.1 | 3.972089 |
| 2024-12-05 | 0.1 | 3.220899 |
| 2024-09-12 | 0.1 | 3.408053 |
| 2024-06-12 | 0.1 | 3.111307 |
| 2024-03-12 | 0.1 | 3.557560 |
| 2023-12-05 | 0.1 | 3.278718 |
| 2023-09-13 | 0.1 | 3.855437 |
| 2023-06-13 | 0.1 | 3.449562 |
| 2023-03-13 | 0.1 | 3.307419 |
| 2022-11-10 | 0.1 | 3.066126 |
| 2022-10-12 | 0.1 | 2.954795 |
| 2022-06-13 | 0.2 | 4.918190 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | 0.5730337 |
| Address1 | 56, rue Charles Martel |
| All Time High | 12.43 |
| All Time Low | 2.5 |
| Ask | 4.26 |
| Ask Size | 8,700 |
| Audit Risk | 8 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 2.9 - Hold |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 1,078,110 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 1,510,419 |
| Average Volume | 1,510,419 |
| Average Volume10Days | 1,078,110 |
| Beta | 0.627 |
| Bid | 4.0 |
| Bid Size | 10,700 |
| Board Risk | 6 |
| Book Value | -1.143 |
| City | Luxembourg |
| Compensation Risk | 5 |
| Country | Luxembourg |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 4.2 |
| Current Ratio | 1.064 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,774,915,200 |
| Day High | 4.265 |
| Day Low | 4.165 |
| Display Name | Ardagh Metal Packaging |
| Dividend Date | 1,774,483,200 |
| Dividend Rate | 0.4 |
| Dividend Yield | 9.52 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,776,945,600 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,776,945,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,776,947,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,776,947,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,776,947,400 |
| Ebitda | 725,000,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.13189 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 8.857 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 1.168 |
| Enterprise Value | 6,421,340,160 |
| Eps Current Year | 0.23469 |
| Eps Forward | 0.29048 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | -0.02 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Ex Dividend Date | 1,773,273,600 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 4.3872 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -0.18720007 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.0426696 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | 57.303368 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 5.03 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -0.8300004 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.16501002 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 2.64 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 1.5599997 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.59090894 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 2.64 - 5.03 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,628,170,200,000 |
| Float Shares | 142,581,335 |
| Forward Eps | 0.29048 |
| Forward P E | 14.458827 |
| Free Cashflow | 307,249,984 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE |
| Full Time Employees | 6,498 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,775,001,600 |
| Gross Margins | 0.1268 |
| Gross Profits | 697,000,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.76042 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.21275999 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 597,699,587 |
| Industry | Packaging & Containers |
| Industry Disp | Packaging & Containers |
| Industry Key | packaging-containers |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Dividend Date | 1,773,273,600 |
| Last Dividend Value | 0.1 |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a metal beverage can company in Europe, North America, and Brazil. It offers a range of beverage cans for use in sparkling water, soft drinks, beer, wine, flavored malt beverages, energy drinks, and teas, as well as flavored alcoholic beverages to beverage producers. The company was founded in 1932 and is based in Luxembourg, Luxembourg. Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. operates as a subsidiary of Ardagh Group S.A. |
| Long Name | Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 2,510,338,048 |
| Market State | CLOSED |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_705112155 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,767,139,200 |
| Net Income To Common | -11,000,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 2,510,338,261 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 6 |
| Open | 4.18 |
| Operating Cashflow | 449,000,000 |
| Operating Margins | 0.03343 |
| Overall Risk | 5 |
| Payout Ratio | 5.0 |
| Phone | 352 2 625 8555 |
| Post Market Change | 0.0 |
| Post Market Change Percent | 0.0 |
| Post Market Price | 4.2 |
| Post Market Time | 1,776,469,681 |
| Previous Close | 4.12 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 17.895947 |
| Price Hint | 4 |
| Price To Book | -3.6745405 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 0.4566742 |
| Profit Margins | 0.002 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.743 |
| Quote Source Name | Delayed Quote |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | hold |
| Recommendation Mean | 2.85714 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 0.0799999 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 1.94175 |
| Regular Market Day High | 4.265 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 4.165 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 4.165 - 4.265 |
| Regular Market Open | 4.18 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 4.12 |
| Regular Market Price | 4.2 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,776,456,002 |
| Regular Market Volume | 805,598 |
| Return On Assets | 0.03041 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.126 |
| Revenue Per Share | 9.197 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.38150132 |
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Sector Disp | Consumer Cyclical |
| Sector Key | consumer-cyclical |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 4 |
| Shares Outstanding | 597,699,586 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.0086 |
| Shares Short | 5,154,768 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,772,150,400 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 4,653,266 |
| Short Name | Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.036 |
| Short Ratio | 2.72 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| Symbol | AMBP |
| Target High Price | 6.0 |
| Target Low Price | 3.7 |
| Target Mean Price | 4.65833 |
| Target Median Price | 4.625 |
| Total Cash | 516,000,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 0.863 |
| Total Debt | 4,418,999,808 |
| Total Revenue | 5,496,999,936 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.4 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.09708738 |
| Trailing Eps | -0.02 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 4.0633 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | 0.13669968 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | 0.033642527 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 805,598 |
| Website | https://www.ardaghmetalpackaging.com |
| Zip | 2,134 |