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Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. (AMBP)

Consumer Cyclical | Packaging & Containers | Luxembourg, Luxembourg | NYSE
4.46 USD -0.17 (-3.672%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 4.49 +0.03 (0.673%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 7:56 p.m. EDT)
Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:★★★⯪☆
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 6:09 a.m. EDT

The investment case for Ardagh Metal Packaging hinges entirely on its recent recovery from a multi-year slump. While the business fundamentals have improved—evidenced by a sharp 32.77% price rebound last year and solid 18.6% revenue growth—the stock remains technically trapped in a downtrend, trading below its 200-day average. The massive debt load relative to cash creates a precarious balance sheet that limits upside potential despite the operational turnaround. However, the 8.64% dividend yield is compelling, supported by a surprisingly low 5% payout ratio, offering a strong income floor for patient capital. The options market confirms this cautious stance, with traders buying protection against a crash while betting on a range-bound recovery. This is a hold for income, not a buy for explosive growth.
Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.058425
AutoARIMA0.064513
AutoETS0.064515
MSTL0.075852

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 36%
H-stat 99.42
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.048
Excess Kurtosis -0.85
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Ex Dividend Date 2026-06-10
Last Dividend Date 2026-06-10
Revenue per Share 9.592
Market Cap 2,665,770,240
Forward P/E 15.18
Beta 0.53
Profit Margins 0.19%
Website https://www.ardaghmetalpackaging.com

As of July 11, 2026, 6:09 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy put volume at the $2.50 strike across multiple expirations, suggesting a fear of a significant drop to half the current price. Conversely, call interest is concentrated at the money ($5.00), indicating a belief that the stock will trade near current levels rather than surge significantly. The implied volatility skew shows elevated premiums for deep out-of-the-money puts compared to calls, reflecting asymmetric downside risk pricing.

Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
2.46% 7.53% 10.34% —
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-06-11 0.1 2.463054
2026-03-12 0.1 2.433090
2025-08-07 0.1 2.631579
2025-05-05 0.1 2.801121
2025-03-13 0.1 3.676471
2024-12-05 0.1 2.873563
2024-09-12 0.1 2.958580
2024-06-12 0.1 2.624672
2024-03-12 0.1 2.923977
2023-12-05 0.1 2.617801
2023-09-13 0.1 3.003003
2023-06-13 0.1 2.610966
2023-03-13 0.1 2.439024
2022-11-10 0.1 2.207505
2022-10-12 0.1 2.079002
2022-06-13 0.2 3.389830
Additional Data
dividendRate 0.4
dividendYield 8.64
exDividendDate 2026-06-11
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.4
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.08639309
lastDividendValue 0.1
lastDividendDate 2026-06-11
dividendDate 2026-06-25

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.016985118
Address1 56, rue Charles Martel
All Time High 12.43
All Time Low 2.5
Ask 4.75
Ask Size 5,900
Audit Risk 3
Average Analyst Rating 2.9 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 2,564,390
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,656,047
Average Volume 1,656,047
Average Volume10Days 2,564,390
Beta 0.527
Bid 4.3
Bid Size 4,900
Board Risk 7
Book Value -1.168
City Luxembourg
Compensation Risk 5
Country Luxembourg
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 4.46
Current Ratio 1.055
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 4.7
Day Low 4.39
Display Name Ardagh Metal Packaging
Dividend Date 1,782,345,600
Dividend Rate 0.4
Dividend Yield 8.64
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,784,836,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,784,836,800
Earnings Timestamp 1,784,809,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,784,809,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,784,809,800
Ebitda 749,000,000
Ebitda Margins 0.13065
Enterprise To Ebitda 9.361
Enterprise To Revenue 1.223
Enterprise Value 7,011,742,208
Eps Current Year 0.24769
Eps Forward 0.29384
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.01
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,781,136,000
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 4.2074
Fifty Day Average Change 0.2526002
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.060037125
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -1.6985118
Fifty Two Week High 5.03
Fifty Two Week High Change -0.5700002
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.11332011
Fifty Two Week Low 3.29
Fifty Two Week Low Change 1.1700001
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.35562313
Fifty Two Week Range 3.29 - 5.03
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,628,170,200,000
Float Shares 142,575,358
Forward Eps 0.29384
Forward P E 15.1783285
Free Cashflow 203,750,000
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 6,500
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.12629
Gross Profits 724,000,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.76043
Held Percent Institutions 0.20976
Implied Shares Outstanding 597,706,314
Industry Packaging & Containers
Industry Disp Packaging & Containers
Industry Key packaging-containers
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,781,136,000
Last Dividend Value 0.1
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a metal beverage can company in Europe, North America, and Brazil. It offers a range of beverage cans for use in sparkling water, soft drinks, beer, wine, flavored malt beverages, energy drinks, and teas, as well as flavored alcoholic beverages to beverage producers. The company was founded in 1932 and is based in Luxembourg, Luxembourg. Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. operates as a subsidiary of Ardagh Group S.A.
Long Name Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.
Market us_market
Market Cap 2,665,770,240
Market State POSTPOST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_705112155
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common -5,000,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 2,767,380,233
Number Of Analyst Opinions 6
Open 4.67
Operating Cashflow 413,000,000
Operating Margins 0.03923
Overall Risk 5
Payout Ratio 5.0
Phone 352 2 625 8555
Post Market Change 0.029999733
Post Market Change Percent 0.6726397
Post Market Price 4.49
Post Market Time 1,783,986,963
Previous Close 4.63
Price Eps Current Year 18.006378
Price Hint 4
Price To Book -3.8184931
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.46498695
Profit Margins 0.0019200001
Quick Ratio 0.697
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 2.85714
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.17
Regular Market Change Percent -3.67171
Regular Market Day High 4.7
Regular Market Day Low 4.39
Regular Market Day Range 4.39 - 4.7
Regular Market Open 4.67
Regular Market Previous Close 4.63
Regular Market Price 4.46
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,803
Regular Market Volume 1,766,496
Return On Assets 0.03354
Revenue Growth 0.186
Revenue Per Share 9.592
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Share Holder Rights Risk 2
Shares Outstanding 597,706,314
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0163
Shares Short 9,726,144
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 7,915,574
Short Name Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0679
Short Ratio 4.5
Source Interval 15
Symbol AMBP
Target High Price 5.0
Target Low Price 4.0
Target Mean Price 4.625
Target Median Price 4.875
Total Cash 142,000,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.238
Total Debt 4,480,000,000
Total Revenue 5,733,000,192
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.4
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.08639309
Trailing Eps -0.01
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 4.1198
Two Hundred Day Average Change 0.34019995
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.08257681
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,766,496
Website https://www.ardaghmetalpackaging.com
Zip 2,134